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June 27, 2022

 

Good morning. After abortion, how is the Supreme Court likely to change American society next?

 
 
 

The impatient, ambitious five

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Protesting for abortion rights in Brooklyn last month.Gabriela Bhaskar/The New York Times

My colleague Adam Liptak, who covers the Supreme Court, describes the five Republican-appointed justices besides Chief Justice John Roberts as “an impatient, ambitious majority.”

They have largely rejected Roberts’s more cautious approach of deciding cases narrowly and shifting the law slowly. The five instead prefer to set American law as they believe it should be set, even when they must overrule longstanding precedent. To do otherwise, they believe, is dishonest.

After the court overturned Roe v. Wade on Friday, one obvious question was: What other legal changes might soon be coming? Initial attention has focused on the possibility that the court may soon restrict L.G.B.T. rights, contraception access or interracial marriage. All those issues involve some of the same logic that led to the abortion decision, as both Justice Clarence Thomas and the three liberal justices pointed out in their writings accompanying the decision.

But those are not actually the hot-button issues that the court is likely to consider next. In today’s newsletter, I want to focus on the divisive decisions that are more likely to come soon. One of those rulings could happen today; the court is scheduled to announce some of its final rulings of the term shortly after 10 a.m. Eastern.

Kavanaugh’s position

The first reason to doubt that the court is on the verge of overturning the constitutional right to same-sex marriage, interracial marriage or contraception access comes straight from Friday’s abortion ruling. In a separate concurrence explaining his vote, Justice Brett Kavanaugh — one of the impatient, ambitious five — explicitly signaled that those other rights were safe.

In his 12-page concurrence, Kavanaugh wrote that he wanted to address “how this decision will affect other precedents involving issues such as contraception and marriage.” He then listed four cases dealing with those issues, including the 2015 ruling establishing a right to same-sex marriage. “Overruling Roe does not mean the overruling of those precedents, and does not threaten or cast doubt on those precedents,” Kavanaugh explained.

Unless Kavanaugh changes his mind — or Roberts decides to overturn those precedents — there is no majority to do so. For now, only Thomas has said that he favors revisiting the earlier cases. “I don’t think there are five votes for overturning any of those decisions,” Adam Liptak said on a weekend episode of “The Daily.”

The second reason to think that other divisive issues will come first is that the court has already announced many of the cases it will hear next year. They tend to involve other topics — namely affirmative action, election laws and business regulation.

Affirmative action

It’s an issue that seems likely to define the court’s next term in the way that abortion did this term. The court has agreed to hear two cases, one challenging the use of race in admissions at a public university (the University of North Carolina) and one at a private university (Harvard).

I have been writing about this subject for the past two decades, and university officials I’ve spoken with are far more worried that the court will outlaw their current admissions approach than they were during the run-up to previous Supreme Court cases. If that happens, the number of Black students at selective colleges seems especially likely to decline.

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The Harvard campus in March.Kayana Szymczak for The New York Times

The core argument for affirmative action is simple: In a society where racism and racial inequities remain defining problems, ignoring race in admissions or hiring decisions is fundamentally unfair.

Yet affirmative action — at least as it has typically been practiced in the U.S. — tends to be unpopular. When the policy appears on the ballot in state referendums, it usually loses, even in liberal states like California. (Poll questions, depending on their wording, point in contradictory directions.)

One problem may be that traditional affirmative action has put nearly all of its focus on race, with little to no weight on economic class. That approach has probably hurt the policy’s support among many white, Asian and even Latino voters. Its thin popular support, in turn, would make it easier for conservative justices to ban a policy they have long opposed.

“The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race,” Roberts once wrote.

Is there any chance the court will stop short of outlawing affirmative action? Sure. Many corporate executives and military leaders support the policy, and they could plausibly sway the justices. But most court watchers consider that outcome improbable.

In a 2003 ruling upholding affirmative action, Justice Sandra Day O’Connor — a more moderate Republican appointee — suggested that she thought the policy might no longer be necessary “25 years from now.” If the court scraps the policy in 2023, the current impatient, ambitious majority would be only five years ahead of O’Connor’s timetable.

And two more

Two other contentious subjects on the court’s docket are election law and business regulation. On both, the court — including Roberts — has recently leaned strongly to the political right.

Election laws. The court has already agreed to hear a case about whether Alabama can draw a congressional map that packs many Black voters into a single congressional district, effectively diluting their political power. About 27 percent of Alabama’s residents are Black, and the state has seven House districts.

The court may also decide to hear a case that could limit the ability of state courts to review how state legislatures draw districts and otherwise oversee elections. Adam Liptak recently wrote an article that explains why the issue is so important — especially when many Republican legislators have signaled a willingness to overturn election results.

Business regulation. Even before President Donald Trump’s three appointees shifted the court to the right, it tended to take a laissez-faire approach, limiting Congress’s ability to regulate corporate behavior. The current court may go even further, especially on climate policy, and rule that federal agencies cannot limit pollution unless Congress has given them specific authority to do so.

The court will hear one case involving the Clean Water Act in October and will likely issue a ruling involving the E.P.A. this week. I’ll go into more detail on this subject once that ruling is announced.

More on abortion

 

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine
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The site of a missile strike in Kyiv, Ukraine, yesterday.Mauricio Lima for The New York Times
 
Primary Elections
  • In New York, the Democratic candidates for governor are focusing on two Supreme Court rulings — on abortion and guns — ahead of Tuesday’s primary.
  • A far-right candidate could win the Republican primary for Illinois governor, thanks to a Trump-loving base — and Democrats’ cash.
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

China’s economic expansion is winning over small countries that the U.S. ignores, writes Dorothy Wickham, a journalist from the Solomon Islands.

Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discuss last week’s Supreme Court decisions.

 
 

Your support makes our reporting possible.

Help 1,700 journalists continue their mission. Subscribe now with this special offer.

 

MORNING READS

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Jeneda Benally and her dog, Mr. Happy Face.Josh Edelson/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Mr. Happy Face: This Chihuahua mix with a mohawk was crowned World’s Ugliest Dog.

Supercars: Would you buy an electric Ferrari?

Quiz time: The average score on our latest news quiz was 8.9. Try to beat it.

A Times classic: Where decision fatigue comes from.

Advice from Wirecutter: How to apply sunscreen for maximum effect.

Lives Lived: Baxter Black was America’s cowboy poet (some dubbed him the “Poet Lariat”), celebrating life on the range in books, speeches and frequent NPR appearances. Black died at 77.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Cheerios stands out across today’s streaming series, including “Grace and Frankie” on Netflix.Netflix

The brands on your screen

Advertising has become easier to avoid, thanks to commercial-free streaming services, skippable YouTube ads and more. Companies and marketers are responding with an increase in product placement.

When done well, a bit of product placement can seem natural; after all, real kitchens are stocked with branded products. But the repeated appearance of certain items can start to look odd. Why is it that so many TV characters are drinking that one blue-capped water? And why do they keep referring to the same real estate app?

Read more about the trend — including examples from your favorite shows.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Julia Gartland for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Monica Pierini.

This recipe for roasted vegetables is easy to make, but good enough to become a go-to when fresh veggies are around.

 
The Rosé Lifestyle

An owner of Wölffer Estate has turned pink wine into a symbol of the Hamptons life that she epitomizes.

 
World Through a Lens

A photographer documents the ornamental birdhouses of India, known as chabutras.

 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was bilingual. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Cheesy dip (5 letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Megha Rajagopalan and Justin Scheck are joining The Times’s international investigations team.

The Daily” is about the abortion ruling. “Sway” features Andrew Ross Sorkin.

Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti, Ashley Wu and Chris Stanford contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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June 28, 2022

 

Good morning. The governor’s race in Oregon shows how Democrats could be in trouble in November.

 
 
 
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President Biden’s unpopularity is only one of his party’s problems this year.T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times

Unexpected losses

The midterm polls continue to look bad for the Democratic Party. Yes, it’s possible that events — like, say, the overturning of Roe v. Wade — will help the party do better in November than analysts expect. For now, though, 2022 is looking like another wave election in which the president’s party will suffer big losses.

In a wave election, major surprises are possible. In 2018, for example, Republicans lost every House seat in Orange County, Calif., which had long been a symbol of suburban conservatism. In 1994, the Democratic speaker of the House, Tom Foley, shockingly lost his own district to a political neophyte.

Unless the polls improve for Democrats, they could find themselves suffering similarly unexpected losses in November. By definition, it’s hard to predict these surprises in advance. But even blue states and districts that are normally safe may not be this year.

Today, my colleague Reid Epstein offers a portrait of one such campaign: the governor’s race in Oregon. It has its own characteristics, including a third-party candidate, but many of the political themes in Oregon are also present across the country.

 
 

Biden, crime, gas prices

Almost nobody in Oregon seems to be happy.

In Portland, just 8 percent of residents think their city is on the right track, according to a May poll from Oregon Public Broadcasting. East of the Cascade Mountains, nine counties are so fed up with Democratic control of the state that they have voted to leave the state to join Idaho.

Only Democrats have served as Oregon’s governor since 1987, but the party, weighed down by soaring gas prices, inflation and President Biden’s unpopularity, is in so much trouble in this year’s midterm elections that even deep-blue Oregon is suddenly competitive.

Portland, like many other cities in the U.S., has seen a rise in homelessness and violent crime. Visiting the city’s downtown in recent years has been an exercise in navigating its sprawling homeless encampments — an issue that polling shows is top of mind for the state’s voters. And homicides jumped to at least 90 last year, from 36 in 2019.

Gov. Kate Brown, a Democrat in her final term, is America’s least-popular governor, according to Morning Consult polling. Biden’s approval rating is 15 points under water, despite his having won the state by 16 percentage points.

In much of the country, that’s all Republicans need to say to fire up their voters: Joe Biden, crime and gas prices.

An independent challenge

Amid their political headwinds, Oregon Democrats have doubled down.

For governor, the party nominated Tina Kotek, a former state House speaker widely seen as a status quo candidate who would maintain Oregon’s progressive direction. Last year, she sponsored legislation that limited Oregon cities’ ability to remove homeless people’s tents from public spaces.

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Tina Kotek, the Democratic candidate for Oregon governor.Craig Mitchelldyer/Associated Press

In typical lousy Democratic years, Oregon Democrats have overcome dissatisfaction with the party. But things are so bad now that the party has splintered: Betsy Johnson, a veteran Democratic state legislator, quit the legislature and left her party to mount an independent campaign for governor.

Johnson, a helicopter pilot whose signature Liz Claiborne eyeglasses are embedded in her campaign logo, has raised far more money than both Kotek and the Republican nominee, Christine Drazan. Johnson has also earned an array of high-profile endorsements from members of both parties. Much of her fund-raising has come from Oregon’s corporate moguls, including more than $1 million from the Nike founder Phil Knight.

Portland’s homelessness crisis is animating Johnson’s campaign. One of her TV ads shows her driving around the city’s encampments. “No more tent cities,” she says. When I spoke with her, Johnson didn’t mince words: “You can see the deterioration of the beautiful City of Roses, now the city of roaches,” she said.

Democrats say they believe Johnson will take more votes from the Republican base than from their own. But they are spending as if she is a real threat, creating a PAC to attack her as an obstacle to environmental progress and gun control. (Shortly after the Sandy Hook massacre, Johnson told a group of high school students that she owned a machine gun. She told me it was “a Cold War artifact” and said she still had it.)

The G.O.P. nominee, Drazan, is anti-abortion and pro-Trump, a change from the moderates Oregon Republicans have nominated for governor in recent years. Her campaign believes she could win the three-way race with just 40 percent of the vote — the same percentage Donald Trump took in 2020. Some Republicans in Washington, D.C., believe Drazan has a better shot of winning than their candidates in traditional battleground states like Michigan and Pennsylvania do.

Kotek and Johnson favor abortion rights — a position they both stressed following Friday’s Supreme Court decision striking down Roe v. Wade. Johnson served on the board of the local Planned Parenthood chapter, while Kotek passed legislation in 2017 that expanded state-funded abortion access.

No sure thing

Kotek is still the favorite to win. Oregon Democrats have significant structural advantages — there are just more of them than anyone else. But it’s not a sure thing, and Democrats are sweating the result for the first time in years.

When we spoke last week, Kotek tried to steer the discussion toward issues where she is aligned with Oregon’s progressive voters: environmental protections, gun control and minimum wage increases, all of which Johnson has opposed. Kotek dismissed Johnson as an elected gadfly who accomplished little during her two decades in the Oregon Legislature.

But in doing so, she sounded an awful lot like another well-credentialed Democrat who seemed to be in a race the party couldn’t lose.

“You could do what Donald Trump did and say, ‘Trust me,’ like Betsy Johnson,” Kotek said. “Or you can vote for the person who actually has a track record of accomplishment to make sure people have what they need. So I think that at the end of day, people are going to go with that.”

The next four months will determine whether she’s right.

For more

  • Biden insists that he plans to run again in 2024. He and top aides are stung by some Democrats’ skepticism that he should.
  • New York, Colorado and other states are holding primary elections today. Here’s what to watch for.
 

THE LATEST NEWS

Abortion
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Abortion rights supporters marched in Salt Lake City on Friday.Kim Raff for The New York Times
  • Mitch McConnell told The Times that the fall of Roe was the culmination of his mission to reshape the Supreme Court.
  • Yesli Vega, a Republican House candidate in Virginia, dismissed the need for abortions in cases of rape by falsely suggesting that rape rarely leads to pregnancy.
 
Politics
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Joseph Kennedy coached at a public high school in Bremerton, Wash., near Seattle.Ruth Fremson/The New York Times
 
War in Ukraine
  • The U.S. and its G7 allies will pledge to spend $5 billion this year to help ensure food security around the globe, a Biden administration official said today. It’s an effort to counter shortages caused by the Russian invasion.
  • The death toll from a Russian missile strike on a crowded mall in Kremenchuk, central Ukraine, rose to 18, the city’s mayor said.
  • The trial for Brittney Griner, the W.N.B.A. star detained in Russia, is to begin on Friday.
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Faced with Russian aggression and American turmoil, Europe needs to look after itself, Emma Ashford argues.

Women now count less in America than they did last week, Tressie McMillan Cottom writes.

“Two kids was enough for our working family.” “I just made the wrong choice.” Times readers shared abortion stories that defied clear-cut narratives.

 
 

Your support makes our reporting possible.

Help 1,700 journalists continue their mission. Subscribe now with this special offer.

 

MORNING READS

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Buck Ellison’s “Betsy and Elissa, Ada, Michigan, 2018.”Buck Ellison

Photography: Buck Ellison’s images use fiction to reveal truths about the wealthy.

The Arconia: The building from “Only Murders in the Building” is real, and it has a wild history.

The Ethicist: Should I tell my sister that I know she sabotaged me?

A Times classic: How often should a man get a haircut?

Advice from Wirecutter: Revamp your backyard, and then have an outdoor movie night.

Lives Lived: New York’s mostly white art world largely overlooked Sam Gilliam, a pioneering Black painter who hung his abstract canvases from ceilings, until late in his career. He died at 88.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

What is America’s sound?

Classical music is not a form native to the United States — much of the canon predates the country’s existence — but American composers have found ways to make it their own. Often, that comes from fusing classical with America’s great musical innovation, jazz.

In The Times, Seth Colter Walls reviews three new albums that merge classical and jazz to present their own vision of American music (each features some variation of “America” in the title). His favorite: “What Is American” by PUBLIQuartet, an experimental string quartet.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Julia Gartland for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Monica Pierini
 
What to Read

Sally Denton’s ninth book pits polygamists against drug lords.

 
What to Watch

Stream “My Girl” and other movies before they leave Netflix next month.

 
Late Night

Filling in for Jimmy Kimmel, Chelsea Handler discussed the Supreme Court.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee were conduction, conduit and induction. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Green gemstone (4 letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. David Sanger, who covers the White House and national security, is celebrating 40 years at The Times.

The Daily” is about the states’ different approaches to abortion.

Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti, Ashley Wu and Chris Stanford contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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June 29, 2022

 

Good morning. Trump and his top aides knew that the Jan. 6 rally was likely to turn violent.

 
 
 
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Cassidy Hutchinson, a former White House aide, during the hearing yesterday.Doug Mills/The New York Times

‘Let the people in’

How much did President Donald Trump and his top advisers know ahead of the Jan. 6 attack about the potential for violence? Until the past few weeks, the answer to that question had been unclear.

But the Jan. 6 committee hearings have removed much of the doubt: Trump and his aides knew that the rally he held near the White House that day was likely to escalate into an attack on the Capitol.

Yesterday, testimony from Cassidy Hutchinson — a former aide to the White House chief of staff — offered the clearest evidence yet that Trump knew violence was possible. He learned early on Jan. 6 that some rally attendees were armed, but wanted security to let them in, Hutchinson said. “They’re not here to hurt me,” she recalled him saying.

Hutchinson also said yesterday that:

  • Mark Meadows, Trump’s chief of staff at the time and Hutchinson’s boss, told her on Jan. 2 that “things might get real, real bad on Jan. 6.”
  • The White House knew that the Proud Boys, a far-right group with a recent history of political violence, planned to be in Washington on Jan. 6. Hutchinson heard the group discussed before Trump’s rally, when Rudy Giuliani was present, and Giuliani said on Jan. 2 that Jan. 6 would be “a great day.”
  • Tony Ornato, another aide, told Meadows and Trump before the attack that some Trump supporters had come to hear his speech outside the White House armed with knives, bear spray and other weapons.
  • Trump wanted the Secret Service to let armed supporters into his rally. “Take the f-ing mags away,” Hutchinson overheard Trump say, referring to the magnetometers used to screen attendees. “They can march to the Capitol from here. Let the people in.”
  • Trump wanted to join the protesters at the Capitol after his speech. After learning he was instead being driven back to the White House, Hutchinson testified, Trump cursed at his security detail and tried to wrest the steering wheel from his driver. Trump denied the story yesterday, and Secret Service officials said agents would testify that he did not reach for the wheel.

(Here’s a timeline of Hutchinson’s account of Jan. 6, with videos from her testimony.)

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President Donald Trump speaking to supporters on Jan. 6, 2021.Pete Marovich for The New York Times

Most of Hutchinson’s testimony, which was under oath, referred to conversations she witnessed or to events that other Trump aides described to her. “Hutchinson is joining the lineup of explosive witnesses to appear at congressional hearings,” The Times’s Carl Hulse wrote, comparing her to Oliver North, who testified about the Iran-contra scandal, and John Dean, who testified about Watergate.

(Our colleague Maggie Haberman profiles Hutchinson here.)

The committee will hold more hearings in the coming weeks, and other details will no doubt emerge. But the fundamental story of Jan. 6 is clear: A United States president who lost re-election was aware of — and encouraged — a violent attack on the Capitol intended to prevent the transfer of power to his opponent, the election’s victor. Afterward, most members of that defeated president’s party decided not to hold him accountable for doing so. Instead, with rare exceptions, they largely ignored or even repeated his lies about the election.

There is also reason to believe that Trump or other Republicans may attempt to overturn a future election. Altogether, it represents the most serious threat to American democracy in many decades.

More on the hearing

  • The committee described phone calls to witnesses, made by Trump allies, that it suggested were meant to intimidate the witnesses.
  • Hutchinson testified that Trump, enraged by a denial from his attorney general that the election was stolen, threw his lunch against a White House wall. (The Times’s Peter Baker catalogs Trump’s rage in the final days of his presidency.)
  • The committee played video of Mike Flynn, Trump’s former national security adviser, taking the Fifth Amendment after Representative Liz Cheney asked him if he believed in the peaceful transfer of political power.
  • Meadows and Giuliani sought presidential pardons for their role in Jan. 6.
  • A lawyer for Ginni Thomas, the wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, said she would not testify to the committee.
  • Yesterday’s session played like the Watergate hearings as punched up by the writers’ room of “24,” our TV critic writes.
  • Hutchinson reminds us that being a public servant means stepping up to do hard things, Times Opinion’s Michelle Cottle writes. Bret Stephens asks if the hearings will finally bring down the cult of Trump.
  • The case for prosecuting Trump just got stronger, David French of The Dispatch argues. (Legal experts told The Times that Hutchinson’s testimony raised the likelihood that Trump would face criminal charges.)
 

THE LATEST NEWS

Election Night
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Voting in Queens yesterday.Gabby Jones for The New York Times
 
Abortion
 
War in Ukraine
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Farmland after Russian bombings in the Donetsk region yesterday.Tyler Hicks/The New York Times
  • Turkey dropped its opposition to NATO membership for Sweden and Finland, clearing the way for their entry. At a summit in Madrid today, the alliance will formally invite the two countries to join.
  • Women attacked by Russian soldiers near Kyiv want justice. But Ukrainian officials face daunting challenges in prosecuting the crimes.
  • Biden led his Group of 7 counterparts to agree to cap the price of Russian oil, a move that could prompt the Kremlin to further restrict supply.
 
The Virus
 
Other Big Stories
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Mourners placed memorials near the site where a tractor-trailer was found in Texas.Lisa Krantz for The New York Times
 
Opinions

Siamak Namazi, an Iranian American imprisoned in Iran, urges Biden to help free him.

Israeli politics is starting to mirror America’s scorched-earth politics, says Thomas Friedman.

 
 

Your support makes our reporting possible.

Help 1,700 journalists continue their mission. Subscribe now with this special offer.

 

MORNING READS

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From left, Marlene Napp, Liliana Bernhardt, Jack Bernhardt, and Lisa Napp at home in Hillsborough, N.C. The family is trying to cut costs.Cornell Watson for The New York Times

Cutting corners: How are families adjusting to inflation? Downgraded vacations, less takeout.

Lost: USB sticks with data on 460,000 people were misplaced during a night of drinking.

Quench: Fruits and veggies are a great way to stay hydrated.

Short trips: These getaways are just 100 miles from Seattle, New York or Chicago.

Shopping guide: Invest in a tablecloth.

Advice from Wirecutter: The best beach umbrella.

Lives Lived: Margaret Keane painted images of sad, big-eyed children trapped in dystopian worlds. For years, her husband said he had painted them — false claims that a “paint-off” in court ultimately demolished. Keane died at 94.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Taika Waititi has a lot on his plate.Dana Scruggs for The New York Times

Constantly creating

Taika Waititi might be the busiest man in Hollywood. He was behind the camera of the new Marvel movie “Thor: Love and Thunder” as director and co-writer. He was in front of it for the HBO pirate comedy series “Our Flag Means Death,” playing Blackbeard. He’s a voice in the new Pixar film “Lightyear.” He is creating two projects for Netflix based on “Charlie and the Chocolate Factory.”

Waititi’s secret to managing the workload: not thinking about it. “If I was to step back and look at all of the things I’m doing, I’d probably have a panic attack,” he told The Times’s Dave Itzkoff. “I know there’s too many things. I know I’m doing a lot. I just have to keep pivoting every couple of hours.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Andrew Scrivani for The New York Times

This crowd-pleasing potato cake takes on whatever seasoning or toppings you want.

 
What to Listen to

“The Tennis Podcast” started around a dining room table. Ten years later, it’s a major presence in the sport.

 
What to Read

Davey Davis’s new novel, “X,” is a queer noir set in a troubling near-future world.

 
Late Night

Late night hosts reacted to testimony from the latest Jan 6. hearings.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was tailwind. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: DNA sequences (5 letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Tariro Mzezewa, a Times national correspondent, is leaving to join The Wall Street Journal.

The Daily” is about the explosive Jan 6. hearing.

Matthew Cullen, Natasha Frost, Isabella Kwai, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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June 30, 2022

 

Today, we look at another example of American exceptionalism — this one involving the role that the courts play in shaping politics and society. — David Leonhardt

Good morning. In other advanced democracies, the courts are more restrained.

 
 
 
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The Supreme Court’s structure allows for few checks on the justices’ power.Pete Marovich for The New York Times

A global outlier

By now, most of us are used to U.S. Supreme Court rulings that bring big changes to American life — on abortion, guns, same-sex marriage and more. This morning may bring another sweeping ruling, on climate change.

But the Supreme Court’s power is strange in a global context. The highest-level courts in other rich democracies tend to be less dominant. Elsewhere, courts can still overturn laws and restrict the government’s reach, but they often face sharper limits on their decisions.

There are two major reasons that the U.S. Supreme Court is unusual, and today’s newsletter will explain them. First, the court’s structure allows for few checks on the justices’ power: They have lifetime tenure, and other branches of government have few ways to overturn a ruling. Second, the dysfunction of the rest of the U.S. government, especially Congress, has created a vacuum that the Supreme Court fills.

