Members phkrause Posted October 14, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 14, 2023 Nancy Mace Thinks She Could Be Trump’s Next VP The South Carolina congresswoman has made an enemy of scores of Republicans at this point. But she still has her eye on 2024’s biggest GOP prize. https://www.thedailybeast.com/nancy-mace-thinks-she-could-be-trumps-next-2024-vice-president-pick? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 14, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 14, 2023 GOP Presidential Candidate Drops His Campaign On Monday, October 9, former Texas Representative Will Hurd announced on X, formerly Twitter, that he was suspending his campaign. He acknowledged that his team was able to match “the accomplishments of many” others “who had significantly higher name ID and cash advantage,” but in the end, it wasn’t enough. Hurd said that dropping out is critical in order to “consolidate [the] party around one person” with the hopes of beating former President Donald Trump and current POTUS Joe Biden. https://usnewsbreak.com/gop-presidential-candidate-drops-his-campaign/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 15, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 15, 2023 Republican Presidential Candidate Withdraws from Race Former Montana Secretary of State and 2024 Republican Presidential candidate Corey Stapleton has dropped out of the race for the Republican nomination. https://local.newsbreak.com/montana-state/3193259090972-republican-presidential-candidate-withdraws-from-race? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 16, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 16, 2023 💰 Fundraising reads: Tale of 3 campaigns 1. "Biden Campaign Raises $71.3 Million, Far Outpacing Trump and Republican Field" (New York Times) Why it matters: "It was a spectacular quarter," Biden campaign co-chair and Hollywood mogul Jeffrey Katzenberg told the Times, boasting of the $91 million the president's re-elect has in cash on hand. Yes, but: The campaign has dramatically increasing its spending, and the Q3 haul is far behind what former President Trump and the RNC had raised at this point during Trump's re-election campaign in 2019. 2. "Christie's low burn-rate gives him runway to New Hampshire" (Axios) Why it matters: The former New Jersey governor is entering the final months of the GOP primary campaign with no debt and $3.9 million cash on hand, likely enough money to make it to the New Hampshire primary, Axios' Alex Thompson and Erin Doherty report. "If I don't do well in New Hampshire, then I'll leave," Christie told the New York Times last month. 3. "Mounting debt threatens Mike Pence's campaign" (NBC News) Why it matters: The former vice president's long-shot campaign is under serious financial stress, raising $3.3 million in Q3 but reporting $620,000 in debt. Pence has $1.2 million in the bank, but at least $200,000 of it is earmarked for the general election and cannot be used for the primary campaign. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 17, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 17, 2023 DeSantis takes heat from Democrats for calling all Palestinians antisemitic Gov. Ron DeSantis’ declaration that all Palestinians are antisemitic was blasted by Democrats including U.S. Rep. Maxwell Frost, who asked why he didn’t condemn neo-Nazis in Florida with the same fervor. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/10/16/desantis-takes-heat-for-calling-all-palestinians-antisemitic/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 17, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 17, 2023 Tim Scott praises ‘restraint’ of Israel’s Netanyahu, says US should move more firepower to region WASHINGTON (AP) — Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina on Monday praised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for showing what he called “restraint” after Hamas attacked Israel over a week ago. https://apnews.com/article/scott-foreign-policy-national-security-ap-georgetown-b13c5c1b93fd113b6070e5dcd0dc9225? 📺 Scott super PAC pulls plug The super PAC supporting Sen. Tim Scott's (R-S.C.) presidential campaign abruptly announced it's canceling millions of dollars in TV ad reservations booked for this fall, Politico first reported. "We aren't going to waste our money when the electorate isn't focused or ready for a Trump alternative," TIM PAC co-chair Rob Collins wrote in a memo to donors. Why it matters: The memo goes on to defend Scott as "the only candidate running a different campaign" than Trump alternatives like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, insisting there's a path forward. But for a PAC that had boasted of its massive $40 million fall reservation in July, the acknowledgment that "the field has not cleared" is an obvious cause for alarm. Scott is currently polling at around 2% nationally — seventh among all Republican candidates. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 17, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 17, 2023 NBC to air third GOP presidential debate from Miami next month; Trump will likely not participate The Republican National Committee (RNC) announced on Monday that NBC News will be broadcasting the next Republican presidential debate, scheduled to take place on Nov. 8 in Miami. https://floridaphoenix.com/blog/nbc-to-air-third-gop-presidential-debate-from-miami-next-month-trump-will-likely-not-participate/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 19, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 19, 2023 RFK Jr. spent years stoking fear and mistrust of vaccines. These people were hurt by his work When 12-year-old Braden Fahey collapsed during football practice and died, it was just the beginning of his parents’ nightmare. https://apnews.com/article/rfk-kennedy-election-vaccines-2ccde2df146f57b5e8c26e8494f0a16a? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 20, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 20, 2023 Clinton fundraiser poised to join White House Dennis Cheng, a longtime Hillary Clinton aide and fundraiser, is preparing to join the White House as deputy political director, Axios' Hans Nichols and Alex Thompson report. Why it matters: Cheng will be part of the small White House team setting the direction for President Biden's official re-election campaign. Cheng, a longtime Democratic Party operative who worked for Biden during the 2020 general election, knows how to keep donors happy. Many of them have privately complained that the Biden White House hasn't given them the kind of attention they received from previous Democratic administrations. Those relationships will become increasingly important as November 2024 approaches, with Democrats looking to spend close to $2 billion to hold the White House. Keep reading Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 22, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 22, 2023 Ron DeSantis Handed Brutal News by Poll Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has faced another blow to his hopes of being the Republican candidate in the 2024 presidential election after a poll showed a slump in support. https://www.newsweek.com/desantis-poll-brutal-emerson-college-polling-center-1836669 Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 22, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 22, 2023 Tim Scott's big spending gamble The presidential campaign of Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) racked up a burn rate of more than 260% in the third quarter of 2023, leaving him at risk of going into debt by the Iowa caucuses in January, Axios' Erin Doherty and Alex Thompson report. Why it matters: Scott transferred $22 million from his Senate committee and has more cash than many of his rivals. But he'll need to curtail his spending or find new donors as his existing ones max out. Scott's team brought in $4.6 million during the third quarter — but spent close to $12.4 million. A stark comparison: The campaign of former UN ambassador Nikki Haley brought in $8.2 million — but spent just $3.5 million in that time. Six of Scott's campaign aides make about the same or more as the highest-paid person on the payroll for the campaigns of Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to FEC filings. Some operatives on other campaigns aren't on the official payroll and are paid through other entities. Scott had 54 people on payroll in the third quarter, compared to 29 for Haley. DeSantis had 63 people on his payroll at the end of September, after he cut more than one-third of his staff in July. Reality check: Scott still has $11.6 million to spend in the primary, compared to Haley's $9.1 million and DeSantis' $5 million. Scott communications director Nathan Brand told Axios: "Heading into Iowa, Tim Scott is the most liked candidate, with the 2nd most resources, and the only evangelical who can win." Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 23, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 23, 2023 DeSantis’ Israel rescue operation left Americans stranded on Cyprus A rush to help DeSantis score political points for his presidential campaign caused the confusion, said Bryan Stern, CEO of Project Dynamo. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/10/20/desantis-israel-rescue-operation-left-americans-stranded-on-cyprus/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 23, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 23, 2023 🗳️ Scoop: New Hispanic super PAC Three former members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus — including New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) — today are creating a new super PAC to get more Hispanic Democrats elected to Congress, Axios' Hans Nichols reports. Why it matters: The battle for Congress in 2024 runs partly through districts with significant Hispanic populations. The new group, BOLD America, is being launched by Lujan Grisham, as well as former Reps. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D-Calif.) and Filemon Vela (D-Texas). Keep reading. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 23, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 23, 2023 Here’s how DeSantis’ hyper-online strategy suddenly went south In early May, as Gov. Ron DeSantis prepared to run for president, about a dozen conservative social media influencers gathered at his pollster’s home for cocktails and a poolside buffet. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2023/10/23/ron-desantis-campaign-internet-strategy/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 26, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 26, 2023 🐘 Axios interview: Vivek predicts Iowa surprise Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy said yesterday during a visit to the Axios newsroom in Arlington, Va., that he expects his campaign to deliver a "surprise result" at the Iowa GOP caucuses on Jan. 15 — 82 days from now. "If not an outright victory, I think we have a good shot at an outright victory, something close to it," said Ramaswamy, 38. "A solid second or third in Iowa." Ramaswamy, the field's youngest candidate, has sought to appeal to younger voters by joining TikTok, Axios' Erin Doherty and Sophia Cai report. The Ohio native and biotech founder got a bump in polls after the first GOP primary debate. He averages over 5% support in national polls, putting him at about fourth, according to FiveThirtyEight. He averages 5% in early Iowa polls, according to FiveThirtyEight, which has him in fifth. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 26, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 26, 2023 DeSantis ally Rep. Randy Fine switches endorsement to Trump for president In another blow to GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis’ presidential campaign, provocateur state Rep. Randy Fine switched his endorsement Tuesday from the Florida governor to former President Donald J. Trump. https://floridaphoenix.com/blog/desantis-ally-rep-randy-fine-switches-endorsement-to-trump-for-president/? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 29, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 29, 2023 What to know about Democratic presidential candidate Dean Phillips Rep. Dean Phillips has launched his long-shot presidential primary challenge against President Biden. https://www.axios.com/2023/10/27/democrat-dean-phillips-election-campaign-biden-2024? Rep. Dean Phillips announces primary challenge to Biden. He says Democrats need to focus on future CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — For months, Dean Phillips called for a Democratic primary challenge to President Joe Biden, drawing no public interest from governors, lawmakers, and other would-be alternatives. https://apnews.com/article/phillips-2024-presidential-campaign-biden-democratic-challenger-0f38b80ba00566014a4d59fdb516d52c? Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 29, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 29, 2023 🗳️ Biden yawns at primary foe President Biden's re-election campaign responded with a shrug as Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips jumped into the presidential race, Axios' Alex Thompson reports. Why it matters: Polls indicate most Democrats prefer that Biden not run again. But the president's campaign is so confident he'll be the party's nominee that it's essentially ignoring Phillips and focusing on swing states. A sign of that confidence: Biden pushed for South Carolina to hold the first Democratic contest of the primary season with delegates at stake. But his campaign has no staff there, and is relying on the state party in the Feb. 3 primary. Phillips — whose run for president will focus on the 80-year-old Biden's electability — tried to talk with Biden twice in recent weeks. The White House told him the president was unavailable. 💡 Between the lines: Biden won South Carolina big in the 2020 primary. But some Palmetto State Democrats worry that his team is too confident now. "The first rule of politics: Don't take anything for granted," Trav Robertson, chair of the state's Democratic Party from 2017 until earlier this year, told Axios. 🖼️ The big picture: Phillips, 54 — a businessman who represents Minnesota in Congress — is an enormous underdog. He enters the race in the final months before voting begins, with little name recognition or national profile. One of the wealthiest members of Congress, he can self-fund his campaign to try to make up ground. Phillips' campaign message largely points to polls indicating that Biden is in danger of losing to Trump next year. He has typically voted with Biden and has few clear issue differences with the president. Go deeper. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 30, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 30, 2023 Behind the Curtain: Biden's horror shows President Biden's White House is stuck in a split-screen reality — spiraling war threats overseas and spiraling political problems at home. Both are horror shows for re-election, Axios' Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen write. Why it matters: Top officials believe Biden has been at his best in managing the early days of the Israeli-Hamas war. But they privately concede things have never been worse politically since the 80-year-old took office. Most troublesome: It's hard to see how to brighten his public image on issues haunting the American public — crime, immigration, inflation, race, trust. And now two divisive wars America didn't start. Biden's top aides "are deeply frustrated, and somewhat bitter," said one backer in frequent touch with the West Wing. "They think he's doing a great job — and by many measures, he is." But private polls show the same hurdle as public ones — brutally and stubbornly low popularity broadly, and on topics animating voters: 1. He's tied or trailing former President Trump nationally and in swing states — even though Trump was indicted four times on 91 felony counts and is spending many days in court (and storming out). 