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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in the Tuesday presidential and state primaries

WASHINGTON (AP) — Voting in the races for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominations happens again Tuesday, a week after President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump secured enough delegate support to become their parties’ presumptive nominees. Three states also will hold primaries for other offices as this November’s battle for control of the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House comes into sharper focus.

https://apnews.com/article/primaries-arizona-california-florida-illinois-kansas-ohio-3031ee08c46e88ab606b9eb240575f24?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in the Alaska and Wyoming Democratic presidential contests

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden will face Democratic voters this Saturday in a pair of nominating contests in Alaska and Wyoming that are unlikely to produce any surprises.

https://apnews.com/article/alaska-voice-vote-primary-wyoming-caucuses-democrats-ea56c242f16bac24f14ec9709ac493d7?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Voters to decide primary runoffs in Alabama’s new 2nd Congressional District

MONTGOMERY, Ala. (AP) — Alabama voters are set to cast their ballots Tuesday to decide party nominees for the state’s 2nd Congressional District, which was redrawn by a federal court to boost the voting power of Black residents.

https://apnews.com/article/alabama-2nd-congressional-district-primary-election-3c71c050841f20d751226463731868c7?

phkrause

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Republicans’ defense of the ‘Biden 16' House districts starts with Pennsylvania’s primary election

NEW HOPE, Pa. (AP) — Mark Houck makes a potent appeal to conservative Republicans in this corner of eastern Pennsylvania when he describes his arrest and subsequent acquittal on federal charges that he pushed a Planned Parenthood volunteer outside a Philadelphia abortion clinic.

https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-primary-biden-16-house-fitzpatrick-houck-c5b7c0a05a7dbe9e61b3607767b5f629?

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Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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What's on the May 4 ballot
 
Illustration of a percentage sign made of two half pennies.
 

Illustration: Lindsey Bailey/Axios

 

Early voting for the May 4 election is underway across North Texas, and several cities are asking voters to approve bond money for proposed projects.

Why it matters: The election is expected to have low turnout, but it could have an outsized impact on schools and property taxes.

  • Ballots also include races for mayor, appraisal district board, school board and city council.

Context: Texans approved Senate Bill 2 last year, creating three elected appraisal board seats in counties with populations over 75,000 to increase accountability.

State of the polls: Dallas voters are weighing in on 10 bond propositions totaling $1.25 billion.

  • Carrollton, Cedar Hill, Coppell and Balch Springs city council positions are up for a vote.
  • McKinney residents are voting on bond measures to improve and expand the city's park system, build a new municipal court facility and expand the public works campus to accommodate the city's growing population.
  • Grapevine-Colleyville ISD and Lewisville ISD are among the districts asking voters to approve multimillion-dollar bond proposals for school upgrades. Anna ISD in Collin County is asking voters to approve a $100 million bond package to build a 12,000-seat stadium with a turf field.

What's next: Today is the last day to turn in a request to get a ballot by mail.

  • Early voting ends April 30. Election day is May 4.

If you go: Visit your county's election website for sample ballots, polling sites and other relevant information.

  • Take your ID.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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🗳️ GOP protest vote
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fgraphics.axios.co
Data: AP. Table: Axios Visuals

A sizable share of Republican primary voters in Pennsylvania cast a ballot for Nikki Haley yesterday — even though former President Trump clinched his party's nomination over a month ago, Axios' Erin Doherty writes.

  • Why it matters: Pennsylvania, which President Biden won by 80,500 votes in 2020, could decide November's election.

Keep reading.

phkrause

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Primary voters take down at least 2 incumbents in Pennsylvania House

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Pennsylvania election results include a loss Tuesday in the Democratic primary by a Philadelphia state representative one day after prosecutors announced that they had erroneously issued a warrant mistakenly accusing him of violating a protective order.

https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-election-boyle-warrant-f57c6652500b3c84dc0e462334efe5fc?

phkrause

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Fiercest Senate primary
By and
 
this
 

Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks (left) and Rep. David Trone (right). Photos: Bill Clark and Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images.