Unchecked judges

Supreme Court justices remain on the bench for life or until they choose to retire. In other countries, there are term or age limits: Judges on Germany’s federal constitutional court, for example, serve for 12 years or until age 68, whichever is sooner.

The U.S. model means the current court’s makeup of six conservatives and three liberals is likely to remain in place for years if not decades. And if justices are careful about timing their retirements to benefit their ideological side, it could last even longer. As a result, future elections and public opinion can end up having little influence on the court.

In other countries, limited terms and mandatory retirement ages create opportunities for more recently elected lawmakers to remake the highest courts and keep them in check. “There is some accountability,” said Tom Ginsburg of the University of Chicago Law School. “If a court is too out of control, there is pressure to rein it back in.”

The U.S. also makes it more difficult to overrule a court’s decisions. A two-thirds vote from both the House and the Senate, or approval from two-thirds of state legislatures, initiates a constitutional amendment. Then three-fourths of the states must ratify the amendment. This has only been successfully done 17 times in the more than 230 years since the Constitution and the Bill of Rights were ratified — and never since 1992.

In other countries, legislators can more easily overrule the courts. Canada’s Parliament can pass laws that ignore court rulings, although such laws must be reapproved every five years. British courts are so weak that their decisions act more as recommendations than orders, said Kim Lane Scheppele, a legal expert at Princeton University.

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In the U.S., each part of the lawmaking process is a potential veto point for bills.T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times

Political dysfunction

The U.S. Supreme Court is also empowered by the frequent gridlock across the rest of the federal government. For example, Congress could pass a federal law guaranteeing access to abortion in the first trimester, which most Americans favor. Or Congress could pass laws giving the E.P.A. clearer authority to deal with climate change. Neither has happened.

Congress’s struggles demonstrate a broader problem: The U.S. has built so many checks into its political system that it has become what political scientist Francis Fukuyama calls a “vetocracy.” Each part of the lawmaking process, from the House to the Senate to the White House, is a potential veto point for bills. Then there are additional barriers — like the Senate filibuster, which requires 60 of 100 senators to pass most legislation.

The many veto points make it difficult for even the party that controls both Congress and the White House, as the Democrats now do and the Republicans did in 2017 and 2018, to get much done. The courts fill the void.

Other advanced democracies tend to have simpler parliamentary systems. So when a political party or coalition wins an election, it can quickly pass laws to act on its promises.

“When courts wind up doing so much of the work, it is often precisely because the parliament is broken,” Scheppele said.

A conservative system

Many Republicans argue they are simply playing by the rules set by the Constitution, and that liberals complain because they don’t like the results. (Senator Mitch McConnell made a longer version of this case in a recent interview with The Times.)

But the rules do inherently favor McConnell’s side. The liberal vision for America requires passing laws to make major changes — already difficult in the political system. The Supreme Court adds another veto point, further bolstering a small-c conservative process. That is why much of the Democratic agenda now focuses on political and judicial reforms. (Jamelle Bouie, a Times Opinion columnist, goes into more detail here.)

Yet the conservative process also makes those political and judicial reforms difficult to enact. So for the foreseeable future, the Supreme Court is likely to play a sweeping role in American life.

For more

  • The Supreme Court ruled yesterday that Oklahoma authorities could prosecute non-Indians who commit crimes on tribal lands, narrowing a 2020 decision about Native American rights.
  • The court also said that states could be held liable for discriminating against employees who were injured in military service.
  • Justice Stephen Breyer will formally retire today and help swear in Ketanji Brown Jackson.
 

THE LATEST NEWS

Abortion
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Abortion rights protesters in Houston.Callaghan O'Hare/Reuters
 
Politics
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Representative Liz Cheney on Capitol Hill this week.Haiyun Jiang/The New York Times
 
War in Ukraine
 
International
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Roe’s fall gives Republican voters an excuse to move on from Trump, Bonnie Kristian argues.

Kara Swisher answers listener questions on the final episode of “Sway.”

 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

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Wolf pups enjoying snack time.Andrew Spear for The New York Times

DNA: Modern dogs descended from two ancient wolf populations.

The Nile: Egypt is destroying houseboats that stood for over a century as sites of art and revelry.

A Times classic: Married to a mystery man.

Advice from Wirecutter: Clean your air-conditioner.

Lives Lived: Hershel Williams, who fought in the battle for Iwo Jima, was the last surviving World War II serviceman who received the Medal of Honor, and its oldest living recipient. He died at 98.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A programming note: Today, we introduce a new section to this newsletter — a sports section, written by the staff of The Athletic.

Freddie Freeman’s tears: He left the champion Atlanta Braves for a $162 million contract with one of baseball’s best teams, his hometown Los Angeles Dodgers. So why did Freeman fire his agent after a trip back to Atlanta? Ken Rosenthal has the official read on an odd situation.

A basketball falling star: Emoni Bates was a basketball prodigy by sixth grade, a Sports Illustrated cover at 15. Yesterday, he transferred to Eastern Michigan University. He is only 18. Can he revive a career that has barely begun?

The Beard means business: James Harden is passing up a $47.4 million 2022-23 salary so the Sixers can add help. Can Philly now catch the Boston Celtics?

The Athletic, a New York Times company, is a subscription publication that delivers in-depth, personalized sports coverage. Learn more about The Athletic.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Law enforcement outside the Orlando Museum of Art last week.Willie J. Allen Jr./Orlando Sentinel, via Associated Press

F.B.I. steps into an art case

In February, the Orlando Museum of Art opened a show featuring 25 never-before-seen paintings by Jean-Michel Basquiat. But a Times article by Brett Sokol cast doubt on their authenticity: One had been painted on a FedEx box with a typeface that hadn’t been used until 1994, six years after Basquiat’s death.

Last week, the F.B.I. raided the museum and seized the paintings. And on Tuesday night, the museum’s board removed its director and chief executive, Aaron De Groft, who has publicly insisted the paintings are genuine.

According to an F.B.I. affidavit, De Groft threatened an expert who expressed qualms after assessing the artworks. “Shut up,” De Groft allegedly wrote in an email. “Stop being holier than thou.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Ryan Liebe for The New York Times

Add a seaside flare to your grilled corn on the cob with Old Bay seasoning.

 
What to Read

A Portuguese novelist offers her favorite books to get to know Lisbon — and where in the city to read them.

 
What to Watch

Here’s how “Marcel the Shell With Shoes On,” a short created in one person’s bedroom, became a stop-motion feature film.

 
Late Night
 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was facility. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: First ___ (wedding tradition) (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — German

P.S. The Senate confirmed former President William Howard Taft to be the Supreme Court’s chief justice 101 years ago today.

The Daily” is about European support for Ukraine. On “First Person,” a gay Republican wonders whether she belongs. “The Argument,” is about the Jan. 6 hearings.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 1, 2022

 

Good morning. The Supreme Court seems unconcerned with climate change.

 
 
 
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A coal-fired power plant in Thompsons, Texas.Tamir Kalifa for The New York Times

‘A blow’

The Supreme Court has made it harder for the country to fight the ravages of climate change.

In a 6-to-3 decision yesterday, the court limited the Environmental Protection Agency’s ability to prevent power plants from releasing climate-warming pollution. The court ruled that Congress had not given the agency the authority to issue the broad regulations that many climate experts believe could make a major difference — the kind of regulations that many Biden administration officials would have liked to implement.

Today’s newsletter will walk you through what the decision means — and also clarify what it does not mean (because some of the early commentary exaggerated the decision’s meaning). The bottom line is that the ruling is significant, but it does not eliminate the Biden administration’s ability to reduce greenhouse gas pollution.

Amy Westervelt, a climate journalist, summarized the decision by writing: “Not good, but also not as bad as it could have been. It’s pretty narrow.” Romany Webb of the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law at Columbia University called the ruling “a blow, but it is nowhere near the worst-case scenario.”

The trouble, many scientists say, is that climate change presents such an enormous threat to the world — and the need to reduce the pace of warming is so urgent — that any ruling that makes the task harder is worrisome. Extreme storms, heat waves, droughts and wildfires are already becoming more common. Some species are facing potential extinction. Glaciers are melting, and sea levels are rising.

Yet the U.S. has made only modest progress combating climate change through federal policy in recent years. The Trump administration largely denied the problem and reversed Obama administration policies intended to slow global warming. The Biden administration has failed to pass its ambitious climate agenda because of uniform Republican opposition and Democratic infighting. Now the Supreme Court has made the job more difficult, too.

What’s still possible

The Biden administration had hoped to issue a major rule requiring electric utilities to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, essentially forcing them to replace coal and gas-fired plants with clean forms of electricity, like wind, solar and nuclear. The justices ruled that when Congress passed the Clean Air Act in 1970, it did not intend to give the E.P.A. such broad authority.

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The E.P.A. can still regulate greenhouse gases from vehicles.Kendrick Brinson for The New York Times

The E.P.A. can still regulate power plants after the ruling, but more narrowly than before: The agency can push power plants to become more efficient, for example. “The way to significantly reduce greenhouse emissions from power plants is to shut down the power plants — and replace them with something cleaner,” my colleague Coral Davenport said. “And that’s off the table.”

After yesterday, the E.P.A.’s most significant policy tools appear to involve other industries. The agency can still regulate greenhouse gases from vehicles, the nation’s largest source of such emissions — although the ruling and the potential for future lawsuits may make the agency more cautious than it otherwise would be.

On Twitter, Michael Gerrard, an environmental law expert at Columbia University, listed other ways that government agencies could continue to address climate change, including: federal rules applying to newly built power plants; federal rules on leakage from oil and gas production; state and local rules in many areas; and private sector efforts to become more energy efficient, often subsidized by the government.

“One battle is lost (unsurprisingly, given this Supreme Court),” Gerrard wrote, “but the war against climate change very much goes on.”

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Chief Justice John Roberts wrote the majority opinion.T.J. Kirkpatrick for The New York Times

More on the climate

The ruling is the latest sign that the Republican Party is unconcerned about climate change. The six justices in the majority were all Republican appointees; the three dissenters were all Democratic appointees.

Adam Liptak, The Times’s Supreme Court correspondent, wrote: “Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr., writing for the majority, only glancingly alluded to the harms caused by climate change. Justice Elena Kagan began her dissent with a long passage detailing the devastation the planet faces, including hurricanes, floods, famines, coastal erosion, mass migration and political crises.”

The math just got harder. This decision made it less likely that the U.S. would reach the climate targets that Biden has set. And if the U.S. misses its targets, the world will likely miss its target, as The Times’s Climate Forward newsletter explains. (Sign up here.)

Cities and states are trying to fill the gap. Local governments are accelerating their efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions, in some cases bridging partisan divides.

More lawsuits may be coming. Many of the plaintiffs from this climate case have brought a case trying to keep the E.P.A. from moving the nation toward a greater use of electric vehicles.

The ruling may matter beyond climate policy. Corporations in other industries will likely use this ruling to argue that some of their own regulations should also be blocked.

More on the Court:

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Abortion
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Cason is among the first post-Roe babies in Texas.Erin Schaff/The New York Times
 
War in Ukraine
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Plan A to protect abortion rights is for Democrats to win enough seats to codify Roe. There doesn’t seem to be a Plan B, says Michelle Goldberg.

Laura Adkins is a New York liberal. She wants a gun.

It’s reckless for Democrats to boost Trumpist candidates in G.O.P. primaries, David Brooks writes.

 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

Trilobites: Who’s got two pseudothumbs and loves to eat bamboo? This bear.

Vacation stress: How to handle this summer’s air travel mess.

Modern Love: For $100, could he stop flirting with men when his mother was around?

A Times classic: A home-maintenance checklist.

Advice from Wirecutter: Campfire cooking tips.

Lives Lived: As the face of the Hells Angels, Sonny Barger turned the motorcycle club into a global phenomenon and an emblem of West Coast rebellion. He died at 83.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A programming note: This week, we are introducing a new section to this newsletter — a sports section, written by the staff of The Athletic.

An N.B.A. superstar wants out: Kevin Durant asked to be traded from the Brooklyn Nets yesterday, a fresh story line to pair with the league’s free agency period kicking off. Where could Durant land? Here are the possible trade destinations.

U.C.L.A. and U.S.C. sow chaos: Two Pac-12 mainstays are leaving for the Big Ten. It’s a move that shakes college football’s foundation. Is the sport now down to just two power conferences?

Marla Hooch can still rake: It’s been 30 years since she was launching home runs for the Rockford Peaches in “A League of Their Own.” Turns out the actress Megan Cavanagh, now 61, can still hit ’em.

The Athletic, a New York Times company, is a subscription publication that delivers in-depth, personalized sports coverage. Learn more about The Athletic.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Natasha Lyonne, left, and Greta Lee in Season 2 of “Russian Doll.”Netflix

Back for seconds

Maybe not all shows need second seasons — but many get one anyway. “The philosophy today is that if you can give people more of what they liked, then don’t waste time pondering whether you should,” the TV critic James Poniewozik writes.

“Only Murders in the Building,” which told a full story in its first season, returned this week. Other seemingly complete shows have also returned: “Big Little Lies,” “The Flight Attendant,” “Russian Doll.” The second season of “Only Murders” still delivers even if it lacks originality, James writes.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Johnny Miller for The New York Times

This baked spinach-artichoke pasta nixes cream cheese for salty Parmesan and heavy cream.

 
What to Watch

The documentary “Hallelujah” is illuminating for die-hard and casual fans of Leonard Cohen.

 
What to Read

Books coming in July include a biography of Vladimir Putin and a novel by Bolu Babalola.

 
Late Night
 
Take the News Quiz

Find out how well you kept up with the headlines this week.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was enviable. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Push (oneself) (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Nice choice of reading material, Mr. President (from the G7 meeting in Germany):

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Kenny Holston for The New York Times

The Daily” is about abortion. On the Modern Love podcast, two adoption stories.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 2, 2022

 

Good morning. It’s a holiday weekend. Here are some ideas for how to spend it.

 
 
 
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Allie Sullberg

Taking off

The most reliable way I’ve found to discover books I love is by seeking out the recommendations of writers whose work I admire. So when I saw that Patrick Radden Keefe, the author of the riveting “Empire of Pain,” was discussing his favorite writers in The Times Book Review, I broke out my note-taking app to add Emmanuel Carrère’s “The Adversary” to my ever-lengthening list of titles to read.

It’s a holiday weekend here in the U.S., and I’ll be spending at least part of it reading, outside if the weather permits, indoors before a fan if it doesn’t. If you’re lucky, you’ve been able to get away, perhaps to somewhere nearby that doesn’t use too much gas, like our reporter who recently spent two days cycling around Shelter Island.

Wherever you find yourself, take advantage of the long days. I like to do two-in-ones in summer, days with two distinct chapters before nightfall. These are the days when you can arrive at the beach at noon and still have plenty of light by which to grill when you get home.

Here’s your menu. Start with a rum punch or nimbu pani, move on to skirt steak and vegetables. Corn on the cob, obviously. Macaroni, pasta, potato salads. Edna Lewis’s peach cobbler for dessert. Invite the neighbors, if you like. Ask them to bring the coleslaw.

I’ve been eagerly awaiting the film adaptation of Lawrence Osborne’s “The Forgiven,” about a couple who accidentally kill a stranger while driving to a lavish weekend-long party in Morocco. It opens this weekend. If you’d prefer something less intense, “Marcel the Shell With Shoes On” looks charming.

The last two episodes of the fourth season of “Stranger Things” just dropped, but if you’re a fan, you’ve probably already watched them. You might not have seen “Naked Mole Rat Gets Dressed: The Underground Rock Experience,” an animated musical special from the children’s book author Mo Willems. And there’s Wimbledon, even though Serena won’t be playing.

I’ve been seeking podcast recommendations for when I’m doing chores and running errands, so this list of podcasts to make you feel good arrived right on time. “You Are Good,” an exploration of movies through the feelings they provoke, co-hosted by Sarah Marshall of the late “You’re Wrong About” podcast sounds right up my street. I’ll listen to it while I make the cobbler.

What new podcast have you loved recently? Tell me about it and we might feature your recommendation in The Morning. Be sure to include your full name and location.

 

THE WEEK IN CULTURE

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Jonathan Michel (bass), Bendji Allonce (drums) and Axel Tosca (keys) at Cafe Erzulie in Brooklyn.Sinna Nasseri for The New York Times
 

THE LATEST NEWS

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The U.S. has supplied Ukraine with High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems.Tony Overman/The Olympian, via Associated Press
 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

CULTURE CALENDAR

By Gilbert Cruz

Culture Editor

? “Thor: Love and Thunder” (July 8): The most recent Marvel blockbuster, “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness,” was weird and dark. This one, directed by the ascendant Taika Waititi, is funny and colorful. It really does take all kinds. A tip: You might want to rewatch the second Thor film, 2013’s “The Dark World,” to remind yourself why Natalie Portman is even in these movies.

? Macy’s 4th of July Fireworks Spectacular (July 4): Oh, say, can you see a nearly half-century-old tradition celebrating America’s birthday in over-the-top fashion? Why yes you can! Tune into NBC at 8 p.m. Eastern on Monday, and lower the volume if your dog’s in the room.

? “Girls They Write Songs About” (Out now): The friends we make in our 20s — that formative decade when work and family life have yet to fully tame us — often see us at our most irresponsible moments. The two friends in this Carlene Bauer novel have many of those as they meet cute and hard in late ’90s New York City before undergoing decades of, as the critic Molly Young writes, “enchantment, disenchantment and re-enchantment.” Anyone with long-term friends can relate.

 

RECIPE OF THE WEEK

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Andrew Scrivani for The New York Times

Barbecued Chicken

Barbecued chicken may be a Fourth of July cliché, but only because it’s pretty perfect, a crowd-pleaser with its mahogany, sticky-crisp skin and smoky, savory meat. And Sam Sifton’s not-too-sweet version is the recipe I keep coming back to. He smartly calls for thinning the barbecue sauce with water before using it to baste the chicken on the grill. This keeps the sugars in the sauce from burning and the meat from drying out. While he suggests using chicken legs and thighs, I’ve added bone-in, skin-on breasts, and they’ve worked nicely. (Just be careful not to overcook them.) Then, break out your favorite icy beverage, and don’t forget to look up — at fireworks, fireflies or the summer sky turning pinkish at dusk.

A selection of New York Times recipes is available to all readers. Please consider a Cooking subscription for full access.

 

REAL ESTATE

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Gavin Preuss Photography

What you get for $1.4 million: An 1873 five-bedroom Victorian in Hudson, N.Y.; a townhouse in Chicago; or a 19th-century home with three bedrooms in Massachusetts.

The hunt: After stints in Florida, Arizona and Britain, a longtime renter fell in love with Southern California. Would $800,000 be enough for a single-family home?

The Belnord: The story behind the real “Only Murders” building, which has been making headlines for more than a century.

 

LIVING

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Late nights and early mornings could cause lasting damage.Dolly Faibyshev for The New York Times

Get that shut-eye: The sleep debt collectors are coming.

Relationships: Are we still monogamous? And six other questions to ask your partner.

Pink wine: How rosé became a lifestyle.

Amber Rose, reconsidered: She’s resurrecting her SlutWalk, releasing a rap single and looking to cast off the labels of her past.

 

GAME OF THE WEEKEND

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Chicago Sky forward Candace Parker last month.M. Anthony Nesmith/Icon Sportswire, via Getty Images

Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky, W.N.B.A.: This game is a rematch of last year’s W.N.B.A. finals. The Sky won that series, and this year they once again look like one of the league’s best teams. The veteran forward Candace Parker, who grew up near Chicago, recently recorded her third triple-double — the most in W.N.B.A. history. The Mercury’s season, meanwhile, has been defined by the absence of their all-star center Brittney Griner, who has been detained in Russia since February. 1 p.m. Eastern today, on ESPN.

For more:

  • The U.S. is loaded with women’s basketball talent. But the W.N.B.A.’s small size — it has just 12 teams — makes it hard to go pro.
  • The latest on Griner: Russia may seek a prisoner exchange for a notorious arms dealer known as the “Merchant of Death.”
 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was quieting. Here is today’s puzzle.

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed this week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
Before you go …
 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — Melissa

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 3, 2022

 

Good morning. At the end of a momentous Supreme Court term, we go behind the scenes.

 
 
 
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Climate activists gathered at the Supreme Court on Thursday.Anna Rose Layden for The New York Times

An unhappy place

A few weeks ago, I asked Adam Liptak — The Times’s Supreme Court correspondent — to preview the major cases that would make up the end of the court’s term. Adam was prophetic, correctly forecasting every big ruling. Today, he returns to the newsletter, answering my questions about the behind-the-scenes atmosphere at the court.

David: The last few months have been among the most unusual in the Court’s modern history — a major leak followed by an abortion decision that, as you’ve written, will change American life in major ways. Inside the court, do you think things also feel different?

Adam: The Supreme Court’s building has been closed to the public since the beginning of the pandemic. Then, not long after the leak in early May of a draft of the opinion that overruled Roe v. Wade, the courthouse was surrounded by an eight-foot fence. Always cloistered and remote, the court is now impenetrable.

The release of the decision in the abortion case highlighted another way in which the court has withdrawn from public scrutiny. For unexplained reasons, the justices have stopped announcing their decisions from the bench, abandoning a tradition that is both ceremonial and illuminating. In the old days, the author of the majority opinion would give a quick and conversational summary of the ruling that could be extremely valuable for a reporter on deadline and, by extension, for members of the public trying to understand a decision.

More important yet were oral dissents, reserved for decisions that the justices in the minority believed were profoundly mistaken. In ordinary times, one or more of the three liberal justices who dissented in the abortion case would have raised their voices in protest. These days, the court makes do with posting PDFs of its decisions, robbing the occasion of ceremony, drama and insight.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
The nine justices in 2021.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

So the lawyers who argued the cases and the reporters covering the court find out about decisions the same way everybody else does — by refreshing their browsers. But the justices have returned to the courtroom for arguments, haven’t they?

Yes, they have taken a different approach with arguments. After hearing them by telephone for much of the pandemic, the justices returned to the bench in October. Reporters with Supreme Court press credentials were allowed to attend and the public could listen to live-streamed audio on the court’s website. It is not clear why opinions could not be announced in similar fashion.

I haven’t been to the courthouse since the last argument of the current term, on April 27, when Chief Justice John Roberts grew emotional in saying farewell to a retiring colleague, Justice Stephen Breyer. But there is every reason to think that the leak, the investigation it prompted, the controversy over Justice Clarence Thomas’s failure to recuse himself from a case that intersected with his wife’s efforts to overturn the election and the justices’ very real security concerns have made the court an unhappy place.

In remarks in May, not long after the leak, Justice Thomas reflected on how things had changed at the court since an 11-year stretch without changes in its membership before the arrival of Chief Justice Roberts in 2005. “This is not the court of that era,” Justice Thomas said, adding: “We actually trusted each other. We may have been a dysfunctional family, but we were a family.”

A less collegial court seems like it could be especially problematic for the three liberal justices. There are now five Republican-appointed justices who are even more conservative than Roberts. If the court is a less collaborative place, I would imagine it gives the justices in the minority — both the liberals and, in some cases, Roberts — less ability to shape decisions.

Yes, though it’s possible to overstate the power of collegiality. Justices cast votes based on the strength of the relevant arguments and the desired outcomes, not on how likable their colleagues are.

The justices say there is no vote-trading across cases, and I believe them. On the other hand, there are certainly negotiations within cases. It seems tolerably clear, for instance, that Justices Breyer and Elena Kagan shifted positions in one part of the 2012 case that upheld a key portion of the Affordable Care Act to make certain they would secure Chief Justice Roberts’s vote on another part.

Justices may well be prepared to narrow or reshape a draft opinion that seeks to speak for a five-justice majority in exchange for a vote. But once the author has gotten to five, the value of another potential vote plummets. It is that dynamic that must worry the court’s liberals.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson was sworn in on Thursday.U.S. Supreme Court Via Reuters

On Thursday, Justice Breyer officially retired and helped swear in his replacement, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. How do the justices typically welcome a new member?

When a new justice joins the Supreme Court, tradition requires the second-most junior justice to arrange a little party. In 2006, for instance, when Justice SamuelAlito came on board, that task fell to Justice Breyer, who knew his new colleague to be a Phillies fan. Before dessert was served, Justice Breyer introduced a special guest: the Phillie Phanatic, the team’s mascot.

This year, Justice Amy Coney Barrett is the second-most junior justice and will presumably be in charge of the welcoming celebration for Justice Jackson.

And now that the court is on a break until October, what do the justices usually do?

