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Trump's new Senate game
Photo iIllustration of Donald Trump behind a chessboard.
 

Photo illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios. Photo: Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Reuters

 

Top Senate Republicans are working privately with the Trump team to weed out extreme and scandal-plagued candidates like the ones who botched winnable races for the GOP in recent years, Axios' Sophia Cai writes.

  • Why it matters: That's a switch for both former President Trump and the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell has long complained about the party's "unacceptable" and even "bizarre" nominees in prime races.

Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.), the new NRSC chair, has vowed to avoid repeating that mistake. So he's trying to thread the needle of recruiting conservative candidates who are acceptable to Trump — but not so far right they scare GOP moderates.

  • Daines is shaping the field by offering early endorsements and urging other potential candidates to stay out.

🔎 Behind the scenes: In picking candidates, Daines has rejected some Trump loyalists but has been careful to shun never-Trumpers.

  • Rising Republicans crave Trump's endorsement — no one else has his sway with the base. And barring a major change in the presidential field, he'll be at the top of the ticket.
  • Daines and the committee's executive director, Jason Thielman, are in close contact with Trump campaign manager Susie Wiles and Brian Jack, a senior Trump campaign aide.

Case in point: In Montana, Daines' home state, the NRSC likes former Navy Seal Tim Sheehy over Rep. Matt Rosendale to take on incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D). The NRSC has called Rosendale — one of the far-righters in the House who voted to oust then-Speaker Kevin McCarthy — "a plant from the Democrats" because of that vote.

  • In Nevada, the NRSC prefers retired Army Capt. Sam Brown over 2020 election denier Jim Marchant, who was part of Nevada's alternate slate of pro-Trump electors.
  • In Michigan, the NRSC recruited former House Intelligence Committee chair Mike Rogers over the more-MAGA James Craig (who has one bankruptcy and multiple divorces) and former Rep. Peter Meijer, who supported Trump's 2021 impeachment.
  • In Pennsylvania, the NRSC backed hedge fund executive David McCormick while slamming MAGA firebrand Doug Mastriano, Trump's unsuccessful pick for governor last year. Mastriano considered a run for Senate but bowed out.

The intrigue: The risk is that some ever-MAGA voters will be offended by the party's heavy-handedness.

  • The NRSC tactics have ticked off at least one close Trump ally: Steve Bannon, who called Daines a "gutless coward."

🥊 Reality check: In Arizona, the NRSC hasn't weighed in on Senate contenders. But privately it favors conspiracy theorist and election denier Kari Lake, a Trump loyalist who lost the governor's race last year.

  • Lake is among three Senate GOP candidates Trump has endorsed. He's also publicly backed Jim Justice, who's running to replace retiring Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana, another red state.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Centrists plot revenge
Illustration of a donkey walking a tightrope.
 

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

The raw debate over the Israel-Hamas war roiling the Democratic Party will take center stage in House primaries next year, starting with contests in California and North Carolina in early March, Axios' Hans Nichols reports.

Why it matters: Challenges to Reps. Jamal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Cori Bush (D-Mo.), both vocal critics of Israel, will receive most of the attention. But the future of the Democratic caucus will be determined by old-school battles between centrists and progressives in a record number of open seats.

State of play: To date, there have been 23 House Democratic retirements and 11 Republican retirements (plus one expulsion).

Zoom out: Pro-Israel Democrats are plotting a three-pronged strategy to expand their ranks.

  1. Spend heavily to defeat "Squad"-like Democrats.
  2. Bolster vulnerable lawmakers facing tough general elections.
  3. Invest in promising candidates in crowded primaries.

The big picture: It's not a firm and fast rule, but Democrats dedicated to Israel's right to self-defense tend to be more centrist on issues like crime and immigration.

The other side: Progressives are more focused on defending their vulnerable members than going on offense. And they are expecting to be outspent.

  • "This is a battle for the soul of our democracy," said Usamah Andrabi, the communications director for Justice Democrats, a grassroots organization that burst onto the political scene by helping Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) knock off a Democratic incumbent in 2018.
  • "Justice Democrats alongside others ... are all-in on protecting our progressive incumbents in Congress against $100 million in attacks from AIPAC and their Republican billionaire donors."

Driving the news: The Democratic Majority for Israel PAC is releasing its first round of endorsements today, including 23 "frontliners" — lawmakers expected to have the toughest general election fights. In total, DMFI is backing 81 incumbents.

Keep reading

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Boebert switches congressional districts, avoiding a Democratic opponent who has far outraised her

DENVER (AP) — Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert announced Wednesday she is switching congressional districts, avoiding a likely rematch against a Democrat who has far outraised her and following an embarrassing moment of groping and vaping that shook even loyal supporters.

https://apnews.com/article/lauren-boebert-congressional-district-race-7eeaac591178e202786fa4891620fb2b?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗳️ Covering America: Two pioneering mayors
Photo illustration of Cherelle Parker with lines radiating from her.
 

