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Chris Christie ends his Republican presidential bid, criticizing his rivals on his way out

WINDHAM, N.H. (AP) — Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie on Wednesday suspended his Republican presidential bid just days before Iowa’s leadoff caucuses, ceding to growing pressure to drop out of the race from those desperate to deny Donald Trump a glidepath to the nomination.

https://apnews.com/article/christie-presidential-race-5e974cfa407d39af878f066a71af35ad?

ps:I'm sad to see him go. He was the only true Republican that was running.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗣️ Trump tries to have it all
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Screenshot of Trump campaign fundraising email

"I am your retribution," former President Trump declared in a fundraising email to supporters yesterday afternoon.

  • Five hours later: "I'm not going to have time for retribution," Trump told Fox News, downplaying his quest for presidential vengeance.

Why it matters: Trump's somewhat subdued performance in yesterday's town hall reflects a tenuous balancing act that we may see more of as primary season gives way to the general election campaign.

On abortion, for example, Trump said he was "proud" to have appointed the Supreme Court justices who "terminated" Roe v. Wade — comments that were quickly seized upon by the Biden campaign.

  • But virtually in the same breath, Trump attacked Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for signing a ban on abortions after six weeks — a law widely celebrated by the anti-abortion movement.

On political violence, Trump told moderators Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum that "of course" it's never acceptable.

  • But Trump — who just this week warned of "bedlam" related to his criminal charges — also claimed there was "very little of it" during his presidency, ignoring the Jan. 6 rioters he so often defends.

On authoritarianism, Trump called the notion that he's going to be a "dictator" in his second term a "political ploy" by his critics.

  • But Trump is the one who drew attention to himself by vowing to be a "dictator on day one" on Fox News last month, and he again repeated the odd phrase last night.

The bottom line: Most candidates put on a more moderate face as they "pivot" to the general election. Trump's track record suggests he may not have the discipline to make anything stick.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Pulpits propel Trump
Photo Illustration of Ben Carson, Darrell Scott, Michael Flynn, Paula White-Caine, Mark Burns and Greg Locke within the silhouette of Donald Trump
 

Photo illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios. Photos: Mark Wilson, Paras Griffin, Ida Mae Astute, Al Drago, Dustin Franz, William DeShazer, Suzanne Cordeiro, Brendan Smialowski/Getty

 

DAVENPORT, Iowa — Evangelical pastors, heavily for Donald Trump, are a huge reason Monday night's Iowa caucuses have become a race for second place after the former president.

  • Why matters: They don't just embrace Trump because he appointed three Supreme Court justices who helped overturn Roe v. Wade. Many of them share — and preach — his apocalyptic view of U.S. politics, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

Trump's flock includes MAGA pastors who, in speeches and podcasts, cast Democrats as demonic, promote Christian nationalism and tout Trump as chosen by God to save Christianity.

  • Many echo Trump's claim that the 2020 election was stolen.

They include Joel Tenney, a 27-year-old Iowan primarily known for his Armenian advocacy work.

  • "You cannot be Christian and vote for a Democrat," Tenney, who spoke at a recent Trump rally in Coralville, Iowa, told Axios.

Trump's team of faith leaders includes former HUD Secretary Ben Carson, who has been stumping for Trump in Iowa.

  • In a packed Grace Family Church in Davenport on Wednesday night, Carson — a Seventh-day Adventist — sought to reassure anyone in the crowd who had misgivings about Trump's profanity.
  • "Would you rather have somebody whose tongue is maybe a little wild but has incredibly good policies that make your life better," Carson thundered, "or somebody who has a silver tongue but terrible policy?"

What's happening: Trump has an easier time reaching evangelicals now than in the past two election cycles, in part because of changes in the evangelical world, Tim Alberta, author of "The Kingdom, the Power, and the Glory," told Axios.

  • "He once needed the name-brand Christian conservatives to vouch for him," Alberta said.
  • But thanks partly to the demand for content on social media, "Trump benefits today from a decentralized cast of less-established, more-online influencers."

Stef Kight contributed reporting ...

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🐘 Trump shows signs of worry

DES MOINES — Former President Trump — who for months appeared to be coasting to a wide win in Iowa's caucuses — is showing signs of worry ahead of Monday night's voting, Axios' Sophia Cai and Alex Thompson report.

