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Israel-Hezbollah Conflict


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Israel warns civilians to evacuate as it strikes wide swaths of southern Lebanon

The Israeli military is calling on residents of southern Lebanon to immediately evacuate homes and other buildings where it claims Hezbollah has stored weapons. Read more.

Recent developments:

  • Israel carried out dozens of airstrikes early Monday on southern Lebanon. Residents of different villages in southern Lebanon posted photos on social media of their hometowns that were being struck. The state-run National News Agency also reported airstrikes on different areas. The Israeli military’s Arab-language spokesperson said Israel’s air force was attacking Hezbollah targets in different parts of the country.
     
  • The two sides exchanged heavy fire on Sunday, with Hezbollah firing over 100 rockets into a wider and deeper area of northern Israel than it has struck previously in months of low-level conflict.

RELATED COVERAGE ➤

phkrause

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Is this war? The Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is hard to define — or predict

Israel is bombing targets across many parts of Lebanon, striking senior militants in Beirut and apparently hiding bombs in pagers and walkie-talkies. Hezbollah is firing rockets and drones deep into northern Israel, setting buildings and cars alight.

https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-conflict-war-57eb5ef4a77f3bcc0d2b920bc4536706?

Israel and Hezbollah renew fire after the deadliest day in Lebanon since 2006

Israel and Hezbollah traded strikes again Tuesday as the death toll from a massive Israeli bombardment climbed to nearly 560 people, according to Lebanon’s Health Ministry. Read more.

What to know:

  • The renewed exchange came after Monday’s barrages racked up the highest death toll in any single day in Lebanon since Israel and Hezbollah fought a bruising war in 2006. Thousands of Lebanese fled the southern part of the country after the Israeli military ordered people to evacuate areas where it accuses Hezbollah of positioning rocket launchers and other weapons.
     
  • Nearly a year of cross-border fire had already emptied out communities near the border, displacing tens of thousands of people on both sides. Israel has vowed to do whatever it takes to ensure its citizens can return to their homes in the north, while Hezbollah has said it will keep up its rocket attacks until there is a cease-fire in Gaza, which appears increasingly remote.

RELATED COVERAGE ➤

phkrause

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Middle East

 

Israel launched an intense barrage of airstrikes across Lebanon on Monday, killing nearly 500 people and wounding 1,600 others. The single-day death toll made it the deadliest 24 hours in Lebanon since 2006. Israel and Hezbollah have been mired in conflict for decades — but the two have ramped up their cross-border attacks on each other since the war in Gaza began. Over the past week, Israel's escalated attacks on Hezbollah have again heightened fears of a wider war in the Middle East. Hezbollah warned it would continue striking Israeli targets as long as the war in Gaza goes on, and Israel has not ruled out the possibility of a ground invasion. Iran, too, has warned Israel of "dangerous consequences" following the latest wave of strikes.

phkrause

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🇮🇱 Biden's big fear comes true
 
A map showing the locations of Israeli air strikes in Lebanon from September 22 and 23, 2024.
Data: The Institute for the Study of War with AEI's Critical Threats Project. Map: Axios Visuals

President Biden has spent nearly a year plotting and praying he could help prevent the war in Gaza from spreading. The rapidly expanding conflict between Israel and Hezbollah signals his power has reached its limit, Axios' Barak Ravid writes.

  • Why it matters: U.S. officials privately admit the massive fighting that's killed at least 560 people in Lebanon over the past two days looks like another war — even if the Biden administration doesn't officially call it one.

🔍 Zoom in: White House deputy national security adviser Jon Finer — at an Axios House event in Manhattan yesterday — told Barak the airstrikes and rocket attacks between Israel and Hezbollah could get much worse.

  • "There is a conflict in Lebanon ... but that could be a much bigger war and what we are extremely concerned about is a much bigger war, a wider war," Finer said.

After Hezbollah began launching attacks against Israel on Oct. 8, the U.S. tried to contain the conflict and keep it to skirmishes along the Israel-Lebanon border.

  • U.S. officials began working on a diplomatic solution in an attempt to stop the fighting, push Hezbollah's forces back from the border and allow tens of thousands of civilians to return to their homes on both sides.
  • But as the war in Gaza continued, the skirmishes between Israel and Hezbollah slowly and gradually escalated.

