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Candidates for President in 2024


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Presidential race

 

The race for the White House is entering its final stretch with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump targeting battleground states and preparing for their upcoming debate. Harris is looking to build on momentum from the Democratic National Convention as she tours the key swing state of Georgia this week. Meanwhile, Trump will campaign in Wisconsin and Michigan as he seeks to regain the spotlight. Those states and a few others will play a big role in determining who will secure the 270 electoral votes needed to win the November election. With party conventions over, the September 10 presidential debate will be the next race-defining moment on the calendar.

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Harris flip-flops on wall

If she's elected president, Kamala Harris pledges to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on the wall along the southern border — a project she once opposed and called "un-American" during the Trump administration, Axios' Alex Thompson and Hans Nichols write.

  • Why it matters: It's the latest example of Harris flip-flopping on her past liberal positions such as supporting Medicare for All and banning fracking — proposals that aides say she now is against.

Harris is embracing a more hawkish immigration policy as Donald Trump's campaign spends tens of millions of dollars attacking her about the border.

  • But she still has significant differences with Trump on immigration, opposing his approach to family separation and his plans for mass deportations.

🎤 In her speech to the Democratic National Convention last week, Harris said she'd sign the recent bipartisan border security bill — which Trump had ordered his allies to kill, fearing it would help Democrats in the November elections.

  • That bill, negotiated by senators such as James Lankford (R-Okla.) and Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), requires hundreds of millions of dollars of unspent funds to be used to continue building a wall on the border.
  • "It requires the Trump border wall," Lankford told Axios. "It is in the bill itself that it sets the standards that were set during the Trump administration: Here's where it will be built. Here's how it has to be built, the height, the type, everything during the Trump construction."
  • Her campaign says the border deal is a whole lot more than continuation of wall funding — and a tiny fraction of what Trump has proposed.

Lankford's office estimated the legislation would spend $650 million on a wall, down from the $18 billion Trump requested in 2018.

  • The bill, which Murphy described as a "compromise" also included provisions with more money for asylum lawyers and judges for the overloaded immigration system.

🥊 Reality check: Harris advisers note that the bipartisan border proposal didn't include any new money to continue building the wall.

  • It just extended the timeline to spend funds that had been appropriated during Trump's last year as president, they say, although the legislation has new restrictions to ensure the money is spent on barriers.

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More than 200 Bush, McCain, Romney alums endorse Harris for president | The Excerpt

On Tuesday’s episode of The Excerpt podcast: USA TODAY White House Correspondent Joey Garrison discusses how hundreds of former aides of high profile Republican politicians have endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris for president. Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith urged a federal appeals court Monday to reinstate the classified documents case against former President Donald Trump. Donald Trump casts doubt on the September debate. The Democratic Party has sued the Georgia State Election Board over new rules to 'prevent chaos.' USA TODAY Justice Department Correspondent Aysha Bagchi takes a closer look at the rules. Starliner astronauts won’t return until 2025.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2024/08/27/bush-mccain-romney-alums-endorse-harris-the-excerpt/74964057007/?

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📺 Harris-Walz turns to CNN

CNN's Dana Bash has landed the first joint media interview with Vice President Kamala Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, airing at 9pm ET on Thursday, the network announced this afternoon.

  • Look for plenty of pressure on Harris to sit for a solo interview as soon as the joint one airs on Thursday.

Why it matters: Harris has yet to do a news interview or give a formal press conference since the Biden switcheroo.

  • In 2021, Harris said, "I haven't been to Europe" when NBC News' Lester Holt asked — in an interview on her first foreign trip as VP — why she hadn't visited the U.S.-Mexico border as part of her investigation into the root causes of migration from Central America.
  • After that interview, Harris "all but went into a bunker for about a year, avoiding many interviews out of what aides said was a fear of making mistakes and disappointing Mr. Biden," the New York Times reported last year.

phkrause

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RFK Jr. can't escape the Blue Wall

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will stay on the ballot in the "Blue Wall" battlegrounds of Michigan and Wisconsin in November, despite trying to yank his name from contention, Axios' Erin Doherty reports.