They often teach courses in exotic places. In 2012, for instance, after voting to uphold the Affordable Care Act, Chief Justice Roberts left for Malta to teach a two-week class on the history of the Supreme Court. “Malta, as you know, is an impregnable island fortress,” he said. “It seemed like a good idea.”

More about Adam Liptak: He started his Times career as a copy boy in 1984, fetching coffee for editors and occasionally writing. After law school and a stint at a Wall Street law firm, he returned to the paper in 1992, joining its corporate legal department before moving to the newsroom as a reporter a decade later. He reads a lot and plays a lot of poker.

More on the court

 

NEWS

The Latest
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Gravediggers at the Lychakiv military cemetery in Lviv, Ukraine.Emile Ducke for The New York Times
  • Russia claimed to have seized Lysychansk, a prize city in Ukraine’s east, and blamed Ukraine for explosions that rocked a Russian border town. Here’s the latest.
  • Ukrainian men volunteered to protect their homes. Now, many of these untrained soldiers are dying on the other side of the country.
  • For months, Russia has pummeled Ukrainian civilians — and offered excuses to dodge responsibility.
  • The investigation into Russian war crimes, by Ukrainian and international agencies, may be the largest in history.
  • The rising price of fuel is hitting poorer countries especially hard, with many residents struggling to keep the lights on or cook food.
 
Other Big Stories
 

FROM OPINION

 
 

The Sunday question: Is Roe’s fall transforming the midterms?

Commentary’s Noah Rothman has doubts, arguing that crime and inflation remain voters’ top concerns. CNN’s Harry Enten thinks the ruling could lift Democrats in state-level races, whose winners will shape whether abortion is legal.

 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Hundreds of types of mangoes grow from a single tree.Saumya Khandelwal for The New York Times

Mango man: After 82 years, his days are spent taking care of the tree he loves.

Other worlds: The powerful new James Webb Space Telescope will search for signs of life in the universe.

Frozen: A baby woolly mammoth, preserved in the ground for more than 30,000 years.

Culture wars: Solveig Gold is proud to be the wife of a “canceled” Princeton professor.

Sunday routine: Anthony Almojera, a paramedic, cooks a family meal at Station 40 in Sunset Park, Brooklyn.

Advice from Wirecutter: The best beach gear.

A Times classic: The un-divorced.

 

BOOKS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

Fiction in the city: Contemporary authors shared their favorite New York City novels.

By the Book: Alice Elliott Dark ruins books by reading them in the bathtub.

Our editors’ picks: The history of the bicycle, and nine other new books.

Times best sellers: Riley Sager’s “The House Across the Lake” settles in this week on our hardcover fiction best-seller list. See all our lists.

The Book Review podcast: Gabrielle Zevin discusses her new novel, “Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomorrow,” about two friends who design a video game.

 

THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Photo illustration by Justin Metz.

On the cover: Moderate Democrats are going extinct.

Rituals: How do you prepare for a school shooting?

Recommendation: The Instagram account @b_a_l_l_h_a_u_s will change how you see basketball.

Diagnosis: He could barely walk and had to give up golf. What was wrong?

Eat: In Hawaii, mac salad isn’t just a side dish; it’s a condiment unto itself.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD

What to Watch For
 
What to Cook This Week
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Beatriz Da Costa for The New York Times

If you’ve had your fill of burgers and hot dogs, Emily Weinstein recommends Pati Jinich’s Sonoran carne asada tacos.

 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

Here’s a clue from the Sunday crossword:

113 Across: Space heater

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed the week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Spelling Bee. Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — David

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

 

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.nytimes.co

July 3, 2022

 

Good afternoon. This morning’s newsletter had technical problems that made the Q. and A. hard to read, so we are sending it again.

 
 
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Climate activists gathered at the Supreme Court on Thursday.Anna Rose Layden for The New York Times

An unhappy place

A few weeks ago, I asked Adam Liptak — The Times’s Supreme Court correspondent — to preview the major cases that would make up the end of the court’s term. Adam was prophetic, correctly forecasting every big ruling. Today, he returns to the newsletter, answering my questions about the behind-the-scenes atmosphere at the court.

David: The last few months have been among the most unusual in the Court’s modern history — a major leak followed by an abortion decision that, as you’ve written, will change American life in major ways. Inside the court, do you think things also feel different?

Adam: The Supreme Court’s building has been closed to the public since the beginning of the pandemic. Then, not long after the leak in early May of a draft of the opinion that overruled Roe v. Wade, the courthouse was surrounded by an eight-foot fence. Always cloistered and remote, the court is now impenetrable.

The release of the decision in the abortion case highlighted another way in which the court has withdrawn from public scrutiny. For unexplained reasons, the justices have stopped announcing their decisions from the bench, abandoning a tradition that is both ceremonial and illuminating. In the old days, the author of the majority opinion would give a quick and conversational summary of the ruling that could be extremely valuable for a reporter on deadline and, by extension, for members of the public trying to understand a decision.

More important yet were oral dissents, reserved for decisions that the justices in the minority believed were profoundly mistaken. In ordinary times, one or more of the three liberal justices who dissented in the abortion case would have raised their voices in protest. These days, the court makes do with posting PDFs of its decisions, robbing the occasion of ceremony, drama and insight.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
The nine justices in 2021.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

So the lawyers who argued the cases and the reporters covering the court find out about decisions the same way everybody else does — by refreshing their browsers. But the justices have returned to the courtroom for arguments, haven’t they?

Yes, they have taken a different approach with arguments. After hearing them by telephone for much of the pandemic, the justices returned to the bench in October. Reporters with Supreme Court press credentials were allowed to attend and the public could listen to live-streamed audio on the court’s website. It is not clear why opinions could not be announced in similar fashion.

I haven’t been to the courthouse since the last argument of the current term, on April 27, when Chief Justice John Roberts grew emotional in saying farewell to a retiring colleague, Justice Stephen Breyer. But there is every reason to think that the leak, the investigation it prompted, the controversy over Justice Clarence Thomas’s failure to recuse himself from a case that intersected with his wife’s efforts to overturn the election and the justices’ very real security concerns have made the court an unhappy place.

In remarks in May, not long after the leak, Justice Thomas reflected on how things had changed at the court since an 11-year stretch without changes in its membership before the arrival of Chief Justice Roberts in 2005. “This is not the court of that era,” Justice Thomas said, adding: “We actually trusted each other. We may have been a dysfunctional family, but we were a family.”

A less collegial court seems like it could be especially problematic for the three liberal justices. There are now five Republican-appointed justices who are even more conservative than Roberts. If the court is a less collaborative place, I would imagine it gives the justices in the minority — both the liberals and, in some cases, Roberts — less ability to shape decisions.

Yes, though it’s possible to overstate the power of collegiality. Justices cast votes based on the strength of the relevant arguments and the desired outcomes, not on how likable their colleagues are.

The justices say there is no vote-trading across cases, and I believe them. On the other hand, there are certainly negotiations within cases. It seems tolerably clear, for instance, that Justices Breyer and Elena Kagan shifted positions in one part of the 2012 case that upheld a key portion of the Affordable Care Act to make certain they would secure Chief Justice Roberts’s vote on another part.

Justices may well be prepared to narrow or reshape a draft opinion that seeks to speak for a five-justice majority in exchange for a vote. But once the author has gotten to five, the value of another potential vote plummets. It is that dynamic that must worry the court’s liberals.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson was sworn in on Thursday.U.S. Supreme Court Via Reuters

On Thursday, Justice Breyer officially retired and helped swear in his replacement, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. How do the justices typically welcome a new member?

When a new justice joins the Supreme Court, tradition requires the second-most junior justice to arrange a little party. In 2006, for instance, when Justice SamuelAlito came on board, that task fell to Justice Breyer, who knew his new colleague to be a Phillies fan. Before dessert was served, Justice Breyer introduced a special guest: the Phillie Phanatic, the team’s mascot.

This year, Justice Amy Coney Barrett is the second-most junior justice and will presumably be in charge of the welcoming celebration for Justice Jackson.

And now that the court is on a break until October, what do the justices usually do?

They often teach courses in exotic places. In 2012, for instance, after voting to uphold the Affordable Care Act, Chief Justice Roberts left for Malta to teach a two-week class on the history of the Supreme Court. “Malta, as you know, is an impregnable island fortress,” he said. “It seemed like a good idea.”

More about Adam Liptak: He started his Times career as a copy boy in 1984, fetching coffee for editors and occasionally writing. After law school and a stint at a Wall Street law firm, he returned to the paper in 1992, joining its corporate legal department before moving to the newsroom as a reporter a decade later. He reads a lot and plays a lot of poker.

More on the court

 

NEWS

The Latest
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Gravediggers at the Lychakiv military cemetery in Lviv, Ukraine.Emile Ducke for The New York Times
  • Russia claimed to have seized Lysychansk, a prize city in Ukraine’s east, and blamed Ukraine for explosions that rocked a Russian border town. Here’s the latest.
  • Ukrainian men volunteered to protect their homes. Now, many of these untrained soldiers are dying on the other side of the country.
  • For months, Russia has pummeled Ukrainian civilians — and offered excuses to dodge responsibility.
  • The investigation into Russian war crimes, by Ukrainian and international agencies, may be the largest in history.
  • The rising price of fuel is hitting poorer countries especially hard, with many residents struggling to keep the lights on or cook food.
 
Other Big Stories
 

FROM OPINION

 
 

The Sunday question: Is Roe’s fall transforming the midterms?

Commentary’s Noah Rothman has doubts, arguing that crime and inflation remain voters’ top concerns. CNN’s Harry Enten thinks the ruling could lift Democrats in state-level races, whose winners will shape whether abortion is legal.

 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Hundreds of types of mangoes grow from a single tree.Saumya Khandelwal for The New York Times

Mango man: After 82 years, his days are spent taking care of the tree he loves.

Other worlds: The powerful new James Webb Space Telescope will search for signs of life in the universe.

Frozen: A baby woolly mammoth, preserved in the ground for more than 30,000 years.

Culture wars: Solveig Gold is proud to be the wife of a “canceled” Princeton professor.

Sunday routine: Anthony Almojera, a paramedic, cooks a family meal at Station 40 in Sunset Park, Brooklyn.

Advice from Wirecutter: The best beach gear.

A Times classic: The un-divorced.

 

BOOKS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

Fiction in the city: Contemporary authors shared their favorite New York City novels.

By the Book: Alice Elliott Dark ruins books by reading them in the bathtub.

Our editors’ picks: The history of the bicycle, and nine other new books.

Times best sellers: Riley Sager’s “The House Across the Lake” settles in this week on our hardcover fiction best-seller list. See all our lists.

The Book Review podcast: Gabrielle Zevin discusses her new novel, “Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomorrow,” about two friends who design a video game.

 

THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Photo illustration by Justin Metz.

On the cover: Moderate Democrats are going extinct.

Rituals: How do you prepare for a school shooting?

Recommendation: The Instagram account @b_a_l_l_h_a_u_s will change how you see basketball.

Diagnosis: He could barely walk and had to give up golf. What was wrong?

Eat: In Hawaii, mac salad isn’t just a side dish; it’s a condiment unto itself.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD

What to Watch For
 
What to Cook This Week
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Beatriz Da Costa for The New York Times

If you’ve had your fill of burgers and hot dogs, Emily Weinstein recommends Pati Jinich’s Sonoran carne asada tacos.

 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

Here’s a clue from the Sunday crossword:

113 Across: Space heater

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed the week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Spelling Bee. Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — David

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 4, 2022

 

Good morning. A chosen family can offer love and support that aren’t defined by biological kinship.

 
 
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Allie Sullberg

All in the family

Today, as we observe the Fourth of July holiday in the U.S., I’m thinking about the permutations of family, the people we invite to the cookout, the ones we’ll be watching the fireworks with. Perhaps you’ll be with your parents and siblings, your kids, your kids’ kids. Perhaps you’ll gather with close friends, with neighbors, reunite with your pandemic pod.

Last week marked the conclusion of Pride Month in the United States. Pride is broadly a celebration of L.G.B.T.Q. rights, but for many members of queer communities, it’s also a celebration of their chosen family.

Chosen families are created outside the structures of (and often in place of) the traditional nuclear family. In the case of the Bickersons, a group of about 10 to 20 queer women, most of whom live near Asheville, N.C., this means raucous Thanksgivings, fishing trips and three-day birthday celebrations. It’s also meant working on one another’s homes, helping each other get sober and providing love and support when one of the group is ill.

“We didn’t have to censor,” one member of the Bickersons, Lenny Lasater, told The Times. “We were real, we were honest, and we could expect to be met with compassion and understanding.”

When a family of origin is absent or unsupportive, a chosen family is essential. And even if your biological family is intact, cultivating close, supportive relationships with neighbors, friends and colleagues can provide welcome kinship, as many of us found during the pandemic. The pandemic pod was a temporary chosen family, born of necessity. People who might otherwise never have fetched groceries for one another or shared strategies for locating toilet paper, let alone discussed issues of life and death, were suddenly one another’s confidantes.

Once you’ve known the rewards of that sort of unexpected intimacy, it seems silly that any chosen family should be temporary. While people, at varying speeds and comfort levels, move on from the most pod-intensive stages of the pandemic, is there any reason the love, the interdependence, the podsgivings shouldn’t continue?

The beauty of the chosen family is that you opt into it. There’s freedom in that, an opportunity to cocreate a community that suits your values. Take the Old Gays, a group of “grandfluencers” who live in a house together in the California desert and create videos for their 7.6 million TikTok followers. “As you get into old age, moving into a nursing home is what’s expected, and many older people buy into that plan,” said Robert Reeves, a member of the group. “What we’re doing, through the strength of our friendships and our mutual support, is changing the course of the way one lives their life.”

Do you have a chosen family? Tell me about it. In the meantime, enjoy the holiday.

For more

 

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine
 
Fourth of July
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Last year’s hot dog competition in Coney Island.Brittainy Newman/Associated Press
 
Other Big Stories
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A shopping mall in Copenhagen after a shooting there yesterday.Olafur Steinar Rye Gestsson/Ritzau Scanpix Foto, via Associated Press
 
Opinions

Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discuss the E.P.A. and Donald Trump.

Alexander and Yevgeny Vindman, who fled Ukraine in 1979, argue for letting more refugees into America in a video by Ken Burns.

 
 

Support the reporting behind The Morning.

A subscription to The Times helps bring the facts to light. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

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A drone at Jones Beach.Johnny Milano for The New York Times

Jaws: With drones and trackers, New York beaches are stepping up their shark patrols.

New York: A reporter traveled to all five boroughs and asked: What’s the vibe?

Quiz time: The average score on our latest news quiz was 9.2. See if you can do better.

A Times classic: The 10 most influential films of the 2010s.

Advice from Wirecutter: What to bring when you go berry picking.

Lives Lived: Vladimir Zelenko received national attention in 2020 when the White House embraced his hydroxychloroquine regimen. He died at 48.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A programming note: This new sports section is written by the staff of The Athletic.

Kevin Durant’s next home: The Brooklyn Nets superstar has asked for a trade. The Athletic’s John Hollinger explored possible trade paths to Los Angeles with the Lakers or Clippers, as well as fits in Phoenix and Toronto. Nothing looks easy, on paper. What about a return to Golden State? There are some clear obstacles, we learned yesterday. The clock ticks.

“The safest thing would be to not go back.” The N.H.L. had 57 Russian players who participated in league play during the 2021-22 season. Now a significant question hangs over the offseason: If those players return to Russia to see their families, will they make it back?

The Athletic’s sports journalism is supported by subscribers. To enjoy unlimited access, please subscribe to New York Times All Access or Home Delivery.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

A street-food classic’s moment

There’s no such thing as too much fried chicken. The variation currently taking the U.S. by storm: Taiwanese fried chicken, marinated in soy sauce, rice wine and five-spice powder.

Chefs are reimagining the street-food staple. They’re tucking Taiwanese fried chicken into sandwiches and steamed buns, serving it atop sliced white bread with pickles and drenching it with sauces in acknowledgment of regional American specialties, Cathy Erway writes in The Times.

“It symbolizes Taiwanese cuisine, obviously, but for me, it brings back memories,” said the chef David Kuo, who is based in Los Angeles. “Eating something with bones in front of the TV was the ultimate fun.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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David Malosh for The New York Times

Here’s how to make Taiwanese fried chicken, which is typically served in paper bags, without sauce, for easy snacking.

 
What to Watch

Try any of the year’s best movies so far.

 
What to Read

“The Mermaid of Black Conch” by Monique Roffey is equal parts fairy tale, ghost story and history.

 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was buoyant. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Annoying (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — Melissa

P.S. Nestor Ramos, a Pulitzer finalist and former Boston Globe columnist, is The Times’s next Metro editor.

There’s no new episode of “The Daily” today.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 5, 2022

 

Good morning. The midterm campaigns for the House and the Senate are shaping up quite differently.

 
 
 

A bluer picture

The midterm polls continue to look dark for Democrats, as we explained in a newsletter last week. Inflation and Covid disruptions, as well as the normal challenges that a presidents’s party faces in midterms, are weighing on the party. As a result, the Republicans are heavily favored to retake control of the House.

But the situation in the Senate looks different, my colleague Blake Hounshell points out.

There are 10 potentially competitive Senate races this year, according to the Cook Political Report, and Democrats need to win at least five of them to keep Senate control. Democrats are favored in two of those 10 races (New Hampshire and Colorado) and Cook rates another five (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) as tossups.

If Democrats keep the Senate without the House, they still would not be able to pass legislation without Republican support. But Senate control nonetheless matters. It would allow President Biden to appoint judges, Cabinet secretaries and other top officials without any Republican support, because only the Senate needs to confirm nominees.

I’m turning over the rest of today’s lead item to Blake, who will preview the campaign for Senate control.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Senate Democrats are starting to see the opportunity to retain the Senate after the midterms.Tom Brenner for The New York Times
Author Headshot

By Blake Hounshell

Editor, On Politics

When asked to share their candid thoughts about the Democrats’ chances of hanging onto their House majority in the coming election, party strategists often use words that cannot be printed in a family newsletter.

But a brighter picture is coming together for Democrats on the Senate side. There, Republicans are assembling what one top strategist laughingly described as an “island of misfit toys” — a motley collection of candidates the Democratic Party hopes to portray as out of the mainstream on policy, personally compromised and too cozy with Donald Trump.

These vulnerabilities have led to a rough few weeks for Republican Senate candidates in several of the most competitive races:

  • Arizona: Blake Masters, a venture capitalist who secured Trump’s endorsement and is leading the polls in the Republican primary, has been criticized for saying that “Black people, frankly” are responsible for most of the gun violence in the U.S. Other Republicans have attacked him for past comments supporting “unrestricted immigration.”
  • Georgia: Herschel Walker, the G.O.P. nominee facing Senator Raphael Warnock, acknowledged being the parent of three previously undisclosed children. Walker regularly inveighs against absentee fathers.
  • Pennsylvania: Dr. Mehmet Oz, who lived in New Jersey before announcing his Senate run, risks looking inauthentic. Oz recently misspelled the name of his new hometown on an official document.
  • Nevada: Adam Laxalt, a former state attorney general, said at a pancake breakfast last month that “Roe v. Wade was always a joke.” That’s an unpopular stance in socially liberal Nevada, where 63 percent of adults say abortion should be mostly legal.
  • Wisconsin: Senator Ron Johnson made a cameo in the Jan. 6 hearings when it emerged that, on the day of the attack, he wanted to hand-deliver a fraudulent list of electors to former Vice President Mike Pence.

Republicans counter with some politically potent arguments of their own, blaming Democrats for rising prices and saying that they have veered too far left for mainstream voters.

In Pennsylvania, for instance, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, the Democratic Senate nominee, supports universal health care, federal marijuana legalization and criminal justice reform. Republicans have been combing through his record and his past comments to depict him as similar to Bernie Sanders, the self-described Democratic socialist.

Candidate vs. candidate

One factor working in the Democrats’ favor is the fact that only a third of the Senate is up for re-election, and many races are in states that favor Democrats.

Another is the fact that Senate races can be more distinct than House races, influenced less by national trends and more by candidates’ personalities. The ad budgets in Senate races can reach into the hundreds of millions of dollars, giving candidates a chance to define themselves and their opponents.

Democrats are leaning heavily on personality-driven campaigns, promoting Senator Mark Kelly in Arizona as a moderate, friendly former astronaut and Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada as a fighter for abortion rights, retail workers and families.

“Senate campaigns are candidate-versus-candidate battles,” said David Bergstein, a spokesman for the Democrats’ Senate campaign arm. “And while Democratic incumbents and candidates have developed their own brands, Republicans have put forward deeply, deeply flawed candidates.” Bergstein isn’t objective, but that analysis has some truth to it.

There are about four months until Election Day, an eternity in modern American politics. As we’ve seen from the Supreme Court’s abortion ruling and from the explosive allegations that emerged in the latest testimony against Trump, the political environment can shift quickly.

If the election were held today, polls suggests that Democrats would be narrowly favored to retain Senate control. Republican elites are also terrified that voters might nominate Eric Greitens, the scandal-ridden former governor, for Missouri’s open Senate seat, jeopardizing a seat that would otherwise be safe.

But the election, of course, is not being held today, and polls are fallible, as we saw in 2020. So there’s still a great deal of uncertainty about the outcome. Biden’s approval rating remains low, and inflation is the top issue on voters’ minds — not the foibles of individual candidates.

For now, Democrats are pretty pleased with themselves for making lemonade out of a decidedly sour political environment.

More politics

This has been an excerpt from On Politics, an in-depth, five-day-a-week newsletter that’s available exclusively to Times subscribers. Try it out for four weeks.

 
Illinois Shooting
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After a mass shooting in Highland Park, Ill., yesterday.Mary Mathis for The New York Times
 
Abortion
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Christian nationalists gutted abortion rights. American democracy is next, says Katherine Stewart.

Americans live in fear of gun violence, and fear is a breeding ground for autocracy, Patti Davis, Ronald Reagan’s daughter, writes.

 

MORNING READS

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Renovating the tower housing Big Ben took five years.Mary Turner for The New York Times

Bong bong bong: Big Ben will soon sound again.

The Tour Divide: A 2,700-mile cycling race is now even more extreme.

Tennis: When will the Williams sisters and Roger Federer quit? Maybe never.

A Times classic: The perils of a dirty sponge.

Advice from Wirecutter: Try these cheap sunglasses.

Lives Lived: Clifford L. Alexander Jr., who in the 1960s and ’70s helped bring the civil rights movement into the federal government, became the first Black secretary of the Army under Jimmy Carter. Alexander died at 88.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A programming note: This new sports section is written by the staff of The Athletic.

New York baseball dominance: For many teams, July 5 will mean 81 games played, the official halfway point of the M.L.B. regular season. None can top the New York Yankees, a team on pace to surpass some of their greatest seasons ever. Here is how all 30 M.L.B. teams stack up at the midway point. The Yankees have local company.

Ronaldo’s next home? That question dominated weekend conversations as the soccer superstar signaled an exit from Manchester United. Could Chelsea be Ronaldo’s next team?

Christian Eriksen’s new home: Meanwhile, Manchester United added a player known more for a Euro 2020 scare than his considerable talents.

For access to all Athletic articles, subscribe to New York Times All Access or Home Delivery.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

Beer and body slams

Craft beer and wrestling are starting to become a tag team, as crowds around the U.S. sip hazy ales and cheer on the action inside the ring.

“Spandex-clad wrestlers with stage names like Manbun Jesus, Rex Lawless and Casanova Valentine performed body slams and leaped off ropes, egging on spectators and occasionally inflicting performative injury with arm twists and traffic barrels,” Joshua M. Bernstein writes in The Times about a recent event in Brooklyn.

“It’s like going to the movies, but it’s a real-life performance and you get to drink,” one wrestler said. “What’s better than that?”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Christopher Simpson for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Simon Andrews.

Soba, Japanese buckwheat noodles, taste great when served cold.

 
World Through a Lens
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A sand storm approaching the Step Pyramid of Djoser.Tanveer Badal
 
What to Read

In Katherine J. Chen’s new novel, Joan of Arc wows crowds with feats of strength and breaks bones with her bare hands.

 
Gaming

Nina Freeman infuses her work with a poetic sensibility. Her next game, “Nonno’s Legend,” comes out next month.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was although. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Take it easy (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow.

P.S. The bikini debuted 76 years ago today. Twenty years later, The Times urged women to take the plunge.

The Daily” is about a new gun law. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” Larry Kramer discusses the Supreme Court.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 6, 2022

 

Good morning. We look at three scenarios for the war in Ukraine.