 

The Maryland Democratic Senate primary is rapidly turning into one of the most bitter intra-party contests of the 2024 election cycle.

Why it matters: Whoever emerges from the May 14 primary will likely face an electoral juggernaut in Republican former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan.

  • Maryland's once-solid Democratic Senate seat is now listed as likely Democratic, according to the Cook Political Report.
  • Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) said Maryland Democrats are "all committed to dampening down the negativity and preparing to support whoever wins ... We cannot afford to lose a Senate seat."

State of play: Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) is running against Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks to replace retiring Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.).

  • Trone, the wealthy owner of Total Wine, has loaned his campaign at least $54 million, per FEC filings.
  • Alsobrooks, who would make history as Maryland's first Black senator, has the backing of most of Trone's colleagues in the state's congressional delegation.

Zoom in: After Trone inadvertently used a racial slur at a committee hearing in March, several Congressional Black Caucus members got off the sidelines to endorse Alsobrooks.

  • Last week, Trone ran an ad in which a Black local official said of Alsobrooks: "U.S. Senate is not a place for training wheels." The ad was rebroadcast without the line following backlash from Black women.
  • On Saturday, dozens of local and state officials signed-on to statements slamming Trone for referring to Alsobrooks' endorsers in her home county as "low-level folks."

What we're hearing: Rep. Glenn Ivey (D-Md.), in reference to the "low-level" comment, noted that he and former House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) both represent Prince George's County and support Alsobrooks.

  • "I was a little surprised to hear a comment like that ... some people think Congress is a high-level office," he told Axios.

The other side: "Our opponent and their supporters have been attacking David Trone for nearly a year, and now a Super PAC backed by a Larry Hogan donor is airing negative attacks to distract Maryland voters," the Trone campaign said in a statement.

  • State Sen. Jill Carter, who is Black, argued it was "deeply hypocritical" to claim the race is "about making history" because "no ire" was directed at Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) for defeating a Black woman to claim his seat in 2016.

Read more.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Indiana’s presidential and state primaries

WASHINGTON (AP) — The race for the White House tops the ballot Tuesday in Indiana’s presidential and state primaries, but voters will also have to settle more competitive contests for governor, Congress and the state legislature.

https://apnews.com/article/indiana-presidential-state-primary-biden-trump-8b75b95c95a59ec140dd72c6a77974ba?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Ugliest ending
By and
 
This is Trone and Alsobrooks at a debate
 

Rep. David Trone and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks participate in a U.S. Senate Democratic primary forum. Photo: Karl Merton Ferron/The Baltimore Sun, Tribune News Service via Getty Images

 

Maryland voters tomorrow will end one of the ugliest Senate primaries of the cycle, choosing between wealthy businessman Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) or county executive Angela Alsobrooks, a favorite of state party leaders.

Why it matters: The choice is a monumental one for Maryland Democrats in the suddenly-competitive general election against popular former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R).

  • Trone has spent over $60 million of his own money on the primary campaign alone. His resources could be an attractive feature of his candidacy for national Democrats.
  • But Alsobrooks bested Trone in some of the latest polls.

Zoom in: The last few months have plunged the campaign into the most divisive Democratic primary, which has split national and state Democrats.

  • The Trone campaign started running attack ads going after Alsobrooks' lack of experience at the federal level.
  • Alsobrooks backers have slammed Trone for his use of a racial slur in a congressional hearing — for which he apologized, saying he misspoke — and criticized his ads.

Go deeper

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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🦀 Primaries foretell Trumpier Senate
Table showing the Maryland Democrat Senate primary results as of 1:00am ET on May 15, 2024.
Data: AP. Table: Axios Visuals

In primaries yesterday, Republicans chose strong Senate nominees in Maryland and West Virginia — boosting the GOP's chance of knocking Democrats out of their 51-49 majority.

  • Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan won the Republican nomination in what will be a marquee Senate race against Angela Alsobrooks, the Prince George's county executive. She could become the fourth Black woman in U.S. history to serve in the Senate, AP reports.

Why it matters: Alsobrooks won one of this year's only competitive Senate primaries. Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) spent $60 million of his own money on the race, Axios' Stef W. Kight and Stephen Neukam report.

Another popular Republican, West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice, won the GOP Senate nomination. With Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) retiring, the seat is almost guaranteed to turn red — the GOP's best pickup shot.

🖼️ The big picture: Justice will join a Senate Republican caucus that's grown steadily Trumpier, as critics of the former president retired and were replaced by MAGA allies, AP notes.

  • Trump endorsed Justice, a wealthy coal magnate-turned-Democratic politician-turned-Republican, whose folksy demeanor and omnipresent English bulldog — Babydog — endeared him to West Virginia voters.

Go deeper: Meet Angela Alsobrooks.

From Hogan to a Trumpier Senate: Takeways from Tuesday’s primaries

The presidential primary may be decided, but election season marches on.

https://apnews.com/article/election-primaries-maryland-west-virgnia-hogan-justice-senate-b8de6bf778134cf84d20941ff4e1aa7c?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Political consultant behind fake Biden robocalls faces $6 million fine and criminal charges

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — A political consultant who sent artificial intelligence-generated robocalls mimicking President Joe Biden’s voice to voters ahead of New Hampshire’s presidential primary faces a $6 million fine and more than two dozen criminal charges.

https://apnews.com/article/biden-robocalls-ai-new-hampshire-charges-fines-9e9cc63a71eb9c78b9bb0d1ec2aa6e9c?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Hot race in Texas
 
Photo illustration of Tony Gonzales and Brandon Herrera.
 

Photo illustration: Axios Visuals. Photos: San Antonio Express-News, Anna Moneymaker via Getty Images

 

Tuesday's primary runoff is a microcosm of the conservative pressures dominating Texas GOP politics, reports Axios San Antonio co-author Megan Stringer.

  • Following the 2022 mass shooting in Uvalde, Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas) bucked his party to support a bipartisan gun safety bill that would have tightened background checks for all under 21, among other measures.
  • Brandon Herrera is a self-described "Second Amendment activist" known as "The AK Guy" on YouTube, with more than 3 million subscribers.

Read more.

phkrause

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Roughly halfway through primary season, runoffs in Texas are testing 2 prominent Republicans

AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — The 2024 primary season is roughly halfway over and there have been few shakeups so far, with just one U.S. House member defeated and incumbents widely prevailing in state Capitols.

https://apnews.com/article/texas-gonzales-primary-runoff-republicans-8722cad015b7bfcccc277604203a7ed6?

phkrause

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TUESDAY

June 4 is another big primary day with voters in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota and Washington, DC, heading to the polls to cast their votes for statewide positions, including Senate and House races.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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🏁 Close finish loading in Ward 7
 
A table showing the latest District of Columbia Democrat City Council Ward 7 primary results. Felder is leading with 22.9% of the votes and Payne is in second with 20.6%.
The top five out of ten candidates. Data: Associated Press. Table: Axios Visuals

The Democratic primary election in Ward 7 remained tight into this morning, between two candidates with opposing views of the city's biggest project-in-waiting, RFK Stadium.

Why it matters: The successor to Ward 7 council member Vincent Gray will be a key vote on the future of the RFK site — and an advocate for underrepresented communities east of the Anacostia River.

🥊 State of play: Wendell Felder leads with a little more than 200 votes over Ebony Payne. About 19% of votes are still to be counted as of early this morning. Felder declared victory at his Election Night party, while Payne's campaign manager said they were waiting for the final votes to be recorded.

  • Felder is open to building a new Commanders stadium at the 190-acre RFK site — without taxpayer funds.
  • Payne is a staunch opponent. She is a neighborhood commissioner in Hill East, where many residents oppose taxpayers funding a new sports arena and the traffic it would bring.