Photo illustration: Axios Visuals. Photo: Gilbert Carrasquillo/GC Images

 

Cherelle Parker will be sworn in today as Philadelphia's 100th mayor.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Connie Boesen. Photo: City of Des Moines

Connie Boesen, who'll take the oath as Des Moines mayor at noon today, is the first woman to lead the city in its 180-year history.

  • Why it matters: The transition marks the first change in Des Moines' top elected position in two decades. Frank Cownie had been mayor since 2004, Axios Des Moines' Jason Clayworth writes.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Utah contest to replace Romney in U.S. Senate gains more GOP candidates

John Curtis, a fourth-term U.S. House member from Provo, Utah, will join the Republican field to succeed retiring U.S. Sen. Mitt Romney, Curtis told States Newsroom ahead of a formal announcement Wednesday morning.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/01/03/utah-contest-to-replace-romney-in-u-s-senate-gains-more-gop-candidates/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Fight for congressional majorities launches against backdrop of presidential campaigns

WASHINGTON — The 2024 battle for control of Congress is underway in the states, accompanying the accelerating race for the presidency.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/01/05/fight-for-congressional-majorities-launches-against-backdrop-of-presidential-campaigns/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🗳️ Scoop: Big haul in PA
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Dave McCormick and his wife, Dina Powell, at a primary election night event in 2022. Photo: Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

Dave McCormick — the Republican runner-up in the 2022 Pennsylvania Senate primary — raised $5.4 million in his first quarter as a 2024 candidate, Axios' Hans Nichols scoops.

  • Why it matters: The early influx of cash into McCormick's joint fundraising committee is the latest sign that Pennsylvania's Senate race will be among the nation's most competitive contests in November, with control of the U.S. Senate in the balance.

McCormick, former CEO of the Bridgewater Associates investment firm, kicked in $1 million of his own money in Q4 to boost his tough bid to oust three-term incumbent Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.).

  • McCormick has been endorsed by the entire Pennsylvania GOP congressional delegation. That could help him avoid the kind of nasty primary that left his previous opponent, Trump-backed TV personality Dr. Mehmet Oz, bruised before the 2022 general election.

Go deeper.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Lauren Boebert Can Change Districts, but She Can’t Outrun Her Past

The Colorado Republican has switched to the 4th District after an unexpectedly tough re-election bid. But securing the nomination in her new district is no given.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/lauren-boebert-can-run-from-her-district-but-she-cant-outrun-her-past?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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💰 Dems drop big cash to court minority voters
illustration of a voting booth made of money
 

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee says it's pouring $35 million into reaching Black, Latino and Asian American and Pacific Islander voters ahead of this year's House races.

🖼️ The big picture: Latino voters were decisive in several tight swing state races in the midterms. As the fastest-growing demographic of voters, their power will be even greater this year.

House Dems say they'll spend money on research and polling, paid media, organizing, voter education and protection, and battling disinformation.

  • The campaign will include English, Hindi, Korean, Mandarin, Spanish, Tagalog and Vietnamese language ads and outreach.
  • A spokesman says the initial $35 million investment is more than it made in the last election cycle, which was roughly $30 million.

Share this story ... Get Axios Latino for news about Latinos and Latin America, delivered to your inbox on Tuesdays and Thursdays.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Democrat Keen wins state House 35 special election over GOP’s Booth

In a race seen as a bellwether for Democratic chances in November, Democrat Tom Keen flipped what had been a Republican state House seat in Central Florida in a special election held Tuesday.

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2024/01/16/democrat-keen-wins-state-house-35-special-election-over-gops-booth/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Lauren Boebert to argue her case in first Republican primary debate after hopping districts

FORT LUPTON, Colo. (AP) — Rep. Lauren Boebert will argue her case Thursday in the first Republican primary debate for the district she switched to last month, facing off against opponents who have already attacked her with accusations of being a “carpetbagger.”

https://apnews.com/article/lauren-boebert-republican-primary-debate-colorado-797e7cb38ed4b18af194ed7c2c4673b9?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🎧 Leaked audio topples Kari Lake foe

Arizona Republican Party Chairman Jeff DeWit resigned after a leaked recording appeared to show him offering Kari Lake a bribe to keep her out of the 2024 Senate race, Axios Phoenix authors Jeremy Duda and Jessica Boehm write.

  • Why it matters: The recording throws the swing-state party into turmoil as it attempts to regroup after four years of tough losses.

In the March 2023 recording, DeWit tells Lake that unnamed people from "back East" wanted her to take a two-year break from politics.