  • Why it matters: If Nikki Haley finishes a reasonably strong second to Trump in conservative Iowa, she'd be set up for success in the Jan. 23 primary in more moderate New Hampshire, where polls indicate she trails Trump only by single digits.

🤔 Trump's team is lowering the bar for what it would consider a success in 2024's first presidential contests.

  • Since the fall, Trump has had polling leads in Iowa of more than 30 points over Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy.
  • But yesterday, Trump senior adviser Chris LaCivita reminded reporters that no one's ever won the Iowa caucuses by "more than 12.8%" — and that he'd count a Trump win by more than that as a success.

What's happening: Trump's team stepped up criticism of Haley this week, claiming she's weak on border security, would seek higher taxes and is propped up by donations from Democrats.

  • Trump is calling Haley — his ambassador to the UN — "Nikki New Tax."
  • Trump also has turned to race-baiting tactics he used to criticize former President Obama — falsely suggesting Haley shouldn't be eligible to be president because of her parents' heritage as Indian immigrants.

The other side: "This is a two-person race between Nikki's conservative vision for a strong and proud America, and Trump's continued obsession with the chaos and drama of the past," Haley communications director Nachama Soloveichik said.

ps:trump is not worried about the other candidates!! He's worried about going to prison!!!!

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🌽 Dems could boost Haley in Iowa

DES MOINES — Some Iowa Democrats and independents are planning to crash the subzero Republican caucuses tomorrow night and become "Republicans for a day" to vote for Nikki Haley — but, actually, against former President Trump, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

  • Why it matters: It's unclear how many will show up. But "crossover" voting is a low-key tradition in Iowa's caucuses — and it's one of Iowa's big unknowns.

🧠 How it works: Iowa allows day-of party registration for voters, and Democrats aren't holding in-person presidential caucuses this year.

  • That's given mischievous anti-Trump voters "a chance to diminish Trump's inevitability," as Don McLeese of West Des Moines put it.
  • McLeese told Axios he'll be a crossover voter: "I'll hold my nose and caucus for Haley."

Lyle Hansen, a Republican precinct captain for Haley in Cedar Rapids, says "there could be a good crossover" vote for Haley because Democrats "get to come over and pick the candidate for Biden to oppose."

  • Hansen speaks from experience: He crossed over to vote in the Democratic caucus in 2016 in order to vote against Hillary Clinton.

🥊 Reality check: Crossover voters are unlikely to help Haley catch Trump.

  • But GOP strategist David Kochel said that if crossovers see Haley as the best Republican alternative to Trump, they could help her finish a solid second in Iowa, ahead of Ron DeSantis.
  • "If you even had 5,000 or 7,500 people across the state cross over for her, that might be the difference between her and Ron DeSantis," Kochel said.

The intrigue: There's some risk for Iowa's Democratic Party if many of its members cross over to vote with Republicans.

  • People who switch parties to participate in a caucus sometimes don't switch back.

What's next: If Haley benefits from crossover voters, it could feed Trump's claims that Democrats are helping to prop up her campaign.

  • Trump senior adviser Chris LaCivita told Axios: "If that is something they are relying on to get through the night, then poor people, I feel bad for them."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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📊 Trump dominates final Iowa poll
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Data: NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll (705 likely Iowa caucusgoers, polled Jan. 7-12, margin of error: ±3.7 points). Graphic: NBC News

Nikki Haley edged ahead of Ron DeSantis in the final poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers before tomorrow night's vote.

Trump polled as the first choice for 48% of likely caucusgoers in the NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll, down from 51% in December.

  • Haley is at 20%, up from 16% in December.
  • DeSantis is at 16%, down from 19% in December.
  • Vivek Ramaswamy is at 8%, up from 5% in December.
  • All those fluctuations are within the poll's margin of error (±3.7 points).

Between the lines: Trump (49%) and DeSantis (23%) scored far better than Haley (9%) when it came to having "extremely enthusiastic" supporters.

  • "The deep data on [Haley] suggest she looks stronger in the poll than she could on caucus night," said J. Ann Selzer, who conducted the poll.

The long game: Trump's wide lead is unusual for Iowa.

  • The last two Iowa GOP caucuses were far tighter heading into election day, as NBC election guru Steve Kornacki reminded people on Saturday.

🥶 The bottom line: The biggest X factor could be the weather.

  • The forecast high for Des Moines tomorrow is -5, with a low of -11, and wind chill as low as -30.

Explore the data ...