 
 
 
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A resident of Sloviansk, Ukraine, amid a destroyed bazaar.Mauricio Lima for The New York Times

Victory, stalemate, defeat

Avril Haines, the U.S. director of national intelligence, recently outlined three plausible scenarios in Ukraine.

In the first, Russia’s continuing progress in eastern Ukraine would break Ukrainians’ will to fight and allow the Russian military to take over even more of the country. This outcome is Vladimir Putin’s new goal after being defeated in his initial attempt to oust Ukraine’s government.

In the second scenario — the most likely one, Haines said (during a public appearance in Washington last week) — Russia would dominate the east but would not be able to go much farther. The two countries would fall into a stalemate that Haines described as “a grinding struggle.”

In the third scenario, Ukraine would halt Russia’s advance in the east and also succeed in launching counterattacks. Ukraine has already regained some territory, especially in the southern part of the country, and some military experts expect a broader offensive soon.

Today’s newsletter provides an update on the war by examining a few questions that will help determine which of these three scenarios becomes most likely.

Temporary or permanent

Has the tide definitively turned or are Ukrainian forces about to have more success?

The most recent phase of the war has gone well for Russia. The eastern part of Ukraine, known as the Donbas region, has two provinces — Luhansk and Donetsk. Russia now controls virtually all of Luhansk and about 60 percent of Donetsk, according to Thomas Bullock, an analyst for Janes, a company specializing in intelligence issues.

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Russian advance as of July 3. | Source: Institute for the Study of War | By Josh Holder

Yesterday, Russian forces increased their shelling near Bakhmut, a city in Donetsk that’s an important Ukrainian supply hub. Russia used a similar tactic in Luhansk to clear Ukrainian forces and civilians before taking over cities.

“The Kremlin is sending the message that their overall plans haven’t changed and that everything is going according to plan,” Anton Troianovski, The Times’s Moscow bureau chief, said. In a sign of confidence in the Kremlin, Russian media have recently been reporting plans for holding referendums in the captured territories and formally annexing them, Anton added.

But Ukraine does continue to benefit from an influx of sophisticated weapons from the West. And there is some reason to wonder whether Ukrainian troops will soon be able to make better use of those weapons than they have so far.

In the initial phase of the war, the U.S., E.U. and other Ukrainian allies were sending relatively simple weapons, like the shoulder-fired missile systems known as Javelins. Those weapons helped Ukraine defend territory from small groups of Russian forces. More recently, the West has sent more powerful artillery — like the HIMARS, a truck-based rocket system — meant to help Ukraine withstand the massive buildup of Russian troops in the east.

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American HIMARS weaponry during a military exercise in Morocco last month.Fadel Senna/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Training somebody to use a Javelin can take just a few hours, my colleague Julian Barnes points out. Training troops to use a HIMARS can take days or weeks — as does transporting them to the battlefield. In coming weeks, Julian said he would be watching to see whether Ukraine would be able to use its growing supply of HIMARS to inflict more damage on Russian troops.

(Here’s more on the early effect of the HIMARS from Eric Schmitt and John Ismay of The Times.)

No Russian draft

Is Russia running out of troops?

Two recent developments have offered reason to wonder. First, Russia has had to turn to outside troops — like those from the Wagner Group, a private company — to replenish their units, as my colleague Thomas Gibbons-Neff explained in his recent analysis of the war. Second, Putin ordered some of the troops involved in recent victories in the Donbas region to rest, suggesting that those units were exhausted.

“American officials and outside analysts both agree if Russia wants to move beyond the Donbas, they will need to take a step they have been unwilling to do: a mass mobilization,” Julian said. “Russia will need to conduct a military draft, recall soldiers who previously served and take politically painful steps to rebuild their force. So far, Putin has been unwilling to do so.”

Russia has many more resources than Ukraine, including soldiers and weapons. But Russia’s resources do have limits, especially if Putin is unwilling to spend political capital on a mass mobilization.

These limits raise the prospect that Ukraine can hold Russia’s gains to the east and slowly exhaust Russian troops with counterattacks and internal resistance — as well as Western economic sanctions. That situation, in turn, could lead Putin to accept an eventual cease-fire that leaves most of Ukraine intact.

“That will not be a perfect victory,” Julian said, “but it might be realistic.”

Shell shock

But is Ukraine running out of troops even faster?

Both sides appear to be suffering a similarly high rate of casualties — hundreds per day. As a result, Ukraine has had to rely increasingly on troops with little training.

The surviving troops are also at risk of psychological damage. The method of fighting in the east — an unceasing exchange of artillery — resembles the trench warfare of World War I, which gave rise to the term “shell shock,” my colleague Thomas notes.

“During the artillery shelling, all you can do is lay in the shelter and wait for the shelling to end,” one Ukrainian commander told The Times. “Some people get mentally damaged because of such shelling. They are found to be psychologically not ready for whatever they encounter.”

As uncertain as the future may be in Ukraine, the present is clearly dire, as Haines acknowledged when outlining the three scenarios last week. “In short,” she said, “the picture remains pretty grim.”

Related commentary: “The best way to prevent the next war is to defeat him in this one,” The Economist magazine writes, referring to Putin.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Gun violence
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After the parade shooting in Highland Park, Ill.Sebastián Hidalgo for The New York Times
 
Abortion
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

A centrist third party in New Jersey aims to depolarize politics without becoming a spoiler, Representative Tom Malinowski writes.

The Supreme Court doubts privacy rights. But the freedom to define oneself has deep roots in the American tradition, says Melissa Murray.

 

MORNING READS

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Maybelle Blair was an inspiration for “A League of Their Own.”Taylor Glascock for The New York Times

Pioneer: A pathbreaking women’s baseball player is 95 and still swinging.

Reading: Book-banning campaigns have dragged librarians into a culture war.

Claddagh ring: This piece of jewelry has come to symbolize Ireland.

A Times classic: Who’s hacking your Spotify?

Advice from Wirecutter: Mattresses to reduce back pain.

Lives Lived: Kurt Markus’s black-and-white photographs captured the solitude and grandeur of the American West’s vanishing frontier. He died at 75.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A programming note: This new sports section is written by the staff of The Athletic.

The future of college football on TV: With U.S.C. and U.C.L.A. set to join the Big Ten conference, a question lingers: Is college football headed for a Premier League setup? It’s possible. Here is how college football (on TV) is set to change forever.

Recruiting in Senegal, via Instagram: College football programs are intrigued by a 6-foot-5, 300-pound athlete from Senegal. He’s never played football. And there’s this: Can he even make it to the U.S.?

The next big name in N.F.L. coaching searches: Meet 36-year-old Thomas Brown, Sean McVay’s next man up for the Los Angeles Rams.

For access to all Athletic articles, subscribe to New York Times All Access or Home Delivery.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Backstage at the Schiaparelli fashion show in Paris.Valerio Mezzanotti for The New York Times

Fashion’s shock factor

Clothing used to have the ability to jolt viewers with concepts that today feel quaint, like a flash of flesh or an absurd idea. At this summer’s Paris couture shows, fashion houses have attempted to prove that their industry still has the ability to shock.

One effort has stood out, writes Vanessa Friedman, The Times’s chief fashion critic: Iris van Herpen, whose use of 3-D printers and laser cutters make her clothes look like organic life-forms. “They rewrite the physics of dress and reimagine the body without erasing it, not in a cartoonish way but in an utterly convincing way,” Vanessa writes.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Chris Simpson for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Frances Boswell.

Each mouthful of this chocolate mousse is a marvel. (There’s nothing to fear about making it.)

 
What to Read

The novel “Human Blues,” by Elisa Albert, explores the lengths one woman will go to for a baby.

 
What to Watch

In “Loot,” an Apple TV+ comedy, Maya Rudolph plays a woman who takes a journey of self-discovery with an $87 billion budget.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was backing. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Act nosy (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. David Fahrenthold talked to Times Insider about investigating charities.

The Daily” is about Brittney Griner. On “The Argument,” how will Roe’s fall change politics?

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 7, 2022

 

Good morning. The people who claim widespread election fraud have made little effort to put together a logical argument.

 
 
 
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Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene with a “Stop the Steal” face mask last year.Anna Moneymaker for The New York Times

Internal inconsistencies

More than 100 Republican nominees for statewide office or Congress this year have falsely claimed that election fraud helped defeat Donald Trump in 2020. Almost 150 members of Congress — more than half of the Republicans serving there — went so far as to vote to overturn the 2020 election result.

These claims of election fraud have become the mainstream Republican position. In some places, winning a nomination virtually requires making such statements. In other places, the claims appear to carry little political cost, at least in the primaries. And very few elected Republicans have been willing to denounce the falsehoods.

Given the prominence of the issue, it’s jarring to see how little effort its proponents have put into making an argument on behalf of their claims. They have offered no good evidence, because there is not any. They have also failed to offer even a logically consistent argument. Consider:

If anything, the rare examples of cheating from 2020 tend to involve Trump supporters. Prosecutors charged three registered Republicans living at The Villages, a Florida retirement community, with voting more than once in the presidential election. One of them has since pleaded guilty: he both voted in Florida and cast an absentee ballot in Michigan.

Trump and his allies have never explained how other Republicans could have done so well if fraud were widespread. In the 2020 House elections, Republicans gained 14 seats. In the Senate, Democrats did win a 50-50 split, but the party lost races in Maine, Montana and North Carolina that it had hoped to win. In the 2021 elections, Republicans did well again, winning the governor’s race in Virginia. It’s hardly a picture consistent with Democratic election rigging.

During the 2022 primaries, most Republican candidates have accepted the results without claiming fraud. That’s been true even of candidates who lost their races, as my colleagues Reid Epstein and Nick Corasaniti have reported. Examples include Representative Madison Cawthorn in North Carolina; Representative Mo Brooks in the Senate primary in Alabama; and two Trump-backed candidates in Georgia. When Trump supporters lose to other Republicans, they generally accept defeat.

Loyalty, not logic

Of course, the claims of voter fraud are not going away. If Trump runs again, he will probably allege cheating in any election that he loses. At least some other Republicans now seem likely to do the same, perhaps in response to close or unexpected losses in 2022.

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A “Stop the Steal” protester in 2020.Anna Moneymaker for The New York Times

But the lack of any substantive argument to back up these claims suggests that even some of the people making them may not believe them. The claims have instead become a way for many Republicans to show loyalty to their party and to signal that they consider Democrats to be inherently illegitimate holders of power.

Sometimes, these signals are tinged with racism, as Brandon Tensley of CNN has noted: The fraud claims often involve cities with heavily Black or Latino populations, like Detroit, Philadelphia and Milwaukee. Rudy Giuliani, for example, alleged — without any evidence — that residents of Camden, N.J. (roughly 90 percent of whom are Black or Latino) illegally vote in Philadelphia (which, unlike Camden, is in a swing state). In Alabama, Brooks has said fraud occurs largely in Birmingham and other heavily Democratic cities.

The spread of such lies has left many historians and political scientists anxious about the future of American democracy. There is no shortage of subjects on which Democrats and Republicans can reasonably — even passionately or angrily — disagree: How much should the country restrict abortion? What about gun use? Or immigration? How high should taxes or government benefits be?

All those issues are valid matters of debate in a democracy. When one side loses a struggle, it can look for ways to regroup and win the next one.

But a concerted campaign to delegitimize political opponents — through falsehoods and without much of an attempt at logical argument — is something quite different. It’s an attempt not to win a democratic contest but to avoid one.

For more

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Britain
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Boris Johnson, Britain’s prime minister, at Downing Street yesterday.John Sibley/Reuters
  • Boris Johnson is stepping down. He’s planning to serve as prime minister until the fall.
  • His resignation comes after days of political drama and calls for him to quit from within his Conservative Party. More than 50 government ministers or aides had left.
  • It’s unclear who will succeed Johnson. The Conservative Party will start a leadership contest that will determine who will be the next prime minister.
 
War in Ukraine
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The main train station in Lviv in April.Finbarr O'Reilly for The New York Times
  • About six million Ukrainians are displaced within the country and nearly five million others have fled to other Europe countries.
  • President Biden told the wife of Brittney Griner, the basketball star detained in Russia, that the U.S. would pursue “every avenue” to bring the player home.
 
Politics
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

What’s an ectopic pregnancy? What does Plan B do? Take Times Opinion’s Post-Roe sex ed quiz.

Medical debt burdens Americans mostly because they’re underinsured rather than uninsured, Aaron Carroll argues.

 

MORNING READS

Art: She paid $90,000 for a Marc Chagall painting. Now a French panel wants to destroy it.

Wimbledon: Singles matches get attention, but doubles are “a joy to play.”

Roommates: A gecko and a possum family, living together in harmony.

A Times classic: The science of veganism.

Advice from Wirecutter: Packing cubes for smarter traveling.

Lives Lived: Willie Lee Morrow was a barber in San Diego when a friend brought him a gift from Nigeria: a wooden comb meant to tease out curly hair. Morrow created what came to be known as the Afro pick. Morrow died at 82.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

Two teams can shake up college football: Rivals Oregon and Washington can dramatically shift the future for two major conferences. Meanwhile, all eyes remain on what Notre Dame is about to do. Tension is building as the college football landscape shifts.

Are N.H.L. players being held in Russia? A Russian star appears in jeopardy of not being able to return to the United States. This scenario has been a concern for league executives this off-season.

An N.B.A. player faces NFT scrutiny: A veteran player co-founded an NFT community, but now many investors feel they have been swindled.

For access to all Athletic articles, subscribe to New York Times All Access or Home Delivery.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Trevor Rainbolt identifies countries in seconds.Jack Bool for The New York Times

Gen Z geography

The premise of the online game GeoGuessr is simple: You’re dropped somewhere in the world, seen through Google’s Street View, and must guess where you are. Often that means clicking to move through the landscape and scanning for clues.

Trevor Rainbolt, 23, has found online fame posting videos in which he locates himself in seconds, The Times’s Kellen Browning writes. His geography skills verge on wizardry — he can identify a country by the color of its soil — and his highlights regularly get millions of views on TikTok.

“Candidly, I haven’t had any social life for the past year,” Rainbolt said. “But it’s worth it, because it’s so fun and I enjoy learning.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Christopher Testani for The New York Times

Roast peaches with boneless chicken thighs in the oven, and let them meld with those flavorful drippings.

 
What to Watch

In the movie “Hello, Goodbye and Everything in Between,” an adaptation of a young adult novel, two high school seniors agree to break up in a year.

 
What to Read

These books will guide you through Berlin.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was chutzpah. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Our world (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. The word “whackadoodle” appeared in The Times for the first time, in an article about the Georgia Guidestones.

The Daily” is about an anti-abortion campaigner. On “First Person,” a gay Ukrainian soldier. On the Modern Love podcast, a nanny’s secret world.

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 8, 2022

 

Today’s newsletter continues our occasional series on the causes of America’s unique problem with gun violence and the potential solutions. — David Leonhardt

Good morning. We look at where most of America’s gun violence happens.

 
 
 

Everyday violence

Since a gunman killed seven people at a Chicago suburb’s July 4 parade, more than 160 people have died from other gun homicides across the country. In Chicago alone, at least 10 people were killed in multiple shootings during the holiday weekend.

These everyday killings received far less attention than the mass murder at the parade. But they are the standard for American gun violence: More than 95 percent of gun homicides this year have been shootings with one to three victims.

Today, we want to help you understand where and why most everyday gun violence happens. We’re going to focus on Chicago, because it has one of the country’s highest murder rates and because a local group — the University of Chicago Crime Lab — keeps detailed data. But the trends in Chicago are also present in many other places.

One crucial point is that violence tends to be highly concentrated: A small sliver of blocks — just 4 percent in Chicago, for example — can account for a majority of shootings in a city or a county.

Many of the people in these blocks live in terror. The sound of gunshots is common, sometimes coming multiple times a day. Parents worry that their kids could be next, and young people fear for their own lives. As Jomarria Vaughn, a 24-year-old Chicagoan, told this newsletter: “I’m scared. I have my guard up all day.”

This map of shootings in Chicago shows the concentration. Shootings are rare in much of the city, particularly on the wealthier North Side, but not on the poorer West and South Sides.

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Source: University of Chicago Crime Lab

This concentration is not exclusive to Chicago. Across the U.S., neighborhoods that contained just 1.5 percent of the population accounted for 26 percent of gun homicides, a 2017 analysis by The Guardian found.

Here is a look at four other cities, with data provided by the Princeton University researchers Alisabeth Marsteller and Patrick Sharkey:

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Sources: Alisabeth Marsteller and Patrick Sharkey, Princeton University; Gun Violence Archive

Poverty and violence

There are several factors behind the concentration of violence. A major one is poverty.

In Chicago, violence and poverty closely overlap, as these maps demonstrate:

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Poverty data from 2015 to 2019; grey regions are missing data. | Sources: University of Chicago Crime Lab; Chicago Health Atlas

Experts have long debated why violence and poverty are linked. Is it something specific to poverty, such as insufficient housing or jobs? Is it the environment that poverty fosters, in which people are stressed and desperate — and more likely to act out?

One theory, cited by Sharkey, blames the breakdown of “collective efficacy.” That might sound academic, but the concept is straightforward: When society’s institutions have unraveled, people feel that they are on their own. They are then less likely to watch over one another or come together to address common interests.

By reducing social trust, concentrated poverty hurts communities’ ability to enforce norms against violent behavior. And when people are left unchecked and feel they have nothing to lose, they are more likely to take extreme measures, such as violence, to solve their problems.

The past few years may help you understand this dynamic even if you’re not poor. Many Americans felt a hit to their own collective efficacy because of the Covid pandemic, George Floyd’s murder and its aftermath, and the polarized political atmosphere. Sure enough, murders and other violent crimes increased during this period.

A spiral downward

It is difficult to talk about gun violence without talking about race, because Black Americans are most likely to be the victims of shootings. Poverty explains part of the disparity, since Black people are more likely to be poor. But individual poverty is not the full explanation.

Black Americans are also less likely to live in communities with strong institutional support. Exclusionary housing policies and discrimination have pushed Black Americans into segregated neighborhoods. Both governments and the private sector then neglected these neighborhoods, leaving people without good schools, banks, grocery stores and institutions.

This kind of economic neglect, which experts refer to as disinvestment, fosters violence. These maps show the correlation in Chicago between shootings and a lack of banks:

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“Many” represents at least a third of the population. | Sources: University of Chicago Crime Lab; Bank Branch Locator

The relationship also goes the other way, Roseanna Ander, executive director of the Crime Lab, told us: Violence can perpetuate disinvestment. Business owners do not want their shops, restaurants and warehouses in violent neighborhoods. People do not want to live in places where gunshots are fired daily. And governments shift resources away from places that officials deem lost causes. It is a vicious cycle.

A greater understanding of this spiral in recent years has driven activists and policymakers to address not just violence itself but its root causes, too. The Chicago mayor’s office told us it had adopted a broader approach to combating violence, focused on boosting businesses, local clubs, mental health care and other social supports, on top of traditional policing work. As this newsletter has explained before, most experts support an all-of-the-above strategy to crime, involving both the police and alternative approaches.

But this work is difficult and, even if it succeeds, takes money and time — years or decades to rebuild long-neglected communities. Until then, the people in these neighborhoods will likely suffer the worst of American gun violence.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Assassination in Japan
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Shinzo Abe today in Nara, Japan, just before he was fatally shot.Toshiharu Otani/Agence France-Presse, via Jiji Press/Afp Via Getty Images
  • Shinzo Abe, 67, former prime minister of Japan, died after being shot while giving a speech.
  • The police said a 41-year-old man was in custody.
  • From the scene: Two loud sounds and a plume of smoke before Abe collapsed.
  • Abe, Japan’s longest-serving prime minister, resigned in 2020 because of ill health. Read his obituary.
 
Politics
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Unaccompanied children from Guatemala, in Roma, Texas.Kirsten Luce for The New York Times
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

To protect abortion rights, Democrats should embrace the politics of fear, Ana Marie Cox says.

Circumstances, not mental health issues, drive most mass shooters to violence, David Brooks argues.

 

MORNING READS

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The New Yorker writer Ken Auletta.Vincent Tullo for The New York Times

Biography: Ken Auletta has finally written the Harvey Weinstein story he wanted to tell.

Deals: How Wish built — and fumbled — a dollar store for the internet.

Modern Love: Losing a pregnancy, a marriage and pearls.

A Times classic: The power of touch.

Advice from Wirecutter: Repurpose used candle jars.

Lives Lived: James Caan’s Oscar-nominated performance as Sonny Corleone in “The Godfather” was so convincing that some people thought he was a real mobster. “I’ve been accused so many times,” Caan once said. He died at 82.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

What went wrong for Baker Mayfield? The former No. 1 pick was hailed as the quarterback to end decades of frustration in Cleveland. Now traded away four years later, what happened?

Picking the M.L.B. All-Star rosters: Ken Rosenthal’s full roster picks are here. He’s courting controversy with his starting pitchers.

N.H.L. draft shake-up: Shane Wright, once the presumptive No. 1 pick in the 2022 N.H.L. draft, fell to No. 4 last night. Here’s a breakdown of every first-round pick, and the biggest winners.

A World Cup locked in: The U.S. women’s national soccer team qualified for the 2023 World Cup last night, with new stars rising.

For access to all Athletic articles, subscribe to New York Times All Access or Home Delivery.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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The tenor George Shirley in rehearsal for “La Bohème.”Dan Winters for The New York Times

The future of opera

Yuval Sharon, 42, is a visionary opera director who has worked around the world and who won a MacArthur Foundation “genius” grant in 2017. His boldest venture to date may be his decision to become the artistic director of Detroit Opera, Mark Binelli writes in The Times Magazine: “Sharon has already radically elevated Detroit Opera’s status in the larger cultural ecosystem.”

In April, Sharon directed “La Bohème” for Detroit Opera, and he wasn’t interested in putting it on in a traditional way. His version unfolded in reverse order, opening with Act IV, in which Mimì dies, and ending with Act I, in which she and her lover, Rodolfo, first meet.

“Detroit has died and been reborn so many times that Sharon’s reworking of the classic felt like an oblique nod to the city,” Mark writes. It also helps show what modern opera can be. “The future of American opera unfolding in Detroit was not a plot twist I saw coming,” Mark writes.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Craig Lee for The New York Times

This lemon-garlic kale salad is snappy and fresh.

 
What to Read

In “Son of Elsewhere,” Elamin Abdelmahmoud writes about emigrating from Sudan to Canada when he was 12.

 
What to Watch

Stream these great movies starring James Caan.

 
Take the News Quiz
 
Now Time to Play
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The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was appliance, capellini, pelican and pinnacle. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: 100% (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow.

P.S. Katherine Miller is joining Times Opinion to write about threats to democracy.

The Daily” is about Boris Johnson. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” Michelle Goldberg discusses feminism.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Tom Wright-Piersanti contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 9, 2022

 

Good morning. You need not travel far to experience the delights of summer.

 
 
 
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Rosie Barker

Close to home

A friend texted me last weekend from a departure lounge in Kennedy Airport. “Um three hours and counting …” she wrote of her L.A.-bound flight’s delay.

She’d been expecting it, given the scheduling snarls and trip cancellations that have plagued travelers lately. But the reality was frustrating nonetheless: precious hours of a long-awaited vacation spent browsing trail mix selections in Hudson News, searching the terminal for a charging station.

I congratulated myself for not planning a big trip over the holiday, opting for the beach close to home. I used an app to find the cheapest gas I could, and packed lunch instead of buying it. It wasn’t a far-flung adventure, but it was easy and enjoyable nonetheless.

If you find yourself grounded by air travel complications or loath to venture too far from home because of the price of gasoline or unpredictable variants, you still have options. My colleagues on the Travel desk have recommendations for some pretty excellent trips within 100 miles of major cities.

In Bellingham, Wash., 90 miles from Seattle, one can spend a few days hiking, biking and feasting on oysters. Outside Atlanta, a weekend of wine tasting in the foothills of the Blue Ridge Mountains beckons. There are hidden spots in Chicagoland’s suburbs that are perfect for camping. In Ojai, “an electromagnetic vortex of good energy” 80 miles from Los Angeles, you’ll find otherworldly sunsets and the world’s largest outdoor bookstore.

In Brooklyn, where I live, $2.75 will get you a ticket on NYC Ferry, whose six daily routes service all five boroughs and, through Sept. 11, Governors Island (where you can glamp overnight, if you’d like).

Earlier in the pandemic, I wrote a newsletter for The Times about how to lead a full and cultured life at home, or close to it. I’d thought that, as pandemic restrictions eased, there’d be less need for such counsel, and dreamed that the world would fling open its gates and all of us, too-long cooped-up, would come cartwheeling through. Continuing complications hadn’t figured into the fantasy.