  • Why it matters: Internal Trump campaign polling showed that Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin were the states where the most Kennedy voters had ranked Trump second, Semafor's Dave Weigel posted on X.

Kennedy has succesfully escaped the ballot in the swing states of Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania.

  • His ballot status is unclear in North Carolina.
  • In Georgia, a court already ruled on an unrelated issue that he's ineligible to appear on the state's ballot. The final decision will be made by Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R).

phkrause

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📊 Trump's budget-busters
 
Two waterfall charts showing the fiscal effects of Trump and Harris
Data: Penn Wharton Budget Model. Chart: Jacque Schrag/Axios

Former President Trump's campaign promises would send the national debt soaring much faster than Vice President Harris' would, Axios' Felix Salmon writes from two new analyses by the Penn Wharton Budget Model.

  • Both of them increase the deficit.

The findings: Keeping Trump's campaign promises would increase the national debt by $5.8 trillion over 10 years.

  • Harris' would cost $1.2 trillion.

👓 Between the lines: The biggest difference between the two candidates is what happens to Trump's tax cuts, which are set to expire at the end of 2025. Trump would extend them but Harris wouldn't.

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Trump promises mass deportations of undocumented people. How would that work?

WASHINGTON — “Mass deportation now!” is a catchphrase for the Trump presidential campaign, as the Republican nominee proposes a crackdown on immigration that would oust thousands of undocumented people.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/08/28/trump-promises-mass-deportations-of-undocumented-people-how-would-that-work/?

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Having a family is expensive. Here’s what Harris and Trump have said about easing costs

WASHINGTON (AP) — The high cost of caring for children and the elderly has forced women out of the workforce, devastated family finances and left professional caretakers in low-wage jobs — all while slowing economic growth.

https://apnews.com/article/election-child-care-tax-credit-paid-leave-bb0283c684f33470a1df1f37fa3f4231?

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🔥 Harris' hot seat

This time tomorrow, Americans will get to see whether Kamala Harris — with Gov. Tim Walz by her side — is ready to handle the media scrutiny as a presidential nominee that has at times haunted her as vice president.

Why it matters: Harris became the nominee without facing an in-depth interview, or winning a single primary vote, while at the top of the ticket.

  • This will be the first time a reporter — in this case, CNN's Dana Bash — has the chance to push Harris since President Biden dropped out of the race.
  • The central question for Harris in the coming days: Can you explain the areas in which you differ from Biden on policy and what you've done as VP to press your case for those views?

Below are 10 follow-up questions — five on domestic politics and five on foreign policy — from our conversations within the Axios politics team.

  1. Price gouging: Could you define "price gouging" for the American public? What are the thresholds for your administration to take action?
  2. Taxes: When you say only the wealthy will see their taxes increase, how high should they go? And is your $400,000 annual income cutoff for households or individuals?
  3. Immigration: What changed for you to shift from calling a border wall "un-American" in 2018 to now saying you'd sign a bill that ensures more of the wall is built?
  4. Inflation: What was the inflation rate when you took office? And does your administration bear any responsibility for the massive increase in prices?
  5. Supreme Court reform: Will you ask any Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats to resign after 18 years? (Justice Sonia Sotomayor hits the 18-year mark in 2027.)
  6. Defending Taiwan from China: Do you agree with Biden that the United States is prepared to defend Taiwan if China invades?
  7. North Korea: What's your long-term solution to North Korea's ballistic missile proliferation and its nuclear capability?
  8. Defense spending: Are NATO countries spending enough on their defense budgets? (Even Canada?)
  9. Meeting with foreign strongmen: At your first G20 as president, will you meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin? How about Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman?
  10. Russia/Ukraine: Do you support Ukraine's incursion into Russia? If so, why does the administration still have restrictions on Ukraine using long-term ballistic missiles to strike inside Russia?

 

Shock poll: Sitting VP leading on "change"
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%

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Presidential race

 

Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate Gov. Tim Walz will sit with CNN for their first joint interview today which will air at 9 p.m. ET. It will mark the first time Harris has sat with a journalist for an in-depth, on-the-record conversation since President Joe Biden ended his bid for a second term in July. The interview will allow Harris to explain how her positions might differ from Biden's as the 2024 race enters a new phase. Harris and Walz also began campaigning together in Georgia for the first time this week, targeting the southeast portion of the state and providing a window into their strategy in the crucial battleground ahead of November.