Zoom in: Payne dominated votes surrounding the RFK site.

  • But Felder is winning precincts outside of the RFK vicinity, especially across the bulk of the ward east of the Anacostia River.
  • He ran with the endorsement of Gray, along with three other sitting council members and a well-funded pro-business group, Opportunity D.C.

️ What's next: We await the full results of the race today.

Zoom out: Elsewhere, incumbents cruised to victory.

  • Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton looks destined for an 18th term in Congress after winning over 80% of the vote.
  • Council members Janeese Lewis George (Ward 4), Trayon White (Ward 8), and Robert White (at-large) fended off challengers with comfortable margins. Incumbent Brooke Pinto (Ward 2) ran unopposed.

Live results.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Still countin' votes...
 
A table showing the latest District of Columbia Democrat City Council Ward 7 primary results. Felder is leading with 23.4% of the votes and Payne is in second with 20.2%.
The top five out of ten candidates. Data: Associated Press. Table: Axios Visuals

The Ward 7 D.C. Council race remains too close to call, but the candidate friendly to a new Commanders stadium has the upper hand.

️ The big picture: Wendell Felder has declared victory, and holds a narrow 343-vote lead over Ebony Payne, a staunch opponent of a new stadium at the RFK site. But Payne's campaign tells Axios she isn't conceding.

State of play: Felder has told Axios he is open to a stadium — with community support and without taxpayer funding.

  • Payne won precincts surrounding the site, where many residents oppose the traffic a stadium would bring. Felder meanwhile dominated votes east of the Anacostia River.
  • About 83.5% of expected votes have been reported, per the Associated Press.

🥊 Friction point: Payne's campaign manager Chuck Rocha tells Axios they're waiting for all votes to come in.

  • "Wendell gave a speech," Rocha, who is also Payne's fiancé, said in a text message. "He doesn't get to decide."

What's next...

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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1,900 New Jersey ballots whose envelopes were opened early must be counted, judge rules

TRENTON, N.J. (AP) — A state judge on Friday ruled that some 1,900 mail ballots in a New Jersey county whose envelopes were prematurely opened should be accepted and counted.

https://apnews.com/article/new-jersey-disputed-ballots-atlantic-county-1d249795281d98a916979268018818b8?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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🗳️ Primaries to watch tomorrow
 
Illustration of a yard sign that says VOTE glitching and becoming progressively more pixelated
 

Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios

 

Maine, Nevada, North Dakota and South Carolina hold down-ballot primaries tomorrow. Races to watch:

Senate: Nevada Republican Sam Brown picked up Trump's support over the weekend, likely clearing the way for him to claim his party's nomination in a race that's looking increasingly competitive in November.

  • The winner of Tuesday's primary will face Democrat Jacky Rosen, who is seeking a second term.
  • A presidential battleground, Nevada will draw significant attention and money between now and November. The Senate race is among several that could determine control of the chamber.
  • Jeff Gunter, who was Trump's ambassador to Iceland, is among the other GOP contenders.

House: Republican divisions will be on display in a pair of primaries in South Carolina.

  • Rep. Nancy Mace is facing a challenge from Catherine Templeton, a former state government official.
  • Trump has endorsed Mace, who's backing the former president despite saying earlier that he shouldn't hold office again because of Jan. 6.
  • Mace was among the eight Republicans who helped oust former Speaker Kevin McCarthy in October. McCarthy's leadership PAC has donated to Templeton's campaign.
  • Also in South Carolina, Rep. William Timmons faces a challenge from state Rep. Adam Morgan, chairman of the S.C. Freedom Caucus.
  • Morgan has the backing of several conservative hardliners, including Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.). Trump has endorsed Timmons.

