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Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters will not run for reelection, opening a key Senate seat in 2026

LANSING, Mich. (AP) — Michigan Sen. Gary Peters, who led the Democrats’ Senate campaign efforts the past two election cycles, has announced he will not seek a third term in 2026, creating a highly contested battleground seat expected to be coveted by both major political parties.

https://apnews.com/article/gary-peters-michigan-retirement-72fb02bbc816e31f035d797f9185599c?

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🎯 Hot '26 battlegrounds: Michigan, Georgia
 
Illustration of toy soldiers spread out over a leather senate seat.
 

Illustration: Maura Losch/Axios

 

The bombshell announcement by Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.) that he's retiring means that Michigan, along with Georgia, is poised to have a competitive Senate race next year — in addition to high-profile battles for governor.

  • Why it matters: The contests are likely to provide crucial tests of both parties halfway into President Trump's second term. They also are likely to feature candidates who could be '28 presidential contenders.

🔭 Zoom in: Peters' announcement puts Michigan at the center of Democrats' difficult path to winning back the 100-seat Senate, where Republicans now hold 53 seats.

  • Democrats have been preparing to defend Peters' seat. But now they'll have to do so without the two-term senator on the ballot.

🍑 Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) will seek to keep his seat in perennial battleground Georgia.

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🗳️ Pro-Vivek forces see big lead

Vivek Ramaswami, who is expected to announce for Ohio governor in mid-February, is over 50% among Republican primary voters and leads his nearest competitor by 34 points, according to a poll by a pro-Ramaswami outside group.

  • Why it matters: After leaving as co-leader of President Trump's Department of Government Efficiency, the biotech entrepreneur and '24 presidential primary candidate is plunging into a run in his native state.

🔎 Behind the scenes: Ramaswami, 39, has brought on key members of the political operation of Vice President JD Vance, formerly a U.S. senator from Ohio, to run his campaign and super PAC — Tony Fabrizio (Trump's pollster), Andy Surabian and Jai Chabria.

  • "Not only does this signal that Vance is on board behind the scenes with Vivek's run, but Vivek is already winning endorsements from influential pro-Trump senators Rick Scott [R-Fla.] before even announcing," a source familiar with the operation told Axios.

Read the 4-page polling memo.

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Sen. Mitch McConnell won’t seek reelection in 2026, ending long tenure as Republican power broker

WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell announced Thursday that he won’t seek reelection next year, ending a decadeslong tenure as a power broker who championed conservative causes but ultimately ceded ground to the fierce GOP populism of President Donald Trump.

https://apnews.com/article/mitch-mcconnell-senate-retirement-34c79ef12bf62d14cb71d3c393f23a83?

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Ron DeSantis talks up his wife as next Florida governor and takes a shot at Trump’s pick

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) — As Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis approaches the end of his second term in office, he’s talking up one potential heir to succeed him in 2026: his wife, Casey DeSantis. And he’s taking a shot at President Donald Trump ‘s pick to be the next governor.

https://apnews.com/article/florida-governors-race-desantis-casey-trump-donalds-dee847fe8934260668cf7f47832ad824?

phkrause

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  • phkrause changed the title to 2025/26/27/28 Elections
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phkrause

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Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo enters race for New York City mayor

In a bid to make a political comeback, former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced Saturday he is running for mayor of New York City.

https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/01/us/andrew-cuomo-nyc-mayor-campaign/index.html?

ps:That's all they need one more criminal running for Mayor of NYC!!

phkrause

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🗳️ Hottest election
 
Illustration of money falling down over a statue of Justice.
 

Illustration: Lindsey Bailey/Axios

 

The battle over a single state Supreme Court seat in Wisconsin is on track to be among the most expensive judicial races in history, fueled by donations from Elon Musk and George Soros.

  • Why it matters: Democrats and Republicans alike see the Wisconsin race as having outsized importance in politics, stretching far beyond the Dairy State, Axios' Erin Doherty reports.

🧀 Although technically nonpartisan, the Wisconsin race has become a proxy for national party figures seeking to exert their influence in a high-profile, off-year election.

  • The April 1 election will determine the tilt of an ideologically divided bench in a purple state where state-level decisions carry national implications for abortion rights, legislative redistricting and election laws.

💰 A Musk-backed conservative nonprofit, Building America's Future, has given over $3 million to Brad Schimel, the Republican-backed candidate, per AdImpact. His America PAC has spent at least $404,000 on radio ads.

  • Democratic megadonor Soros donated $1 million to the Wisconsin Democratic Party in January, campaign finance filings show. Billionaire Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker donated $500,000 and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman donated $250,000.

Keep reading.

phkrause

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🍨 2026 scoops
 

In New Hampshire, Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas is "definitely considering" running to succeed Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) in 2026 after she announced her plans to retire, we reported this morning.

  • First-term Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander is also considering a run for the seat.
  • Before Shaheen's retirement, Cook Political Report had the race listed as "lean Democratic."

In Michigan, former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers has hired Trump campaign co-manager Chris LaCivita as a senior adviser ahead of a likely 2026 Senate bid, our colleague Alex Isenstadt reports.

