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Candidates for President in 2024


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29 minutes ago, bonnie1962 said:

Please show me the prophecy that spells out the stepping out of the race by Biden and Harris becoming the nominee. Claims like that "from people in the know" are always suspect.

Most of us have a general understanding of last day events, and regardless of how many times you tell everyone of your area's of expertise, you are lacking the same knowledge most of us are. Unless of course you can take what you are saying forward and educate us how it will turn out under a President Harris

I stopped having much  faith in anyone that had an exaggerated opinion of their own knowledge in end time events.

1965 we lost or home in a tornado, complete loss. One after another hit that night. Didn't take long for those that

saw the end in every action, tragedy every death . Christs return was imminent, over half a century later, some of those that were talking prophecy  and doom then are still doing so.

You simply cant pin prophecy On Harris

Bonnie, I have shown you prophecies, but you want to make it earthly! My soul is more important than allowing anyone who refuses to see. You know the truth and I have tried to reason with you, hoping that you would pray with me and both of us can grow. You do not want that at all! What you refuse to see is that YAHWEH is in control. No matter what we want, HE will allow the person to win according to HIS WILL and HIS PURPOSE! Salvation is free!

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Bonnie, I have tried to explain where I stand as peacefully as possible. It does not work with you. It's all about you and your negative attitude. So, I am done. We have made our choices. I do not have to stump and say ugly things to prove a point. I am going to pray for you, no matter what you think. But, I will not address anything else you have to say. I leave you in prayer. May you be at peace.

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14 minutes ago, stinsonmarri said:

Bonnie, I have shown you prophecies, but you want to make it earthly! My soul is more important than allowing anyone who refuses to see. You know the truth and I have tried to reason with you, hoping that you would pray with me and both of us can grow. You do not want that at all! What you refuse to see is that YAHWEH is in control. No matter what we want, HE will allow the person to win according to HIS WILL and HIS PURPOSE! Salvation is free!

You have shown what you believe to be true. Of course, and that does not say what stinsonmarri says

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Trump ramps up his defense of Vance after one of the rockiest VP rollouts in recent memory

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Donald Trump is used to defending himself. But this week, the Republican presidential nominee has been put in the rare position of having to defend someone else — his running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance.

https://apnews.com/article/jd-vance-republican-vice-president-trump-ad67ae38d25c54eab9827b5cdb2fb6bc?

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phkrause

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Simone Biles today showed how a person who suffered from being sexually abused can make a comeback. When people like Vance say cruel things about women and Trump, who always have been racist. But, I do feel he is afraid of black women. He has a lot of sin problems, and more and more, it shows how evil he is! But, Simone today did a brave and respectful thing. She showed what her black job is. Many will say, oh, it is the Sabbath. But, the Sabbath is to show YAHWEH'S PLEASURE! Simone was a crush young lady, and YAHWEH helped to get her mind back, and HE blessed her! The lesson is that YAHWEH, THE SON, is in control. HE does THE WILL of HIS FATHER. When HE returns, John sees HIM returning with A NEW NAME! 

So, many people have suffered from mental health including me. My father and I were very close; at age four, he took me with him to relocate all of us to New Haven. My mother and the rest of the family came up later. It was my mother carrying me when she learned about the Sabbath! She asked her Minister, and he claimed it was only for the Jews. My mother refused to accept that because she read that ELOHIYM Created and blessed everything for everyone, including the 7th day Sabbath. She came from the strictist Baptist, the Missionary Baptist. She did not curse, drink, smoke, or lie! We had worship every evening, so she began to invite Bible workers from different faiths to study the Bible, and the Sabbath came up!  That is when they made excuses, and my mother stopped them from coming. By accident at work, a coworker introduced her to the Adventists, and she drilled them, too. They finally told her and my father they kept the Sabbath, which is how I became an Adventist at five. It was a struggle for my mother to give up pork. Being black, we did not eat pig feet, chitterlings, or fatback! My mother loved Ham! She gave it up to follow the truth. My father was struggling. Finally, after my brother had written a letter from Oakwood Academy that he sent to my father. My father returned back to church that Sabbath. He took his stand and said he wanted to be baptized, but that evening, he fell in an accident and died.