Something I realized, thinking and writing for a year and a half about what to do while you’re at home, is that these activities don’t have to be consolation prizes. There’s as much wonder and delight to be found nearby as there is at the other end of a long plane trip. You don’t have to look far to find it.

Last weekend, at the beach, I watched a bunch of children stand agape as four laughing gulls hovered a few feet above them for what felt like minutes. A group of friends downed tequila shots then cranked up Beyoncé’s “Break My Soul” and danced. The air was warm but it was breezy. There was hardly any traffic on the drive home.

For more

 

THE WEEK IN CULTURE

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James Caan in “The Godfather.”CBS via Getty Images
  • James Caan, known for his performance as Sonny Corleone in “The Godfather,” died this week. Here are nine of his best movies to stream.
  • The Times reviewed Marvel’s “Thor: Love and Thunder,” which hit U.S. theaters this week: “Thor is still a god, but also he’s now a great big goof.”
  • Why are young people donning formal wear to see the latest movie in the “Minions” franchise? Learn about the #GentleMinions trend.
  • Nicole Kidman and Kim Kardashian walked the runway at the Balenciaga show during Paris Couture Fashion Week.
  • A play exploring the relationship between Andy Warhol and Jean-Michel Basquiat will be on Broadway this fall.
  • Climate activists in the U.K. have been gluing themselves to the frames of famous paintings.
 

THE LATEST NEWS

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A memorial outside Yamato-Saidaiji Station in Nara, Japan.Philip Fong/Agence France-Presse, via Getty Images
 

CULTURE CALENDAR

By Gilbert Cruz

Culture Editor

? “Better Call Saul” (July 11): I didn’t put much stock in this show. How could a prequel (not even a sequel, a prequel!) to one of the most gripping and addictive shows of the modern era feel like anything but a cynical attempt to keep the “Breaking Bad” product on the streets. But as “Saul” begins its final six-episode run, it’s a pleasure to admit that the series has carved out its own unique space in the TV pantheon.

? “Love, Damini,” Burna Boy (Out now): New backyard barbecue music alert! On the sixth album from the Nigerian superstar and purveyor of Afrofusion, the “surfaces are glossy and reassuring,” our pop critic Jon Pareles writes, and “the inner workings are slyly playful.”

? “Where the Crawdads Sing” (July 15): Daisy Edgar-Jones, of Hulu’s “Normal People” (that’s the one about sexy, sad young Irish people) stars in another book adaptation. The 2018 novel “Crawdads” is, as we wrote, a “combination of murder mystery, lush nature writing, romance and a coming-of-age survival story.” That’s far from franchise fare, but it arrives with its own robust fanbase, having dominated the best-seller list for years.

 

RECIPE OF THE WEEK

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Jessica Emily Marx for The New York Times

Classic French Toast

Most of the year, maple syrup and loads of butter are the ideal toppings for French toast. But now, at the height of berry season, a handful of strawberries, blackberries or raspberries stirred into the syrup lend a dash of summery color and plenty of verve. Feel free to use any wilting, weeping berries at the back of the fridge; their sweet juices will be absorbed by syrup and butter and suffuse every bite. Julia Moskin’s wonderful classic French toast recipe calls for only briefly dipping slices of fresh bread like challah or brioche into the custard, so you don’t need to plan for hourslong soaking. When your oozing berries are calling, a speedy batch of French toast is the best reply.

A selection of New York Times recipes is available to all readers. Please consider a Cooking subscription for full access.

 

REAL ESTATE

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Top two, Tina Rupp; bottom two, Henderson Hunter III

What you get for $830,000: A Spanish-style house in Oakwood, Ohio; a 1764 Colonial in Lyme, Conn.; or a three-bedroom rowhouse in Washington, D.C.

The hunt: He was looking for studio big enough for a bed and a sofa for less than $500,000 on the East Side of Manhattan. Which one did he choose?

Faltering sales, rising rents: How to make sense of a baffling market.

 

LIVING

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Photo Illustration by Kelsey McClellan for The New York Times

‘Boob tape’: Will this adhesive undergarment make bras a thing of the past?

Sun protection: How to wear makeup and sunscreen together.

The needs of trees: Keep them in mind when you’re gardening or considering home improvements.

Work friend: What to do when remote work has you feeling left out.

 

GAME OF THE WEEKEND

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Ons Jabeur in her semifinal match on Thursday.Sebastien Bozon/Agence France-Presse, via Getty Images

Ons Jabeur vs. Elena Rybakina, Wimbledon final: Jabeur, a native of Tunisia, is the first Arab or African woman to reach a Grand Slam singles final in the modern era. Like Roger Federer, to whom she has long been compared, Jabeur excels at a range of shots: approaches, overhead smashes, deft drop volleys. Her opponent, Elena Rybakina, was born in Moscow but a few years ago switched her home country to Kazakhstan — which has allowed her to get around Wimbledon’s ban on Russian athletes, imposed after the invasion of Ukraine. 9 a.m. Eastern today, ESPN.

For more:

  • In the men’s final tomorrow, Nick Kyrgios of Australia will try for his first Grand Slam title against the six-time Wimbledon champ Novak Djokovic.
 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was analyzing. Here is today’s puzzle.

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed this week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
Before You Go …
 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — Melissa

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 10, 2022

 

Good morning. A pro-Trump congresswoman’s victory in a historically Democratic region of Texas helps explain why Latino voters are shifting rightward.

 
 
 
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Representative Mayra Flores at the Capitol after being sworn in last month.Shuran Huang for The New York Times

The G.O.P.’s ‘wildest dream’

Latino voters have recently shifted toward the Republican Party. Most still vote for Democrats, but the margin has shrunk.

One sign of the shift is in Texas’ majority-Latino 34th Congressional District, which recently elected Mayra Flores, a conservative Republican, to serve out the remaining term of a Democrat who resigned in March. To put Flores’s election in context of the larger shift, today’s newsletter talks with Jennifer Medina, a Times reporter who writes about national politics and profiled Flores this week.

Ian: How did you meet Flores?

Jennifer: I met her almost a year and a half ago when I went to the Rio Grande Valley, in South Texas, to try to understand why Latino voters there swung toward Donald Trump in 2020. I came across a whole group of women who drove a lot of the change. They’d organized “Trump Trains” and done Hispanic outreach for the Republican Party. A lot of them, including Flores, were married to Border Patrol agents and used that as the source of their energy and support for Trump.

Flores won her special election last month pretty easily, despite being a first-time candidate running in a historically Democratic district. She seems to symbolize Republican hopes that Latinos will increasingly support the party. How was she received in Washington?

She was treated like a rock star. After her swearing-in, she did a press conference with Kevin McCarthy and other Republicans. The placard on the lectern said “Historic.” Republicans have been criticized for being anti-immigrant, obviously, and here’s a woman who not only is an immigrant but who worked in the fields alongside her parents as a farmworker.

Flores has described herself as Democrats’ worst nightmare, but she was also Republicans’ wildest dream. She’s the first Mexican-born woman in Congress, and the Republican Party completely embraced her.

Flores has voiced conspiratorial views, suggesting that the Jan. 6 attack was a “setup.” You repeatedly asked her whether President Biden won the 2020 election, and she kept responding that he was “the worst president.” Was that awkward?

I don’t think it was a surprise to her that I asked. I think she’d been asked that question before, knew what she wanted to say and stuck to the script. I gave her multiple opportunities to clarify. I actually said, “I’m not trying to be cute, I’m really trying to understand.” She said, “That’s my statement.”

Flores told you she voted for Barack Obama in 2008, but grew disillusioned with Democrats and enthusiastically backed Trump. Have voters in her district similarly shifted?

Flores won a low-turnout election, so we’re talking about a smallish slice of voters. But, almost by definition, she received support from people who voted Democrat in the past.

I met a retired couple who, unlike many of her most ardent supporters, were devoted Catholics, not evangelicals. They were warm and inviting, and I sat on their couch for an hour listening to their political trajectory. They had voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and considered themselves moderates. But the husband, especially, had started to feel like undocumented immigrants were getting welfare benefits that they shouldn’t, and that Democrats were increasingly hostile to anybody who was anti-abortion. They voted for Trump in 2020 and felt like Flores represented what they wanted to see: somebody fed up with Democrats and willing to criticize them loudly.

You describe Flores’s district, which borders Mexico, as “politically liberal yet culturally conservative.” What does that mean?

It’s a place where law enforcement is revered. For a lot of people, law enforcement — not only the police, but also the Border Patrol and sheriffs — is the best path to the middle class. Churches are crowded on Sundays. A lot of small evangelical churches have opened up and are growing. You see American flags on the backs of cars or in front of houses and businesses.

People are connected to their families. They get together often. Many residents see those ideals reflected more in the Republican Party than in the Democratic Party. Flores’s slogan — “God, family, country” — spoke to a lot of voters.

Immigration seems like a complex issue there. Flores is an immigrant who campaigned on border security, and many of her voters have family who at some point crossed the border.

A lot of them trace their ancestry back to Mexico. The border is in their everyday lives. To hear Flores tell it, the border is in disarray, though not everybody in her district thinks that way. People who support her and support Trump make a big distinction between legal and illegal immigration. They say a version of, “Nobody who’s coming in now is doing it the right way. People should get in line and do it the way we did it.”

They also couch their support for closing the border or putting up a border wall in terms of human trafficking, drugs and gangs. There’s a sense that Mexico and the border are more dangerous now. But a lot of people I talked to, including Republicans, have empathy for immigrants. Even if they despise current policy, there’s a notion of “We want to help them.”

Latino voters’ rightward shift isn’t just a South Texas phenomenon. What other factors play a role nationally?

This is the question that I’m constantly trying to figure out. You can’t overgeneralize. What’s true about Mexican Americans in the Rio Grande Valley may not be true about Latino voters in New Mexico, South Florida, Virginia or Pennsylvania. In Florida, there’s anti-socialism sentiment. The border is an issue elsewhere.

But I think a lot of it has to do with religion. A growing segment of Hispanic evangelicals feels much more tied to the evangelical movement than to any sort of Latino political identity.

More about Jennifer: She joined The Times 20 years ago as an intern after graduating from the University of Southern California. She has covered education, immigration and the 2020 election. She lives in Los Angeles and considers herself a committed Zumba and hip-hop dancer.

 

NEWS

The Latest
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Demonstrators at the Sri Lankan presidential palace on Friday.Dinuka Liyanawatte/Reuters
 
Other Big Stories
 

FROM OPINION

 
 

The Sunday question: Should the F.D.A. target nicotine?

Lowering cigarettes’ nicotine content will make them less addictive and will save lives, Sarah Milov argues in The Times. Reason’s Jacob Sullum thinks the agency’s proposed rules will create an incentive to smoke more and drive up sales of black-market cigarettes.

 

MORNING READS

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Casey Huang thrift shopping in Brooklyn last year.Dolly Faibyshev for The New York Times

Secondhand: “The golden age of thrifting is over”: It’s becoming harder to find gems.

Sunday routine: The actor Dan Perlman stops by a few comedy clubs.

Vows: In 2015, she suffered a brain injury on Whistler Mountain. In May, she was married there.

Advice from Wirecutter: Tableware for outdoor eating.

A Times classic: Looking back on “Sex, Lies and Videotape.”

 

BOOKS

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Rebecca Clarke

By the Book: Erika L. Sánchez wishes more authors would write about money.

Our editors’ picks: Harrowing new works of nonfiction are among this week’s recommendations.

Times best sellers: “Hattie Harmony: Worry Detective,” written by Elizabeth Olsen and Robbie Arnett and illustrated by Marissa Valdez, debuts at No. 1 on our children’s picture book list. See all our lists.

The Book Review podcast: Alice Elliott Dark discusses her new novel and Katherine Chen talks about fictionalizing Joan of Arc.

 

THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE

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Concept by Pablo Delcan. Photo illustration by Bobby Doherty for The New York Times

On the cover: Our bodies contain an untold number of synchronized biological clocks. Can we take control of them?

Recommendation: Talk to the dead.

Liquid natural gas: How one restaurateur transformed America’s energy industry.

Eat: A good biscuit is a miracle. These are savory, with kimchi and Cheddar.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD

What to Watch For
  • The Jan. 6 committee will hold its next hearing on Tuesday. It will focus on the ties between Trump and militias that helped orchestrate the Capitol attack.
  • Biden will make his first trip to the Middle East as president this week, stopping in Israel and the West Bank before heading to Saudi Arabia.
  • The U.S. government will release data on consumer prices on Wednesday. Experts expect it to show that inflation continues to accelerate.
  • Brittney Griner will return to Russian court on Thursday.
  • Emmy nominations will be announced on Tuesday.
  • Manhattanhenge, when the sunset aligns with Manhattan’s street grid, is tomorrow.
 
What to Cook This Week
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Clockwise, Gentl and Hyers for The New York Times; David Malosh for The New York Times; Ryan Liebe for The New York Times; David Malosh for The New York Times

Priya Krishna, writing the Five Weeknight Dishes newsletter this week, has compiled a list of easy, delicious meals to make with your leftovers. There’s creamy pasta with ricotta and herbs, great for when your herbs won’t keep fresh for much longer, and a loaded baked frittata to soak up any and all foods lingering in the fridge. As Priya writes: “When in doubt, frittata it out!”

 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

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The New York Times

Here’s a clue from the Sunday crossword:

109-Across: Like the community portrayed in Netflix’s “Unorthodox”

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed the week’s headlines.

Here are today’s Spelling Bee and Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — Ian

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 11, 2022

 

Good morning. The Times has released its first poll of the 2022 midterm cycle.

 
 
 

Dueling weaknesses

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President Biden after a trip to Cleveland last week.Haiyun Jiang/The New York Times

In 2016, when The New York Times’s pollsters asked Americans whether they planned to vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, more than 10 percent said they would not support either one. They said that they would instead vote for a third-party candidate or not vote at all.

Four years later, the situation was different. Joe Biden was a more popular nominee than Clinton had been, while some of Trump’s skeptics had come around to supporting him. Less than 5 percent of voters told pollsters that they didn’t plan to vote for either major party nominee.

This morning, The Times is releasing its first poll of the 2022 midterm campaign. And one of the main messages is that Americans again seem to be as dissatisfied with the leading candidates as they were in 2016. “This felt like a poll from 2016, not from 2020,” Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, told me.

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Source: New York Times/Sienna College | By Marco Hernandez

The poll included a question about whether people would vote for Biden or Trump in 2024 if the two ended up being the nominees again. The question did not present any options other than Biden and Trump — yet 10 percent of respondents volunteered that they did not plan to support either one. The share was even higher among voters under 35 and lower among older voters.

Similarly unpopular

This level of dissatisfaction is a reflection of the huge, dueling weaknesses of the two parties.

The Democratic Party has two core problems. First, Biden’s job approval rating is only 33 percent (similar to Trump’s worst ratings during his presidency), partly because of frustration over inflation and the continuing disruptions to daily life stemming from the pandemic. Second, Democrats’ priorities appear out of step with those of most Americans.

Congressional Democrats have spent much of the past year bickering, with a small number of moderates blocking legislation that would reduce drug prices, address climate change and take other popular steps. Many Democrats — both politicians and voters, especially on the party’s left flank — also seem more focused on divisive cultural issues than on most Americans’ everyday concerns, like inflation.

“The left has a set of priorities that is just different from the rest of the country’s,” Nate said. “Liberals care more about abortion and guns than about the economy. Conservative concerns are much more in line with the rest of the country.”

On the other hand, Nate points out, “Republicans have serious problems of their own.”

Trump remains the party’s dominant figure — and he is roughly as unpopular as Biden. The two men’s personal favorability ratings are identical in the Times poll: 39 percent. Many voters, including independents and a noticeable minority of Republicans, are offended by the events of Jan. 6 and Trump’s role in them.

Republicans also face some vulnerabilities from the recent Supreme Court decisions. The court has issued aggressive rulings, including overturning Roe v. Wade, that take policy to the right of public opinion on some of the same issues where many Democrats are to the left of it.

If not Biden …

All of this leads to a remarkable combination of findings from the poll. Biden looks like the weakest incumbent president in decades; 61 percent of Democrats said they hoped somebody else would be the party’s 2024 nominee, with most of them citing either Biden’s age or performance. Yet, when all voters were asked to choose between Biden and Trump in a hypothetical matchup, Biden nonetheless held a small lead over Trump, 44 percent to 41 percent.

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Among self-identified Democractic voters | Source: New York Times/Sienna College | By Marco Hernandez

Other polls — by YouGov and Harris, for example — suggest Biden would fare better against Trump than Vice President Kamala Harris would. These comparisons are a reminder that Biden won the nomination in 2020 for a reason: He is one of the few nationally prominent Democrats who doesn’t seem too liberal to many swing voters. Biden, in short, is a wounded incumbent in a party without obviously stronger alternatives.

There is still a long time between now and the 2024 election, of course. Perhaps Biden’s standing will improve, or another Democrat — one who wins a tough race this year, for instance, like Stacey Abrams or Senator Raphael Warnock in Georgia — will emerge as a possibility. Perhaps Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence or another Republican will defeat Trump for the nomination. Perhaps Biden or Trump (or both) will choose not to run.

The level of voter dissatisfaction also raises the possibility that a third-party candidate could attract enough support to influence the outcome, Nate adds.

For now, though, each party’s biggest strength appears to be the weakness of its opponent.

Related: My colleague Shane Goldmacher has more details and analysis on Biden’s approval rating. In the coming days, The Times will be releasing other results from the poll, including on the Republican Party, the midterm races and more.

More on politics

 

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine
 
Other Big Stories
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“I kept waiting for someone to come,” said Arnulfo Reyes, a teacher at Robb Elementary School.Tamir Kalifa for The New York Times
 
Opinions

The history of Prohibition suggests Americans will rebel against abortion bans, Michael Kazin argues.

We need more male contraceptives, Stephanie Page and John Amory write.

Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discuss election season, Elon Musk and more.

 

MORNING READS

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Many millennials feel behind, indebted and unable to live up to expectations.From left; Tracy Nguyen, Lila Barth and Christina Rateau for The New York Times

Economic anxiety: Thirty millennials discuss their real fears about money.

Where is Pete Panto? A union leader on the Brooklyn docks disappeared 81 years ago.

Cilantrophilia: A love affair with cilantro, told through illustrations.

Metropolitan Diary: A pizza lesson in Brooklyn and other tales from the city.

Quiz time: The average score on our latest news quiz was 8.9. Try to beat it.

A Times classic: Perfume, cologne, parfum … what’s the difference?

Advice from Wirecutter: Beautiful rugs to hide an ugly floor.

Lives Lived: Susie Steiner, the author of the Manon Bradshaw detective novels, was declared legally blind from a rare disease months before she sold her first book. She died at 51.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

Wayne Rooney’s stunning return: England’s all-time leading soccer scorer will become the head coach of Major League Soccer’s D.C. United. He has significant work ahead.

How TV dictates the future of college football: The question is simple enough, which college football teams really drive the biggest TV audiences? That calculation tells us plenty about the future of a sport in disarray.

Russian soccer’s dramatic demise: Russia hosted a World Cup as recently as 2018. Now? Their domestic league has been gutted, after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Who won the 2022 N.H.L. Draft? The grades are in for every team.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Vanessa Braganza’s decoding process.Tom Jamieson for The New York Times

A decoded cipher

A scholar claims she has uncovered a hidden message from Catherine of Aragon, the first of Henry VIII’s eight wives, Jennifer Schuessler writes in The Times.

The scholar, Vanessa Braganza, became fascinated with the sketch of a pendant that featured a dense tangle of letters. Using a process akin to “early modern Wordle,” Braganza says, she deciphered the image, which spells out the names of Henry and Catherine.

What makes it particularly interesting, Braganza argues, is that the pendant was likely commissioned not by the king, but by Catherine herself, as a way of asserting her place in history as Henry was preparing to divorce her. “It really helps us understand Catherine as a really defiant figure,” she says.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Christopher Simpson for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Simon Andrews. Prop Stylist: Paige Hicks.

Gazpacho is perfect when it is too hot to eat but you need cold, salt and lunch.

 
What to Watch

“Thor: Love and Thunder,” the fourth “Thor” movie in 11 years, is sillier than its predecessors, Manohla Dargis writes.

 
What to Read

Three new memoirs that cover addiction, fatherhood and transgender identity.

 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was obedience. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Not for kids (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Boris Yeltsin became Russia’s first freely elected president, The Times reported 31 years ago today.

The Daily” is about abortion laws. On “Popcast,” what’s next for Jack Harlow?

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 12, 2022

 

Good morning. On the day of his funeral service, we consider the full legacy of Shinzo Abe.

 
 
 
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A tribute to Shinzo Abe, Japan’s longest-serving prime minister.Kimimasa Mayama/EPA, via Shutterstock

A complex nationalist

Shinzo Abe could sometimes look like yet another one of the world’s modern breed of nationalist leaders, alongside Viktor Orban in Hungary, Vladimir Putin in Russia, Xi Jinping in China and Donald Trump in the U.S.

Abe came from a family of Japanese nationalist politicians, including a grandfather whom the U.S. accused of war crimes during World War II. Abe himself downplayed Japan’s wartime atrocities and spoke of the importance of patriotism and “traditional values.” Above all, he pushed his country to shed its post-1945 pacifism and become more militaristic.

Yet for all his nationalism, Abe — Japan’s longest-serving prime minister, who remained a power broker until his assassination last week — was fundamentally different from Putin, Xi and most of the other new nationalists. They have set out to undermine democracy around the world and expand autocracy. Abe, by contrast, tried to use Japanese nationalism mostly in the service of strengthening a global alliance of democracies.

“Abe is often described as a nationalist,” David Frum wrote in The Atlantic. “He deserves to be remembered instead as one of the great internationalists of his era, the leading architect of collective security in the Indo-Pacific region.”

Today’s newsletter considers Abe’s full legacy. It’s a legacy with relevance far beyond Japan, including for the war in Ukraine and the larger struggle between autocracies like Russia and China and democracies like the U.S., the European Union and Japan.

‘We must change’

The clearest way to understand Abe’s approach to international affairs is through his most prominent goal: to make Japan comfortable with using military force.

He fought for years to change the pacifist constitution that the U.S. imposed on Japan after World War II. He failed, but nonetheless made strides toward the larger goal. During his tenure, the country increased military spending, created a national security council and changed the law so that Japanese troops could fight alongside allies overseas.

None of these measures had seemed necessary in the late 20th century. The U.S. handled security on behalf of Japan and much of Western Europe while those countries recovered from wartime devastation. As the cliché put it, the U.S. was the world’s policeman.

But many American voters and politicians have tired of this role lately. It’s expensive, and the U.S. economy isn’t as dominant as it once was. Americans — in both political parties — have also questioned why their fellow citizens often seem to be the ones risking their lives in faraway countries. These reasons help explain why both Trump and President Biden favored withdrawal from Afghanistan and why Biden has vowed not to send Americans to fight in Ukraine.

A less assertive U.S. means that one of two scenarios is likely to replace the so-called Pax Americana of the late 20th century. Either authoritarian leaders will feel emboldened to become more aggressive, as Putin did in Ukraine and Xi has signaled he might in Taiwan. Or other parts of the democratic alliance — the E.U., Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and Canada, among others — will have to fill some of the vacuum.

Abe wanted to make the second scenario a reality, partly because of his concern about China’s rising power and boldness. “Since the Obama administration, the American military no longer acts as the world’s policeman,” Abe told The Economist this spring. “I still believe America must take the lead,” he added. But, he said, “we must change our attitude of leaving all military matters to America. Japan must take responsibility for peace and stability and do our utmost by working together with America to achieve it.”

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Abe during a military review in 2018.Kazuhiro Nogi/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine helped him make this case. As Motoko Rich, The Times’s Tokyo bureau chief, explained to me, Abe gave a recent interview to a Japanese publication noting that Germany was increasing its military spending, and he called on Japan to do likewise. “No country fights alongside a nation that is not defending itself,” he said.

His efforts at alliance-building extended to economic policy. He popularized the phrase “a free and open Indo-Pacific,” and he forged ahead with a trans-Pacific trade pact — meant largely to counter China’s rise — even after Trump withdrew the U.S. from it.

“Abe’s legacy is a world better prepared to confront China,” Josh Rogin wrote in The Washington Post. In The Times, Tobias Harris, a biographer of Abe, wrote, “He saw his country as engaged in a fierce competition among nations and believed that a politician’s duty, first and foremost, was to ensure the security and prosperity of his people.”

