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Candidates for President in 2024


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Biden's surprise strength

Baby boomers are on track to make President Biden the first Democrat to carry the senior vote since Al Gore in 2000.

Why it matters: 2024 threatens to shatter some long-held trends in presidential politics, if the polls are to be believed.

  • The biggest trend at risk is the notion that voters become more conservative as they get older, Politico's Steven Shepard writes in a deep dive on the polling.
  • While baby boomers appear to be holding firm on their liberal leanings, Gen Z is showing a surprisingly strong conservative bent.

The big picture: The comparatively liberal boomers are aging into the senior vote as their more conservative older siblings in the Silent and Greatest Generations die off.

  • There were zero senior (65+) boomers in 2008.
  • Boomers now represent 70% of the senior vote, the N.Y. Times' Nate Cohn notes.

Between the lines: Polls are a snapshot in time, and it's harder to poll than ever thanks to cellphones, spam blockers and voters who are more resistant to being polled.

Zoom in: The youth vote is giving pollsters the most fits right now.

  • To spice it up, youth voters are showing signs of making former President Trump the first Republican to win that demo since George H.W. Bush in 1988.
  • Polling for young Hispanic voters is "all over the place," John Della Volpe of the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics told Politico.
  • Polling for young Black voters is also breaking the trend line, with Biden suffering major losses of young Black voter support, Don Levy of the Siena Poll told Politico.

The bottom line: If these two long-term trends fall, there's another that seems less likely to change this time around.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump's missing voters
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgraphics.axios.co
Data: Associated Press; Chart: Jacque Schrag/Axios

A month after Nikki Haley dropped out, Trump is still dealing with a contingent of voters who are showing up to cast primary ballots for candidates who aren't him.

  • Why it matters: Biden has more successfully unified his primary voters despite never facing a strong primary opponent and an organized protest vote over the war in Gaza, Axios' Erin Doherty reports.

The bottom line: Trump's performances in Wisconsin, Arizona and Georgia suggest lots of work to do ahead of November.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump’s abortion statement angers conservatives and gives the Biden campaign a new target

NEW YORK (AP) — Donald Trump still says he’s proud that the Supreme Court justices he nominated overturned Roe v. Wade. Yet he again on Monday avoided tough questions about abortion, including whether he would support a national abortion ban should he return to the White House.

https://apnews.com/article/abortion-trump-republican-presidential-election-2024-585faf025a1416d13d2fbc23da8d8637?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗳️ RFK Jr. goes MAGA

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is making targeted appeals to Donald Trump supporters, pledging to "seal the border" from undocumented immigrants and investigate the prosecutions of pro-Trump rioters who attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

  • Why it matters: Kennedy's long-shot independent campaign so far appears to be hurting President Biden more than Trump in polls.

In late March, Kennedy put out a YouTube ad showing him at the southern border with a line of detained migrants.

  • "This is a humanitarian crisis because of the understanding across the globe that we now have an open border here," Kennedy says in the ad, echoing some of the language Trump has used.
  • In another ad, Kennedy says he will "seal the border to illegal immigration" to solve the "border crisis."

Keep reading.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Democratic donors paid more than $1M for Biden’s legal bills for special counsel probe

WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic donors covered more than $1 million in legal fees racked up by attorneys representing President Joe Biden in a yearlong special counsel probe into his handling of classified documents.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-legal-fees-bauer-dnc-trump-fec-14213a9ccd8c8ae61b37c16c22acdd9c?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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📊 Biden keeps ticking up
Illustration of a series of pie and bar charts laid out and colored to resemble the arrangement of the U.S. flag
 

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

Former President Trump leads President Biden by one point among registered voters nationwide, 46% to 45%, in the widely covered New York Times/Siena College poll — a Biden gain from February, when Trump led by four.

  • Why it matters: Biden has been improving in polls since last month's State of the Union.

"You can't exactly call a one-point deficit the 'Biden comeback,'" writes Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn, "but the result adds to a growing list of polls finding him inching up over the last month."

  • "16 national pollsters (of varying quality) have taken polls before and after the State of the Union. On average, Mr. Biden is running about 1.4 points better in the post-State of the Union polls than in earlier surveys by the same pollsters."

Between the lines: The main reason Biden ticked up in Times/Siena appears to be his improved standing among his 2020 voters — 89% now vs. 83% in February.