🔎 Behind the scenes: A day after senior Biden adviser Amos Hochstein traveled to Israel last week and warned Netanyahu of the negative consequences of a war in Lebanon, Israel conducted the first in a series of deadly attacks: remotely detonating pagers carried by Hezbollah members.

  • Hochstein was livid — not only because the Israelis kept him in the dark about the attack, but because they completely ignored everything he told them, U.S. officials said.

🔭 Zoom out: While some of Biden's advisers saw the Israeli pager attack as "a reckless march to war," at the end of the day the White House accepted what the Israelis describe as a plan of "de-escalation through escalation," U.S. officials said.

  • Some of Biden's aides agreed with the logic of Israel's leaders.
  • Others concluded U.S. influence on Israel's decision-making is now limited.

What we're watching: Now the U.S. objective is to prevent an Israeli ground invasion of Lebanon, and deter Iran from intervening and supporting Hezbollah, U.S. officials said.

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phkrause

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Israel-Hamas war latest: Israel carries out attacks in Beirut on Hezbollah targets

The Israeli military says it struck the central headquarters of Hezbollah in Beirut. The series of explosions Friday evening is the most powerful yet seen in the Lebanese capital the past year.

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hezbollah-hamas-latest-mideast-27-september-2024-4dc3676b10be0fe7b41ab6d9cd897014?

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Israel targets Hezbollah leaders
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Smoke rises above Beirut's southern suburbs during an Israeli strike today. Photo: AFP via Getty Images

Israeli bombs leveled several buildings today in Beirut, in an attempt to kill Hezbollah's leadership.

  • It was the largest Israeli strike in Beirut since 2006.

An Israeli source told Axios' Barak Ravid the primary target was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. It's not yet clear whether he was killed.

  • IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari said the attack was aimed at "the central HQ of Hezbollah, which was intentionally built under residential buildings in Beirut in order to use them as human shields."

Zoom out: The strike came just two days after the U.S. called on Israel to avoid any further escalation that could spark all-out war.

  • But today's attack was a clear escalation from Israel and suggests Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government has little interest in a ceasefire.

More than 700 people have been killed in Lebanon over the past 11 days of intense fighting between Israel and Hezbollah.

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Israel strikes Hezbollah in a huge blast targeting the militant group’s leader

BEIRUT (AP) — The Israeli military said it struck Hezbollah’s headquarters in Beirut on Friday in a series of massive explosions that targeted the leader of the militant group and leveled multiple high-rise apartment buildings.

https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-israel-hezbollah-airstrikes-suburb-617575d9c5d7c711bc02e7b81d2ba4ad?

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Israel kills another top Hezbollah official
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Damage at the site of the Israeli air strike that killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in the southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon, on Friday. Photo: Ahmad Al-Kerdi/Reuters

The Israeli military said today that Nabil Kaouk, a high-ranking Hezbollah official, was killed in another airstrike yesterday. It's the latest in a string of devastating blows to the militant group's leadership.

  • Hezbollah confirmed Kaouk's death and said Ali Karaki, a senior commander, was killed in the same Beirut strike that killed its overall leader, Hassan Nasrallah, AP reports.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said of Nasrallah's death: "He wasn't another terrorist. He was the terrorist."

What we're watching: The Israel-Hezbollah conflict was already spiraling into an all-out war that could pull in Iran. And that was before Israel killed Iran's most powerful ally in the region, Nasrallah, and an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps general.

  • Israel asked the U.S. to take steps to deter Iran from attacking Israel in response, two Israeli and U.S. officials tell Axios' Barak Ravid.

The latest: Iran has been careful to avoid any attack on Israel that could pull it into such a war, but officials in Washington and Jerusalem are worried Friday's strike could push Tehran over the edge.

  • President Biden said he directed the Secretary of Defense to "further enhance the defense posture of U.S. military forces in the Middle East region to deter aggression and reduce the risk of a broader regional war."

While leaving church on Saturday, Biden responded to a shouted question about whether an Israeli ground invasion into Lebanon was inevitable, saying: "It's time for a ceasefire."

phkrause

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phkrause

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⏱️ Israel plans to invade Lebanon soon
 
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Smoke rises as a building collapses in Beirut's southern suburbs on Saturday. AP Photo/Hussein Malla

Israel is preparing for an imminent ground invasion of southern Lebanon, which will focus on villages close to the border, two Israeli officials tell Axios' Barak Ravid.