Losing him was hard on me, plus my sister was only three! My mother doted on her because of her age, and I was suffering from female problems at twelve, so my mind was lost for a long time. I had to fight my depression and mental illness, and so many things have happened to me in my life. Things happen when we give up and turn away from the truth! Why am I sharing this? Because YAHWEH is keeping me! I was so bitter and angry and wanted to fight back when people insulted me. I am glad that I needed to have a break from the forum! Being gone and taking care of my mother and my second father was not easy. Then I became ill. I have also been going through a lot, even now! But I have learned to trust in YAHSHUA! I have changed! HalluYAH! I am not the same. I hope you can tell!

Politics and Religion have always been since Nimrod, and I am saddened because the pioneers went through a lot and, yes, made errors and misunderstood some of the truth. Other truths, it was not time for them to understand! Throughout the ages, YAHWEH had sent prophets and, in the last days, messengers to lead us back to truth, and that is why politics and religion are so divisive! Those who claim to know Him are not showing it! All denominations make the same claim: they are the chosen and do not search the Scriptures but take the word of their leaders. When I was young coming up, we would take our Bibles. Not today, and you wonder why the young people are leaving. What do we have to offer them?

I prayed just before Biden decided to pass the torch to his Vice President, and I have not seen anything like this. YAHWEH answered my prayers. She is not going after the horror and racial things put out about her. I saw this young lady grow up under Biden. We have to stand up against sin, and it breaks my heart when I see us, who should know and be prepared, fall for Satan's deception. We will see what YAHWEH will do because it is about HIS Commandments and The Testimony of YAHSHUA that will rise and be heard. If not, the rocks will cry out! Who, I say, is on YAHWEH'S SIDE, Go HE Says to us who want to be sealed. Go and pray, stand up for truth, and preach the message of HIS Truth to a dying world! Happy Sabbath, may all be blessed, and you to Bonnie; I am praying for you!

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15 hours ago, stinsonmarri said:

But I have learned to trust in YAHSHUA! I have changed! HalluYAH! I am not the same. I hope you can tell!

Even if no else has not, I have!! As far as I'm concerned you have a beautiful soul. I might not also agree with everything you post, but enjoy reading your posts!! They give me food for thought, for that I thank you! Have a Blessed Sabbath!

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phkrause

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Texas woman who traveled to DC arrested for allegedly making threats against Trump

The Metropolitan Police Department said it arrested a Texas woman who traveled to Washington, DC, for allegedly making threats against former President Donald Trump and carrying a gun without a license.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/02/politics/texas-woman-arrested-trump-threats

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Fact check: Trump, who approved multiple prisoner exchanges, falsely claims he gave up ‘nothing’ to get Americans back

In May, former President Donald Trump declared that he was the only person who could obtain the release of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich from a Russian prison. After President Joe Biden proved the claim wrong on Thursday by securing the release of Gershkovich and others in a multi-country prisoner exchange, Trump posted a series of skeptical questions on social media.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/01/politics/fact-check-trump-falsely-claims-he-gave-up-nothing-american-prisoner-exchanges

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Key Harris adviser

Vice President Kamala Harris' brother-in-law and former U.S. associate attorney general Tony West has become a powerful adviser in her new campaign, as Harris asserts control over an organization built to elect a different candidate.

Why it matters: With less than 100 days to go, Harris is delicately retooling the presidential campaign with people she trusts, Democrats familiar with the matter told Axios.

  • But some Democratic advisers in close contact with the campaign worry West's prominent role could re-create the same family dynamics that at times caused unnecessary drama in her 2020 campaign.

Driving the news: In the first weeks since Harris became the likely nominee, West has frequently been at her side and is a point person in communicating with the campaign's leadership.

  • Among the biggest changes so far is the emergence of West in the informal, but influential, role of helping Harris take control of the campaign.
  • He is married to Harris' sister, Maya, who is not expected to take an operational campaign role like she did in 2020 but will remain a close confidante.

