Members phkrause Posted October 31, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 31, 2023 Trump's old-age issues President Biden's age has been a big topic of 2024 coverage. But if former President Trump wins the presidency back, he'd also be the oldest person ever to be inaugurated. And his campaign has disclosed far less about his health than the White House has about Biden, Axios' Alex Thompson reports. Why it matters: Trump, 77, often mocks the 80-year-old Biden as feeble and confused — even as some of Trump's foes are highlighting the former president's own gaffes and relatively light campaign schedule. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, trying to cut into Trump's big polling lead in the GOP presidential race, has been targeting Trump's age. Last week, DeSantis' campaign revealed a "Trump accident tracker" to compile the former president's verbal slips on the trail, and asked whether Trump had the "stamina" to be president — using a word Trump often has invoked against his opponents, particularly Hillary Clinton in 2016. "This is a different Donald Trump than 2015 and '16 — lost the zip on his fastball," DeSantis told reporters in New Hampshire last week. Trump's campaign has posted many videos of Biden stumbling, while Biden's campaign has answered with ads with Trump looking heavy and sweaty, often while golfing. In recent weeks, Trump has mixed up Jeb Bush with George W. Bush and repeatedly said "Obama" and "Obama administration" while trying to criticize Biden or Hillary Clinton — slip-ups the DeSantis campaign highlighted. Last week, Trump called Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán "the leader of Turkey." Last month, before the Israel-Hamas war broke out, Trump warned a crowd that Biden would lead the U.S. into "World War II" — which ended in 1945. Both the Biden and DeSantis campaigns chided Trump after he told a crowd in Sioux City, Iowa, on Saturday that he was happy to be in "Sioux Falls" — which is in South Dakota. Trump went public in 2020 about taking what he called a "very hard" cognitive test. He's also tried to portray himself as athletic and vigorous, posting videos of himself golfing. The Trump campaign didn't comment for this story. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 31, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 31, 2023 Trump's plan to bring back mental institutions Former President Trump is calling for the return of "mental institutions" as part of his plan "to get the homeless off our streets" if he wins a second term, Axios' Caitlin Owens reports. Why it matters: Large psychiatric facilities lost credibility in part because they ended up simply warehousing people, rather than doing much to treat them. "When I am back in the White House, we will use every tool, lever, and authority to get the homeless off our streets," Trump said in a video posted on his campaign site in August. Trump said his administration would offer treatment for people "just temporarily down on their luck." "And for those who are severely mentally ill and deeply disturbed, we will bring them back to mental institutions, where they belong," he said, "with the goal of reintegrating them back into society once they are well enough to manage." Keep reading. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 1, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 1, 2023 How Nikki Haley is overtaking FL’s Ron DeSantis as the alternative to Trump for GOP voters The Republican race for president comes to Central Florida this weekend; she’ll be the only woman on the stage https://floridaphoenix.com/2023/10/31/how-nikki-haley-is-overtaking-fls-ron-desantis-as-the-alternative-to-trump-for-gop-voters/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 2, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 2, 2023 Inside the White House's No Labels strategy Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios Top White House officials are anxiously watching a potential third-party challenge from No Labels, while studiously avoiding any public attacks that could give the group oxygen for its bipartisan presidential ticket, Axios' Hans Nichols reports. Why it matters: The historically unpopular prospect of a Trump vs. Biden rematch has breathed life into a cadre of potential spoilers and alternatives, among which No Labels is the most well-funded. Driving the news: President Biden hosted a fundraiser in rural Minnesota today — a pre-planned visit to the home state of Rep. Dean Phillips, a moderate Democrat who launched an unlikely primary challenge last week. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist and Kennedy family scion, exited the Democratic primary last month to run as an independent. Cornel West, a left-wing academic and activist, is also running an independent campaign that could draw a second look from progressive voters alienated by Biden's support for Israel's military operation in Gaza. Behind the scenes: Team Biden's goal is to avoid antagonizing No Labels' founder and CEO Nancy Jacobson, a former Democratic political operative whom many senior Biden officials know well. The hope is that Jacobson eventually will look at the polling and pull the plug on her third-party campaign. Some top Biden advisers view Jacobson and her husband, former Clinton pollster Mark Penn, as political opportunists who are using the dark money group to line their pockets. The