  • The poll of 1,059 registered voters has an overall margin of error of ±3.3 percent.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🕶️ Voters' rosy Trump memories
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Data: New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,059 registered voters (April 7-11. Margin of error: ±3.3 points.) Chart: Axios Visuals

Views of Donald Trump's presidency have become far more positive since the fall of 2020, according to a poll by The New York Times and Siena College.

  • Why it matters: Voters have taken up an especially sunny view of Trump's time in office on the economy — a pivotal issue for November's election.

Other issues where Trump's ratings improved include maintaining law & order, and his handling of the pandemic.

  • The poll found a big increase (9 points) in registered voters who believe he left the country better off.

🧮 By the numbers: Trump holds a wide advantage over Biden when voters are asked how they remember their presidencies.

  • 42% rate Trump's term as "mostly good for America," compared to 25% for Biden.
  • More voters (+11 points) view Trump as a "safe choice" than they did in 2016.

Reality check: Many still remember him as a divisive and chaotic leader.

  • Trump's polling on "unifying America" narrowly improved but remains low. Voters gave Biden better marks for his handling of race relations.

Keep reading (NYT gift link) ... Explore the data.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Tale of the Kennedys

On the same day a throng of Kennedys gathered to publicly endorse President Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s campaign says it's gained 2024 ballot access in Michigan, Axios' Ivana Saric reports.

The big picture: Kennedy had already officially qualified to appear on the presidential ballot in Utah and has collected enough signatures to appear on the ballots in North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Idaho, Hawaii, Iowa and Nebraska, according to his campaign.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. secures ballot access in battleground state of Michigan

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has secured a place on the ballot in the battleground state of Michigan, state officials confirmed Thursday, elevating his potential to affect the November election.

https://apnews.com/article/rfk-kennedy-michigan-ballot-access-02ffeba594e0198ef74961c4b5c6c7f7?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Safe-spaces strategy

President Biden and former President Trump have one big thing beyond old age in common: They duck difficult questioning by reporters, with historic stubbornness.

  • During his 3+ years in office, Biden has refused to give a single interview to White House reporters for The New York Times, The Washington Post or The Wall Street Journal. But he sat down twice with friendly comedian Jason Bateman and his podcast pals on "SmartLess."

Why it matters: Call it the safe-space election. Biden is more likely to talk to mainstream outlets, and Trump to echo chambers. But both pop up for questioning with sycophants, supporters and sympathetic journalists.

🖼️ The big picture: It wasn't always so. Biden and Trump not long ago loved mixing it up with more serious reporters. But whether it's age or bitterness about coverage, they're hiding in their own witness protection program.

  • For Trump, it's mostly bitterness and contempt for the media. For Biden, confidants tell us privately it's partly fear the president will go off script or botch an answer that amplifies worries about his age.

🗞️ Case in point: This is the first time in 60+ years that the sitting president has stiffed the newsroom of The New York Times for a formal interview. (The White House regularly engages with the paper behind the scenes.)

  • Biden has given separate sit-downs to two friendly opinion columnists, David Brooks and Tom Friedman, who ate a tuna salad sandwich and credited the president with "the best performance of alliance management and consolidation" since President George H.W. Bush.

💭 Elisabeth Bumiller, the paper's Washington bureau chief, told me The Times has proposed a series of interviews on foreign policy, among other overtures. Peter Baker, the paper's chief White House correspondent, has covered five presidents.

  • "The correspondents for the major papers are deeply immersed in the issues and have sharp follow-ups," said Bumiller, who covered President George W. Bush. "They're just tougher."

💡 Reality check: New York Times readers aren't the voters who'll decide the election.

🥊 The other side: Trump frequently visits Fox News and ideological outlets. Exceptions this year include a marathon phone interview with CNBC's "Squawk Box" in March, and an interview with Spectrum News 1 Wisconsin.

🎧 For Biden, stops have included talking democracy with historian Heather Cox Richardson — and a podcast conversation with CNN's Anderson Cooper about facing grief.

  • Biden sat down last year for serious conversations with CNN's Fareed Zakaria and Scott Pelley of "60 Minutes." A Univision interview earlier this month got 7 million viewers across all platforms, the White House says.
  • The White House's Andrew Bates said: "President Biden is crisscrossing the country ... talking to the American people about their lives and the issues that matter most to them and executing an aggressive, modern, all-of-the-above communications and digital strategy that highlights how he's fighting for families and their values."