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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The view from the White House
Illustration of a wallet full of dollar, an up and down bar graph, and annoyed emoji faces
 

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

President Biden will spend the next 1o months trying to convince voters to trust their wallets about the state of the economy — while acknowledging their persistent concerns about high prices.

Why it matters: Biden's bid for re-election could hinge on whether he can walk that tightrope, Axios' Hans Nichols reports.

Zoom in: Poll after poll shows that the country is bummed out by the economy. Voters blame Biden.

  • Nearly four in 10 Americans rate their financial situation as poor, according to a new Axios Vibes survey by The Harris Poll.

Inside the White House, patience is the watchword.

  • Biden's team is more annoyed than angered by criticism from fellow Democrats such as David Axelrod, who called a December Wall Street Journal poll "very, very dark."
  • Don't look at the polls, Biden's top advisers say. Look at the economic fundamentals.
  • Unemployment is below 4%. GDP growth was above 5% in the third quarter. Annual inflation is at 3.4%, down from its 9.1% high in 2022.
  • Those numbers are better — or comparable — to the last four presidents who successfully ran for re-election, according to an internal White House analysis.

What they're saying: "It does take consumers a while to kind of see data consistently, and see prices that have actually come down, to feel really confident about them," Lael Brainard, the chair of the National Economic Council, told Axios.

  • That's economist-speak for: "Give us time."
  • A new Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll suggests that public opinion about the economy might be improving. In January, 29% of voters said the economy was in recovery, compared to 21% in October 2023.

Between the lines: There's one economic reading that remains stubbornly low: consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan's monthly survey.

  • Many Democrats are convinced that Biden's bad economic poll numbers stem from doom and gloom media coverage, which is then spread and amplified by social media. Everyone ends up feeling lousy.
  • Some economists also argue that Republicans tend to be more sour about a Democratic president's economy than vice-versa, skewing the consumer sentiment numbers.

What we're hearing: In White House debates over how to talk about the economy, Biden himself has always insisted that he needs to address the struggles that some Americans face. That won't change in 2024.

  • "We want to make sure that we are acknowledging the reality of the people he's meeting with," Brainard said.

What we're watching: While acknowledging inflation, Biden will try to channel some of the voters' anger away from the White House.

  • For much of 2022, he blamed "Putin's price hike" for high gas prices. In 2024, the target is corporate greed.

The bottom line: For Biden to make Americans less grumpy about the economy, he needs two things: an economy that keeps humming and sticks the soft landing — and time.

  • He doesn't have much of the latter.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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😡 Americans are angry — and think their leaders don't care
Illustration of hands pointing, checkmarks, ballot imagery, and unamused and angry emojis
 

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

Americans agree on at least one thing: A huge margin say their political leaders don't care about them, according to findings from the Axios Vibes survey by The Harris Poll.

Why it matters: This angry, irritated feeling cuts across all groups, without much hope for improvement with a potential Biden-Trump rematch looming in November, Axios' Justin Green writes.

Axios Vibe Check: 74% of Americans said they don't think their leaders care about them.

  • 😡 No single group reached 40% — whether broken down by race, party, gender, age, income or geographic region — on saying yes when asked whether they think leaders care about them or their loved ones.
  • 😒 43% said their lives are worse under the Biden administration, vs. 29% who said they're better and 28% who said unchanged.
  • Even Democrats are split on how they feel, with just 53% saying they're better off under Biden.

Keep reading

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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💰 Biden's best haul

President Biden raised over $97 million for his reelection effort in the final three months of 2023, his campaign announced this morning.

  • Why it matters: It's Biden's strongest fundraising quarter yet. He enters the election year with $117 million cash on hand — likely to give him an advantage over his potential Republican rivals, Axios' Alex Thompson writes.

👀 Flashback: The Biden campaign and associated committees have raised less than former President Trump's reelection campaign did at this point four years ago, but more than then-President Obama's reelection campaign at the same point.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Iowa caucuses: What to watch as voters weigh in on the Republican campaign’s first contest of 2024

As frigid temperatures scour the Midwest, the Republican presidential nominating process will officially start Monday with Iowa’s caucuses.

https://apnews.com/article/iowa-caucuses-republicans-2024-trump-haley-desantis-6d11ce49eeccd89c37214c8a9ff6ace8?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🍑 Biden badly behind in Georgia
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgraphics.axios.co
Data: Poll by Atlanta Journal-Constitution and University of Georgia's School of Public and International Affairs. Chart: Axios Visuals

President Biden trails former President Trump by 8 percentage points in a hypothetical rematch in Georgia, Axios' Erin Doherty writes from an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of registered voters out today.

