Members phkrause Posted February 27 Author Members Share Posted February 27 🗳️ Biden's battle for younger voters Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios Former President Trump appears to be closing in on President Biden's lead among young voters, Axios' Erica Pandey writes. Why it matters: Gen Z and millennial voters were key to Biden's 2020 victory, turning out in huge numbers and favoring him 20 points in 2020, per a Pew Research Center analysis. But polls show Biden's staunch support for Israel hurting him with younger voters. 🧮 By the numbers: Biden got 52% and Trump got 48% in a new Axios-Generation Lab survey of voters between the ages of 18 and 34. Attachment to either party is waning among younger voters. In Gallup polling, plurality (41%) of them call themselves independents. 💡 Reality check: Biden's edge is narrow among all young voters surveyed in the Axios-Generation Lab poll, but his lead widens among the likeliest voters. Among the 42% of respondents who said they definitely plan to vote in November, Biden has 63% support. Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 28 Author Members Share Posted February 28 Biden's border scramble President Biden exits Marine One at the Wall Street landing zone today in New York. Photo: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images A week after floating executive actions on border security, President Biden is visiting the U.S.-Mexico border on the same day that former President Trump was already planning to be there, Axios' Erin Doherty reports. Why it matters: The migrant crisis is a huge political liability for Biden, who is now blaming Republicans for failing to help him fix it. Trump is expected to visit Eagle Pass, Texas, on Thursday to deliver remarks. His plans were reported last week by CNN. 🚨 300 miles downriver in Brownsville, Biden will meet Thursday with Border Patrol, law enforcement and local officials. The N.Y. Times scooped his plans today. "Him going is an action," press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told the Times when asked if he'd be announcing any new policies. Biden is considering an executive order that would restrict the ability of migrants to claim asylum, Axios' Stef Kight and Hans Nichols reported last week. Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 28 Author Members Share Posted February 28 Susan J. Demas: Fear of a Black female president When campaigning in her home state of South Carolina earlier this month, former Gov. Nikki Haley said the words millions of women have longed to hear: “We will have a female president of the United States.” https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/02/27/susan-j-demas-fear-of-a-black-female-president/? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 28 Author Members Share Posted February 28 In CPAC speech, Trump predicts ‘losing World War III’ if he is not elected Former President Donald Trump painted a bleak picture Saturday of what would happen to the United States should voters reelect Joe Biden to the Oval Office in November. https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/02/26/in-cpac-speech-trump-predicts-losing-world-war-iii-if-he-is-not-elected/? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 28 Author Members Share Posted February 28 Biden and Trump win Michigan primaries, edging closer to rematch DEARBORN, Mich. — President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump won the Michigan primaries on Tuesday, further solidifying the all-but-certain rematch between the two men. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2024/02/27/biden-and-trump-win-michigan-primaries-edging-closer-to-rematch/? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 28 Author Members Share Posted February 28 Presidential primaries show warning signs for Trump and Biden Joe Biden and Donald Trump easily won their party’s primaries in Michigan, but Tuesday’s results highlight some of their biggest political vulnerabilities ahead of the November general election. Read more. Key developments: Michigan has become the focal point of Democratic frustration about the White House’s actions in the Israel-Hamas conflict. It has the largest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation and their anger came through loud and clear as some voters marked “uncommitted” on their ballot. There were early signs that Trump was continuing to struggle with some influential voter blocs who have favored former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley in previous contests. Haley’s strongest performance Tuesday night came in Oakland and Kent counties — areas where Democrats have been gaining ground in recent years. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ Arab American Democrats upset with Biden’s actions in the Israel-Hamas war get their say in Michigan Chatbots’ inaccurate, misleading responses about US elections threaten to keep voters from polls How the AP calls election winners and why it matters Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted February 29 Author Members Share Posted February 29 🚩 Michigan's red flags for Biden, Trump A voter in Dearborn, Mich., yesterday. Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images President Biden's quick win in yesterday's Michigan Democratic primary (81% to 13% for "uncommitted") nevertheless revealed his vulnerability in a crucial swing state that could decide the presidency in November. Why it matters: Arab American and young voters — key to Biden winning Michigan in 2020 — turned out by the tens of thousands. Not for Biden — but for "uncommitted," writes David Lindsey, Axios managing editor for politics. The protest vote, driven by anger over Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas war, drew more than 100,000 votes — several times more than organizers expected. Other Michigan takeaways: Biden has other problems: There was a jarring enthusiasm gap between the Democratic and Republican primaries. Nearly 40% more people voted in the Republican primary than in the Democratic contest. Former President Trump, who once again defeated Nikki Haley (68% to 27%), got about the same number of votes on the GOP side as the Democrats' total. Trump's warning: That surge in GOP voters was driven in part by about 27% of Republicans voting for Haley. She keeps getting support that's not nearly enough to win the Republican nomination — but enough to show a sizable chunk of the GOP may never be on board with Trump. Not a great night for Dean Phillips, a Minnesota Democrat who gave up his House seat last October to run for president. Michigan feels like the end of the road. Phillips finished fourth — behind Biden, "uncommitted," and Marianne Williamson, an author and spiritual leader. Go deeper: How Biden won ... How Trump won. Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 1 Author Members Share Posted March 1 Biden and Trump win Michigan presidential primaries President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump each won their respective primaries Tuesday in Michigan. https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/02/28/biden-and-trump-win-michigan-presidential-primaries/? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 3 Author Members Share Posted March 3 Nikki Haley can’t win the Republican primary with 40%. But she can expose some Trump weaknesses Donald Trump’s campaign has vowed not to talk about her anymore. Many pundits have written her off entirely. But Nikki Haley is still campaigning across the country — and plenty of voters are coming to hear what she has to say. Read more. Why this matters: Roughly 40% of GOP voters support Haley over Trump, and ahead of Super Tuesday, Haley is suggesting this is a reason why the Republican frontrunner is especially vulnerable in a November rematch against Joe Biden. “You can’t win the general election if you can’t win that 40%,” she said at a campaign rally Monday. Trump is on the verge of winning several hundred more delegates for the GOP nomination on Super Tuesday and could soon eliminate Haley from the race. But by staying in the race longer than any other major candidate, Haley has highlighted Trump’s political problems with key constituencies in their party. AP VoteCast data from the Republican primary suggest several vulnerabilities for Trump heading into a Biden rematch. About half of Republican voters in South Carolina — including about a quarter of his supporters — are concerned that Trump is too extreme to win the general election, according to the survey. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ What to expect in Missouri’s GOP caucuses What to expect in Idaho’s GOP caucuses What to expect in the District of Columbia’s GOP presidential primary Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 3 Author Members Share Posted March 3 🎙️ Scoop: Pro-Trump spots aim for Black voters MAGA Inc., the main super PAC backing former President Trump, will go on the radio waves in Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan on Monday with a monthlong campaign aimed at Black voters. Why it matters: The Trump campaign and its allies see vulnerabilities for President Biden with Black and Hispanic male voters. Taylor Budowich, CEO of Make America Great Again Inc., tells Axios: "This is a first step in a sustained effort to reach every voter, in every corner in America." 📻 "President Trump will protect our daughters' sports teams," a narrator who is African American, according to the super PAC, says in the minute-long ad. "Trump will declare war on the cartels and stop the flood of drugs and crime into our communities. President Trump — delivered for us before and he'll do it again." Reality check: Trump remarks to Black leaders in South Carolina last week, where he suggested his mugshot has helped his outreach, were criticized by the White House as "divisive ... repugnant." 🥊 In response to the new ad, Michael Tyler, communications director for Biden-Harris 2024, told me: "There's a reason they waited until Black History Month was over to run this: The only thing Donald Trump did for Black people was lose to Joe Biden in 2020." Screenshot: CNN ⚖️ A Trump campaign twist: His legal delay tactics are paying off, meaning he's likely to spend less time in one of his favored campaign venues — courthouses, Axios' Erin Doherty writes. Why it matters: Trump has tried to make the best of the legal burden — some of his biggest fundraising hauls have followed courthouse speeches. It's now likely that just one of Trump's four criminal cases — the one in Manhattan involving hush money paid to Stormy Daniels — will be tried before the election. That case is likely to give Trump his next courtroom platform, on March 25. Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 4 Author Members Share Posted March 4 👴🏻 Charted: Aging presidency Data: Miller Center at University of Virginia. Chart: Simran Parwani/Axios The oldest sitting U.S. presidents: President Biden took office at 78. Now 81, he'd be 82 on Inauguration Day 2025 — and 86 at the end of a second term. Ronald Reagan took office at age 69. He was 77 at the end of his two-term presidency. Donald Trump, 77, was 70 at the start of his term and 74 at the end. If he wins in November, he'd be the oldest person ever inaugurated (78 — and 159 days older than Biden when he took the oath). The bottom line: Either Biden or Trump would be the oldest president entering a second term. Go deeper: Presidents by age at inauguration ... Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 4 Author Members Share Posted March 4 Haley's paired shots In what could be the final hours of her campaign, Nikki Haley abandoned a pledge to endorse the GOP nominee and openly wondered about whether Donald Trump would ignore the Constitution. Why it matters: Haley has yet to win a primary, but she's attracted many of the independent and disaffected GOP voters who will make or break Trump's general election campaign. 🚨The Republican National Committee, whose pledge she signed before last year's debates, "is now not the same RNC," Haley told NBC "Meet the Press" moderator Kristen Welker. In the same interview, Haley said only Trump "can answer" what he means by talking about "revenge" and "vindication." "[Y]ou always want to think someone will, but I don't know," Haley told NBC when asked whether Trump would follow the Constitution. Trump plans to replace the RNC's top leadership with a triumvirate that includes his top campaign adviser and his daughter-in-law. Zoom in: Trump piled up more delegates yesterday after winning caucuses in Missouri, Idaho and Michigan. Haley's best shot to win a GOP primary is in D.C., where voting ends today. What's next: Haley has consistently delayed questions about the future until after Super Tuesday. That rain check comes due Wednesday. The last Trump runner-up in a GOP primary was former Ohio Gov. John Kasich in 2016, who cast a protest vote for the late Sen. John McCain that November and spoke at the Democratic National Convention in 2020. "I'm not anti-Trump," Haley told Politico on Friday. "Look, if I was doing that, I would be Chris Christie." Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 4 Author Members Share Posted March 4 Nikki Haley wins the District of Columbia’s Republican primary and gets her first 2024 victory WASHINGTON (AP) — Nikki Haley has won the Republican primary in the District of Columbia, notching her first victory of the 2024 campaign. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2024/03/03/nikki-haley-wins-the-district-of-columbias-republican-primary-and-gets-her-first-2024-victory/? Nikki Haley wins the District of Columbia’s Republican primary and gets her first 2024 victory Nikki Haley’s victory on Sunday at least temporarily halts Donald Trump’s sweep of the GOP voting contests, although the former president is likely to pick up several hundred more delegates in this week’s Super Tuesday races. Read more. Key points: This is Haley’s first victory of the 2024 campaign, collecting all 19 delegates at stake. Spokesperson Olivia Perez-Cubas also noted that this makes Haley the first woman to win a Republican primary in history. While campaigning as an avowed conservative, Haley has tended to perform better among more moderate and independent-leaning voters. Washington is one of the most heavily Democratic jurisdictions in the nation, with only about 23,000 registered Republicans in the city. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ The Supreme Court could decide Monday whether Trump can be barred from the 2024 ballot Haley says she no longer feels bound by the GOP pledge requiring her to support the eventual nominee What to expect in today’s North Dakota’s GOP caucuses Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 4 Author Members Share Posted March 4 6 in 10 US adults doubt mental capability of Biden and Trump, AP-NORC poll finds WASHINGTON (AP) — A poll finds that a significant share of U.S. adults doubt the mental capabilities of 81-year-old President Joe Biden and 77-year-old Donald Trump, the former president and current Republican front-runner in what could be a rematch of the 2020 election. https://apnews.com/article/biden-state-of-union-mental-capacity-trump-reelection-66d8784586d21f30885d8153f949510c? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 5 Author Members Share Posted March 5 What makes Super Tuesday so super? It’s all about the delegates More than one-third of the total delegates available in both the Republican and Democratic presidential primaries will be awarded on Super Tuesday, when 16 states and one U.S. territory hold presidential nominating contests. Read more. Key events: Alabama, Arkansas, California, North Carolina and Texas are among the states with key races. You can follow our live blog and check Super Tuesday Live Results. Among the most notable down-ballot races is the one to replace California’s late Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein. Vying for her seat are Democratic Reps. Barbara Lee, Katie Porter and Adam Schiff, and former baseball star Steve Garvey, who’s running as a Republican. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ Donald Trump wins North Dakota Republican caucuses, adding to victories going into Super Tuesday Super Tuesday’s dominance highlights how presidential selection process can exclude many US voters A look at the Super Tuesday timeline Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 6 Author Members Share Posted March 6 Super Tuesday in 3 time slots Check in three times on Super Tuesday results, and you'll get most of it. 7:30pm ET: Polls close in North Carolina, where the exit polls will have hints on November. 8pm ET: Most polls close in Texas, where Democrats Rep. Colin Allred and state Sen. Roland Gutierrez are facing off to challenge Republican Sen. Ted Cruz. 11pm ET: Polls close in California, with a four-way Senate race and tight House Democratic primaries in GOP-held Biden districts. Go deeper: Axios.com live coverage of Super Tuesday Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 6 Author Members Share Posted March 6 Trump and Biden solidify their dominance with Super Tuesday victories President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, romped coast-to-coast on Super Tuesday, all but cementing a November rematch. Read more. Key events: The only contest Biden lost Tuesday was the Democratic caucus in American Samoa, a small U.S. territory in the South Pacific Ocean. The “uncommitted” campaign also found strong support in Minnesota, with votes exceeding the 13% “uncommitted” in Michigan. Nikki Haley’s campaign is pushed to the brink after a Super Tuesday trouncing. Haley won Vermont, denying Trump a full sweep, but the pressure is increasing on the former president’s last major rival to leave the Republican race. In California, there's a rare opportunity for the GOP to compete in a marquee statewide race for the Democratic stronghold. Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff and Republican Steve Garvey, a former Los Angeles Dodgers player, will compete in November for the Senate seat held by Dianne Feinstein. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ What to expect today in Hawaii’s Democratic presidential caucuses Who is Jason Palmer? A previously unknown Democrat beats Biden in American Samoa’s Democratic caucus Democratic Rep. Colin Allred wins US Senate primary in Texas and will challenge GOP Sen. Ted Cruz Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 6 Author Members Share Posted March 6 Haley’s exit from the GOP race pushes off — again — the day Americans could elect a woman president WASHINGTON (AP) — A woman ascends toward the heights of American politics, with the nation’s top elected office — the presidency — looming far out of reach. A man at the bottom predicts, unhelpfully: “You’ll never make it, sister!” https://apnews.com/article/haley-trump-biden-woman-president-36f6361c31a8216a0aaa4815f57dd51d? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 7 Author Members Share Posted March 7 Biden wins Democratic caucuses in Hawaii as he moves closer to seizing the nomination again HONOLULU (AP) — President Joe Biden won the Democratic caucuses in Hawaii on Wednesday, propelling him closer to winning his party’s nomination again after romping through the Super Tuesday contests earlier this week. https://apnews.com/article/hawaii-democratic-party-caucus-national-convention-56def0077d59302ab42b09e408cb1033? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 7 Author Members Share Posted March 7 Nikki Haley withdraws from race but withholds Trump endorsement, citing Israel among other issues (JTA) — Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor and U.S. ambassador to the United Nations who was a favorite of pro-Israel Republicans, withdrew from the race for the GOP presidential nomination after losing nearly every Republican state primary thus far by wide margins. https://www.jta.org/2024/03/06/politics/nikki-haley-withdraws-from-race-but-withholds-trump-endorsement-citing-israel-among-other-issues? ps:We'll see how long that lasts!!!!! Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 9 Author Members Share Posted March 9 Dean Phillips, Jewish Democrat who ran quixotic presidential campaign, endorses Biden (JTA) — U.S. Rep. Dean Phillips, the Minnesota Jewish Democrat who ran a long shot campaign for the Democratic presidential nod, suspended his campaign and endorsed President Joe Biden. https://www.jta.org/2024/03/06/politics/dean-phillips-jewish-democrat-who-ran-quixotic-presidential-campaign-endorses-biden? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 10 Author Members Share Posted March 10 🗣️ Biden's "illegal" fallout Trump supporters hold Laken Riley signs at his rally last night. Photo: Elijah Nouvelage/AFP via Getty Images Progressive anger with Biden for referring to the alleged killer of Georgia nursing student Laken Riley as "an illegal" is threatening to overshadow what was otherwise a widely celebrated State of the Union speech. Why it matters: Biden told MSNBC he regrets using the phrase — triggering furious attacks from Republicans who say it illustrates how tone-deaf Democrats are when it comes to immigration. The unscripted moment from Biden's address came in response to heckling from Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), who had earlier handed him a Laken Riley pin that read, "Say Her Name." "An undocumented person. And I shouldn't have used 'illegal.' It's 'undocumented,'" Biden told MSNBC when asked if he regrets using the term. Zoom in: Former President Trump met with Laken Riley's parents at his rally in Rome, Georgia, yesterday, as he and other Republicans seek to use the 22-year-old student's tragic murder as a symbol of Biden's border policies. "Joe Biden went on television and apologized for calling Laken's murderer an illegal," Trump said to a chorus of boos at his rally. "Biden should be apologizing for apologizing to this killer." "To all Americans: I will seal the border. … I will stop the killing, I will stop the bloodshed, I will end the agony of our people, the plunder of our cities, the sacking of our towns," the former president vowed. Meanwhile: Sen. Katie Britt (R-Ala.), who delivered the Republican response to Biden's State of the Union, is under major scrutiny for using the testimony of a sex trafficking victim to attack Biden's border policies. In reality, the victim — Karla Jacinto Romero — was forced to work in Mexican brothels during the Bush administration and was not trafficked to the U.S. Britt defended the anecdote on "Fox News Sunday," saying she never implied the incident took place during the Biden administration but that Biden's border policies have exacerbated human trafficking. Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 11 Author Members Share Posted March 11 The Democratic protest vote movement spreads from Michigan to other states The protest-vote movement over President Joe Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war has raised more questions about whether a small but significant number of Democrats angry at Biden might abandon him in November. Read more. Why this matters: Supporters of the protest argue that anger over the war could endanger Biden’s chances in swing states like Michigan against former President Donald Trump. Biden’s allies believe disaffected Democrats will return to the president’s fold when faced with a choice between him and Trump. While the reasons for voters favoring unpledged delegates over Biden may differ, the choice has been pushed as a protest vote against Biden’s handling of the conflict in Gaza, where more than 30,000 people have been killed in Israel’s offensive following Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ Youth activist groups jointly endorse Biden. They say his achievements matter more than his age Palestinians in Gaza begin Ramadan with hunger worsening Biden’s big speech showed his uneasy approach to abortion, an issue bound to be key in the campaign Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 11 Author Members Share Posted March 11 Biden’s budget proposal for a second term offers tax breaks for families and lower health care costs MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) — President Joe Biden on Monday released a budget proposal aimed at getting voters’ attention: It would offer tax breaks for families, lower health care costs, smaller deficits and higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations. https://apnews.com/article/biden-budget-deficit-9ac66a99e741dab656c15116408060a5? Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted March 13 Author Members Share Posted March 13 The Biden-Trump sequel marks the first presidential rematch since 1956 President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump clinched their parties’ presidential nominations on Tuesday, setting up a general election rematch that many voters do not want. Read more. Why this matters: Not even halfway through the presidential primary calendar, Tuesday marked a crystalizing moment for a nation uneasy with its choices in 2024. The rematch will almost certainly deepen the nation’s searing political and cultural divides over the next eight months. Despite their tough talk, the road ahead will not be easy for either presumptive nominee. Trump is facing 91 felony counts in four criminal cases, while Biden is working to assure a skeptical electorate that he’s still physically and mentally able to thrive in the world’s most important job. RELATED COVERAGE ➤ Tracking the criminal and civil cases against Donald Trump Standout moments from the hearing on the Biden classified documents probe by special counsel Hur Why AP is calling Trump and Biden ‘presumptive nominees’ for president Quote phkrause Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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