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Why the Media Won’t Report the Truth About Trump

Over the last few years, as it grew increasingly likely that Donald Trump would mount a third campaign for the White House, leading press critics and others in the media vowed that this time had to be different. The press couldn’t fail in its coverage of Trump once again.

https://theintercept.com/2024/08/28/trump-campaign-election-media-coverage-journalists/?

phkrause

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Trump's conspiracy binge

Former President Trump's reposts on Truth Social have grown more frequent and more vitriolic as polls suggest he's losing ground to Vice President Harris, Axios' David Lindsey and Dave Lawler write.

📱 Just in the last 48 hours, he has reposted...

  • A series of messages that contain frequent QAnon sayings, including "nothing can stop what's coming," a popular saying by QAnon conspiracists, and "WWG1WGA," short for "Where we go one, we go all."
  • Fake images showing prominent Democrats in prison garb and calling for former President Obama to be subject to "military tribunals."
  • An image of Harris and Hillary Clinton that included a lewd and misogynistic comment about their careers.

Trump is also veering off message in other forums.

  • In an interview with Dr. Phil this week, he suggested Harris may have wanted him to get shot.

️ Why it matters: Few undecided voters hang out on Truth Social, but the posts provide a taste of the stew of rage and conspiracy theories Trump and some of his most ardent supporters are consuming — often at the expense of issues that are much more salient to many more voters.

Go deeper.

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Harris' CNN showdown

Vice President Kamala Harris sounded like the Democrat she is trying to succeed as president in tonight's CNN interview: open to fracking, ready to crack down on the southern border and dismissive of Medicare for All.

Why it matters: Harris repeatedly cited President Biden's record to justify her policy flip-flops since her own presidential campaign in 2019.

  • Along the way, she occupied the centrist Democratic position that Biden vacated when he decided to drop out.
  • Harris praised Biden, saying he "has the intelligence, the judgment and the commitment and the disposition to serve the American people" in his final months in office.
  • Harris said she has "no regrets" for publicly defending Biden after the debate that derailed his campaign.

With Gov. Tim Walz sitting deferentially by her side, Harris brushed off CNN's Dana Bash on a question about former President Trump's questioning of Harris' racial identity.

  • "Same old tired playbook, next question please."

Walz brushed back a question of his own, dodging Bash's question about his prior incorrect or misleading claims and citing GOP attacks on his family and pets.

  • "I've been very public... I certainly own my mistakes when I make 'em. ... I spoke about our infertility issues because it's hell ... I think people know who I am. ... I won't apologize for speaking passionately."

The bottom line: Harris revealed the moment she learned she'd become the possible nominee.

  • "It was a Sunday ... and the phone rang, and it was Joe Biden. ... I asked him, 'Are you sure?,' and he said yes."

 

Harris-Walz interview

 

Vice President Kamala Harris on Thursday offered her most expansive explanation to date on why she’s changed some of her positions, including on fracking and immigration. In an exclusive exclusive sit-down interview CNN’s Dana Bash, Harris said her values haven’t shifted but that her time as vice president provided new perspective on some of the country’s most pressing issues. Speaking alongside running mate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris also said she would name a Republican to serve in her Cabinet if elected. She also sought to frame the 2024 race as one that offers the American people “a new way forward” after a political decade in which Trump — in office or out — was a central figure. 

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New Trump giveaway

Trump says the government or insurance companies will pay for IVF for "all Americans that need it" if he takes back the White House.

  • "[W]e need great children, beautiful children in our country," Trump told NBC News.

Why it matters: IVF is extremely expensive and most insurance doesn't cover it.

  • The estimated average price of a successful IVF treatment can "easily exceed" $40,000, per a U.S. government fact sheet.

The bottom line: IVF has become a top campaign issue for Democrats, who have linked Trump to restrictions on reproductive care.