White House is not discouraging the efforts of outside groups — mainly the centrist Third Way and the progressive Moveon.org — who are organizing against No Labels. What they're saying: "The White House is doing the right thing to ignore them," said Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster. "But there are aggressive efforts to organize and take them down." "Our intent is simply to ensure that everyone understands that this would be a spoiler that would elect Donald Trump," said Third Way co-founder Matt Bennett. The big picture: Some Democrats are comforted by the argument that voters who dislike both Biden and Trump — the so-called "double doubters" — eventually will break for Biden when it becomes clear that the election is more of a choice between two candidates than a referendum on the current president. But that binary decision would be complicated by the presence of viable third-party options in states across the country. RFK Jr. and West won a combined 25% support in a new Quinnipiac poll testing a four-way race, while 36% of voters supported Biden and 35% supported Trump. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 2, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 2, 2023 Quiet campaign to succeed Biden Democratic governors and senators are quietly boosting their national profiles to set up presidential campaigns in 2028 — or 2024, if President Biden unexpectedly drops out, Axios' Alex Thompson and Sophia Cai report. Why it matters: These ambitious Dems all support Biden's re-election. The jockeying is a hedge against a presidential health scare, or other surprise, before the Democratic National Convention in Chicago next August. More than half a dozen Democratic lawmakers recently have established national political organizations, embarked on résumé-building foreign trips, and visited states with early presidential contests. Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and California Rep. Ro Khanna traveled to New Hampshire. Khanna returned this week to debate GOP presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker — who ran for president in 2020 — has $10 million in cash on hand for a 2026 Senate re-election bid that he could transfer to a 2024 presidential campaign. Booker will headline a panel in South Carolina on health care and abortion rights on Nov. 18. California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Pritzker each recently launched a national political group — Campaign for Democracy, Fight Like Hell PAC and Think Big America, respectively. Newsom's group has focused on gun safety. Whitmer and Pritzker's groups emphasize abortion rights. 🥊 Reality check: All of the Democrats reiterated to Axios their support for Biden and their plans to work hard to get him re-elected. Biden, who'd be 86 at the end of a second term, released a report from his doctor saying he's in good health. The intrigue: Democrats' commitment to Biden hasn't stopped them from running just-in-case scenarios. If Biden were to leave the race before the end of this year, there likely would be time for candidates to get on enough state ballots to win the nomination. But if he were to exit after Jan. 1, the fight could go to the Democratic convention. Candidates wouldn't be able to get on the ballot in enough states, according to an analysis in September by the Brookings Institution's Elaine Kamarck, who has been on the DNC Rules Committee since 1997. In that case, Biden likely would have some delegates and could ask them to support a candidate. But the delegates would be free to support who they want. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 3, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 3, 2023 Rick Scott endorses Trump over DeSantis as Orlando GOP event looms U.S. Sen. Rick Scott said Thursday he was endorsing former President Donald Trump for president, adding yet another blow to Gov. Ron DeSantis’ campaign just two days before Florida Republicans gather in Kissimmee for their annual statewide meeting. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/11/02/rick-scott-endorses-trump-over-desantis-as-orlando-gop-event-looms/? U.S. Sen. Rick Scott endorses Trump over DeSantis for president Florida U.S. Senator Rick Scott on Thursday endorsed Donald Trump for president – bypassing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. https://floridaphoenix.com/2023/11/02/u-s-sen-rick-scott-endorses-trump-over-desantis-for-president/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 4, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 4, 2023 DeSantis leans into COVID-19 vaccine attacks but with little avail MANCHESTER, N.H. — Gov. Ron DeSantis had hoped that his response to the coronavirus pandemic, which helped propel him to a resounding reelection in Florida last year, would produce similar results in the Republican presidential primary. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/11/02/desantis-leans-into-vaccine-skepticism-to-energize-struggling-campaign/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 5, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 5, 2023 Democrats fear that Biden’s Israel-Hamas war stance could cost him reelection in Michigan Democrats in Michigan have warned the White House that President Joe Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict could cost him enough support within the Arab American community to sway the outcome of the 2024 election in a state he almost certainly can’t afford to lose. Read more. Why this matters: Michigan holds the largest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation, with over 310,000 residents of Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. Many in the community are pledging to coalesce against Biden’s reelection campaign unless he calls for a ceasefire. The situation has prompted the White House to discuss ways to alleviate tensions with some of the state’s prominent Democrats, including several who have been vocal critics of the president over the war. Michigan was a critical component of the so-called blue wall of states which includes Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that Biden returned to the Democratic column in 2020. That election year, Muslim voters nationally supported Biden over Trump 64% to 35%, according to AP VoteCast. Electoral college math has narrowed in recent presidential elections, making it hard to envision a scenario for Biden to win reelection that doesn’t include Michigan. Related coverage ➤ Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war is a political test in South Florida’s Jewish community Biden calls for humanitarian ‘pause’ in Israel-Hamas war Trump asks a court to prevent Michigan secretary of state from leaving his name off the 2024 ballot Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 5, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 5, 2023 🗳️ Biden campaign sees "very close" election A Biden campaign memo says President Biden can reassemble the coalition that won the White House in 2020 — but warns of a "very close general election," Axios' Hans Nichols reports. Election Day is one year from Sunday. Biden campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said the strategy is to offer a choice between the president's steady hand and "whoever emerges from the extreme MAGA Republicans' primary field." 🥊 Reality check: The campaign wants to avoid a straight referendum on Biden policies, some of which get poor marks from voters. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 6, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 6, 2023 Tell me if you’ve heard this: Two senior citizens run for president At 70, I’ve slowed down some. Well, a lot. And, yet, I could be president. This is not hubris. Not “could” as in there is any remote possibility that I will ever be president or want to be. But, “could” in the sense that saddled with that job, it would not be beyond my physical and mental abilities if I had the necessary political and policy chops (I don’t!) and a platoon of expert help and advice. https://wisconsinexaminer.com/2023/11/01/tell-me-if-youve-heard-this-two-senior-citizens-run-for-president/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 6, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 6, 2023 🗳️ Scoop: Biden's 2024 team roiled by war Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios Part of President Biden's political team is in turmoil over the Israel-Hamas war: Some Democratic National Committee aides see the White House as abetting an immoral attack on Palestinians. Others believe Biden is showing "moral clarity" in protecting Israel from terrorists, Axios' Alex Thompson and Andrew Solender report. Why it matters: The strife reflects larger generational and political divisions among Democrats — chiefly between older pro-Israel Democrats and younger progressives who are more sympathetic to the plight of Palestinians. Zoom in: Some DNC staffers are despondent about the scale of Israel's response. One staffer said they are considering resigning, citing Biden's resolute support for Israel. A high-ranking DNC official who asked not to be identified told Axios: "The president centered his 2020 campaign on a 'Battle for the Soul of the Nation.' But it seems as though the administration is currently in a battle for its own soul." DNC chair Jaime Harrison told Axios in a statement that Israel "has a right to defend itself from terrorism and the continued threat posed by Hamas." Harrison noted that Biden has been "a strong advocate for both humanitarian assistance to the people of Gaza as well as protecting civilian lives." Some DNC staffers say they've been rattled by emails and phone calls from Democratic grassroots donors angry about the administration's policy, according to a person familiar with the matter. On Friday, 51 DNC staffers — about 17% of the DNC's roughly 300 employees — signed a letter to DNC leaders saying that "we feel it is the DNC's moral obligation to urge President Biden to publicly call for a ceasefire," The Huffington Post reported. Zoom out: Internal conflicts are also playing out among Democrats in Congress and their staffs. Former staffers for the presidential campaigns of Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) have penned letters urging the senators to call for a ceasefire. Several House Democrats told Axios they expect more of their colleagues to begin speaking out about the humanitarian situation in Gaza. Go deeper: Congressional Dems grow critical of Israel's war effort Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 6, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 6, 2023 🏛️ President's war cabinet Photo illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios. Photos: Evan Vucci/AP, Bloomberg, AFP, Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images President Biden is leaning on a tight circle of trusted aides and officials as he navigates one of the thorniest challenges of his presidency. He's briefed at least once per day, and talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu several times a week. 