Zoom in: When Harris rallied the campaign staff in Wilmington, Delaware, last month, she gave a vote of confidence to the existing campaign team.

  • Harris did not select many of the campaign's key operatives and strategists and is beginning to place her own advisers in important roles for the final campaign sprint.

The bottom line: Many successful presidential candidates have had their family members serve as close advisers.

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Shapiro's weekend

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro is entering the weekend with extra buzz after canceling a fundraising swing in New York, as first reported by CNN.

Why it matters: The Harris vetting team has met with at least six candidates, two sources told NBC News.

  • They are Shapiro, Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Govs. Tim Walz (Minnesota), JB Pritzker (Illinois) and Andy Beshear (Kentucky).

Zoom in: A campaign called "No Genocide Josh" to scuttle Shapiro as a VP prospect, largely over his support for Israel, is facing pushback from Jewish members of Congress across the political spectrum, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.

  • "I think there is that sense that somehow we're not objective [on Israel] because we're Jewish, which is just not true or fair," Rep. Greg Landsman (D-Ohio) told Axios.

Between the lines: A story in The Atlantic yesterday noted Kelly and Walz are not facing such campaigns despite having similarly pro-Israel politics.

  • Several high-profile Jewish lawmakers, including Reps. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) and Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.), have since called out what they say is an antisemitic double standard.

 

New Dem firm

A half-dozen former senior Biden administration officials are joining forces with Democratic Party veterans to launch a new one-stop communications and strategy advisory firm.

Why it matters: Lafayette Advisors will aim to help Fortune 100 companies, as well as labor unions and progressive groups, with knowledge and expertise into how some of President Biden's signature spending bills are designed to be implemented.

Driving the news: Partners will include Ryan Berni, who served on the infrastructure team in the Biden White House, and Zach Butterworth, who led private sector engagement for Biden.

  • Both worked closely with Mitch Landrieu, Biden's former transportation czar, and former Rep. Cedric Richmond, who was Biden's first director of public engagement. Richmond will be a senior adviser to the new firm.
  • They will be joined by Bradley Beychok, a co-founder of American Bridge 21st Century, Ankit Desai, a lobbyist at ABI Associates, Michael Halle, a former senior adviser to Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and Leah Israel, who currently serves as the chief development officer for the 2024 Democratic National Convention.
  • Jennifer Palmieri, who served as communications director for President Obama and Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign, will also join the group as a senior adviser.

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Signs point to Shapiro

No one who really knows is talking. But White House, campaign and party sources tell Axios all signs point to Vice President Harris picking Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, 51, as her running mate, Axios' Hans Nichols reports.

  • Why it matters: Virtually all roads to 270 electoral votes run through Pennsylvania — one of the few things the Harris and Trump campaigns agree on.

While Harris could surprise everyone, she seems to be headed toward a pick that a wide variety of sources — Republicans and Democrats — think is both shrewd and straightforward.

  • It's a combination of math and logic: Pennsylvania is the biggest swing-state prize on the map. And Shapiro has a 61% approval rating.

Shapiro's VP stock hit record highs yesterday after CNN reported he was canceling a series of weekend fundraisers in the Hamptons.

  • Technically, a total of six potential running mates are still in play. But most of the conversation among senior Democrats has narrowed to Shapiro and Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona.
  • Shapiro met with Harris' vetting team on Wednesday. Kelly did the same on Tuesday.
  • For several days, Wall Street has been convinced Harris will pick a governor — in part because big-dollar donors were told to mail in their checks this week to avoid triggering a pay-to-play financial rule.
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Screenshot: MSNBC

🕶️ What we're watching: Face-to-face interviews between the sitting vice president and her potential replacement have yet to happen. But Harris plans to meet with the candidates as the last step in the super-condensed vetting process, Politico reports.

What we're hearing: After an epic month, the Democratic Party is done with surprises.