2. Biden gets crushed on his handling of immigration, crime and inflation — none of which will likely turn around in time to put a new spring in his step. It's not death by one issue, but by half a dozen hitting at once. "The load-bearing wall breaks," one Biden official conceded. 3. Many of Biden's own voters don't want him to run — a daunting design flaw for a re-election campaign. His popularity with his own supporters hit a new low in a poll this past week. Democrats are divided over Israel. What to watch: Election Day is 53 weeks away, and Biden needs to excite young voters, Black voters and Hispanic voters. His core constituency is unlikely to vote for Trump. But Democrats are concerned about a combination of voters staying home or backing a third-party candidate. Dems won in 2020 because of massive turnout. Now, many of Biden's base voters are over him. To try to rev them up, Democrats plan to lean into Trump, abortion and rising cultural issues, including book bans. Here's where things get trickier. Among the pitfalls ahead: 1. It's hard to see a big new idea that could pass Congress and move the needle with the public. The White House slammed so many chips on Bidenomics, which is getting results in reality but has been a flop politically. That leaves West Wingers banking on Trump hatred, not Biden love (or even liking) to carry them. The Biden campaign has spent $10 million and counting on TV ads, mostly touting Biden — and his polls haven't moved. If anything, they've gone down. 2. Top Biden backers worry they're one trip or stumble or brain glitch away from another round of Biden's-too-old hand-wringing. Axios told you about the strategy to mitigate it. But voters see him as hesitating, faltering and often confused. It's a visible weakness that can't be fixed or changed, as one veteran of presidential politics points out. 3. Hunter Biden likely will remain in the headlines through Election Day as he battles criminal charges and House Republicans push impeachment against his dad. 4. House Republicans have made themselves a laughingstock with their speaker fracas over the past month. But Speaker Mike Johnson says he'll continue the impeachment inquiry. Opposition to Ukraine aid has grown among Republicans. What they're saying: Biden advisers point out that year-out predictions are rarely right. Politics aren't static. Individual pieces of Bidenomics are popular. And they say 53 weeks is actually lots of time: Voters will decide next fall — after hundreds of millions have been spent by each side — not this fall. In October 2011, 13 months before former President Obama's re-election, a Quinnipiac poll had his approval hitting an all-time low. Yet many top figures in both parties agree on this brutal calculus: Trump is the only viable Republican that Biden can defeat. And Biden and Vice President Harris are the only Democrats that Trump could defeat. What's next: The Middle East war gives the president a chance to project stable leadership ahead of a general election that could boil down to Biden's age vs. Trump's character. But the White House knows the war will likely widen. One Biden insider said about the war: "The most pessimistic scenario is the most likely outcome." Share this column ... Go deeper: Read our columns on Biden and Bibi, Biden and the war, and rattled U.S. officials. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 30, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 30, 2023 Biden's 1979 moment President Biden is running for re-election at a time when the world appears to be in chaos. On the foreign policy front, his presidency is playing out similarly to that of the last Democratic president who failed to win a second term: Jimmy Carter. Why it matters: Three destabilizing overseas crises have taken place during Biden's presidency: The chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and now, the prospect of a regional war in the Middle East. The chaos across the globe is leading many Americans to conclude that we're facing a moment of historic danger, as Axios CEO Jim VandeHei and co-founder Mike Allen describe it. That sense of fear and dread — on top of widespread economic anxiety — is very bad news for any president running for re-election. Zoom out: There are some striking similarities to the political challenges Biden is facing and the headwinds faced by former President Carter, who was dragged down by twin foreign policy crises heading into his re-election. Carter's demise was fueled by the 1979 Iranian Revolution that ousted the pro-American shah for an Islamic fundamentalist regime still in power today. The Iranian regime's holding of dozens of American hostages dominated the headlines — and drained Carter's political