  • He said Lake would receive a job in exchange for the proposed "pause."

DeWit called the audio, published Tuesday by the Daily Mail, "selectively edited" and accused Lake of betraying his trust.

  • "Contrary to accusations of bribery, my discussions were transparent and intended to offer perspective, not coercion," DeWit said in a statement.

👀 The intrigue: DeWit said he was determined to hold onto his job. But Lake's team threatened to release another, more damaging recording if he didn't resign.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Senate candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell takes on Scott’s abortion record; he isn’t responding.

A central tenet in Debbie Mucarsel-Powell’s Senate campaign to unseat incumbent GOP U.S. Sen. Rick Scott is to attack his record on abortion rights.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/01/25/senate-candidate-debbie-mucarsel-powell-takes-on-scotts-abortion-record-he-isnt-responding/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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State GOPs in chaos
Illustration of the Republican elephant logo with three pointing fingers instead of stars.
 

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

 

State branches of the Republican Party continue to be plagued by scandals, dysfunction and financial turmoil, raising fears about the potential impact on down-ballot races in 2024.

  • In Arizona, Trump has canceled tomorrow's scheduled appearance at the state party's "Freedom Fest" — one day after the chair of the Arizona GOP resigned over a leaked recording in which he appeared to discuss bribing Trump ally Kari Lake not to run for Senate.
  • In Michigan, it's unclear who's in charge of the state GOP after weeks of infighting over the ouster of chairwoman Kristina Karamo, who has refused to leave the post even with a replacement elected. The RNC is now getting involved.
  • In Florida, GOP chair Christian Ziegler was ousted this month over allegations of sexual battery. Sarasota police announced last week that Ziegler would not be charged with sexual assault, but he remains under investigation for the felony crime of video voyeurism.

Meanwhile: The RNC is considering a resolution to formally declare Trump the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, an unprecedented move that comes as pressure builds for Nikki Haley to drop out of the race.

ps:How much lower can the maga trumplicans go?????

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🐘 Kochs move cash from Haley to Senate
Illustration of dark clouds with a spotlight like a batsignal shining on them, with the Republican elephant logo in it.
 

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

 

A conservative group that spent millions backing Nikki Haley's presidential campaign says it isn't giving up on her — but acknowledges she faces an "uphill" battle and they are now focusing on Senate races, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

  • Why it matters: The group — AFP Action, part of Americans for Prosperity, founded by billionaire Charles Koch and his late brother, David — fears a Trump nomination would be a massive drag on other Republicans on the November ballot.

🔎 Zoom in: AFP Action gave Haley's campaign a huge boost last month, announcing plans to spend $27 million on ads and on-the-ground campaigning in Iowa, New Hampshire and five other states.

  • But Haley finished third in Iowa's caucuses and lost New Hampshire to Trump by double digits.

Read on.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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How This Nutty Ohio Primary Is Dividing the GOP

Like many dramas in today’s Republican Party, the one in Ohio’s 9th Congressional District started with someone saying something mean about Donald Trump.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/nutty-ohio-primary-between-craig-riedel-jr-majewski-derek-merrin-is-dividing-the-gop?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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In Tallahassee, Rick Scott says ‘D.C.’s pretty messed up’ but says he can fix it if he’s reelected

Florida U.S. Senator Rick Scott was in Tallahassee on Tuesday, where he complained about the atmosphere in Washington D.C., calling it “completely dysfunctional,” yet also making the case that he can help change the political culture there if he were to be reelected by Florida voters in November.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/01/30/in-tallahassee-rick-scott-says-d-c-s-pretty-messed-up-but-says-he-can-fix-it-if-hes-reelected/?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Oregon high court says 10 GOP state senators who staged long walkout can’t run for reelection

SALEM, Ore. (AP) — The Oregon Supreme Court said Thursday that 10 Republican state senators who staged a record-long walkout last year to stall bills on abortion, transgender health care and gun rights cannot run for reelection.

https://apnews.com/article/oregon-republican-walkout-reelection-f1d270db9e9a72935c13b973d79a4bb7?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Tammy Murphy and the Nepo State

She’s leveraging her husband’s power as governor of New Jersey to lock up a Senate bid. She appears unstoppable.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/tammy-murphy-new-jersey-senate-run-phil-murphy.html

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan to run for Senate

Former Gov. Larry Hogan (R-Md.) on Friday announced a bid to replace retiring Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.).

https://www.axios.com/2024/02/09/larry-hogan-republican-senate-2024?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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The race for George Santos’ congressional seat could offer clues to how suburbs will vote this year

A special election in the suburbs of New York to replace disgraced former Rep. George Santos could offer clues about the mindset of suburban voters everywhere as 2024 election contests ramp up across the country.

https://apnews.com/article/election-house-new-york-santos-congress-a6eecaa0b2edd1b458b2c0711f1b7540?