🚪 Here's a look at who's in the room when major decisions are made: Tony Blinken, Secretary of State and Biden's longtime confidant, arrived in Israel yesterday on his second trip to the Middle East since the Hamas terrorist attack. Lloyd Austin, Secretary of Defense, has been speaking daily with his Israeli counterpart to get updates on the military operation in Gaza. Jake Sullivan, National Security Adviser, is nearly always in the room with Biden when major foreign policy decisions are made. Jon Finer, Deputy National Security Adviser, is one of the few senior administration officials with first-hand experience of conflict in Gaza — both as a top aide to former Secretary of State John Kerry, and as a reporter for The Washington Post. Bill Burns, CIA Director, and Avril Haines, Director of National Intelligence, have been briefing the president at least once daily. David Satterfield, Special Envoy for Middle East Humanitarian Issues, came out of retirement to oversee the U.S. humanitarian response in Gaza. Brett McGurk, National Security Council coordinator for the Middle East, has been engaging with Egypt and Qatar, particularly on the hostage issue. Vice President Kamala Harris has joined Biden for multiple calls with Netanyahu, and has been in many of the key meetings and briefings on the crisis. Roger Carstens, Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs, is working to ensure the safe return of Americans taken hostage by Hamas. Two U.S. citizens were released on Oct. 20. Ten Americans are still unaccounted for and presumed to be held hostage. Gen. Erik Kurilla, Central Command (CENTCOM) Commander, is running point on military-to-military communications with the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and overseeing the movement of U.S. troops, ships and other assets into the region. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 6, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 6, 2023 📊 NYT poll: Trump romps Biden in swing states Graphic: The New York Times (Full methodology). Used by kind permission If the election were held today, Donald Trump would easily beat Joe Biden with over 300 electoral votes, according to a new swing state poll from The New York Times and Siena College. Why it matters: The poll undermines the idea that Biden is the most electable Democrat against Trump, Axios' Alex Thompson writes. 📉 By the numbers: The poll shows Trump leading Biden in five swing states — Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania — all of which Biden won in 2020. Biden led Trump by 2 points in Wisconsin. The president is down 4 points in Pennsylvania, 5 in Arizona, 6 in Georgia, 5 in Michigan, and 10 in Nevada. The margin of error is about 2 points when all the states are joined, and up to 4.8 points for individual states. 71% said Biden was "too old," including 54% of Biden's supporters. Only 39% of those voters felt the same about Trump — who'd be the oldest president ever inaugurated, and has shared no details about his health. Biden polls weaker than alternative Democrats — even Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump leads Biden by 5 points. A generic, unnamed Democrat has an 8-point lead over Trump — a 13-point swing. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 7, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 7, 2023 Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds to endorse Ron DeSantis for president Monday as Donald Trump fumes Gov. Kim Reynolds' decision to endorse Ron DeSantis angered Donald Trump, who has already accused Reynolds of being insufficiently loyal https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2023/11/05/iowa-gov-kim-reynolds-to-endorse-ron-desantis-president-monday-rally-des-moines-caucuses-2024-trump/71438016007/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 7, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 7, 2023 Biden's doomsday receipts Fresh off another cycle of alarming polls, the Biden campaign is responding to Democrats' apocalyptic fears by fishing out past examples of winning candidates defying early expectations — including Joe Biden himself in 2020. Why it matters: A year out from the 2024 election, campaign officials are battling negative polls and doomsday narratives as much as they are Biden's Republican rivals. The two-front war ratcheted up in intensity over the weekend, after former Obama strategist David Axelrod suggested that the 80-year-old Biden should consider dropping out in light of his grim polling. Team Biden's response is simple, if not risky: Pundits are underestimating Biden, just as they have with countless others who experienced polling dips before prevailing on Election Day. Driving the news: The latest New York Times/Siena poll — which found Biden is trailing former President Trump in five of the six most important battleground states — has unleashed new fears that Democrats are barreling toward disaster next November. Axelrod acknowledged that Biden defied conventional wisdom in 2020, but predicted this polling "will send tremors of doubt through the party — not 'bed-wetting,' but legitimate concern." The