  • No more bombshells. The system is overloaded. Democrats believe that if Harris has telegraphed it's Shapiro, she should pick Shapiro.
  • The Harris campaign has urged reporters not to read into Philadelphia being chosen to kick off a battleground tour on Tuesday (map above). But Shapiro will almost certainly be there — either as a running mate or runner-up.
  • A Trump insider told Axios that many top Republicans also assume the pick will be Shapiro: "Pennsylvania's the whole ballgame."
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🎤 NABJ chief says Trump stalled

Moments before former President Trump took the stage at the National Association of Black Journalists annual convention in Chicago on Wednesday, the organization's president was called back to address an issue, Axios' Delano Massey, Sophia Cai and Russell Contreras write.

  • Trump didn't want to be fact-checked live and was refusing to go on stage, NABJ president Ken Lemon told Axios.
  • "[Trump's team] said: 'Well, can you not fact-check? He's not going to take the stage if you fact-check,'" Lemon said.

The Q&A with the GOP presidential nominee was delayed before he eventually joined a panel of Black journalists.

  • At the time, Trump blamed the delay on audio problems.
  • Lemon told Axios: "There were audio problems, but they were resolved very quickly."

Behind the scenes: The stalemate was so prolonged that NABJ leaders were prepared to explain to an audience of nearly 2,000 people why Trump wouldn't appear.

  • As Lemon was preparing that statement, Trump walked onstage.

Keep reading ... Trump campaign's post-event statement.

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Campaign funds

 

Donald Trump's campaign said Thursday that its operation raised nearly $139 million in July for the former president's election effort — and amassed $327 million in cash reserves for the roughly three-month sprint to the election. Trump's total represents a jump from June when his campaign and aligned committees reported bringing in nearly $112 million, but the July total was dwarfed by the fundraising haul of his newly minted Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris. The Harris campaign said it raked in a whopping $310 million in its July fundraising efforts, with more than $200 million raised in the first week of her candidacy. The Harris team has $377 million cash on hand, marking the latest sign of how the change at the top of the Democratic ticket has energized grassroots and high-dollar supporters.

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Kamala Harris secures the 2024 Democratic nomination

Vice President Kamala Harris has won a majority of delegates during a virtual Democratic National Committee roll call vote, DNC Chair Jaime Harrison announced Friday.

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/02/kamala-harris-2024-democratic-nomination?

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PA is the new FL
 
A split bar chart showing ad spending from candidates and PACs across swing states from March 6 to Nov. 5, 2024. The highest ad spending was in Pennsylvania, with $210.9 million followed by $98.6 million in Michigan.
Data: AdImpact. Chart: Axios Visuals

In 2000, it was Florida, Florida, Florida. In 2024, it's Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania.

  • Why it matters: Both presidential campaigns are treating Pennsylvania like the Ohios or Floridas of old — states where the winner is also the likely winner of the White House, Axios' Alex Thompson reports.

🔔 The Trump and Harris campaigns are set to spend more than twice as much on ads in Pennsylvania as in any of the six other swing states, according to an Axios analysis of AdImpact data.

  • The focus on the Keystone State could help persuade Vice President Harris to pick Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as her running-mate. She'll appear with her pick in Philadelphia on Tuesday.

💰 By the numbers: The Harris and Trump forces are pouring $210.9 million and counting into TV, digital, and radio ads in Pennsylvania in the eight months between the end of the Republican primary and Election Day, according to past spending and future bookings.

Zoom in: Michigan has the second most total expected spending at $98.6 million — $80.9 million for the Harris side and $17.7 million for Trump.

  • After Pennsylvania, Trump's team has invested the most in Georgia, with $28.6 million set to be spent.

👀 What we're watching: When President Biden was at the top of the ticket, the Trump team saw Pennsylvania as a prime opportunity to break through the "Blue Wall" states in the Midwest, including Michigan and Wisconsin. Biden was increasingly dependent on those for victory as other swing states trended toward Trump.

  • This past week, the Trump team for the first time began spending significant money on ads in North Carolina and Nevada, where polls previously showed comfortable leads.