The tonal and topic contrast is stark. Trump mixed it up in Vegas with the mixed martial arts podcast "UFC Unfiltered." Last month, he welcomed Brexiteer Nigel Farage to Mar-a-Lago for an interview on Britain's right-leaning GB News, which bills itself as "the People's News Channel."

  • Trump senior adviser Jason Miller said: "President Trump is more accessible to the press and the American people ... Here is the most basic question to underscore the point: Joe Biden, will you commit, right now, to debating President Trump?"
  • Biden, asked last month about debating Trump, said: "It depends on his behavior."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🥊 Trump's new prop
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Photo: Chris Seward/AP

This sign — seen yesterday at a planned rally for former President Trump in Wilmington, N.C. (canceled because of stormy weather) — is becoming a regular at his campaign events.

  • The empty podium, also spotted at recent Trump events in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, carries the message that he's willing to debate President Biden "Anytime. Anywhere. Anyplace."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗺️ Trump's shadow diplomacy
Illustration of former President Donald Trump shaking the hand of a man off-screen
 

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Ateve Parsons via Getty Images

 

Former President Trump's meetings with foreign heads of state have begun ruffling feathers in the diplomatic community — and the Biden administration, Axios' Sophia Cai writes.

  • One recent meeting — between Trump and Javier Milei, Argentina's right-wing president — seems to have particularly irritated Biden's team.

Why it matters: Trump turned Milei's hug into what amounted to a viral campaign ad, and he has hosted other foreign leaders at Mar-a-Lago and Trump Tower.

The reaction showed the complex politics as Trump, the presumed GOP nominee, eagerly tries to show international leaders he's back.

  • Biden administration officials privately questioned whether some of Trump's meetings were appropriate.
  • President Biden has jumped at the chance to accuse Trump of aligning with strongmen and dictators.

Trump recently hosted Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a Putin ally, at Mar-a-Lago.

  • Between his court appearances in Manhattan last week, Trump had dinner with Polish President Andrzej Duda at Trump Tower.
  • Trump spoke recently with Saudi Arabia's Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the N.Y. Times reported.

Trump senior adviser Jason Miller said Ukraine President Volodymr Zelensky invited Trump to visit — but Trump said "it would not be appropriate for him to go to Ukraine right now because there's only one commander-in-chief. But foreign leaders stopping by to say 'hi' is another thing entirely. That's about respect."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗳️ Doug Sosnik: Trump's map edge
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Data: Cook Political Report. Map: Axios Visuals

Just over six months from Nov. 5, longtime Democratic adviser Doug Sosnik tells me that while either candidate can win, President Biden has the narrower, tougher path to 270 electoral college votes, for three reasons:

  1. The electoral college favors Republicans: The last two Republican presidents were first elected despite losing the popular vote.
  2. Biden can no longer count on carrying Michigan, which voted overwhelmingly Democratic in the past three election cycles.
  3. Biden's 2020 victories in the Sunbelt battleground states — Arizona, Nevada and Georgia — were due to his overwhelming support from young and non-white voters. Polling shows Biden has suffered a significant erosion with these voters during his presidency.

🚨 Sosnik maps (literally) various road-to-270 scenarios for Biden and former President Trump in an interactive N.Y. Times op-ed, and warns Dems about Minnesota:

"Recent polling shows Mr. Biden with a narrow lead in Minnesota, a state that usually votes for Democrats for president. While it is mathematically possible for Mr. Biden to win without carrying Minnesota, it is unlikely he will be elected if he cannot carry this traditionally Democratic state."

The bottom line: "My analysis of voter history and polling," Sosnik writes, "shows a map that currently favors Mr. Trump, even though [new abortion restrictions] in Arizona improve Mr. Biden's chances."

  • Go deeper: Mike Pence slams Trump on abortion ... in the N.Y. Times!

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Exclusive: Trump loyalty czars

Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump have become key players in early planning for a second Trump administration's transition team, Axios' Alex Thompson reports.

  • The brothers will focus on vetting potential officials and staffers for ideology and loyalty, campaign aides and close allies to their father tell Axios.

Why it matters: Neither brother would officially run Donald Trump's transition team. They'll take a lead in making sure government jobs are filled by highly vetted Republicans who promise fealty to Trump.