other side: "The year is 2011. It's one-year out from Election Day, and the New York Times has just put out polling showing President Obama trailing significantly in battleground states," Biden campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez wrote in a fundraising email pegged to the poll. "Is Obama toast?" read the headline of the Times piece, which the Biden campaign points out was echoed by plenty of other polling writeups in fall 2011. "I'm old enough to to remember that Ronald Reagan was trailing in 1980s for his election. I'm old enough to remember when Bill Clinton was trailing," former DNC chair Donna Brazile added on ABC's "This Week." Screenshot via MSNBC Reality check: While the history lessons serve as a good reminder that polls are imperfect and not predictive, they do nothing to address Biden's underlying weaknesses as a candidate. Ignore the horse-race headlines: Swing-state voters overwhelmingly trust Trump over Biden on the economy, immigration, foreign policy and national security. They also have deep concerns about Biden's age, a weakness that — unlike the economy, for example — can't be assuaged through time and policy. "Among all the unpredictables there is one thing that is sure: The age arrow only points in one direction," Axelrod warned. What to watch: Biden maintains advantages on abortion and "democracy," the two issues that helped propel Democrats' poll-defying performance in the midterms. Biden won't be on the ballot in Tuesday's elections, but abortion-related questions will be in Ohio and Virginia. Another Democratic over-performance could bolster the campaign's case for optimism — and the argument that votes, not polls, are the only metric that matters. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 7, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 7, 2023 ⚡ Governors split endorsements 1. Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders is set to endorse Trump at a rally Wednesday in Florida, where the former president will be counter-programming the third GOP debate in Miami, NBC News reports. Why it matters: The former White House press secretary's refusal to weigh in had been a source of tension with Trump, who viewed her neutrality in the Republican primary as disloyal, as Axios reported in July. 2. Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds endorsed Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a highly unusual intervention in the first-in-the-nation caucuses that comes after Trump repeatedly attacked Reynolds, the Des Moines Register first reported. What they're saying: "I believe [Trump] can't win, and I believe that Ron can. And that's a big reason I got behind him," Reynolds told NBC News in a joint interview with DeSantis. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 5 Republicans will be on stage for the third presidential debate. Here’s who missed the cut COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — The field of candidates onstage for the third Republican presidential debate will be the smallest yet. https://apnews.com/article/third-republican-presidential-debate-candidates-59d912e593fdd75e9280c735e2f4ca30? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 Trump holds 39-point lead on DeSantis among Florida GOP voters, poll finds Former President Donald Trump is dominating Gov. Ron DeSantis in a new poll of voters in Florida, the state that’s home to both. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/11/07/florida-poll-shows-trump-crushing-desantis-among-states-republican-voters/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 🗣️ Dueling memos set stage for debate clash MIAMI — Tomorrow's GOP presidential debate is expected to bring fireworks to what increasingly looks like the race for second between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley. Why it matters: Unless the Republican field dramatically consolidates, former President Trump — who is hosting a counter-programming rally down the road in Latino-dominated Hialeah — will skate to the nomination. A recent poll found DeSantis and Haley are locked in a distant second in the Iowa caucuses, where a dominant Trump showing on Jan. 15 could render the rest of the primary a formality. Both of the potential Trump alternatives are casting their rival as a "spoiler" with no path to the nomination — setting the stage for tomorrow's melee in Miami. Driving the news: A memo penned by DeSantis strategists points to Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds' surprise endorsement yesterday as a sign that DeSantis is uniquely positioned to stop Trump from winning big in the first-in-the-nation caucuses. "Every dollar the Pro-Haley community collects or spends should also be listed as an 'in-kind' contribution on Trump's campaign FEC reports," the memo argues. The other side: "EVEN IF DeSantis were to do well in Iowa, which is a big 'if' given his current decline, he is in such a weak position in New Hampshire and South Carolina that it doesn't matter. He has no end game," Haley's campaign manager Betsy Ankney wrote in her own pre-debate memo. Between the lines: The Trump campaign seemingly can't get enough of the feud, blasting out Haley's latest anti-DeSantis ad — "These Boots Are Made for Lying" — and predicting "a battle of losers on the debate stage." Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 🏛 Tlaib debate roils Democrats The House will formally vote tomorrow on the latest attempt to censure Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) over her stance on the Israel-Hamas war, after a Democratic maneuver to block the measure failed on the floor today, Axios' Andrew Solender reports. Why it matters: Tlaib has sparked backlash from both parties as one of Congress' most outspoken critics of Israel, with her latest statement defending the pro-Palestinian slogan, "From the river to the sea," triggering a new round of Democratic infighting. "I can't believe I have to say this, but Palestinian people are not disposable," Tlaib said in an emotional speech defending herself on the House floor, where she held up a photo of her Palestinian grandmother. "The cries of the Palestinian and Israeli children sound no different to me. What I don't understand is why the cries of Palestinians sound different to you all." What they're saying: "Echoing slogans that are widely understood as calling for the complete destruction of Israel — such as from the River to the Sea — does not advance progress toward a two-state solution," House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said in a statement today marking one month since the Oct. 7 Hamas terrorist attack. Keep reading Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 Third GOP debate will focus on Israel and foreign policy, but also on who could beat Donald Trump Foreign policy and the Israel-Hamas war are expected to be prominent in Wednesday’s third Republican primary debate, as a narrowing field of candidates seeks to cut into Donald Trump’s lead without being able to challenge the former president in person. Read more. Why this matters: With voting set to start in leadoff Iowa in January, no one has thus far been able to shake Trump’s dominance of the Republican primary. Many of the candidates have gone after each other hoping to break out as a viable alternative to the former president, emphasizing their differences on foreign policy but also ripping Trump for his criticisms of the Israeli prime minister. Trump himself will again skip the debate in Miami, instead holding a rally in a nearby suburb and saying he won’t participate due to his large lead in early polls. Related coverage ➤ Want to tune in for the third GOP presidential debate? Here’s how to watch Can Nikki Haley take a big step forward? What to watch during the Republican debate Donald Trump is dominating the GOP primary and settling into a new role: Defendant Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 8, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 8, 2023 📊 Biden dead heat in Georgia Data: Atlanta Journal-Constitution's "2024 Early Look Survey." Chart: Axios Visuals President Biden's re-election hurdles appear to be growing in Georgia — a battleground he won by fewer than 12,000 votes in 2020, Axios Atlanta writes from an Atlanta Journal-Constitution/University of Georgia poll out this morning. The poll finds Biden in dead heats in Georgia with former President Trump, former UN Ambassador and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis — just a few days after a New York Times/Siena poll had Biden trailing by six percentage points vs. Trump in Georgia. Disclosure: The AJC and Axios are both owned by Cox Enterprises. More on the poll ... Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 9, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 9, 2023 3rd GOP debate begins with candidates competing on foreign policy and who could beat Trump MIAMI — Republican presidential candidates quickly criticized Donald Trump in Wednesday’s third debate for skipping the event and suggested he was no longer the same person who won the White House. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/11/08/the-third-gop-debate-begins-with-candidates-competing-on-foreign-policy-and-who-could-beat-trump/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 9, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 9, 2023 🐘 Youngkin handed presidential buzzkill GOP donors' dreams of a late presidential campaign by Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin evaporated last night after Democrats' victory ended any momentum he might have had as a viable Trump alternative. "I'm not going anywhere," Youngkin told reporters at a post-election press conference today. Between the lines: Youngkin's disappointing night may ultimately have been a case of mismanaged expectations in a very purple state. Boosted by a popular governor, Republicans over-performed Trump's 2020 margin in every swing seat in Virginia — but ultimately fell short of Youngkin's goals of flipping the Senate and holding the House. "If we learned anything from the last few years, it's that the difference between a 'sweep' and 'devastating loss' is 1-3 points," Cook Political Report's Amy Walters noted. In other words, don't be surprised to see Youngkin presidential chatter pick up again in 2028. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted November 9, 2023 Author Members Share Posted November 9, 2023 📸 Parting shot Photo: Jason Koerner/Getty Images for DNC The Biden campaign planted 1,000 "Dark Brandon" signs around the GOP debate venue in Miami, trolling Republicans with a meme that has proved to be one of the president's most potent fundraising gimmicks. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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