His full legacy

To be sure, the uglier parts of Abe’s nationalism damaged his efforts at alliance-building. His attempts to whitewash history — by changing school textbooks, for example, and downplaying Japan’s wartime brutality — created frictions with allies like South Korea, whose citizens were among the victims.

“His personal vision for rewriting Japanese history, of a glorious past, created a real problem in East Asia which will linger,” Alexis Dudden, a University of Connecticut historian, told The New Yorker. “It also divided Japanese society even further over how to approach its own responsibility for wartime actions carried out in the name of the emperor.”

Over all, though, Abe was a force for democratic internationalism. He recognized that the U.S. military dominance of the 20th century was unsustainable. A great question of the early 21st century is which other countries will assert themselves enough to shape the global order. Abe believed the world would be better off if Japan — democratic and prosperous — was a large part of the answer.

The alternative is probably a world with more authoritarianism and less respect for individual rights. “Japan alone cannot balance China’s military power, so Japan and America must cooperate to achieve a balance,” Abe said. “The U.S.-Japan alliance is vital for America too.”

Related

  • Abe’s party and its allies won a supermajority in parliamentary elections this past weekend. The victory gives them “a chance to pursue Mr. Abe’s long-held ambition of revising Japan’s pacifist Constitution,” Motoko Rich explains.
  • A funeral was held for Abe today, and crowds lined Tokyo’s streets as his hearse passed.
  • Japanese media has speculated that the suspect in Abe’s death held a grudge against the Unification Church, which has ties to conservative politics worldwide.
 

THE LATEST NEWS

Politics
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A Trump rally in Texas this year.Meridith Kohut for The New York Times
 
Other Big Stories
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Thousands of galaxies, including the faintest objects ever observed in infrared.NASA
 
Opinions

Biden is too old to run again, Michelle Goldberg argues.

Corporate “net zero” pledges mostly amount to procrastination, Agnes Walton and Kristopher Knight argue.

 

MORNING READS

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Jada Tonon, a Golden Goose cobbler.Gus Powell for The New York Times

Responsible fashion: Golden Goose, known for its $500 sneakers, is focusing on $100-plus repairs.

Interpreter: Is the world falling apart or does it just feel that way?

Talk: Jerrod Carmichael was scared of coming out. He still is.

A Times classic: If you hate doing dishes, these one-pot recipes are for you.

Advice from Wirecutter: Amazon Prime Day deals, and how to avoid traps.

Lives Lived: Francis X. Clines was a Times reporter and columnist who brought literary style to commentaries on the news and profiles of ordinary New Yorkers. He died at 84.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

An icon of baseball Twitter: You don’t know “Tungsten Arm” O’Doyle? Here is the story of a tweet that became the social media symbol of a franchise — a depressing franchise.

M.L.B. buyers and sellers: The dominant New York Yankees need to seize the moment and deal, Ken Rosenthal writes. But the sneaky-competitive Baltimore Orioles should join the contention party, too.

An N.B.A. player heads for the mountains: His team told him to put down the ball. A high-altitude hiking regimen was the answer.

A fascinating move in the Premier League: Raheem Sterling is another superstar to sign with Chelsea. His history there, however, is complicated.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

Bookstores’ moment

Plot twist: Small booksellers are thriving.

More than 300 independent bookstores opened in the U.S. over the past couple of years, a “welcome revival after an early pandemic slump,” Alexandra Alter and Elizabeth Harris write. And people of color started many of them, diversifying the book business.

“People are really looking for a community where they get real recommendations from real people,” said Nyshell Lawrence, a bookseller in Lansing, Mich., who decided to open a bookshop after she visited a local store and found few titles by Black women. “We’re not just basing things off of algorithms.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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John Kernick for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Simon Andrews.

Buffalo chicken dip is luscious and a little funky.

 
What to Watch

FX’s “The Bear” is an authentic portrayal of working in food service.

 
What to Read

Ken Auletta framed his biography of Harvey Weinstein in the shadow of “Citizen Kane.”

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was fixation. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Totally awesome (four letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

Corrections: Some maps in Friday’s newsletter misidentified a northern neighborhood of Chicago; it is Uptown, not Lake View. And yesterday’s newsletter misstated how many wives Henry VIII had; he had six, not eight.

P.S. Listen to “Luck,” The Athletic’s podcast about the rise and shocking retirement of the quarterback Andrew Luck.

The Daily” is about Twitter and Musk.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Good morning. Despite Biden’s low approval ratings, Democrats are roughly tied with Republicans in the midterm polls. We explain why.

 
 
 
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A Latinos for Trump demonstration in Miami in 2020.Mario Cruz/EPA, via Shutterstock

A tight race

My colleague Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, has spent a lot of time thinking about the changing politics of economic class in the U.S. College graduates used to favor Republicans, while blue-collar voters favored Democrats. Increasingly, though, the opposite is true.

The social liberalism of Democrats — on immigration, marijuana, L.G.B.T. rights, affirmative action, abortion and more — has simultaneously attracted progressive college graduates and repelled more culturally conservative working-class voters. If you’re trying to figure out why Latino voters have shifted right in the past few years, even during the Trump presidency, this dynamic offers an explanation.

In this year’s midterm elections, the changing politics of class may get supercharged, Nate notes. Why? Look at the stories in the news. Many working-class voters are frustrated over inflation and other economic disruptions, making them unhappy with the Biden administration and Democrats. Many college graduates are angry about the recent decisions from a Supreme Court dominated by Republican appointees.

These attitudes are evident in the first New York Times/Siena College poll of the midterm cycle: Among registered voters who never attended college, Republicans lead by almost 20 percentage points. Among college graduates, Democrats lead by almost 30 points. One startling comparison is that Democrats lead by almost as much among white college graduates as among all voters of color.

To give you a clearer sense for what these patterns mean for the likely outcome of the November midterms — and which party will control the House and the Senate for the next two years — I’m turning over the rest of today’s lead item to Nate.

Author Headshot

By Nate Cohn

Domestic Correspondent for The Upshot

With President Biden’s approval rating sagging into the low 30s and nearly 80 percent of voters saying the country is headed in the wrong direction, the ingredients would seem to be in place for a Republican landslide in this year’s midterm elections.

But the first Times/Siena survey of the cycle shows something else: a close, competitive race for Congress.

Overall, voters prefer Democrats to control Congress over Republicans by one point among registered voters, 41 to 40 percent. Once we exclude those people who are unlikely to vote, Republicans lead by one point, 44 to 43 percent.

It’s a pretty surprising result, given the circumstances. Analysts have all but written off the Democrats in the race for House control, not only because Biden’s ratings are so poor but also because there’s a long history of the president’s party getting pummeled in midterm elections. These factors help explain why FiveThirtyEight’s statistical forecast gives the Republicans an 88 percent chance of winning House control.

But the Times/Siena poll is not alone in showing a competitive race at this stage. Since the court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, most polls have shown a tight race on the so-called “generic ballot,” which asks whether voters would prefer Democrats or Republicans to control Congress. The race has shifted about three points in the Democrats’ direction, compared with surveys by the same pollsters before the court’s ruling.

At least for the moment, conservative policy victories — on abortion, climate policy, religious rights and gun laws — and a spate of mass shootings seem to have insulated Democrats. State polls have also looked good for Democrats. The party has led just about every poll of a hotly contested Senate race over the last few months, including polls of Republican-held states like Pennsylvania and Ohio.

If all this good polling for the Democrats reminds you of a story you’ve heard before, there is a reason. The polls have overestimated Democratic support for much of the last decade, partly because polls have a harder time reaching working-class voters, who have been trending Republican. It’s hard not to wonder whether the good news for Democrats might simply be a harbinger of yet another high-profile misfire.

It could also mean that the Democrats are at a high-water mark that will not last. Republicans will try to make the races a referendum on the president, and only 23 percent of undecided voters in the Times/Siena poll approve of Joe Biden’s performance. If inflation remains high this year, as many economists expect, undecided voters might have further reason to break against the Democrats.

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Americans are paying more for groceries.Alisha Jucevic for The New York Times

The general election campaign might be especially helpful to the Republican Senate candidates coming out of bruising primary elections. It’s understandable why Republican voters who just voted against damaged or flawed candidates — like J.D. Vance in Ohio and Dr. Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania — may be reluctant to embrace these candidates immediately. Yet that could change when the race focuses on partisan issues and the stakes of congressional control, reminding these voters why they are Republicans.

For the moment, the Democrats are benefiting from a favorable news environment. The recent Supreme Court rulings, the mass shootings and even the Jan. 6 hearings have focused national attention on a relatively favorable set of issues for Democrats. For them to stay competitive, they might need to keep those issues in the limelight until November.

Related

  • Another poll detail: We asked respondents to tell us what they thought was the most important problem facing the country — in an open-ended question, without any suggested answers. About 35 percent named inflation or the economy. Less than 1 percent named the pandemic.
  • Nate Cohn explains the poll on today’s episode of “The Daily.”
 

THE LATEST NEWS

James Webb Telescope
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The edge of a star-forming region in the Carina Nebula, a vast cloud of dust and gases.NASA, ESA, CSA and STScI
 
Jan 6.
  • Donald Trump mobilized supporters, some prepared for violence, to travel to Washington to disrupt Congress’ election certification, new evidence at a Jan. 6 committee hearing showed.
  • “We basically were just following what he said,” testified Stephen Ayres, an Ohio man who entered the Capitol that day.
  • Trump planned for him and his supporters to go to the Capitol but he wanted it to seem spontaneous.
  • During a profane, hourslong White House meeting weeks earlier, Trump advisers including Sidney Powell and Michael Flynn proposed that the military seize voting machines.
  • Trump has tried to contact a committee witness, which suggests he was trying to influence testimony.
 
Business
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As of 7:30 a.m. Eastern on July 12, 2022. | Source: FactSet
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Laughing can be a valuable coping mechanism, even for abortion, Alison Leiby writes.

To navigate growing up poor, Joshua Hunt learned to lie.

One redrawn Texas congressional district shows how partisan gerrymandering drives our politics toward the extremes, Jesse Wegman explains.

 

MORNING READS

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Research says most of us underestimate the power of the casual check-in.Moritz Weinert

Checking in: Text your friends.

Dial 988: What to know about a new mental health crisis hotline.

A Times classic: Why one man kayaked alone across the Atlantic at 70.

Lives Lived: In 1975, the singer and actor Adam Wade became the first Black host of a network television game show. He died at 87.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

How M.L.B. could eliminate the infield shift: Jayson Stark reports that some change is now “inevitable” and it’s only a matter of when. Minor-league teams are already acting.

Another N.B.A. star could be traded: Donovan Mitchell of the Utah Jazz is the name to watch. The New York Knicks would have interest. They aren’t alone.

Jimmy Garoppolo’s next stop: The San Francisco 49ers quarterback could be the next one dealt after Baker Mayfield was traded last week.

The Boston Red Sox get their ace back: Chris Sale returned last night, striking out five batters while not allowing a run in five innings. A healthy and effective Sale makes the Red Sox far more formidable.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Brian Cox of “Succession.”Macall Polay/HBO, via Associated Press

The Emmy nominations

“Succession” dominated the Emmy nominations, which were announced yesterday, earning 25. In the best drama category, it will square off against the South Korean thriller “Squid Game,” which secured 14 nominations, the most ever for a foreign-language show. Other highlights:

Repeat nominees: Last year’s best actor and actress in a comedy, Jason Sudeikis (for “Ted Lasso”) and Jean Smart (for “Hacks”), received nominations. Sudeikis will be up against Steve Martin, for his role in “Only Murders in the Building.” The last time Martin won an Emmy was 1969.

Breakout star: Quinta Brunson, from the rookie hit “Abbott Elementary,” got her first nominations.

Hulu: The streaming service could score its biggest Emmys haul with nominations for the limited series “Dopesick,” “The Dropout” and “Pam & Tommy.”

Snubs: Neither Sterling K. Brown nor Mandy Moore were recognized for the final season of “This Is Us.”

Full list: Here are all the nominees.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Ryan Liebe for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Barrett Washburne.

Savory Thai noodles and seared brussels sprouts make for a delicious vegan dinner.

 
What to Read

“Carnality,” by Lina Wolff, starts as a conventional novel. That doesn’t last.

 
What to Watch

The director of “Persuasion” argues that the movie is faithful to Jane Austen.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was alchemy. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Wild guesses (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Two Times correspondents are swapping roles: Norimitsu Onishi will cover Canada, and Catherine Porter will replace him in Paris.

The Daily” is about The Times’s new political poll.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Share on other sites

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July 14, 2022

 

Good morning. The military relies on advanced semiconductors. The U.S. doesn’t make any.

 
 
 
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Chips on display in Taiwan.Ann Wang/Reuters

‘A very dangerous situation’

The most advanced category of mass-produced semiconductors — used in smartphones, military technology and much more — is known as 5 nm. A single company in Taiwan, known as TSMC, makes about 90 percent of them. U.S. factories make none.

The U.S.’s struggles to keep pace in semiconductor manufacturing have already had economic downsides: Many jobs in the industry pay more than $100,000 a year, and the U.S. has lost out on them. Longer term, the situation also has the potential to cause a national security crisis: If China were to invade Taiwan and cut off exports of semiconductors, the American military would be at risk of being overmatched by its main rival for global supremacy.

For these reasons, a bipartisan group of senators and the Biden administration negotiated a bill last summer that included $52 billion to jump-start the domestic semiconductor industry, as well as other measures to help the U.S. compete economically with China. The bill would offer the kind of semiconductors subsidies that other countries — including China, South Korea, Japan, India and Germany — provide. Without such subsidies, companies like Intel and Broadcom would probably choose to build new factories outside the U.S.

But the Senate’s semiconductor bill still has not become law. The House spent months negotiating its own bill, passing one in February. Since then, the House and Senate have failed to resolve the differences between the two bills, and Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate leader, recently threatened to scuttle the talks.

The standoff has become another example of dysfunctional congressional politics weakening the U.S.’s global standing.

There is a broad consensus — among many experts, President Biden, an overwhelming majority of Democrats in Congress and a meaningful number of Republicans — that the federal government should act. But it still has not.

Today’s newsletter looks at the debate over the bills and the recent efforts to find a solution before Congress leaves for its August recess.

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The Biden administration wants Congress to pass a semiconductor bill.Doug Mills/The New York Times

Corporate welfare?

The strongest substantive argument against the subsidies is that they are a handout to the semiconductor industry. The bills would use taxpayer dollars to benefit large companies that already can make a profit on the products they sell.

In economic terms, this argument makes a lot of sense. But geopolitics matter, too. Political leaders in other countries have already decided to offer subsidies for semiconductor manufacturing, because they want some of this manufacturing to take place in their countries.

If the U.S. does not also offer subsidies, it may continue to struggle to attract factories. Already, the U.S. market share of all semiconductor manufacturing has fallen to about 12 percent from 37 percent three decades ago.

Pat Gelsinger, the chief executive of Intel, has said that a typical factory costs about $10 billion to build, and subsidies from some countries cover 30 percent to 50 percent of that cost. China’s subsidies cover closer to 70 percent. “It is not economically viable for us to compete in the world market if everyone else that we’re competing with is seeing 30 to 50 percent lower cost structures,” Gelsinger said.

Senator Rob Portman, an Ohio Republican who helped write the Senate bill, has acknowledged that it runs counter to the free-market philosophy he usually prefers. But, Portman explained at the Aspen Ideas Festival last month, “if we are continuing with blinders on to follow a political philosophy that seems to make sense generally but doesn’t work in the practical world, I think we end up with a much less competitive economy and a national security risk.”

Biden and his top aides agree. “We are now in a very dangerous situation in which we are utterly reliant on Taiwan for the vast, vast majority of our most advanced semiconductors, which are the exact kind of semiconductors you need for military equipment,” Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told me. “You cannot be a global superpower if you don’t make any of these.”

What China wants

Why, then, haven’t the Senate and House agreed on the bill?

House Democrats added provisions to the Senate bill that Republicans did not like, such as additional money for worker retraining. House Democratic leaders seem willing to remove most of these from the final bill, but it remains unclear whether the two parties can agree on a compromise.

McConnell — despite being one of 19 Senate Republicans who voted for the original bill — also appears to be wavering. He sent a tweet on June 30 suggesting that he might block a semiconductor bill if Democrats continued trying to pass a separate bill, on climate change and drug prices, that Republicans oppose.

McConnell may have been posturing, hoping to intimidate House Democrats into dropping the provisions in its version of the semiconductor bill. On the other hand, his history suggests that he might be willing to defeat a policy he would otherwise favor for the sake of making a Democratic president look weak.

To help the bill’s chances, Chuck Schumer, the Senate Democratic leader, held a classified briefing for all senators yesterday. At it, Raimondo and Avril Haines, Biden’s director of national intelligence, discussed the U.S. military’s current dependence on Taiwan. Major corporations are also lobbying for the bill, as my colleague Catie Edmondson notes. “So many powerful industries badly want this bill to pass, from the chip makers to defense contractors to manufacturers,” she said.

There is still one vocal opponent of the bill: the Chinese government. Its state media has criticized the idea as “bullying” and part of a “Cold War mentality.” In recent decades, no country’s share of semiconductor manufacturing has increased as rapidly as China’s.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Politics
 
Inflation
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Not seasonally adjusted. | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
 
International
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President Biden and Prime Minister Yair Lapid of Israel in Jerusalem.Doug Mills/The New York Times
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

College sports are losing their regional charm, Matthew Walther writes.

Another President Marcos could break the Philippines, Sheila Coronel argues.

Some say it’s “wrong.” Others reacted with “complicated”: Voters on both sides of the abortion debate reflect on the end of Roe v. Wade.

 

MORNING READS

Grizzly Giant: How to save an ancient tree from a wildfire.

Our universe: Five things we learned from the Webb telescope’s first images.

Puppet history: The saga of a World War II ancestor of Miss Piggy and Bert.

A Times classic: Make pizza at home.

Advice from Wirecutter: Cornhole tips.

Lives Lived: Spider Webb helped bring serious art credentials to tattooing, promoting it as a form of artistic expression. He died at 78.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A New York Knicks blockbuster? News came in last night: Trade talks surrounding Donovan Mitchell are afoot.

An M.L.B. roster decimated by vaccination requirements: The Kansas City Royals are without 40 percent of their roster as they head on a trip to Toronto while dealing with Canada’s Covid vaccination requirements. Those requirements have altered the M.L.B. landscape.

A free-agency signing stuns a league: The N.H.L. saw top free agent Johnny Gaudreau forego millions of dollars to sign with the Columbus Blue Jackets yesterday, shocking the entire league. Here are the winners and losers of N.H.L. free agency.

The Yankees lose a key arm, for now: Luis Severino exited his start last night with shoulder soreness. Ken Rosenthal writes that the Yankees need to make moves.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Leila, in Detroit, closed for lunch at the start of the pandemic.Emily Elconin for The New York Times

The end of the power lunch?

The pandemic disrupted the expense-account lunch business, and upscale restaurant owners aren’t sure how, or whether, to reopen.

Power lunchers are closing deals and making “connections in front of a computer screen at home while eating salads from takeout boxes,” Brett Anderson writes in The Times. The slow return of office workers has made it difficult for sit-down restaurants to justify hiring employees for lunch service.

“It’s nothing like it was before Covid,” said Ashok Bajaj, owner of the Bombay Club, a restaurant near the White House. “The energy has been sucked out of downtown.” Instead, sales at quick-service joints have exceeded those at table-service restaurants since the start of the pandemic. Bajaj himself opened a fast-casual Indian street food spot.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Melina Hammer for The New York Times

Smoke a chicken vertically, atop a half-full beer can.

 
Theater

“Notre Dame de Paris,” a splashy French musical, has arrived in New York.

 
What to Read

Books about Joseph Smith, salmon farms and more are among newly published titles.

 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was impediment. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Not cool (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. A hidden haiku from a recent Interpreter column: “Scanning the headlines, / it’s easy to conclude that / something has broken.”

The Daily” is about Sri Lanka. “Popcast” is about Baz Luhrmann’s biopic about Elvis.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 15, 2022

 

Today, we look at the causes of homelessness in the U.S. — David Leonhardt

Good morning. America’s homelessness crisis is getting worse.

 
 
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
A homeless encampment in Los Angeles.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

A housing shortfall

America’s homelessness problem has the makings of an acute crisis.

Shelters across the U.S. are reporting a surge in people looking for help, with wait lists doubling or tripling in recent months. The number of homeless people outside of shelters is also probably rising, experts say. Some of them live in encampments, which have popped up in parks and other public spaces in major cities from Washington, D.C., to Seattle since the pandemic began.

And inflation is compounding the problem: Rent has increased at its fastest rate since 1986, putting houses and apartments out of reach for more Americans.

The crisis means more people do not know where they will sleep tonight. Living in the streets, people are exposed to more crime, violence and bad weather, including extreme heat. They can lose their job in the chaos of homelessness, and they often struggle to find another one without access to the internet or a mailing address. “There’s a certain posture that you take when you are homeless,” Ivan Perez, who lived in a tent in Los Angeles, told The Times. “You lose your dignity.”

Homelessness has become a particularly bad political problem for the Democrats who govern big cities, where it is most visible. It has played a role in recent elections, like the recall of San Francisco’s district attorney last month. More Americans now say they worry a great deal about homelessness compared with the years before the pandemic.

The origins of the current homelessness crisis go back decades — to policies that stopped the U.S. from building enough housing, experts said. Seven million extremely low-income renters cannot get affordable homes, according to the National Low Income Housing Coalition.

Today’s newsletter will look at how the country got to this point.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Single-family housing construction in Charlotte, N.C.Travis Dove for The New York Times

Supply and demand

No factor matters more to homelessness than access to housing. Poverty, mental illness, addiction and other issues do play roles, but they are less significant.

Many cities and states in the Midwest and South, for example, have higher rates of mental illness, poverty or addiction than other parts of the U.S., but they have similar or lower rates of homelessness. “What explains regional variation is housing market conditions,” said Gregg Colburn, a housing expert at the University of Washington.

Housing researchers use the example of musical chairs: Imagine there are 10 people for nine chairs. One person, weighed down by poor health, does not make it to a chair. Is the problem that person’s health or the lack of chairs?

Homelessness, then, is a supply-and-demand problem. Without enough housing, not everyone has a place to live. And the homes that do exist cost more as people compete for limited supply. So more people are priced out, and more end up homeless.

Policy failures

Policymakers have made the crisis worse, instituting laws and zoning rules that limit the number of available homes.

Consider California. Los Angeles County allocates 76 percent of its residential land to single-family housing, while the San Francisco Bay Area allocates 85 percent. Historically, this has made it difficult to build more housing: Most plots are reserved for only one family, instead of duplexes or apartment buildings that can house many more.

Homeowners also often protest proposed housing, effectively blocking it. They fear that more housing, particularly for low-income families, will change the makeup of their communities or reduce the value of their homes.

In San Francisco, for example, protests recently stopped a project to convert a 131-room Japantown hotel into housing units for homeless people.

The combination of zoning rules and local protests has added to a housing deficit year after year, as growing populations have outpaced new homes built. Now, California has 23 available affordable homes for every 100 extremely low-income renters — among the worst rates of any state.

What’s next

Some cities and states have begun confronting the issue. California and Oregon passed laws in recent years to effectively end single-family zoning. But homelessness took decades to get to this level, and it will probably take years to fully address.

And while homelessness is largely associated with Democratic-run cities in Democratic-run states, that appears to be changing as more Americans flock to the Sun Belt and the West. If traditionally red states in these areas repeat the same mistakes as their coastal counterparts, they could set themselves up for a crisis in the future.

Related: The housing shortage in the U.S. isn’t just a coastal crisis anymore.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Politics
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Joe Manchin pulled the plug on negotiations.Kenny Holston for The New York Times
 
International
 
Other Big Stories
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Ivana and Donald Trump in an undated photo. She rechristened her husband “the Donald.”Bob Sacha/Corbis, via Getty Images
 
Opinions

The targeting of an Indiana doctor shows the peril of being a heath care provider in post-Roe America, Tracey Wilkinson writes.

Brittney Griner’s plight deserves more attention, Roxane Gay argues.

Forgotten moderates and crossover Democrats can save Liz Cheney, says Susan Stubson.

The Webb telescope restored (some of) Farhad Manjoo’s faith in humanity.

 

MORNING READS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Eyeglass business represents a constellation of cinematic tropes.

One trick: Much of Meryl Streep’s acting is “glasses business.”

Mon Dieu: A mustard shortage in France.