  • Israeli officials say the objective is to "clean up" military positions and infrastructure Hezbollah had established close to the border.

💬 The Biden administration has been urging Israel not to invade Lebanon, and it's privately warned that such an operation will increase support for Hezbollah among ordinary Lebanese people, U.S. officials say.

phkrause

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phkrause

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Middle East dominoes

Israeli officials insist their ground invasion of southern Lebanon will be limited in scope and length, Axios' Barak Ravid reports.

  • But Israeli officials said that twice before — in 1982 and 2006. Those invasions of their northern neighbor escalated into far wider, deadlier and more protracted conflicts.

Why it matters: That could happen again.

The most dramatic possible consequence of a ground invasion would be convincing Iran to change course and get directly involved to save the militia it has built for decades.

  • There's another scenario U.S. officials have been warning about for months: Pro-Iranian militias in Syria, Iraq and Yemen could come to Hezbollah's help, and either send their fighters to Lebanon or open another front through Syria.

🪖 Israeli troops raided southern Lebanon yesterday almost a year after Hezbollah began firing rockets toward Israel on Oct. 8 in solidarity with Palestinians.

  • A senior Israeli official said the ground operation isn't aimed at occupying southern Lebanon — but at destroying Hezbollah outposts, tunnels, launchpads and other military infrastructure.
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Map: AP

Israel's stated goal is to get tens of thousands of displaced Israelis back to their homes along the border without the fear of an attack by Hezbollah.

  • Israeli officials also say they see this moment to significantly degrade and weaken Hezbollah and its ability to threaten Israel militarily.

🔎 Between the lines: Israel prepared for a confrontation with Hezbollah for 18 years. But many in Israel's defense establishment say they're surprised by how effective their attacks have been so far.

  • Israeli officials told Axios that Hezbollah is in disarray with its remaining leadership hiding and its troops with low morale.

👀 Behind the scenes: U.S. officials told Axios the White House and the Pentagon realized their influence on Israeli decision-making regarding the war in Lebanon is limited.

  • After telling the Israelis for weeks to avoid a ground invasion, in recent days the White House decided to focus on trying to minimize it as much as possible, officials said.

Reality check: The Biden administration isn't ruling out that the growing military pressure Israel is putting on Hezbollah might yield a diplomatic solution that could include a ceasefire, and weaken Hezbollah's influence in Lebanon and the region.

  • "On the one hand, the Israelis really are playing with fire here," a U.S. official told Axios. "But on the other hand, what if it works?"

phkrause

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Lebanon

 

Israel's military says it has begun a "limited ground operation" in southern Lebanon targeting Hezbollah. It marks the fourth time that Israeli soldiers have publicly entered Lebanese soil in nearly 50 years, and the first since Israel's 34-day war in the country in 2006. There will be "no long-term occupation" of the country, Israeli officials said, but they declined to provide a timeline. Hezbollah said it launched strikes at soldiers in northern Israel following the incursion and vowed to continue fighting Israel in support of Palestinians in Gaza. Israel's blistering escalation defies pressure from the US, a key ally, to reach a ceasefire deal with the Iran-backed militant group.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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phkrause

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phkrause

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Live updates: Israel carries out airstrikes in southern Beirut cutting off key border crossing into Syria

An Israeli airstrike has cut off a main highway linking Lebanon with Syria. The airstrike led to the closure of a road near the Masnaa Border Crossing, from where tens of thousands of people fleeing war in Lebanon have crossed into Syria over the past two weeks.

https://apnews.com/live/israel-lebanon-ground-operation-updates?

Middle East

 

The Israeli military vowed to continue striking Hezbollah targets in Beirut and southern Lebanon after launching fresh airstrikes in the Lebanese capital overnight. Amid escalating tensions, the Middle East is bracing for Israel's response to Iran's ballistic missile attack earlier this week. Analysts say the growing escalations on multiple fronts have put the region on the precipice as the first anniversary of Hamas' October 7 attack on Israel draws nearer. Israeli officials also issued evacuation orders for more villages in southern Lebanon, signaling a broadening of its ground incursion. Roughly 1 million people have been displaced since Israel escalated its war with Hezbollah.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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