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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🐘 McCormick dodges nasty primary

Republican David McCormick is on the verge of clinching the GOP nomination for one of the most competitive Senate races in the 2024 cycle, with a Tuesday filing deadline in Pennsylvania and no challengers in sight.

Why it matters: McCormick's challenge to Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) is expected to be one of the most expensive and competitive races this year — in a swing state that could determine control of the Senate and the presidency, Axios' Stef Kight reports.

  • McCormick, a former hedge fund CEO, was the runner-up in 2022's Senate GOP primary in Pennsylvania, losing to Trump-backed celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz.
  • The brutal primary left Oz bloodied for the general election. He lost to now-Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.), who faced questions about his fitness for office after suffering a stroke.

State of play: Early polls have shown Casey with a solid lead. McCormick's campaign plans to hit Casey on the border — a top issue for Republicans this year — to try to close the polling gap.

Keep reading

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Democrat Tom Suozzi flips George Santos’ seat in Congress

Democrat Tom Suozzi won a special election for a U.S. House seat in New York on Tuesday, coming out on top in a politically mixed suburban district in a victory that could lift his party’s hopes heading into a fiercely contested presidential election later this year.

https://apnews.com/article/george-santos-suozzi-pilip-special-election-be0140979ca3050921579e90507bfe1f?

🚨 Dems flip Santos seat

Democrat Tom Suozzi — a former congressman — won back his old House seat in a special election to replace expelled Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.).

  • On a snowy day, the race — which drew special prime-time coverage on CNN — wound up a blowout: 8 points.

Why it matters: The result narrows the House GOP's already-narrow majority, and shows Democrats a path on the economy, immigration and abortion ahead of November's elections, Axios' Andrew Solender writes.

mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Image: X

Both Suozzi and his opponent — Mazi Pilip, an Ethiopian-born IDF veteran and Nassau County legislator — cast themselves as the underdog in a district that voted for Biden in 2020 but then moved right.

  • Republicans will have to defend 17 similar suburban, Biden districts across the country in November.

The bottom line: House Republicans can now afford to lose only two votes on a party-line bill.

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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Dems see border blueprint

Fresh off a thumping special election victory in New York, Democrats are rapidly mobilizing around a high-risk, high-reward strategy to flip the script on their biggest vulnerability, Axios' Andrew Solender and Stef Kight report.

Why it matters: Even Republicans acknowledge that Democrat Tom Suozzi's embrace of stricter border policy — and his attacks on Republicans for rejecting the Senate's bipartisan border bill — contributed to his eight-point victory.

  • "He sounded like a Republican talking about the border," House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said at a press conference today, in which he urged the GOP not to "panic" about its chances of losing the House in November.
  • Suozzi "basically ran away from what has been the Democratic agenda for the last two years," said Rep. Marc Molinaro (R-N.Y.).

Zoom in: President Biden has vowed to remind voters "every day between now and November" that former President Trump and his GOP allies blew up the bipartisan border deal.

  • Democrats believe Suozzi's victory provided an early vindication of that message.

What they're saying: "The GOP has presented Democrats with a unique, unprecedented opening to go on the offensive on border security," Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), Democrats' lead border negotiator, argued in a memo this morning.

  • House Democrats' main super PAC echoed that sentiment in its own post-election memo, writing: "It is imperative for Democrats to take the fight to Republicans and hammer them."
  • The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee launched an ad this morning slamming Republicans for ditching "the toughest border bill in a generation."
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The White House trolls Johnson on social media. Screenshot via X

The other side: The strategy comes with immense risks — namely that Biden's border policies are cited in polls as the No. 1 factor dragging down his approval rating, and that Suozzi spent much of his campaign distancing himself from the president.

  • Reversing three years of voter perceptions on the border crisis will be a massive challenge for Democrats, especially given the divisions on immigration that persist within the party.
  • "The lesson has to be the right lesson," Congressional Progressive Caucus chair Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) told Axios, stressing that "shutting down the border" and demonizing immigrants isn't the answer.

Between the lines: Many other factors may have contributed to Suozzi's victory — including the "scandal penalty" the GOP likely paid for expelled Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.), whom Suozzi will replace.

What to watch: Former Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway suggested there's a lesson for Republicans too in Suozzi's willingness to own an issue that otherwise has been a vulnerability for his party.

  • "I think Republicans should do the same thing with abortion," Conway told Fox News.
  • "Say, 'Look, this is what it means to be pro-life in 2024. This is what it means to be pro-choice in 2024.' Instead of hiding, own it and message it."

phkrause

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near. {5T 451.1}
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