Governor: In deep-red North Dakota, Rep. Kelly Armstrong is favored to snag the nomination to succeed former presidential candidate Doug Burgum. Armstrong faces Lt. Gov. Tammy Miller in the open primary.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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US Rep. Nancy Mace overcomes McCarthy-backed challenger to win Republican primary in South Carolina

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — U.S. Rep. Nancy Mace has won the Republican nomination after a tumultuous second term in South Carolina that saw her go from a critic to an ally of former President Donald Trump and make headlines for plenty of things off the House floor.

https://apnews.com/article/south-carolina-primary-mace-templeton-637eaccaa2fc9249363659205b6afac2?

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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🗳️ 3 big primaries
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%

Two bold-face political names won primaries yesterday:

🧗Cliffhanger alert ... Yesterday's hottest race is too close to call:

With 95% of the vote in, Rep. Bob Good (R-Va.) was losing to Trump-endorsed state Sen. John McGuire by 327 votes, or 0.52 points, out of 62,495 ballots counted, in Virginia's 5th Congressional District (Lynchburg).

Get the latest.

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60
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Cliffhanger congressional contest between Bob Good and John McGuire tests power of Trump endorsement

FALLS CHURCH, Va. (AP) — One of America’s most conservative congressmen was locked in a tight renomination battle against an opponent endorsed by former President Donald Trump in Virginia’s primary election Tuesday.

https://apnews.com/article/virginia-primary-election-good-mcguire-1ed9cea1dd45a6cefae187ae968fa0ee?

Rep. Good's close shave
By and
 
 Campaign signs for Rep. Bob Good, R-Va., and his GOP primary challenger John McGuire stand at an intersection near Goochland, Va., on Friday, June 14, 2024.
 

Campaign signs for Rep. Bob Good (R-Va.) and John McGuire near Goochland, Va., on June 14. Photo: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call via Getty Images

 

Embattled House Freedom Caucus chair Bob Good (R-Va.) might be on the outs with Trump, but he's using Trump's playbook in questioning the legitimacy of an election he appears to be losing.

  • Good is raising doubts about the vote counting in his Virginia district as he holds out hope of closing a razor-thin margin in Tuesday's GOP primary against a Trump-endorsed challenger, former Navy SEAL John McGuire.

Good would be the first House incumbent to lose a primary challenge this year — except for one race in which two incumbents faced off because of redistricting — according to AP.

  • Trump has called for Good to be ousted from Congress for being "disloyal" by endorsing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in the GOP presidential primaries.
  • Good trails McGuire by about 300 votes in a contest in which more than 62,000 votes were cast — close enough to qualify for a recount under Virginia law.

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phkrause

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🍨 Scoop: Dems press Schumer for tax vote

💥 Key Senate Democrats agreed today that Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) should force a vote on a bipartisan tax package that includes a potentially powerful Democratic election-year messaging tool.

  • 👶 Schumer is under pressure from several parts of his caucus  — including vulnerable Democrats — to allow a vote on the package, which includes an extension of the expanded Child Tax Credit.
  • 💰 Finance Committee Democrats — led by Wyden — agreed the package should get a vote as soon as possible, two sources familiar with the conversation told Axios.
  • The package, which has passed the House, includes the expanded Child Tax Credit, which advocates say could lift half a million children out of poverty.

🎺 Boosting the Child Tax Credit is a top priority for Democrats and would be a policy that vulnerable Democrats could trumpet on the campaign trail.

  • Democratic Sens. Sherrod Brown (Ohio), Jon Tester (Mont.) and Jacky Rosen (Nev.) — all of whom face tough challenges in November — told Axios this week they're urging Schumer to give the measure a floor vote.
  • 🐘 Top Senate Republicans oppose the deal. They may be content to run out the clock on this Congress, wagering they'd be better off taking a stab at their own tax package if they're in the majority next year.

Schumer said he hasn't put the measure on the floor so far because he sees a path to getting the 60 votes needed to pass a bipartisan tax package.

Read more

phkrause

Obstinacy is a barrier to all improvement. - ChL 60

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