  • Trump said he supported IVF availability this year after clinics paused IVF treatments in the wake of an Alabama Supreme Court ruling that embryos were considered people.

 

👀 Look at these cross-tabs

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R), who's scheduled to appear at a fundraiser tonight for Trump, is winning over nearly every demographic and age group in his state, according to a Fox News poll.

  • He's even at 51% among Georgia Democrats, Axios Atlanta coauthor Thomas Wheatley reports.

Why it matters: Trump has made nice in recent days after he repeatedly blasted Kemp for defending Georgia's 2020 election results.

  • "He's a bad guy. He's a disloyal guy. And he's a very average governor," Trump said this month at a rally in Atlanta.

🚨 The big picture: Kemp is polling at 50% or above among men, women, younger and older people, Black people and white people, people with and without college degrees — and residents of urban, suburban and rural areas, according to the poll of 1,104 Georgia registered voters.

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Harris vs. Trump era

Vice President Harris said twice during yesterday's interview in Georgia with CNN's Dana Bash that Americans are ready to "turn the page" on the Trump era.

  • Why it matters: It's part of Harris' strategy of portraying herself as the candidate of change, even though she's in the White House — and trying to make former President Trump seem like the exhausting incumbent.

Harris' campaign communications director, Brian Fallon, tweeted while the CNN special was still airing that even after Trump "lost in 2020, he never left the stage — he tried to overturn the election and began running again immediately. America is exhausted with him."

Harris, joined by running mate Tim Walz for her first formal interview since President Biden bowed out, rejected identity politics when asked about Trump's comments about her racial identity.

  • "Same old, tired playbook," Harris said. "Next question, please."

Bash followed up: "That's it?"

  • Harris replied: "That's it."

Trump, on his Truth Social platform, called the interview: "BORING!!!"

Harris gave her most forceful defense of Biden's economic record since becoming Democratic nominee, Axios' Hans Nichols writes.

  • She didn't repeat "Bidenomics" after Bash used the term. The VP instead gave a careful, two-part answer, taking credit for America's post-COVID economic recovery and lowering drug costs, while acknowledging there's more work to do.

🔎 Between the lines: Harris' prime-time defense of Biden's economy contrasts with her TV ads, in which she looks beyond the current administration and focuses on the pain many voters are still feeling — and how she aims to help working- and middle-class Americans.

  • That includes proposals to help first-time homeowners and target price-gouging.
  • "When I am elected president, I will make it a top priority to bring down costs," she says in a new ad, using lines and footage from her recent speech in Raleigh, N.C., without mentioning the economic progress she boasted about on CNN.

Before he dropped out of the race, Biden's ads amounted to victory laps on the economy.

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Georgia puts Cornel West, Jill Stein and Claudia De la Cruz on the state’s presidential ballots

ATLANTA (AP) — Georgia voters are likely to be able to choose from six candidates for president after Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger on Thursday put Cornel West and Claudia De la Cruz back on the ballot and ruled that the Green Party’s Jill Stein had qualified by another route.

https://apnews.com/article/georgia-president-ballot-access-cornel-west-cruz-851d3c588d2b53f76bfe19adfb33ee3b?

phkrause

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Trump tanks Trump

Former President Trump's off-script whims are increasingly throwing mud on his advisers' game plans, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

  • Why it matters: After spending months in the lead, Trump now faces a tougher opponent, Vice President Harris, who's rising in polls.

Case in point: Trump's campaign this week debuted a Pennsylvania mail-in voting website for a program called "Swamp the Vote," aimed at boosting GOP turnout in swing states.

  • The same day, Trump called mail-in voting "terrible" during an interview with "Dr. Phil" McGraw.

For months, Trump's team has been training field volunteers to get out the Republican vote.

  • But Trump is making clear he doesn't care as much about their efforts as "election integrity" — a push aimed in part at justifying his false claims that he lost 2020 because of fraud.
  • "Our primary focus is not to get out the vote — but to make sure they don't cheat," Trump said last week.
  • Steven Cheung, the Trump campaign's communications director, told Axios both programs are equally important: "Trump has encouraged his supporters and voters to get out the vote through video, social media posts, in-person events and much more."