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🔎 Efforts to tank Shapiro

Top Democrats have been telling us for several days that although she hasn't made it final, all signs point to Vice President Harris picking Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, 51, as her running-mate. But this weekend saw a flurry of efforts by rival Democratic camps to tank his chances.

  • Why it matters: Harris is conducting in-person interviews with finalists in Washington this weekend, and will appear Tuesday in Philadelphia with her choice.

Between the lines: The finalists are six white men. In addition to Shapiro, they include Govs. Tim Walz of Minnesota, Andy Beshear of Kentucky and J.B. Pritzker of Illinois, plus Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.

The latest: One report has Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) favoring Walz, with a source familiar with her thinking telling The Hill she "is always especially fond of former House colleagues." Walz served six House terms.

  • Advisers to Sen. John Fetterman (D-Penn.) have privately relayed to Harris' team his worries that Shapiro, a long-running rival in Pennsylvania, is excessively focused on personal ambitions, Politico reports.
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont said he wants Walz because he "understands the needs of working families."
  • UAW President Shawn Fain, said he wants Beshear or Walz. Fain said the union doesn't favor Shapiro because of past support for school vouchers.

🗞️ A 31-year-old clip surfaced from Shapiro's college newspaper, in which he wrote that Palestinians were "too battle-minded" and "peace between Arabs and Israelis is virtually impossible and will never come."

  • The opinion piece, "Peace not possible," ran in the Campus Times at the University of Rochester on Sept. 23, 1993.
  • Shapiro told reporters Friday that the column doesn't represent his views today: "I was 20."

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📊 New poll: Harris ties it up
 
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Graphic: CBS News

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are statistically tied in a CBS News/YouGov survey of registered voters out this morning.

  • Why it matters: In the two weeks since President Biden dropped out, Harris has closed the gap with Trump. Biden was trailing Trump by five points when he left the race two weeks ago today, CBS News notes.

The poll of 3,102 registered voters nationwide, interviewed between Tuesday and Friday, has a margin of error of ±2.1 points.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Graphic: CBS News

Enthusiasm among women and Black voters is boosting Harris' numbers.

  • When Biden was the nominee, 58% of registered Black voters said they'll definitely vote. Now that share has jumped to 74%.

70% of women voters said Harris' policies would help women. 43% said the same for Trump.

💰 Trump still leads on economic issues: 45% said they'll be financially better off if he wins. 25% said the same for Harris.

 

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RFK Jr.'s missed moment

RFK Jr. spoiled a rare opportunity last month when chaos over President Biden's candidacy paralyzed the party, Axios' Erin Doherty reports.

Why it matters: Kennedy's poll numbers appear to be falling, his cash is dwindling and he's slowed his schedule.

  • "By any metric, the campaign is certainly down momentum-wise than where it was at the beginning of the year," said Christopher Thrasher, a ballot access attorney and political consultant who has advised multiple independent and third party campaigns.
  • Recent polling shows Kennedy's support in the single digits. He hit 15% and above in some polls earlier this year.

Zoom in: "Historically, there's always a drop off from the polling numbers for an independent third party candidate to the vote totals," Thrasher told Axios.

  • "What I think is a little bit of an anomaly in the case of the RFK Jr. campaign, is that drop seems to be happening well in advance of actual ballots being distributed, votes being taken."

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Sun Belt surprise
 
Photo illustration of Kamala Harris drawn on a chalkboard with different U.S. states drawn around her, with arrows pointing to Harris.
 

Photo illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios. Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

 

Vice President Harris' early-days momentum has opened a new frontier in the presidential race, Axios' Sophia Cai writes.

  • Why it matters: Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina — which had looked to be trending toward former President Trump — are suddenly crackling battlegrounds online, on the airwaves and on the ground.

🖼️ The big picture: Pennsylvania is still the most important state where both campaigns are going all-in.

  • But the Harris campaign is fielding an army of enthused volunteers and piles of cash as it eyes a broader field of play.

Zoom in: In the past two weeks, the Harris campaign has added 370,000 new volunteers — including 15,500 in Georgia, 21,000 in Arizona, and 10,500 in North Carolina — three states with diverse or changing electorate.