capital — through his re-election campaign. In December 1979, the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, prompting the Carter White House to take a harder line with the Soviets. But that newfound toughness did little to change American perception that the world was adrift. Once again, a Democratic president is facing wars fueled by Iran (led by Hamas and Hezbollah, its proxies in the Middle East) and Russia. Once again, American hostages are being held — and the U.S. looks like it's struggling to deter its enemies. Between the lines: Like Carter, Biden faces softening support from a key part of the Democratic coalition: young, progressive voters. Even though most Democratic voters side with Israel — with its support among Democrats growing since the Oct. 7 terrorist attack — the pocket of opposition is concentrated among the youngest voters. After Biden offered stalwart support for the Jewish state in the aftermath of the attack, a wave of stories reported Arab and Muslim Americans threatening to withhold their support for the president after backing him in 2020. Zoom in: Voters' concern with Biden is mainly over his age and ability to handle the stress of such a taxing job. The major vulnerability for Carter, who faced a serious primary threat from Sen. Ted Kennedy in 1980, was his political inexperience — raising worries he was in over his head as overseas crises worsened. Reality check: In a best-case scenario for Biden — one in which Israel effectively takes out Hamas without a wider war and Ukraine gains ground repelling Russia — he could receive a commander-in-chief bump. The bottom line: The demand for global leadership against hostile powers, which Biden articulated clearly in his Oval Office address last week, is running up against a growing isolationism and dismissiveness of America's role as a guarantor of global security — within both parties. Biden will need to convince Americans he's up for the job. His message, so far, has been clear. But his actions will have to speak louder than words — in an increasingly volatile world. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 30, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 30, 2023 📊 Poll of the week: Biden's blue wall cracking Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios President Biden's super PAC is calling for a new strategic focus on voters who dislike both Biden and former President Trump, seeing them as a potential "tipping point" in key battleground states like Wisconsin. Driving the news: A recent internal poll found that Biden and Trump are tied, 50%-50%, in the three biggest Rust Belt battlegrounds, all of which flipped to Biden in 2020. The poll of 3,000 voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — conducted in late September by the Democrats' polling firm GQRR — shows Biden will be facing a tougher political environment than he did in 2020. Biden carried Michigan by 3 points, and won Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by 1 point apiece last election. Between the lines: The poll pushed respondents to choose between Biden and Trump, even though some voters are still undecided. There will also be third-party candidates on the actual ballot in 2024. By the numbers: The most significant takeaway is the voting preferences of the voters who claim they don't like Biden or Trump (16% of respondents). Among these "double haters," Trump leads by 3 points over Biden (51%-48%). Trump won these voters by 17 points in 2016 over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, but Biden and Trump were statistically tied among them in 2020. These "double-haters" are more likely to be men, hold college degrees and identify as Republicans. Despite Trump's narrow edge among these disaffected voters, more of them view Trump "very unfavorably" (59%) than Biden (49%). What they're saying: "Given the razor-thin margins in these battleground states, especially Wisconsin, our focus must shift to engage and understand the 'No-No' voters. They could be the tipping point," GQRR pollster Elizabeth Sena wrote. Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 30, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 30, 2023 Pence ends White House campaign after struggling to gain traction. ‘This is not my time,’ he says NEW YORK (AP) — Former Vice President Mike Pence on Saturday dropped his bid for the Republican presidential nomination, ending his campaign for the White House after struggling to raise money and gain traction in the polls. https://apnews.com/article/mike-pence-2024-president-campaign-republican-trump-0ec44fc2a5b8683f34883e0ea72b2ab2? GOP challengers face make-or-break moment in third debate The third Republican presidential debate in Miami next month could be one of the last major opportunities for some candidates to make their case to the GOP base before voting kicks off in January. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4275053-gop-challengers-face-make-or-break-moment-in-third-debate/ Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 30, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 30, 2023 🗳️ NEW: Haley surges in Iowa; DeSantis frozen Data: Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa poll of 404 likely 2024 Republican caucusgoers. (Margin of error: ±4.9 points.) Chart: Des Moines Register Out at 6 a.m. ET: Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is on the rise in Iowa, where she's tied for second in the latest NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers. Why it matters: The GOP field is otherwise stalemated in the Hawkeye State. Former President Trump is lapping the field with 43% support in the poll, Axios' Justin Green writes. Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are tied at 16%. Haley was at 6% in the first poll in August. DeSantis was at 19%. Sen. Tim Scott (S.C.) is at 7%, compared to 9% in August. Vivek Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are tied at 4%. Former Vice President Mike Pence, who dropped out Saturday, polled at 2%. Explore the data ... Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 31, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 31, 2023 GOP's consolidation curse The GOP primary has officially entered the season of consolidation — a race within a race that will test the ego and rationality of every candidate committed to stopping Donald Trump from winning the nomination. Why it matters: Even in a best-case scenario for anti-Trump Republicans — one that sees the field consolidate around Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley — the path to defeating the former president appears exceedingly narrow. Driving the news: Former Vice President Mike Pence this weekend became the most prominent candidate to drop out of the race, an early but inevitable exit that doubled as a warning shot to other Republican stragglers. Long-shot candidates Larry Elder, Perry Johnson and former Rep. Will Hurd (R-Texas) also suspended their campaigns this month. Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson lost his campaign manager last week over a disagreement about his path forward. The super PAC supporting Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) abruptly canceled millions in fall ad reservations, while the Scott campaign itself has shifted virtually all of its resources to Iowa. Screenshot via MSNBC Zoom in: A new Iowa poll by renowned pollster J. Ann Selzer found Trump is the first choice for 43% of likely Republican caucusgoers, giving him a commanding and stable lead over the rest of the field. DeSantis and Haley are tied for a distant second at 16% each, but support for Haley has surged 10 points since August — bolstering the narrative that she's the only non-Trump candidate with sustained momentum. Haley has long pitched herself as the most electable candidate, and her growing coalition of suburbanites, college-educated voters, independents and other anti-Trumpers appears to support that case. But here lies the GOP's consolidation conundrum: Even if DeSantis drops out before Iowa — and every indication is he won't — just 27% of his supporters named Haley as their second choice. An astonishing 41% said they would choose Trump. In other words, the bloc of MAGA-adjacent voters that support DeSantis could boost Trump near the 50% mark in Iowa, cementing his dominance in the first-in-nation caucuses. Yes, but: Without consolidation, Trump appears very likely to romp to victory anyway — a Catch-22 that underscores the depth of the challenge facing anti-Trump Republicans. What they're saying: "If Haley comes in a clear second in Iowa, DeSantis should absolutely drop out. But absent evidence she can win more of the Trump-friendly voters to whom DeSantis currently appeals, that would still put her on a path to a 65-35 or 60-40 defeat," tweeted conservative New York Times columnist Ross Douthat. What to watch: Just 41% of Iowa caucusgoers said their mind is already made up — a figure that CNN's Harry Enten called "the best metric for those who are hoping Trump isn't going to be the nominee." Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members phkrause Posted October 31, 2023 Author Members Share Posted October 31, 2023 📊 Biden faces low-turnout paradox Democrats outperformed in the 2022 midterms despite Biden's poor approval rating. One reason: Biden's polling weakness — especially among Black, Hispanic and young Americans — is "almost entirely concentrated among the voters who stayed home last November," according to New York Times data guru Nate Cohn. Why it matters: This bloc of less engaged voters may now be "the single biggest problem" facing Biden's re-election bid, Cohn argues. Democrats who voted in the midterms support Biden over Trump in 2024 by a margin of 93% to 3%, while those who stayed home support the president 67% to 15%, according to New York Times/Siena College polls over the last year. Biden 2020 voters who did not turn out in the midterms support his re-election bid 79% to 6%, compared to a 91% to 3% edge among those who did vote last November. What to watch: The challenge is concentrated among voters who still consider themselves Democrats, Cohn points out, meaning they should be more predisposed to returning to Biden's side. Go deeper Quote phkrause By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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