  • Why it matters: The poll offers an early warning sign for Biden, who flipped Georgia blue in 2020 for the first time in nearly three decades.

🧮 By the numbers: Trump led Biden 45-37% in the poll of registered voters, with 6% undecided and another 12% planning to back a different candidate or not vote, according to the AJC — which, like Axios, is owned by Cox Enterprises.

🔎 Zoom in: The poll shows Biden's support wavering among Black Georgians, a voting bloc that was key to his success in Georgia in 2020.

  • 10% of Black Georgians don't plan to vote for president in 2024.
  • 58.6% of Black Georgians say they would support Biden, while 20.4% said they would support Trump.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson ends his 2024 campaign after sixth-place finish in Iowa caucuses

LITTLE ROCK, Ark. (AP) — Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson dropped his long-shot bid for the Republican presidential nomination on Tuesday, ending a candidacy that was a throwback to an earlier era of the GOP but ultimately failed to resonate in a party now dominated by Donald Trump.

https://apnews.com/article/asa-hutchinson-drops-out-republican-race-a450d5e669df0f341586b21c51dfe858?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Next Republican debate canceled after Nikki Haley says she’ll only participate if Donald Trump does

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — ABC News on Tuesday canceled the next Republican presidential debate after Nikki Haley said she wouldn’t participate unless former President Donald Trump takes part in it, leaving Gov. Ron DeSantis as the only candidate committed to Thursday’s event in New Hampshire.

https://apnews.com/article/nikki-haley-election-2024-trump-desantis-debate-cfa811ad87758a2d92779e793f06bbce?

ps:Good for her!!

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump Won Iowa – Can He Beat The Supreme Court?

On this week’s episode of Lever Time, David Sirota speaks with Denver Post columnist and longtime Republican Krista Kafer, one of the plaintiffs in the landmark Colorado lawsuit that resulted in the state’s Supreme Court removing Donald Trump from the presidential ballot. 

https://www.levernews.com/lever-time-trump-won-iowa-can-he-beat-the-supreme-court/

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Biden may get some help from Republicans against Trump

President Biden’s reelection bid may be getting some help from an unlikely source: Republicans.

A slow drip of Republicans and former Trump administration officials are outright saying they would vote for Biden over former President Trump in a general election rematch, citing their belief that Trump poses a risk to U.S. democracy.

“While I’ve never voted for a Democrat a day in my life, I would support Biden over Trump if he becomes the GOP nominee. I won’t support someone who refused to participate in a peaceful transfer of power, tried to overthrow a free and fair election, and incited a mob to attack the U.S. Capitol,” Sarah Matthews, a former press aide on Trump’s 2020 campaign and in the Trump White House who resigned on Jan. 6, 2021, told The Hill.

 

Recent polling also showed a swath of former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley supporters in the Iowa caucuses would back Biden over Trump in a general election.

The willingness of some Republicans to cross party lines hints at what may become a key factor in November: If Trump-skeptical Republicans can swallow their concerns and back the former president, or if they vote for Biden and bolster his coalition in what will likely be a close race.

A Decision Desk HQ average of national polling shows the former president leading Biden by roughly 1 percentage point. Recent swing state polling shows Trump leading Biden by 8 points in Michigan and Georgia, while Biden is narrowly ahead in Pennsylvania.

Strategists have said November’s election may depend on which candidate best gets out their base given the limited number of persuadable voters to chase.

“President Biden ran for president to unite the country, and has governed for all Americans with red states and blue states benefiting from the historic infrastructure legislation, lower costs on prescription drugs and a boom in manufacturing jobs,” Ammar Moussa, a Biden campaign spokesperson, said in a statement. “We welcome the support of everyone who is concerned about the existential threat that Donald Trump and extremists pose to our freedom and democracy.”

Many GOP voters resistant to Trump are holding out hope that Haley can secure the nomination. An NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of Iowa voters conducted days before Monday’s caucuses found 43 percent of those who supported Haley said they would vote for Biden over Trump in a general election.

But Trump’s dominant showing in Iowa and his strong polling lead in other early primary states suggests he’s likely to be the nominee.