🍑 In Georgia, 100,000 votes are up for grabs, former Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan (R) told Axios in an interview.

  • "Kamala Harris puts all of those votes back in play," Duncan said. "The Number 1 excuse that I heard [about Biden] was: 'My gosh, he's just so old. I just can't imagine him governing for four years.' She takes that risk of physical and mental failure off the table."

🌵 In Arizona, the campaign has trotted out border mayors who have endorsed Harris, including Republican Mayor John Giles of Mesa.

🏀 In North Carolina, which has voted for a Democratic president just twice in the past 50 years, Harris has an uphill battle.

  • But her momentum has forced the Trump campaign to spend on ads in North Carolina for the first time.
  • Democrats are counting on turning out voters who have just moved to the state — and are highlighting extreme comments by GOP gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson, and tying him to Trump.

🔮 NEW THIS MORNING: Tomorrow evening, Vice President Harris and her soon-to-be-announced running mate will launch a five-day, seven-city tour of battleground states, starting in Philadelphia.

  • From there, the new ticket heads to Eau Claire, Wis.; Detroit; Durham, N.C.; Savannah, Ga.; Phoenix; and Las Vegas.

A campaign preview says that besides rallies at venues ranging from arenas to college campuses, including Historically Black Colleges and Universities, the pair will meet with voters in smaller settings, including union halls, family-owned restaurants and campaign field offices. They'll be joined by union members, faith leaders, local officials and more.

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👀 Stunning RFK story
 
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Photo: Dan Winters for The New Yorker. Used by kind permission

A stunning, worthy-of-your-time New Yorker profile of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — out this morning — tells the full story behind his decision to leave a dead bear cub in New York City's Central Park a decade ago, which he revealed on X yesterday:

"Kennedy, who was then sixty ... got an idea. He drove to Manhattan and, as darkness fell, entered Central Park with the bear and a bicycle. A person with knowledge of the event said that Kennedy thought it would be funny to make it look as if the animal had been killed by an errant cyclist.

"The next day, the bear was discovered by two women walking their dogs, setting off an investigation by the N.Y.P.D. 'This is a highly unusual situation," a spokeswoman for the Central Park Conservancy told the Times. 'It's awful.' In a follow-up piece for the Times, which was coincidentally written by Tatiana Schlossberg, one of J.F.K.'s granddaughters, a retired Bronx homicide commander commented, 'People are crazy.'"

👓 Between the lines: Kennedy posted a video yesterday in an attempt to preempt the New Yorker's article, saying he thought leaving the bear would be amusing after a falconry outing in upstate New York.

  • "Looking forward to seeing how you spin this one," he wrote in a post with almost 8 million views.

Read the full story by Clare Malone ... 2014 news clip.

 

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says he left a dead bear in Central Park as a prank

WILMINGTON, Del. (AP) — Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. once retrieved a bear that was killed by a motorist and left it in New York’s Central Park with a bicycle on top, sparking a mystery that consumed the city a decade ago.

https://apnews.com/article/robert-kennedy-rfk-bear-cub-central-park-f7e6cba9aa19dc2066a8d9c543974a97?

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Presidential race

 

Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to announce her running mate this week but intends to keep her selection under wraps until they make an appearance together on Tuesday. Sources say Harris has narrowed her selection to three final contenders — Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania and Sen. Mark Kelly of Arizona. Her selection this week will be followed immediately by a joint tour of battleground states, starting with a stop in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, a fresh CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday found no clear leader between Harris and former President Donald Trump among likely voters nationally — whereas President Joe Biden had been down 5 points in previous polling data.

 

Florida Republicans who left party over Trump help launch ‘Republicans for Harris’

Three Floridians who collectively spent decades as Republicans are part of a nationwide effort to convince GOP voters to cast ballots for Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump.

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2024/08/05/florida-republicans-who-left-party-over-trump-help-launch-republicans-for-harris/?

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Final countdown

Not so fast, the Harris campaign is saying to reports that a decision's been made on a Democratic vice presidential nominee.