Modern Love: Man with incredible beard desperately needs kidney.

A Times classic: America’s wealthy, successful, miserable elites.

Advice from Wirecutter: The truth about sunscreen.

Lives Lived: As a young chemist, John Froines was acquitted on charges of inciting a riot at the 1968 Democratic National Convention. He later became an environmental justice advocate. He died at 83.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

How the Knicks can land a superstar: New York has the pieces to pull off a trade for the Jazz’s Donovan Mitchell. Fred Katz says it will have to be a historic haul.

A radio host gets sued for libel: Freddie Freeman’s former agent, Casey Close, filed suit against radio personality Doug Gottlieb over a tweet. It’s another line item in a bizarrely dramatic saga.

Is the Rory Curse dead? Rory McIlroy is once again off to a hot start in a major — can he break through for the first time since 2014? History looks favorably upon the notion.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

Superhero fatigue?

Some 29 Marvel Cinematic Universe movies have premiered since 2008 — an average of almost two per year. In those 14 years, critics predicted that audiences would eventually get tired of superhero movies. In The Times, one media analyst warned of “superhero fatigue” in 2011. Asked about it last year, a quarter of U.S. adults said they enjoyed superhero movies but were getting tired of them.

But that sentiment is not reflected at the box office. “Thor: Love and Thunder” opened last weekend and earned $302 million worldwide, grossing more in its U.S. debut than previous Thor movies. Earlier this year, “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” made $954 million worldwide. And 2021’s “Spider-Man: No Way Home” finished its run at $1.9 billion.

Next up: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” this November. Its 2018 predecessor made $1.3 billion.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Linda Xiao for The New York Times

This sous-chef salad includes vegetables, canned tuna and hard-boiled eggs.

 
What to Read

“Bad City,” about sex scandals at the University of Southern California, is “a master class in investigative journalism.”

 
What to Watch

The heroine of the thriller “She Will” is on a journey of revenge and renewal.

 
Take the Quiz
 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee were vibrato and vibrator. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Petty emotion (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — German

P.S. The Times and Hasbro are creating a board game based on Wordle.

The Daily” is about the James Webb Space Telescope. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” a discussion about climate change. The Modern Love podcast is about a mother’s secret.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
Link to comment
Share on other sites

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July 15, 2022

 

Today, we look at the causes of homelessness in the U.S. — David Leonhardt

Good morning. America’s homelessness crisis is getting worse.

 
 
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
A homeless encampment in Los Angeles.Mark Abramson for The New York Times

A housing shortfall

America’s homelessness problem has the makings of an acute crisis.

Shelters across the U.S. are reporting a surge in people looking for help, with wait lists doubling or tripling in recent months. The number of homeless people outside of shelters is also probably rising, experts say. Some of them live in encampments, which have popped up in parks and other public spaces in major cities from Washington, D.C., to Seattle since the pandemic began.

And inflation is compounding the problem: Rent has increased at its fastest rate since 1986, putting houses and apartments out of reach for more Americans.

The crisis means more people do not know where they will sleep tonight. Living in the streets, people are exposed to more crime, violence and bad weather, including extreme heat. They can lose their job in the chaos of homelessness, and they often struggle to find another one without access to the internet or a mailing address. “There’s a certain posture that you take when you are homeless,” Ivan Perez, who lived in a tent in Los Angeles, told The Times. “You lose your dignity.”

Homelessness has become a particularly bad political problem for the Democrats who govern big cities, where it is most visible. It has played a role in recent elections, like the recall of San Francisco’s district attorney last month. More Americans now say they worry a great deal about homelessness compared with the years before the pandemic.

The origins of the current homelessness crisis go back decades — to policies that stopped the U.S. from building enough housing, experts said. Seven million extremely low-income renters cannot get affordable homes, according to the National Low Income Housing Coalition.

Today’s newsletter will look at how the country got to this point.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Single-family housing construction in Charlotte, N.C.Travis Dove for The New York Times

Supply and demand

No factor matters more to homelessness than access to housing. Poverty, mental illness, addiction and other issues do play roles, but they are less significant.

Many cities and states in the Midwest and South, for example, have higher rates of mental illness, poverty or addiction than other parts of the U.S., but they have similar or lower rates of homelessness. “What explains regional variation is housing market conditions,” said Gregg Colburn, a housing expert at the University of Washington.

Housing researchers use the example of musical chairs: Imagine there are 10 people for nine chairs. One person, weighed down by poor health, does not make it to a chair. Is the problem that person’s health or the lack of chairs?

Homelessness, then, is a supply-and-demand problem. Without enough housing, not everyone has a place to live. And the homes that do exist cost more as people compete for limited supply. So more people are priced out, and more end up homeless.

Policy failures

Policymakers have made the crisis worse, instituting laws and zoning rules that limit the number of available homes.

Consider California. Los Angeles County allocates 76 percent of its residential land to single-family housing, while the San Francisco Bay Area allocates 85 percent. Historically, this has made it difficult to build more housing: Most plots are reserved for only one family, instead of duplexes or apartment buildings that can house many more.

Homeowners also often protest proposed housing, effectively blocking it. They fear that more housing, particularly for low-income families, will change the makeup of their communities or reduce the value of their homes.

In San Francisco, for example, protests recently stopped a project to convert a 131-room Japantown hotel into housing units for homeless people.

The combination of zoning rules and local protests has added to a housing deficit year after year, as growing populations have outpaced new homes built. Now, California has 23 available affordable homes for every 100 extremely low-income renters — among the worst rates of any state.

What’s next

Some cities and states have begun confronting the issue. California and Oregon passed laws in recent years to effectively end single-family zoning. But homelessness took decades to get to this level, and it will probably take years to fully address.

And while homelessness is largely associated with Democratic-run cities in Democratic-run states, that appears to be changing as more Americans flock to the Sun Belt and the West. If traditionally red states in these areas repeat the same mistakes as their coastal counterparts, they could set themselves up for a crisis in the future.

Related: The housing shortage in the U.S. isn’t just a coastal crisis anymore.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

Politics
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Joe Manchin pulled the plug on negotiations.Kenny Holston for The New York Times
 
International
 
Other Big Stories
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Ivana and Donald Trump in an undated photo. She rechristened her husband “the Donald.”Bob Sacha/Corbis, via Getty Images
 
Opinions

The targeting of an Indiana doctor shows the peril of being a heath care provider in post-Roe America, Tracey Wilkinson writes.

Brittney Griner’s plight deserves more attention, Roxane Gay argues.

Forgotten moderates and crossover Democrats can save Liz Cheney, says Susan Stubson.

The Webb telescope restored (some of) Farhad Manjoo’s faith in humanity.

 

MORNING READS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Eyeglass business represents a constellation of cinematic tropes.

One trick: Much of Meryl Streep’s acting is “glasses business.”

Mon Dieu: A mustard shortage in France.

Modern Love: Man with incredible beard desperately needs kidney.

A Times classic: America’s wealthy, successful, miserable elites.

Advice from Wirecutter: The truth about sunscreen.

Lives Lived: As a young chemist, John Froines was acquitted on charges of inciting a riot at the 1968 Democratic National Convention. He later became an environmental justice advocate. He died at 83.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

How the Knicks can land a superstar: New York has the pieces to pull off a trade for the Jazz’s Donovan Mitchell. Fred Katz says it will have to be a historic haul.

A radio host gets sued for libel: Freddie Freeman’s former agent, Casey Close, filed suit against radio personality Doug Gottlieb over a tweet. It’s another line item in a bizarrely dramatic saga.

Is the Rory Curse dead? Rory McIlroy is once again off to a hot start in a major — can he break through for the first time since 2014? History looks favorably upon the notion.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

Superhero fatigue?

Some 29 Marvel Cinematic Universe movies have premiered since 2008 — an average of almost two per year. In those 14 years, critics predicted that audiences would eventually get tired of superhero movies. In The Times, one media analyst warned of “superhero fatigue” in 2011. Asked about it last year, a quarter of U.S. adults said they enjoyed superhero movies but were getting tired of them.

But that sentiment is not reflected at the box office. “Thor: Love and Thunder” opened last weekend and earned $302 million worldwide, grossing more in its U.S. debut than previous Thor movies. Earlier this year, “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” made $954 million worldwide. And 2021’s “Spider-Man: No Way Home” finished its run at $1.9 billion.

Next up: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” this November. Its 2018 predecessor made $1.3 billion.

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Linda Xiao for The New York Times

This sous-chef salad includes vegetables, canned tuna and hard-boiled eggs.

 
What to Read

“Bad City,” about sex scandals at the University of Southern California, is “a master class in investigative journalism.”

 
What to Watch

The heroine of the thriller “She Will” is on a journey of revenge and renewal.

 
Take the Quiz
 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee were vibrato and vibrator. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Petty emotion (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — German

P.S. The Times and Hasbro are creating a board game based on Wordle.

The Daily” is about the James Webb Space Telescope. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” a discussion about climate change. The Modern Love podcast is about a mother’s secret.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
Link to comment
Share on other sites

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July 16, 2022

 

Good morning. When it comes to making the perfect summer salad, sometimes less is more.

 
 
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
Rosie Barker

Summer’s bounty

I have spent more kitchen hours than I care to admit trying, in vain, to recreate the Caesar salad dressing of a certain Midtown Manhattan lunch spot.

Sometimes I go all in on the Parmesan. Other times I double the lemon juice. I’ve made my own oven-dried anchovy powder, left out the Worcestershire, added a sprinkle of MSG. I’ve convinced myself that if I can just get the formula correct, I’ll have a magic elixir I can dribble over any combination of vegetables and voilà, the perfect salad.

The dressing is not the problem. Or rather, it’s not the only problem with my salads. I’m a produce maximalist. I get carried away with the bounty of the season, selecting whatever looks good from the greenmarket, putting it all in one bowl, paying little mind to the salad commandments about balancing texture and acid. I have never chosen the right cheese.

Several years ago, Julia Moskin wrote in The Times about composed salads, which are arranged on a plate rather than tossed in a bowl. The ingredients in her recipe were suggestions rather than prescriptions: something leafy, something crunchy, something rich, a combo of raw and cooked vegetables. “Tossed together, the result would be sloppy and monotonous,” she cautioned. “A bit of order makes it satisfying and elegant.”

I tried it, but I always seemed to revert to excess: one big mingle-mangle, everybody in the pool. Over time I’ve come to realize that I need stricter recipes.

They don’t need to be overly involved: Eric Kim’s greens with carrot-ginger dressing, finished with mint. Genevieve Ko’s corn and tomato salad with basil and cilantro. These, and the rest of our summer salad recipes, are mostly very simple, their ingredients lists limited. (Same goes for Melissa Clark’s caprese recommendation below.) Of course chefs are invited to freestyle, but I plan to stick to the ingredients provided.

I asked a vegetable-savvy friend what separates a good salad from a great one. “Really good vinegar,” he said. What do you think? Tell me your summer salad secrets.

For more

 

THE WEEK IN CULTURE

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
The designer Dennis Basso and Ivana Trump in 1995.Ron Galella Collection, via Getty Images
  • Ivana Trump’s fur-forward style was a hallmark of the opulent ’80s and a key part of how she helped define New York in the era. She died on Thursday.
  • “Yellowstone” and “Reservation Dogs” were among the snubs at this week’s Emmy nominations. (Here are the nominees.)
  • Lea Michele will replace Beanie Feldstein and Tovah Feldshuh will replace Jane Lynch in the Broadway production of “Funny Girl.”
  • Ada Limón will be the next U.S. poet laureate.
  • A Scottish museum discovered what seems to be a van Gogh self-portrait, hidden on the back of another work.
  • The Ringer ranked Matt Damon’s best cameos.
  • Photos by the prominent photographer Tod Papageorge of Los Angeles beaches between 1975 and 1981 are being exhibited for the first time.
  • Three men were charged with conspiring to sell stolen notes written by Don Henley, including lyrics to “Hotel California.”
  • Why is the author of the best seller “Where the Crawdads Sing” wanted for questioning in a 1995 murder? The Los Angeles Times explained.
  • Kevin Spacey pleaded not guilty to charges of sexual assault.
 

THE LATEST NEWS

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%
President Biden bowed to political reality on his plan to fight the climate crisis.Doug Mills/The New York Times
  • President Biden retreated from his ambitious climate legislation, conceding that he would not be able to secure enough votes in Congress.
  • Democrats blamed Senator Joe Manchin. The bill’s remaining provisions focus on health care.
  • Biden met with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the de facto Saudi leader, prompting denunciations from human rights activists.
  • Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has jailed critics on a vast scale by holding them in pretrial detention, a Times investigation found.
  • A 4-year-old Ukrainian girl was killed in a Russian attack, encapsulating the horror of its stepped-up military assault.
  • Many Americans feel dour about the economy even as their own finances have held up, a Times/Siena poll found. (Here are all the poll’s key insights.)
  • Heavier menstrual cycles were a temporary side effect of Covid vaccines for some, a study found.
 
 

Subscribe Today

Our journalism is possible only with the support of subscribers. Access all the news and analysis from our experts with The New York Times Basic Access subscription. Subscribe today.

 

CULTURE CALENDAR

By Gilbert Cruz

Culture Editor

? “What We Do in the Shadows” (Out now): I’m pretty envious of anyone who has yet to see this FX show, which began its fourth season this week. A half-hour mockumentary about a group of moron vampires living in a house on Staten Island, “Shadows” is smart and dumb in equal measure. As our critic Margaret Lyons wrote in advance of Season 3, “‘Shadows’ thrives on clashes of majesty and mundanity, the fancy-schmancy lore contrasted with sibling-style bickering.”

? “PowerWash Simulator” (Out now on Xbox Game Pass and PC): Video games contain multitudes. You have your racing games, your violent shooters, your space odysseys and your grand open-world adventures. Then there are the quirky ones that scratch an itch you didn’t even know you had, like the desire to use highly pressurized streams of water to clean all manner of objects. To someone who likes to wind down his day washing the family dishes by hand, this sounds like heaven.

? “Nope” (Friday): Jordan Peele has a new movie. After you direct an instant classic like 2017’s “Get Out,” that’s how people write about you. They simply say, “Jordan Peele has a new movie.” Do I need to tell you what this movie is about, or will you go see it because Jordan Peele has a new movie? (Fine, it’s about flying saucers and it stars Daniel Kaluuya and Keke Palmer, OK?)

 

RECIPE OF THE WEEK

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Bobbi Lin for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Eugene Jho. Prop Stylist: Christina Lane

Stone Fruit Caprese

You don’t need much for a great caprese salad — just ripe tomatoes, milky mozzarella, basil and an open hand with the olive oil and salt. But Ali Slagle’s stone fruit caprese tweaks the basic idea in a dazzling new way. Instead of using tomatoes, she tosses chunks of summer stone fruit — peaches, nectarines, plums, cherries, whatever’s looking great at the market — with a little sugar and lemon. (Perfect if you’re a produce maximalist like Melissa Kirsch.) A brief maceration coaxes out the fruit’s sweet-tart juices, which mix with the olive oil to create the dressing. Make sure to take the mozzarella out of the fridge at least 20 to 30 minutes before you make this recipe, so its texture turns supple and soft. Then serve it with crusty bread or a spoon to catch every last, juicy drop.

A selection of New York Times recipes is available to all readers. Please consider a Cooking subscription for full access.

 

REAL ESTATE

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Top two, Nauset Media for Gibson Sotheby’s International Realty; bottom two, Cindy Freshwater

What you get for $300,000: a cottage in Wellfleet, Mass.; a farmhouse in Follansbee, W.Va.; or a rowhouse in Wilmington, Del.

The hunt: He wanted a condo for less than $1 million. Which did he choose? Play our game.

Wake-up call: Where better to protest billionaires than their Hamptons homes?

The next renovation frontier: Sex rooms.

 

LIVING

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Zeloot

What’s hot: Whatever you want to be.

Garden tip: Include native plants among your annuals.

Summer in Toronto: The live-performance scene is bouncing back in time for the city’s high season.

Beauty: A onetime style blogger is trying to reimagine skin care the French way.

 

GAME OF THE WEEKEND

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Hayward Field at the University of Oregon is hosting the championships.Chris Pietsch for The New York Times

The track and field world championships: For the first time, track and field’s most important non-Olympic competition is being held in the U.S. — in Eugene, Ore., sometimes referred to as TrackTown, U.S.A. The American sprinters Fred Kerley and Trayvon Bromell are among the favorites in tonight’s men’s 100-meter race, and Galen Rupp, who grew up in Oregon, is a contender in the men’s marathon tomorrow. An international star to watch: Jamaica’s Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce, a four-time world champion in the women’s 100 meters. All week on NBC and Peacock.

For more:

 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was blocked. Here is today’s puzzle.

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed this week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
Before You Go …
 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — Melissa

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 17, 2022

 

Good morning. Today we explain how college-educated workers are driving a spike in union organizing.

 
 
 
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Jaz Brisack on her way to work in February at Starbucks.Brendan Bannon for The New York Times

A labor resurgence

After decades of declining union membership, organized labor may be on the verge of a resurgence in the U.S. Employees seeking better working conditions and higher pay have recently organized unions at Starbucks, Amazon, Apple and elsewhere. Applications for union elections this year are on pace to approach their highest level in a decade. I asked Noam Scheiber, who covers workers and labor issues for The Times, what’s behind the latest flurry of union activity.

Ian: You recently profiled Jaz Brisack, a Rhodes scholar and barista who helped organize a union at a Starbucks in Buffalo that was the first at a company-owned store in decades. Why did she want to work there?

Noam: Jaz comes out of a tradition. We saw it during the Depression; people with radical politics taking jobs with the explicit intention of organizing workers. The term for this is “salting,” like the seasoning. The practice has had some limited success in recent decades, but we’re seeing a broader revival of it, and Jaz is part of that. Several salts got jobs at Amazon and helped organize a facility on Staten Island. Academics like Barry Eidlin and Mie Inouye have written extensively about this.

Jaz is very public about her beliefs. She wore a Karl Marx sweatshirt at Oxford University and once pressed the University of Mississippi’s chancellor — during a reception in Jaz’s honor — to remove a Confederate monument from campus.

She’s idealistic and ambitious, but being a social creature hasn’t always come naturally to her. She told me that when she first got to college, she was “incredibly socially awkward,” partly because she’d been home-schooled. Yet she would kind of will herself to do things that required interacting with strangers in order to advance the cause, like passing out fliers to promote a union campaign at a nearby Nissan plant.

Employees at nearly 200 other Starbucks have organized since Jaz’s store unionized in December. Did they follow her lead?

After their union won, Jaz and the other organizers got inquiries from Starbucks workers all over the country. They would go on Zoom calls and tell them how to get started. I was with the Buffalo organizers on the day the union won at a Starbucks in Mesa, Ariz., the first outside Buffalo during the campaign. One worker at Jaz’s store, Michelle Eisen, had been in close contact with the Mesa workers. I went to dinner with her and some of the other Buffalo organizers that night, and they were giddy. They took pride in what they’d set in motion.

So these things catch on. Whenever I cover a union campaign these days, I ask, “Have you been paying attention to what’s going on at Starbucks? At Amazon?” Invariably the answer is not just yes, but, “We were inspired by it, we were motivated by it, it showed us it could be done.” That was the case when I interviewed Trader Joe’s and Apple workers. And, historically, unionization tends to happen in spurts.

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Workers waiting to vote on a union outside Amazon’s Staten Island warehouse.DeSean McClinton-Holland for The New York Times

College graduates seem to be driving this spurt.

A key part of the story is the radicalization of the college-educated worker. You had a grinding recovery from the Great Recession followed by the pandemic. Being college-educated doesn’t necessarily mean being on board. But whether it’s Starbucks, Amazon or REI, college-educated workers have been heavily involved.

As a group, college-educated Americans are becoming more liberal than working-class Americans. Has that been a barrier to organizing workers without degrees?

College-educated workers often get the ball rolling, but they’re pretty skilled at bringing together a diverse group. I talked to Brima Sylla, a Liberian immigrant who helped organize his co-workers at the Staten Island Amazon facility. He’s got a Ph.D. in public policy and speaks several languages. He helped sign up hundreds of people, a lot of them fellow African or Asian immigrants. Another organizer was Pasquale Cioffi. He’s a former longshoreman and has a more traditional working-class background. He was good at talking to noncollege folks and Trump supporters. Having a coalition that put Brima and Pat together helped the union win.

You compared today’s organizing to the 1930s. What parallels do you see?

The Great Depression was obviously a traumatic moment. The financial system was breaking down. The economy was collapsing. Unemployment was at 25 percent. But by 1936, things were substantially better, though still not great. That’s been true during the pandemic, too. A lot of people lost their jobs in 2020, but by 2021, the labor market was tight, and workers felt empowered. That one-two punch — a traumatic event, and then things improving — is a recipe for successful organizing.

Your profile of Jaz reads differently from many Times stories. You talk about yourself — like her, you were a Rhodes scholar and interviewed your former classmates, contrasting their business-friendly outlook of the late 1990s with her skepticism. Why did you write it that way?

Once I understood Jaz’s background and role in the Starbucks campaign, my first thought was, “Wow, this probably wouldn’t have happened among my cohort of Rhodes scholars.” My reflex was to compare it to my group and marvel at the differences. It seemed more honest, authentic and compelling to just own that.

More about Noam: He joined The Times in 2015 after almost 15 years at The New Republic and lives near Chicago. After a bad experience involving a late-night cup of coffee, his college humor magazine and an 8 a.m. math class, he avoids caffeine.

For more

  • How Amazon fought back after workers organized a Staten Island warehouse.
  • But a similar effort to unionize a nearby Amazon facility failed.
 

NEWS

International
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President Biden and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia yesterday.Doug Mills/The New York Times
  • President Biden is framing his meetings with Middle East autocrats as an effort to contain Russia and outmaneuver China.
  • Russia’s defense minister ordered troops to step up attacks in Ukraine.
  • President Vladimir Putin is making sweeping changes to school curriculums to shape the views of young Russians.
  • Europe is at a fragile moment: It is confronting tests of its democracies, a plunging currency and the war in Ukraine.
  • Dozens of wildfires have swept across Europe, driven by a heat wave.
 
Other Big Stories
  • The pandemic is still a driving factor behind the world’s economic woes.
  • A conservative lawyer pitched Donald Trump in late 2020 on a “martial law” plan to overturn his election loss.
  • Some residents of a North Dakota city were excited about a new mill and its promise of jobs, but its ties to China turned others against the project.
  • New state abortion bans will likely have an outsized impact on the youngest pregnant girls.
 

FROM OPINION

 
 

The Sunday question: Should Biden have met with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia?

Biden’s meeting on Friday with Prince Mohammed after condemning him for a journalist’s murder affirms the idea that the U.S. only selectively cares about human rights, Agnès Callamard argues in Foreign Affairs. Yasmine Farouk writes that while it may not have been Biden’s main objective for resetting relations, the meeting was a chance to pressure Saudi Arabia on human rights.

 
 

Subscribe Today

Our journalism is possible only with the support of subscribers. Access all the news and analysis from our experts with The New York Times Basic Access subscription. Subscribe today.

 

MORNING READS

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The Laylit party in Brooklyn.Ahmed Gaber for The New York Times

On the dance floor: A Middle Eastern party scene is thriving in Brooklyn.

Travel woes: It’s getting harder to get a passport quickly.

Sunday routine: A cruise boat captain tries to steer crowds as close to the Statue of Liberty as possible.

Advice from Wirecutter: Moving your home office outside this summer? Bring a fan — not just to keep you cool, but also to repel mosquitoes.

A Times classic: A timeless tomato tart.

 

BOOKS

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Michelle Mildenberg

Forget the beach reads: These historical novels are worth the weight.

By the Book: The last great book that Teddy Wayne read was Alison Espach’s “Notes on Your Sudden Disappearance.”

Our editors’ picks: The journalist Katy Tur’s memoir, “Rough Draft,” and nine other books.

Times best sellers: Henry Kissinger’s “Leadership,” which profiles statecraft strategies, is a nonfiction best seller. See all our lists here.

The Book Review podcast: Our critics discuss “Why We Did It,” by Tim Miller.

 

THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE

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Villagers planting trees in Brazil.Lalo de Almeida for The New York Times

On the cover: Can planting a trillion trees save the world?

Recommendation: Talk to yourself.

Diagnosis: A mysterious fall was the first sign that something was wrong.

Eat: The case for grilling cucumbers.