“I think it’s highly likely that it’s gonna be Biden against Trump. And in that case, there is no question who I would support. I believe in America way more than I believe in the Republican Party,” former Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), who served on the House committee that investigated Jan. 6, said on CNN.

Asked if he would vote for Biden, Kinzinger said he’d pick the sitting president over Trump “in a heartbeat.”

“To me, that’s not even a question I would have to wrestle with,” Kinzinger said.

Anthony Scaramucci, who infamously spent 10 days as Trump’s White House communications director, backed former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) in the 2024 primary. But he told CNN on Saturday he would “100 percent” support Biden over Trump in a general election.

“This really is going to be a battle for democracy, this one,” Scaramucci said, warning Trump would expand executive power and use the Justice Department to target his adversaries.

Other Republicans have yet to go as far as outright saying they would vote for Biden but have signaled they could not fathom supporting Trump again.

“There are some conservatives who are trying to make this claim that somehow Biden is a bigger risk than Trump,” former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) said during a recent appearance on “The View.”

“My view is I disagree with a lot of Joe Biden’s policies,” added Cheney, an outspoken Trump critic. “We can survive bad policies. We cannot survive torching the Constitution.”

Alyssa Farah Griffin, who was a press aide for Trump and former Vice President Mike Pence, has expressed concerns about Biden’s ability to win in November. But she has offered stark warnings that another Trump victory could mean the end of American democracy “as we know it.”

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah), who is retiring at the end of his term, did not rule out voting for Biden over Trump, who he called “dangerous for the country.”

While a potential third-party bid, like the one being organized by No Labels, could attract some anti-Trump conservatives, Democrats believe it is important for Biden to try to win over that faction of Republicans.

“The thing that I would look at if I were the Biden campaign is that third of people who say, no, the election was legitimate, yes, I think that President Trump would be unfit if he were convicted of a crime,” David Axelrod, a former senior adviser in the Obama White House, said on CNN after the Iowa caucuses. “It seems to me among that group, there are people who might consider voting for Biden.”

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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For Biden, Another Trump Nomination Presents Opportunity, and Great Risk

WASHINGTON — To be clear, no one in President Joe Biden’s White House would ever root for Donald Trump. To a person, they consider him an existential threat to the nation. But as they watched Trump open the contest for the Republican presidential nomination with a romp through Iowa, they also saw something else: a pathway to a second term.

Biden’s best chance of winning reelection in the fall, in their view, is a rematch against Trump. The former president is so toxic, so polarizing that his presence on the November ballot, as Biden’s advisers see it, would be the most powerful incentive possible to lure disaffected Democrats and independents back into the camp of the poll-challenged president.

And so, some Democrats felt a little torn this week as the Republican race got underway. None of them would cry if Trump were taken down by someone like former Gov. Nikki Haley of South Carolina, who has one shot in New Hampshire next week to make it a race. Whatever Haley’s flaws, and Democrats see many, they do not believe she would pose the same danger to democracy that Trump does.

But if she won the Republican nomination, she might pose a bigger danger to Biden.

The paradox recalls 2016, when many Democrats were not unhappy when Trump won the Republican nomination, on the theory that the country would never elect a bumptious reality-television star who specialized in racist appeals and insult politics. Burned once, they are not so certain this time, but Democrats are banking on the hope that the country would not take back a defeated president who inspired a violent mob to help him keep power and has been charged with more felonies than Al Capone.

“I was not one of those Democrats who thought Trump would be easier to beat in 2016,” said Jennifer Palmieri, Hillary Clinton’s communications director in the election she lost to Trump. “Some Democrats root for Trump. I think it is better for the country” for him “to be defeated in the Republican Party and not continue to gain strength.” If Trump did lose, she added, she believed Biden could defeat Haley or Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida.

But it might not be as easy. Haley would be vulnerable to Democratic attacks for enabling Trump as his ambassador to the United Nations, and even as a Republican candidate for president who largely declined to attack the former president and would not rule out voting for him if he won the nomination.

Yet she might not be as radioactive with undecided voters. And unlike Trump, who is 77, Haley, at age 51, would have an easier time making a generational case against Biden, 81, who even most Democratic voters say is too old for another term, according to polls.

A CBS News survey released Sunday indicated that Haley was a stronger potential challenger to Biden than Trump at this stage of the race. She held an 8-point advantage over the incumbent president in a hypothetical matchup, 53% to 45%, while DeSantis had a 3-point lead over Biden and Trump a 2-point edge.