Why it matters: Today's clues suggest Vice President Kamala Harris has narrowed her focus to Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz.

  • But the last month has repeatedly proved that surprises come from all directions, and the potential VP list is big.
  • Barring a leak, expect to find out the VP nominee's name just like everyone else ... by seeing a carefully choreographed video pop up tomorrow morning on social media.

The bottom line: The stock market plunge and the potential of an escalation between Israel and Iran have sharpened the stakes for Harris' decision.

  • The VP and President Biden met with national security advisers this afternoon in the White House Situation Room.

🚨 Breaking this evening via AP: "Several U.S. personnel were injured in a suspected rocket attack at a military base in Iraq, U.S. defense officials said Monday, in what has been a recent uptick in strikes on American forces."

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Harris stress test
 
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Vice President Harris' rally in Atlanta last week. Photo: Christian Monterrosa/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The growing risk of twin calamities — recession and regional war in the Middle East — is suddenly looming over the U.S. election, Axios' Zachary Basu and Sophia Cai write.

  • Neither life-altering event is inevitable. But each could imperil Vice President Harris' ascendant campaign at a critical moment.

Why it matters: For the next 90 days, Republicans intend to treat Harris as the incumbent. That means saddling her with every crisis consuming the headlines, even when her role as vice president is murky or minimal.

🔎 Zoom in: Harris' unprecedented political honeymoon faced its first major test yesterday when the stock market suffered its worst losses since 2022.

  • Republicans were eager to shift blame to the White House — eyeing a rare opportunity to seize a news cycle dominated by tightening polls and speculation about Harris' running mate.
  • Top allies of former President Trump flooded social media with the phrase "Kamala Crash" and videos of Harris promoting President Biden's economic policies.
  • "STOCK MARKETS CRASHING. I TOLD YOU SO!!! KAMALA DOESN'T HAVE A CLUE," Trump roared in one of at least eight Truth Social posts blaming Harris for the selloff.

Reality check: The stock market has long been Trump's favorite measure of economic success. But presidents — let alone vice presidents — typically don't have much daily influence over the Dow.

  • The S&P 500 is still up about 15% over the past year, and over 30% since Biden's inauguration. Several of the market's steepest drops ever took place during Trump's presidency, in the early days of the pandemic.
  • This January, Trump tried to take credit for the market's record highs — claiming that investors were pricing in polls that projected he would defeat Biden in November.
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🔭 Between the lines: Even when the job market was at its strongest, polls suggested most Americans disapproved of Biden's handling of the economy.

  • Early indications are that Harris hasn't inherited the full extent of Biden's economic baggage. That could change with a few weeks of recession alarms.
  • Unlike the stock market, a full-scale war in the Middle East would have direct ramifications for Harris' day job as vice president — and could potentially yank her off the campaign trail.

The bottom line: It's only August. Election Day is 91 days away — with countless twists along the way.

Go deeper: How the virtual roll call worked.

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phkrause

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Stat du jour: Trump's Cabinet problem

Of the 42 people who served in former President Trump's Cabinet, just over half — 24 — of them explicitly support his re-election bid, The Washington Post reports.

  • Three former Cabinet members — John Bolton, Mark Esper and former Vice President Pence — have explicitly said they won't vote for Trump.
  • 15 others have declined to state their positions.

Those supporting Trump's run include Mike Pompeo, Steven Mnuchin and two of his harshest former critics, Nikki Haley and Bill Barr.

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phkrause

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Trump’s New Attack on ‘Kamabla’ Harris Is Literally Gibberish

After going after her racial identity, Trump has now taken to deliberately misspelling her name.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trumps-new-attack-on-kamala-harris-is-literally-gibberish?

‘Republicans for Harris’ rallies members of GOP to campaign for Democratic ticket

WASHINGTON — Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign over the weekend launched a “Republicans for Harris” initiative, as her campaign looks to court moderate GOP voters and others who don’t support former President Donald Trump’s reelection bid for the White House.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/08/05/republicans-for-harris-rallies-members-of-gop-to-campaign-for-democratic-ticket/?

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phkrause

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