  • Don Jr.'s goal "is to keep the John Boltons of the world outside a second Trump administration," a person close to him told Axios — referring to Donald Trump's hawkish former national security adviser who wrote a bestselling book lambasting the former president.

🔎 Plot twist: Their father is frustrated by other Republican groups, including the Heritage Foundation, being portrayed as leading the charge on scrutinizing the backgrounds of possible appointees.

  • The groups aim to pre-vet potential contenders for Cabinet-level and lower staff positions, to aid Donald Trump's desire to remake the government in his image. His inner circle wants to preempt the internal resistance he faced during his presidency.

Between the lines: Don Jr. asked his father to let him take on a more significant role in planning a transition team this year than in 2016, the last time Donald Trump built such a team.

  • Eight years ago, Don Jr. largely focused on the Interior Department, given his love for the outdoors and hunting.

Keep reading.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump's suburban warning

Trump is showing signs that his vulnerabilities with suburban voters in 2020 will carry over to 2024, Axios' Erin Doherty writes.

Why it matters: The persistent protest vote against Trump has been pronounced in suburbs around Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Atlanta, even after former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley ended her campaign.

Zoom in: Haley, who suspended her campaign last month, has received double-digit vote shares in key suburban counties in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Georgia.

  • Pennsylvania: In Chester County, Haley won 25% of the vote; in Delaware, she won 23%; in Montgomery, she won 25%, and in Bucks, 19% of the vote went to Haley.
  • Wisconsin: Haley won 12% or more in each of the three large suburban areas outside of Milwaukee (Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington). She slightly overperformed in these counties compared to her overall vote totals.
  • Georgia: Haley, who dropped out after some early ballots had been cast, still made a sizable primary showing in suburban Atlanta, including 23% in Cobb and 17% in Gwinnett counties.

Go deeper

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Biden's base play
This is Joe Biden
 

President Biden boards Air Force One at Hancock Field Air National Guard Base in Syracuse, N.Y., today. Photo: Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

 

President Biden and his campaign have turned up the heat on re-energizing the Democratic base, Axios' Alex Thompson and Hans Nichols report.

Why it matters: Support for Biden among progressives, young people and people of color this year has been consistently lower than in 2020, according to polls.

Zoom in: The Biden administration has also made a flurry of left-leaning policy announcements that have high support among Democratic constituencies.

  • Issued an ambitious EPA rule to ensure the majority of new vehicles sold in the United States are all-electric or hybrids by 2032.
  • Canceled another $7.4 billion in student debt, bringing his total $153 billion in canceled loans for 4.3 million borrowers.
  • Marked Earth Day by highlighting new actions on his American Climate Corps.

Between the lines: Biden has appeared with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) in recent weeks.

The bottom line: Biden's spring base play doesn't rule out spending the summer and fall making overtures to centrist voters.

  • There's one major policy move that Biden is considering — a crackdown on the border with an executive order — that would indicate he's willing to forsake his party's base.
  • Trump is also pursuing a base-first strategy to reclaim the White House, revving up his most ardent supporters by pledging to "free" convicted Jan. 6 rioters, close the southern border and drill for more oil.

Go deeper

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Donald Trump is running against Joe Biden. But he keeps bringing up another Democrat: Jimmy Carter

ATLANTA (AP) — As Donald Trump campaigns for a return to the White House, he often reaches back more than 40 years and seven administrations to belittle President Joe Biden by comparing him to 99-year-old Jimmy Carter.

https://local.newsbreak.com/georgia-state/3418632508609-donald-trump-is-running-against-joe-biden-but-he-keeps-bringing-up-another-democrat-jimmy-carter?

ps:What a piece of work this suppose candidate is!!!!!!!!!!

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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24 split screen
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Left: Biden speaks at a campaign event in Philadelphia on April 18. Right: Trump in court yesterday. Photos: Bloomberg/Getty

The split screen of the '24 presidential campaign was on full display yesterday, Axios' Hans Nichols writes:

  • There was President Biden, sitting for a friendly interview with Howard Stern after another week of campaigning and raising money in some of America's wealthiest ZIP codes.
  • A few miles from Stern's Manhattan studio, there was a grim Donald Trump — sitting in what he calls a "cold" courtroom as a former tabloid editor testified at the former president's criminal trial.

🎯 Why it matters: Money and time on the trail are the two vital variables of a presidential campaign. Right now, Biden has more of both.