For public consumption, at least, Democrats stick with the we’ll-beat-anyone, they’re-all-tainted-by-Trump line, and the Democratic National Committee began laying the groundwork by regularly attacking her and other GOP alternatives to Trump since the 2022 midterm elections.

“We’ll be ready for Donald Trump or whatever MAGA extremist stumbles out of this process,” Ammar Moussa, a Biden campaign spokesperson, said Tuesday.

In private, however, some Democrats agree that Haley would be harder to defeat yet express far less fear about her winning than Trump, who has talked about being a dictator for 24 hours and using his office to exact retribution against his enemies.

“Most Democrats I know are frankly terrified at the prospect of another Trump presidency and that’s why you’ve seen President Biden and his team repeatedly highlight how dangerous a second Trump term would be,” said Lis Smith, a senior adviser to Pete Buttigieg during the 2020 Democratic primary campaign. “Haley might be polling better now, but her numbers would come down to earth when voters learn more about her positions and across-the-board support for the GOP’s most unpopular policies.”

Democrats have tried before to game out which Republican candidates might be easier to beat in the fall, an exercise pitting pragmatism against principle. In 2022, some Democrats promoted far-right allies of Trump in GOP primaries on the assumption that they would be easier to defeat in a general election, even though they had been excoriating just such candidates as dangerous to democracy.

Democrats are not repeating that sort of intervention at the presidential level this year. “If anyone is rooting for Trump, that’s nuts,” said Faiz Shakir, a senior adviser to Sen. Bernie Sanders, the democratic socialist from Vermont who ran for president in 2016 and 2020. “Careful what you wish for. He undoubtedly drives enthusiasm in the electorate, which makes concerns about turnout for Biden critical.”

Tim Miller, a former Republican strategist who has become one of his party’s most vocal opponents of Trump, said Democrats should not fool themselves into thinking they will not face him again. “Dem strategists and journalists can play parlor games about the GOP process all they want but the only meaningful question for the Democrats is how to wage a campaign against the dangerous candidate their opponents are preparing to nominate,” he said.

Unlike in 2016, Democrats can hardly say they did not see Trump coming. “Team Clinton missed the moment to understand that a populist movement from the left or right made up mainly on loose facts, grievances and white nationalism would not be corrected simply at the ballot box,” said Donna Brazile, who headed the Democratic National Committee that year. “But this is different,” she added. The movement has mushroomed “into a big cultural war with only two sides: You are either for Trump or against him. There is no middle ground.”

Biden has acted as if he fully expects to face Trump again and made clear he is motivated by a singular desire to vanquish his 2020 opponent all over again. He recently told reporters that he might not have run for a second term if Trump were not trying to make a comeback.

But Biden has also taken swipes at Haley, as he did during a speech in her home state of South Carolina last week when he mocked her for initially declining to say that slavery was the cause of the Civil War when asked at one of her campaign town hall meetings.

Mo Elleithee, a former Democratic strategist now serving as executive director of the Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service, said it would be folly to try to predict which Republican would be better for Democrats. “The polarization in our politics means it’s going to be close no matter what,” he said. “Stop trying to game out who you want to campaign against, and start focusing on the guy you’re campaigning for. The stakes will be high no matter what.”

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump's GOP revenge tour
Illustration of a red neck tie trapping an elephant.
 

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

The Trump campaign's new threat against House Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good (R-Va.) confirms what many suspected:

  • Anyone who endorsed a rival candidate before the Iowa caucuses is now a prime target for retribution.

Why it matters: The rush of Republicans who endorsed former President Trump in the weeks before his blowout win in Iowa on Monday clearly saw the writing on the wall, as the campaign is now signaling its intent to destroy Good over his early backing of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

  • "Bob Good won't be electable when we get done with him," Trump campaign manager Chris LaCivita told the southern Virginia-based Cardinal News.
  • It's the latest sign that loyalty — not ideology, given that Good is one of the most conservative Republicans in the House — is the organizing principle of Trumpism.

The big picture: Even with New Hampshire — widely viewed as the primary's definitive crossroads — still to come on Jan. 23, top Republicans are quickly closing ranks behind Trump.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%

Zoom in: Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) — who Trump warned last month "must be very careful" in his re-election efforts — may become a test case for how late is too late after he held off on endorsing Trump until Iowa.