 

THE WEEK AHEAD

What to Watch For
  • Stephen Bannon, the former top adviser to Donald Trump, will go on trial tomorrow on a charge of contempt of Congress.
  • Maryland will hold its primaries on Tuesday.
  • Vladimir Putin will meet with the leaders of Iran and Turkey on Tuesday.
  • Italy’s prime minister, Mario Draghi, is expected to address Parliament on Wednesday to clarify the country’s political future.
  • The Jan. 6 committee will hold a hearing on Thursday to walk through a minute-by-minute accounting of Donald Trump’s actions during the Capitol riot.
  • Major League Baseball’s All-Star Game is on Tuesday. First up is its Home Run Derby tomorrow.
 
What to Cook This Week
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Julia Gartland for The New York Times. (Photography and Styling)

Rethinking your grocery budget because of inflation? Emily Weinstein suggests moving away from meat and embracing beans and vegetables with these and other recipes: pasta with tuna, capers and scallions and vegan coconut-ginger black beans.

 

NOW TIME TO PLAY

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Here’s a clue from the Sunday crossword:

45 Down: Language in which “khoobsurat” means “beautiful”

Take the news quiz to see how well you followed the week’s headlines.

Here’s today’s Spelling Bee. Here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times.

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 18, 2022

 

Good morning. As another heat wave descends, the U.S. federal government is pulling back from the climate fight. What now?

 
 
 
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Extreme heat in Nice, France, this weekend.Valery Hache/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Buckling in the heat

Weather forecasters say that Britain this week may experience its highest temperature on record — more than 40 degrees Celsius, or about 105 degrees Fahrenheit. In response, officials in London have asked people to stay home, saying that vehicles may overheat and rail tracks may buckle.

In France, Greece, Spain and other parts of Europe, the same heat wave has sparked dozens of wildfires.

In the U.S., parts of the Southwest and the Central Plains are bracing for temperatures that could reach 110 degrees this week. Already, the city of Tulsa has experienced more days above 100 degrees this summer than it historically has in an entire summer on average.

Yet in the face of these mounting signs and costs of climate change, the U.S. federal government is choosing not to address the problem. Last week, President Biden’s package of policies to reduce climate-warning pollution collapsed, after Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia withdrew his support. Last month, the Supreme Court restricted the Environmental Protection Agency’s authority to reduce pollution at power plants.

As my colleagues Jonathan Weisman and Jazmine Ulloa write:

Climate change remains an issue with little political power, either for those pressing for dramatic action or for those standing in the way.

“People are exhausted by the pandemic, they’re terribly disillusioned by the government,” said Anusha Narayanan, climate campaign director for Greenpeace USA, the environmental group known for its guerrilla tactics but now struggling to mobilize supporters. She added: “People see climate as a tomorrow problem. We have to make them see it’s not a tomorrow problem.”

The lack of U.S. action on climate change has alarmed many experts. Without American leadership, the world will probably struggle to limit warming to levels that scientists have urged, for the sake of preventing much worse damage than the planet is already on course to experience. The U.S. remains a major emitter of greenhouse gases, and it also has the geopolitical sway to persuade China and India to do more than they are now doing — if the U.S. is also acting.

Today’s newsletter looks at what this country can still do to address climate change, even with Washington seeming to withdraw from the fight.

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A Tesla charging station in Marin City, Calif.Eric Risberg/Associated Press

Sum of the parts

California is on the verge of requiring that all new cars sold there be electric or zero-emission by 2035. Colorado and New York have sharply cut their electricity emissions in recent years. About 20 other states have also taken aggressive steps to slow global warming, as have some local governments and companies.

“States are really critical to helping the country as a whole achieve our climate goals,” said Kyle Clark-Sutton of RMI, a clean-energy think tank. “They have been leading.”

None of these changes has nearly the impact that federal action would. But smaller changes can still add up — and even foster broader changes. Consider the vehicle market: By mandating electric vehicles, California and other states will lead automakers to build many more of them, likely spurring innovations and economies of scale that will reduce costs for everybody and thereby increase their use around the country.

It’s a reminder that climate change is one of those issues on which activists may be able to make more progress by focusing on grass-roots organizing than top-down change from Washington, especially in the current era of polarization. Locally, the politics of climate change can sometimes be less partisan than they are nationally, as Maggie Astor, a climate reporter at The Times, has written.

Executive action

After Manchin seemed to doom the climate legislation last week, Biden vowed to “take strong executive action to meet this moment.” His authority is much narrower than it would be if Congress passed new legislation, especially given the current Supreme Court’s hostility to many kinds of environmental regulation. But Biden does have several tools he can use.

Among them:

  • He has directed the E.P.A. to write new rules to reduce pollution from vehicles — the nation’s largest source of planet-warming pollution — and accelerate the transition to electric vehicles.
  • Even with the recent Supreme Court ruling, the E.P.A. still has the authority to issue narrow rules that would affect coal-and-gas-fired power plants, the second-largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.
  • The E.P.A. also plans to issue regulations this year to curb leaks of methane from oil and gas wells, another significant source of greenhouse gases.

(The Times’s Coral Davenport has explained each of these in more detail, as well as the potential legal challenges to them.)

Getting to 51

There are two basic reasons that a single senator — Manchin — has had the power to block climate legislation.

First, the chamber is split evenly between Democrats and Republicans (with Vice President Kamala Harris breaking ties), giving Democrats no margin for losing a vote. Second, no Republican senators are willing to vote for major climate legislation. Over the longer term, changing either of these situations could lead to more aggressive U.S. policies to slow climate change.

On the Republican side, some conservatives have been pushing their party to follow the lead of many other center-right parties around the world, which help pass and shape climate policies. Carlos Curbelo, a former congressman from South Florida, has pointed out that climate change is already creating daily problems for many Americans. Jay Faison is a North Carolina business executive who created a foundation to promote conservative climate solutions. The Niskanen Center, a Washington policy group, is doing similar work.

If even a small number of congressional Republicans supported policies to slow climate change, it could transform the politics of the issue, creating bipartisan, pro-climate majorities in Congress.

On the Democratic side, the main question is how to prevent Manchin from being the deciding vote in future years — that is, by winning more seats in purple and red states. As I’ve described in previous newsletters, Democrats struggle to win in these states partly because the party has alienated working-class voters who are moderate or conservative on many social issues and see Democrats as the party of liberal college graduates.

A recent poll analysis by Echelon Insights offered some fascinating details, contrasting the views of strongly progressive voters with working-class Americans on immigration, patriotism, policing and other subjects. The poll also found that views of Hispanic voters tended to be similar to working-class views — and very different from the progressive views. One example: Asked if America were the greatest country in the world, 70 percent of Hispanic voters and 69 percent of working-class voters said yes, but only 28 percent of “strong progressives” did.

For a party to win over new voters, it usually can’t simply change a couple of policy positions. Politics is more complex than that. But it is clear that many blue-collar voters don’t feel at home in the Democratic Party — and that their alienation is a major impediment to the U.S. doing more to slow climate change.

More on the climate

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Handing out water in Phoenix this month.Ross D. Franklin/Associated Press
 

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discuss Manchin, space and Ivana Trump.

 
 

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MORNING READS

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A Shrek rave in Brooklyn this month.Sinna Nasseri for The New York Times

Shrek: Online obsessions with the ogre turned into a real-life party.

Blockbuster: Netflix is betting big on “The Gray Man,” starring Ryan Gosling and Chris Evans as C.I.A. employees.

Metropolitan Diary: A cool ride home after a breakup, and more tales from the city.

A Times classic: Lasik gone wrong.

Advice from Wirecutter: Gifts for coffee lovers.

Lives Lived: Jak Knight, a stand-up comedian, writer and actor, attracted attention as a voice actor and writer on “Big Mouth.” He died at 28.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

Rory’s disappointment: Cameron Smith charged past Rory McIlroy yesterday to win the Open Championship with an eight-under 64, a round fit for legend, as Brendan Quinn writes. Smith wondered out loud afterward how many beers he could fit into the Claret Jug.

An M.L.B. draft surprise: The Texas Rangers selected pitcher Kumar Rocker — the Mets’ first-round pick last season — at No. 3, much higher than experts predicted. New York chose not to offer Rocker a contract after evaluating his medicals. Did they make a mistake? The Rangers think he’s worth the risk.

Are the Mariners legit? Seattle won its 14th straight game Sunday, entering the All-Star break on a high as the hottest team in baseball. They’re one win shy of the franchise record.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

A Gen X icon

You may not have heard much about the comedian Janeane Garofalo, 57, in a while. She has no social media presence, not even a smartphone.

But she’s still performing across New York, often sharing bills with young unknown comedians, even as she eschews online life or even doing a television special. That prompted the Times critic Jason Zinoman to ask: Is this what not selling out looks like?

“It would be easy to see Garofalo performing with comics half her age to a sparse Brooklyn crowd as a portrait of decline,” Jason writes. “But to my Generation X eyes, it looks like a kind of triumph.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Julia Gartland for The New York Times

Cherry tomatoes provide a strong flavor to this cold noodle dish.

 
What to Watch

These comedy specials from veteran stand-ups are ideal for summer viewing.

 
What to Listen to

Revisit The Times Magazine’s music issue, featuring songs that get us through it.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was telepathy. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Praiseful poems (four letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. The Times’ revamped and renamed Sunday Opinion section debuted yesterday.

The Daily” is about Biden’s meeting with M.B.S.

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 19, 2022

 

Good morning. The anti-democracy movement in the U.S. started before 2020 and may endure for years.

 
 
 
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Donald Trump at a rally in Memphis in June. Mark Peterson/Redux, for The New York Times

Bigger than Trump

On Feb. 24, 2016 — during Donald Trump’s Republican primary campaign and more than four years before he would falsely accuse Joe Biden of election fraud — somebody registered the website www.stopthesteal.org. It may have been Roger Stone, the Republican operative who was advising Trump’s 2016 campaign and appears to have coined the phrase “Stop the Steal.”

At the time, the target of the phrase was not a Democrat. It was Ted Cruz, Trump’s closest competition for the Republican nomination. After Cruz won the Colorado caucuses in April 2016, hundreds of Trump supporters gathered at the State Capitol in Denver and chanted, “Stop the steal!” During this same period, the website posted baseless allegations claiming fraud in other states.

This bit of history comes from Charles Homans’s latest revelatory story — which The Times Magazine has just published — about the anti-democracy movement within the Republican Party. The story’s central point is that this movement to create doubt about election results is older than many people realize and larger than Trump himself.

“What is striking about the movement around the supposed theft of the 2020 election,” Charles writes, “is how much of it — the ideas, and rhetoric, and even the people involved in it — predated Trump’s presidency, and in some cases even his candidacy.” And as that movement continues today, it is based less on the narrow goal of restoring Trump to power and more on a missionary zeal to put right-wing candidates into office.

The candidates running these campaigns this year, including the Republican nominee for governor in Pennsylvania and the nominees for secretary of state (the job overseeing elections) in several other states, do not talk about Trump very often. They instead cast themselves as part of a larger crusade to preserve traditional American, Christian and conservative values. As Charles explains, they “see themselves as an American people distinct from the American population — a people whose particular loyalties, identities and values designated them as the nation’s true inheritors, regardless of what the ballots might have said.”

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Protesters in Washington the night before Jan. 6.Mark Peterson/Redux, for The New York Times

White nationalism

When Charles and I spoke yesterday, we spent some time mulling over why this anti-democratic movement has become a dominant force within the Republican Party now. Conspiracy theories have a long history in American politics, of course (including on the political left), but they have usually remained on the fringes. To take one example, the John Birch Society of the mid-20th century spread some similar ideas as today’s right-wing conspiracists do, but few Birchers won statewide or federal office.

What has changed? There is no single answer, but there are a few plausible partial explanations.

One is that many conservatives — especially white conservatives — feel more threatened than in past decades. They worry they are part of a fading minority. As Charles’s story documents, the Stop the Steal movement has strong roots in the Tea Party movement, which began early in Barack Obama’s presidency and frequently portrayed him as illegitimate and un-American.

Obama’s election, as the first Black president, was a clear sign that the country had become more racially diverse and seemed destined to become even more so. It also happened as the country was questioning traditional ideas of gender and sexuality and becoming more secular, with religious observance declining.

In his reporting, Charles interviewed a supporter of Doug Mastriano, the Republican nominee for governor in Pennsylvania, after a rally and asked her what she expected if Mastriano won. “I see him stepping in and going back to the Constitution — putting God back in things,” she said. “He’s about bringing everything back,” she explained. “Everything back.”

Still, this racial and cultural reactionary response is almost certainly not the full story. After all, the U.S. has experienced more intense periods of debate over racial and gender issues — like the 1960s — without giving rise to a large anti-democracy movement. Today, several other factors also seem to play a role.

Four more reasons

One is the underlying level of frustration among Americans after decades of slow-growing living standards for most people. A financial crisis, which began shortly before Obama’s election, and the slow recovery from it exacerbated the dissatisfaction.

Another factor, Charles believes, is a pandemic that has disrupted daily life and caused a further deterioration in many measures of physical and mental health, fostering a sense that society is coming apart.

A third factor is modern media. On the internet, falsehoods can spread more quickly and be repeated more frequently than, say, the Birchers’ claim that Dwight Eisenhower was a secret communist. Fox News, meanwhile, broadcasts conspiracies to millions of viewers.

Finally, while Trump’s role is sometimes exaggerated, it is still central. In the past, national leaders tended to reject the conspiracies; in 2008, John McCain famously corrected one of his own supporters who called Obama an Arab. Trump, by contrast, promoted lies as no other modern U.S. politician has, making them acceptable to people who otherwise might have rejected them. And once he became president, many other Republican politicians chose to echo him or at least refused to denounce him.

That’s how the anti-democracy movement moved to the center of today’s Republican Party. For now, it still revolves around Trump. But it also has the potential to outlast him.

 

THE LATEST NEWS

The Climate
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A member of the Queen’s Guard receiving water at Buckingham Palace yesterday.John Sibley/Reuters
 
Politics
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Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia.Pete Marovich for The New York Times
  • Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat, has imperiled the Biden administration’s plan to enact a global minimum tax.
  • It’s Primary Day in Maryland, with close contests in the Democratic and Republican races for governor.
  • A $300 million fund-raising deal involving Trump Media was said to have leaked months early to a Miami investment firm. The deal is under investigation.
 
War in Ukraine
 
Other Big Stories
 
Opinions

There is plenty of blame to go around for the death of the Democratic climate agenda, Jamelle Bouie writes.

Vladimir Putin believes he can win the war in Ukraine, and then win over the West, Tatiana Stanovaya says.

 
 

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MORNING READS

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Kelly the elephant stretches out her trunk to reach for food.Video by Andrew Schulz/Zoo Atlanta

Nature: The skin of an elephant’s trunk is a scientific marvel.

Colleagues: The magic of your first work friends.

Stories: “Everyone knew the punchline but me.” A writer recounts dropping out of college.

Well: Nearly one in 10 women has endometriosis, but doctors are slow to diagnose it.

A Times classic: The secret history of women in coding.

Lives Lived: Claes Oldenburg’s monumental sculptures gave everyday items — a clothespin, a spoon, a tube of lipstick — a sense of scale once reserved for the sacred. “We do invest religious emotion in our objects,” he once said. Oldenburg died at 93.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A half-billion-dollar man? Nats star Juan Soto is on the trading block after rebuffing a $440 million offer from the club. It didn’t stop him from winning the Home Run Derby last night.

USWNT’s big win: The U.S. women’s national team edged Canada 1-0 to win the Concacaf W Championship title. The victory secures a spot in the 2024 Olympics.

The Celtics’ lovable goofball: Grant Williams holds impromptu news conferences, boasts bravado beyond his years and has the work ethic to back it all up. Jared Weiss delves into what made a former doughy prospect into an elite role player.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

Pickles and pastrami

Matzo ball soup, chopped liver, kugel, salami and pickled herring — it’s all on display at “I’ll Have What She’s Having,” an exhibition in Los Angeles exploring Jewish delicatessens.

The exhibition “surveys the story of immigration as a force behind changing American tastes,” Adam Nagourney writes in The Times. But it’s also nostalgic. New York City was home to about 3,000 Jewish delis in the 1930s; today there are a few dozen.

As far as the name for the exhibition goes … do you have to ask?

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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Grant Cornett for The New York Times

Take a hash brown, plump it up with more potatoes and a few eggs, and bake it to create this potato kugel.

 
What to Watch

Daisy Edgar-Jones stars as an orphaned girl in the marshes of North Carolina in an adaptation of “Where the Crawdads Sing.”

 
What to Read
 
Late Night

Trevor Noah discussed Biden’s fist bump with M.B.S.

 
Now Time to Play
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The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was weighted. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Feeling sore (four letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. On this day in 1967, air-conditioned subway cars debuted in New York. “Passengers forgot the usual stony stares to smile at one another in disbelief,” The Times wrote.

The Daily” is about Europe’s heat wave. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” Jenny Schuetz talks about unaffordable housing.

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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July 20, 2022

 

Good morning. Western Europe demonstrates the unavoidably global nature of the climate problem.

 
 
 
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A wildfire in Monts d’Arrée, France, yesterday.Loic Venance/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Where emissions have fallen

Western Europe has done more to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions over the past three decades than any other region in the world.

It has vastly expanded solar and wind power. It has introduced carbon taxes and other policies to increase the cost of dirty energy. In all, the European Union has cut its greenhouse gas emissions by about 30 percent since 1990, much more than the U.S., Canada, Japan, Australia or other affluent countries.

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Emission data excludes forestry and land use; ends at 2019 to exclude temporary declines during pandemic. | Source: Climate Action Tracker

But Europe’s clean-energy progress has not protected the continent from the growing ravages of global warming. “That’s the problem with CO2,” as my colleague Henry Fountain said, referring to carbon dioxide, the primary greenhouse gas. “It doesn’t respect borders.”

Britain yesterday experienced its hottest temperatures on record, around 104 degrees Fahrenheit. The heat wave is especially problematic because much of Britain is not designed to withstand high temperatures; the normal average high on a July day in London is in the low to mid-70s.

Many British homes not only lack air-conditioning but are built with materials that retain heat. Most parts of the London subway system lack air-conditioning, as well. On Monday, one airport had to halt flights for hours after the heat damaged a runway. To keep the aging Hammersmith Bridge from collapsing, workers wrapped parts of it in foil to prevent cracks from expanding.

In Paris, the temperature also exceeded 104 degrees yesterday, a high the city has reached on only two other days since the late 1800s. In southwestern France, firefighters battled wildfires for the eighth straight day. In Greece, dry conditions helped cause a wildfire north of Athens that forced thousands of people to evacuate their homes. Firefighters have also been battling blazes in Portugal and Spain.

It’s all a reminder of both the extreme dangers from climate change and the unjust burdens that it is causing.

Why Europe?

As experts have long noted, the biggest climate injustices involve low-income countries that will suffer deeply because they already tend to be hotter. The Horn of Africa is struggling with drought, and South Africa, Chile and Brazil have faced water shortages.

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Turkana women carrying firewood past the carcass of a cow in Kenya, which is in a drought.Simon Maina/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

These same countries have produced only a small share of cumulative greenhouse gases since industrialization began: Those gases tend to come from electricity use, driving and other forms of economic output. Africa, for instance, has produced about 4 percent of historical emissions. (You can look up the numbers for the U.S., China and other countries in these charts by my colleagues Nadja Popovich and Brad Plumer.)

Now Europe is becoming another example of climate change’s unfair burden, at least relative to other rich countries that are responsible for large shares of historical emissions. True, not all of Europe’s clean-energy policies have succeeded. But the shortcomings can sometimes obscure the reality that it has made more progress in reducing emissions than anywhere else. One reason: Conservative parties there tend to agree that climate change demands a response, in contrast to the Republican Party’s stance in the U.S.

Despite these reductions, Europe is turning into one of the world’s new climate hot spots.

Why? Slowing winds and weakening ocean currents in the region may both play a role. (If you want the details, Henry Fountain explains them.) Henry says that experts are still debating the causes. But scientists agree that Europe’s current heat wave would not be happening without human-caused climate change. “Global warming plays a role in every heat wave at this point,” he said.

Russia and the future

Going forward, it remains unclear how much hotter Europe will become, partly because it depends on what actions the world takes to combat climate change. The U.S. seems to be pulling back from aggressive action, because of rulings by the Supreme Court as well as opposition to President Biden’s climate bill from Republicans and Senator Joe Manchin, a West Virginia Democrat.

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A wildfire in Penteli, Greece.George Vitsaras/EPA, via Shutterstock

Whether Europe will continue its rapid shift toward clean energy has also become uncertain. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led the E.U. and Britain to look for energy sources other than Russian gas — and the replacements, like coal or liquefied gas, could end up being dirtier, notes Somini Sengupta, who anchors The Times’s Climate Forward newsletter.

The E.U. has promised to make up the difference and has enacted several new policies in recent weeks. One would accelerate the shift to electric cars by banning the sale of new gasoline-powered cars in 2035. The E.U. would also expand solar and wind power even more than previously planned.

If it keeps those policies in place, the E.U. will probably continue to lead the world in greenhouse gas reductions. “Fears of a big climate backslide by the European Union may be overblown,” John Ainger and Akshat Rathi of Bloomberg wrote last week.

Either way, it won’t be nearly enough to avoid terrible climate damage, as Europe is experiencing this week.

More on the climate

 

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A Pride rally in Washington last year.Michael Reynolds/EPA, via Shutterstock
 
Other Big Stories
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From left: Vladimir Putin, Ebrahim Raisi of Iran and Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey.Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times
 
Opinions

While Britain melts, its Conservative government is pulling back on its climate plans, Moya Lothian-McLean writes.

Ross Douthat has spent roughly 55 hours behind the wheel in the last three weeks, making him an “expert on American driving.”

 
 

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MORNING READS

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Treasure Brown, an intern at McKinsey.Sarah Silbiger for The New York Times

Empty offices: Hey, is anyone watching the interns?

Bummer summer: This year, any anticipated return to revelry has been hampered by … *waves hands at everything.*

Skin care: No product will keep your face wrinkle-free, but here’s what to look for in eye creams.

A Times classic: The summer’s best hot takes, as voted on by readers.

Lives Lived: Born in World War II-era Romania, Ritzi Jacobi played with clothes because she didn’t have toys. As an artist, her wall hangings and soft sculptures incorporated fibers in what became known as the “new tapestry” movement. She died at 80.

 

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A.L. takes bragging rights: The American League edged the National League 3-2 in Tuesday’s M.L.B. All-Star Game thanks to back-to-back home runs from Giancarlo Stanton, the game’s MVP, and Byron Buxton. It’s the ninth straight A.L. win.

The N.B.A.’s new billionaires: Mike Vorkunov maps out the realistic future where some recent N.B.A. draftees could earn $1 billion in career salary.

Less charm, more blockbusters: Stewart Mandel takes a look at the rapidly evolving heart of college football as we charge into the super conference era.

Bridges charged with domestic violence: Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges will appear in court today after the Los Angeles district attorney filed charges of domestic violence and child abuse against the 24-year-old budding star.

 

ARTS AND IDEAS

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Desus Nice and the Kid Mero.Joel Barhamand for The New York Times

Desus and Mero split

The Showtime talk show “Desus & Mero” is coming to an end, capping a nine-year partnership that propelled its Bronx-bred hosts to stardom. Over web series, podcasts and TV shows, Desus Nice (Daniel Baker) and the Kid Mero (Joel Martinez) scrapped crafted monologues for a looser style. Along the way, they interviewed Barack Obama, Derek Jeter, Denzel Washington and Yo-Yo Ma.

The duo did it all with a Black perspective not often seen in late-night comedy. “I have fun on Jimmy Kimmel and James Corden,” the actress Lena Waithe said, but with Desus and Mero, “it felt like going to your favorite cousin’s crib and talking about the events of the day and what’s going on.”

 

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
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David Malosh for The New York Times

Vietnamese iced coffee has three ingredients: coffee, water and condensed milk.

 
What to Listen to

Lizzo’s new album, “Special,” gestures toward complexities but retreats to her comfort zone.

 
What to Read

Isaac Fitzgerald’s “Dirtbag, Massachusetts” is a memoir about male misbehavior and the struggle to make sense of oneself.

 
Late Night

Stephen Colbert skewered Bannon.

 
Now Time to Play
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was dynamic. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Tip off (four letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

 
 

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

Correction: A caption in yesterday’s newsletter incorrectly identified a Trump rally as taking place in Memphis; it took place in Southaven, Miss.

P.S. Watch the trailer for “She Said,” a movie based on The Times’s Harvey Weinstein investigation.

The Daily” is about miscarriage care. On “The Argument,” a debate over progressives and moral panic.

Matthew Cullen, Claire Moses, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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