  • Trump is crying foul, complaining that his trial is keeping him off the campaign trail — though when he had a day off from court on Wednesday, he played golf, according to CNN.
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Data: Axios research and candidate campaigns. Chart: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals

Zoom in: Biden's stop by Stern's show seemed to be a jab at Trump. Stern was Trump's go-to host for crude talk in the 1990s and early 2000s.

  • Biden, responding to taunts from Trump about debating, said: "I am, somewhere. ... I don't know when, but I am happy to debate him."

Zoom out: While Trump sits through what's expected to be several more weeks of his felony trial in the hush-money case, Biden is using Air Force One to visit states he'll need to win in November.

  • Trump hasn't held a campaign rally since his trial began two weeks ago. Bad weather canceled a planned event in North Carolina last weekend. A rally is scheduled in Michigan (Freeland, in Saginaw County) on Wednesday.

🥊 Reality check: Despite Trump's troubles, he has led Biden in most national and swing-state polls. Biden's numbers have been ticking up, to a small lead in some recent surveys.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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1 big thing: 2020 gets undone
Illustration of an American flag with the bottom stripe forming a reverse arrow
 

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

Across politics, business, education and the economy, many of the seismic shifts of 2020 have proven short-lived, Axios' Neal Rothschild writes.

  • Why it matters: The snapbacks reflect a society still struggling to find its footing after a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic, nationwide racial unrest, and one of the most divisive elections in U.S. history.

1. DEI: America's racial justice reckoning after the police murder of George Floyd in 2020 led many organizations to invest heavily in efforts to address racial inequality. Over the past two years, conservatives have waged a remarkably successful war against those initiatives.

2. Policing: Amid the 2020 protests and calls to defund the police, a number of cities cut their law enforcement budgets. The next year, many of those cities — including New York, L.A., Denver and Dallas — restored and even increased police funding in response to surging violent crime.

3. Immigration: During his 2020 campaign, President Biden cast former President Trump's harsh border policies as part of a "battle for the soul of the country" that inspired his decision to run. Amid a record wave of migrants illegally crossing the border over the last several years, Biden is now considering a dramatic executive order that would impose Trump-like restrictions on asylum-seekers.

4. Work from home: Many companies that embraced permanent remote work during the pandemic changed their attitudes, as executives lamented a loss of creativity and collaboration.

5. Standardized testing: Harvard, Yale, Brown and Dartmouth have all reinstated standardized test requirements for admission after dropping them during the pandemic.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🪜 Scoop: Trump's VP ladder
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Trump and Burgum during a Nevada Republican caucus night watch party in February. Photo: Ian Maule/Bloomberg via Getty Images

North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is moving up former President Trump's list of possible vice presidential picks because Trump's team believes he'd be a safe choice who could attract moderate voters, Axios' Sophia Cai and Juliegrace Brufke report.

  • Why it matters: Burgum is on a long list of VP contenders, but Trump's rising interest in the North Dakota governor reveals his latest thinking about how his running mate could help him with undecided voters.

State of play: Trump and his wife, Melania, hosted Burgum and his wife, Kathryn, at Mar-a-Lago for Easter Brunch, two people familiar with the matter told Axios.

  • In recent weeks, the sources said, Trump frequently has brought up Burgum's name in discussions with allies.
  • Spokespeople for Trump and Burgum declined to comment.

👀 The intrigue: Two sources familiar with Trump's thinking said he likes Burgum's measured demeanor and gubernatorial experience — and sees Burgum as reliable and low-drama.

  • Those are similar to the traits Trump cited in 2016 when he tapped Mike Pence to be his running mate.

Go deeper.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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💰 Trump-DeSantis peace deal

Former President Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis met yesterday in Miami to make up after their brutal primary fight, according to a source familiar with the meeting.

  • Why it matters: DeSantis is a prodigious fundraiser — and Trump badly needs the cash in the general election against President Biden, Axios' Alex Thompson and Justin Green write.

Trump and DeSantis hadn't spoken since the Republican primary ended, The Washington Post reports.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Trump’s a Fraud When It Comes to Law and Order and ‘Backing the Blue’

He pardoned crony crooks against DOJ’s recommendations, and he’s promised to let Jan. 6 insurrectionists—who brutally attacked cops—off the hook.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-a-fraud-when-it-comes-to-law-and-order-and-backing-the-blue?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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