  • "I believe this race is over," Cruz told Fox News last night, calling for the GOP to unite around a front-runner who once insulted his wife.
  • In private, Trump has trashed Cruz for holding out, according to the New York Times: "I could've destroyed him. I kind of did destroy him in 2016, if you think about it. But then I let him live."

What to watch: The viciousness of the primary has divided top DeSantis surrogates on whether to embrace Trump — assuming he wins the nomination — to avoid being blacklisted from GOP politics.

  • Steve Cortes, a former Trump official who joined the pro-DeSantis super PAC Never Back Down last year, wrote in a conciliatory op-ed today: "I believed that Republican voters were ready for a new post-Trump chapter of the America First movement. I now believe I was wrong."
  • Top DeSantis aide Christina Pushaw, on the other hand, tweeted in a lengthy statement: "Thanks everyone who has added my name to a 'hit list' of 'disloyal' conservatives so I won't get a job in the fantasy/hypothetical Trump Administration. I appreciate that because I'm not interested."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Don’t Normalize Donald Trump

Donald Trump is a psychopathic criminal. He is a racist, fascist cult leader determined to destroy American democracy.

https://theintercept.com/2024/01/16/trump-iowa-caucuses-republicans/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump veepstakes heat up
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
From left: Nikki Haley, Sen. J.D. Vance and Rep. Elise Stefanik. Photos: Joe Raedle; William B. Plowman/NBC; Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images.

Former President Trump's dominance in the Iowa caucuses — and his expected triumph in New Hampshire — has the Republican Party buzzing with speculation about potential running mates.

Why it matters: The return of Washington's favorite parlor game is another sign that Trump's nomination — just days after the first votes were cast in the GOP primary — is being treated as inevitable.

The big picture: The stakes are far higher than in 2016.

  • Former Vice President Mike Pence is viewed as a traitor in MAGA world for certifying President Biden's election win in the aftermath of Jan. 6 — making unconditional loyalty to Trump a top priority for any potential running mate.
  • But when the Republican Party is still fractured — and questions persist about Trump's vulnerabilities in the general election — the pick must also be strategic.

State of play: Trump told Fox News last week that he's already decided on a running mate. His campaign downplayed that claim, but there's little doubt — based on media reports and chatter from top surrogates — that a shortlist has emerged:

1. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), the chair of the House GOP conference, is "at the top," former Trump chief strategist Steve Bannon told NBC News.

2. Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) is one of Trump's most outspoken defenders in a Senate GOP full of skeptics, sharing the former president's populist views on immigration and "America First" foreign policy.

  • "I'd love to see a J.D. Vance," Donald Trump Jr., who prides himself on his ability to channel the MAGA base, told Newsmax as he rattled off his shortlist. "People who are principally in alignment as well as aggressive."

3. Nikki Haley has insisted she doesn't "play for second," but a unity ticket — which Trump was reportedly considering in December — could help attract moderates and swing voters that he'll need for the general election.

  • The pick would trigger an all-out revolt in MAGA world, however, as Haley's hawkish foreign policy views and establishment ties are anathema to everything expected in a second Trump term.
  • "I would not only not vote for that ticket, I would advocate against it as strongly as I could," Tucker Carlson — himself a dark-horse VP candidate — pledged last month.

What to watch: Other names in the mix include Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Vivek Ramaswamy, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, former HUD Secretary Ben Carson, Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.) and Arizona Senate candidate Kari Lake.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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👀 Scoop: Last-minute endorsement battle
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
 

Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

 

Trump and Haley both called former rival Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) this week to seek his endorsement ahead of the New Hampshire primary, a person familiar with the calls told Axios' Alex Thompson.

Why it matters: An endorsement ahead of Tuesday's primary could help Haley — who appointed Scott to his Senate seat as governor of South Carolina in 2013 — catch Trump in the make-or-break contest.

  • A Trump endorsement would further the GOP's consolidation behind the runaway favorite.
  • Trump's call to Scott, first reported by CNN, came soon after Monday's Iowa caucuses, while Haley's call came on Wednesday, according to the same source.

Meanwhile: Former Pence chief of staff Nick Ayers endorsed Trump today, despite the former vice president's split with Trump over Jan. 6, Axios' Sophia Cai scooped.

  • Parts of the pro-Trump mob that stormed the Capitol darkly called for Pence's hanging.
  • "Let's set aside the things we should be outraged over, and instead just evaluate the policy results," Ayers said.

Keep reading

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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