🥊 The ex-president continues to lean into personal attacks, despite his advisers' repeated efforts to get him to focus more on issues.

  • Aides are writing policy proposals into his speeches, and pushing policy ideas on social media and in a daily campaign newsletter, Palm Beach Playbook.
  • Trump frequently deviates from prepared remarks to ask rally-goers which nicknames he should give his opponents. He's begun calling Harris "Comrade Kamala."

In North Carolina during the Democratic convention, Trump complained: "They always say, 'Sir, please stick to policy, don't get personal ... You'll win it on the border. You'll win it with inflation. You'll win it with your great military that you built.'"

  • He then did a "free poll" of the crowd: "Should I get personal, or should I not get personal?" The MAGA crowd roared, wanting more vintage Trump.
  • "My advisers are fired!" he joked at a time when he's brought back past advisers, including Corey Lewandowski (who's on "Fox News Sunday" tomorrow).

The disconnect between Trump and his team was apparent this week over ground rules for his Sept. 10 debate with Harris on ABC.

  • As Trump's advisers were pushing to keep mics muted for the candidates when it's not their turn to answer, he declared he didn't care. The mics will be muted, under the latest rules.

phkrause

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🎒 '24 agenda skips school reform
 
Illustration of a tiny person facing a brick wall, which is also the interior of a giant book.
 

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

Former President Trump is vowing to dismantle the Department of Education. Vice President Harris wants to stem school shootings.

  • Beyond that, neither has offered detailed plans for the nation's K-12 schools, Axios' Russell Contreras reports.

Why it matters: Student reading scores have fallen to 20-year lows. States are facing teacher shortages, and racial segregation in schools has returned to levels not seen since the 1960s.

🔭 The big picture: American public schools are growing more separate and unequal even though the country is more racially and ethnically diverse.

"I'm so depressed," Amanda Rae Aragon, executive director of the education advocacy group NewMexicoKidsCAN, tells Axios.

  • "It's kind of like every person out is out for themselves: 'Hope you get to live in a good school district.'"

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🗳️ Harris wants to run as underdog

Despite gaining a post-convention edge in polls, Jen O'Malley Dillon, chair of the Harris-Walz campaign, says today in a memo — "The State of the Race 65 Days Out" — that her candidate is the underdog.

  • Why it matters: Top Democrats are wary of the party's exuberance outrunning electoral reality in what is still a 50-50 nation.

"Since Vice President Harris entered the race in late July, our campaign has seen record fundraising numbers, a surge in volunteer interest, and a spike in enthusiasm to participate in this November's election," O'Malley Dillon writes.

  • "However, make no mistake: we head into the final stretch of this race as the clear underdogs. Donald Trump has a motivated base of support, with more support and higher favorability than he has had at any point since 2020."
  • In nine days, "Vice President Harris will face Trump on the debate stage, where we expect him to be a formidable opponent. In 2020, the election came down to about 40,000 votes across the battleground states. This November, we anticipate margins to be similarly razor-thin."

🔎 Between the lines: Both sides try to lower expectations. The Trump campaign correctly said Harris would likely get a polling bounce after her convention.

🐘 The other side: Chris LaCivita, co-manager of the Trump campaign, told me that no matter "how the national media and Harris campaign phrase it, the working middle class of America needs help."

  • "They need help from a real leader committed and with a plan to eliminate the inflationary stranglehold that is making ends meet harder by the day — food costs, energy costs and the death of the American dream," LaCivita added.
  • "They want a leader focused on them ... That's the focus of Donald Trump, and that's what the next 65 days will show. Who is fighting for us?"

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🗺️ Mapped: A confined campaign
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Map: AP

The presidential campaign seems to be everywhere. But candidates stick to places rich in donors — and votes that count (seven swing states).

  • This AP tracker shows where the Democratic and Republican tickets have campaigned since March 2024, when President Biden and former President Trump had won enough delegates to clinch the nominations.
  • It includes stops by Vice President Harris after Biden dropped out, and events by JD Vance and Tim Walz after they joined their tickets.

Interactive version of the map, showing how many R and D visits for each city.

phkrause

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