  • Michigan's open Senate seat is listed by Cook as a "toss-up."

phkrause

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Wisconsin voters to elect education leader and decide on voter ID amendment

MADISON, Wis. (AP) — The high-stakes race for Wisconsin Supreme Court has gotten most of the attention leading up to the April 1 election. But it is not the only issue voters will decide when early voting begins Tuesday.

https://local.newsbreak.com/wisconsin-state/3857986829797-wisconsin-voters-to-elect-education-leader-and-decide-on-voter-id-amendment?

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🧀 Scoop: Musk PAC's Wisconsin playbook
 
Illustration of money falling down over a statue of Justice.
 

Illustration: Lindsey Bailey/Axios

 

Elon Musk has spent millions on the race for a single seat on Wisconsin's Supreme Court. Now the billionaire's PAC is offering the GOP candidate free advice: Get Trumpier, Axios' Marc Caputo reports.

  • Why it matters: The April 1 Wisconsin contest is a nationalized proxy fight between the parties and their billionaire benefactors — and a first referendum on President Trump.

It's the first major election of Trump's second term, and could decide the balance of power on the swing state's highest court.

  • For Democrats, election is a way to harness anger at Trump.
  • For Republicans, it's a test of trying to turn out Trump voters when he's not on the ballot.
mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.axios.com%
Obtained by Axios

🗳️ The court election will determine the tilt of an ideologically divided bench — in a purple state where state-level decisions carry national implications for abortion rights, legislative redistricting and election laws.

  • If Republican Brad Schimel wins, the seven-member court will have a conservative majority until at least 2026.
  • If Democrat Susan Crawford wins, the court will have a liberal majority until at least 2028. Liberals have held the majority on the Wisconsin court since 2023.

What Democrats are saying: Mike Tate, former Wisconsin Democratic Party chair, told Axios via email: "MAGA only wins elections when Trump is on the ballot."

phkrause

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phkrause

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🏃🏼‍♂️ Scoop: Pappas running for Senate

Rep. Chris Pappas (D-N.H.) is telling his colleagues he'll announce his campaign for New Hampshire's open Senate seat early next month, according to people familiar with the matter.

  • "That's what he told me," a senior House Dem told us of Pappas planning an early April announcement.

Why it matters: Pappas wants to put down a marker that he'll run to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, regardless of who jumps into the 2026 race.

  • Rep. Maggie Goodlander (D-N.H.), a former Biden official and now a first-term lawmaker, is also considering a run, we have reported.
  • Republicans are hopeful former GOP Gov. Chris Sununu will ultimately decide to mount a Senate bid, but he hasn't given a strong indication he's a definitive yes.
  • Announcing at the beginning of the second quarter will give Pappas nearly three months to raise cash before he has to file with the FEC. He ended last year with $400,000 cash on hand, according to his filings.

The intrigue: If Pappas ultimately decides not to run, former Rep. Annie Kuster (D-N.H.) has indicated she would reenter politics.

  • There has been some friction between Kuster and Goodlander, who defeated Kuster's preferred candidate in the Democratic primary to succeed her in a brutal primary last fall.
  • But Kuster and Pappas had a good relationship when they served as the state's two House members, and she would be unlikely to challenge him for the open Senate seat.

— Hans Nichols and Andrew Solender

phkrause

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🗳️ Glimmers of Dem hopes

Without President Trump on the ballot, signs of MAGA weakness are popping up all over, Axios' Justin Green writes.

Why it matters: Any surprise upset is huge for Democrats after all their recent losing — and a letdown for Republicans praying the mega-MAGA coalition outlasts the Trump presidency.

  • One upset's already on the board: The Pennsylvania GOP lost a state senate seat earlier this week in a district Trump won by 15 points in November. One Democratic voter told AP she's "tired of the bullyism" under Trump and wanted to "stick it" to Republicans.
  • ☑️ In Florida, the GOP is worried ahead of Monday's special House election about an underperforming candidate in a district Trump won by 30 in November.
  • ☑️ In Wisconsin, Trump and Elon Musk are all-in on Tuesday's state Supreme Court race. Polling shows an enthusiasm problem among MAGA voters.

Between the lines: Bad candidates can tank MAGA's chances, as Arizona Republicans (Kari Lake) and Georgia Republicans (Herschel Walker) know well.

  • In Florida's 6th District, GOP candidate Randy Fine is struggling mightily. Fine is within the (large) margin of error in a recent poll, and has been badly out-fundraised.
  • In Florida's deep-red 1st District, Republican Jimmy Patronis has also been significantly outspent, but he's cruising along without much stress in the special election to replace former Rep. Matt Gaetz.
  • "It's a reflection of the candidate running in that race," Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said of Fine.

Go deeper: Democrats take hope from upset win in a GOP-leaning Pennsylvania state Senate district.

ps:Well they better not get to gitty things can change in a heartbeat!!

phkrause

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phkrause

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📏 GOP's Florida yardstick
 

Keep these numbers in mind ahead of the special elections tomorrow that are keeping Republicans up at night.

  • FL-1: Trump won FL-1 by 37 points in 2024, former Rep. Matt Gaetz won by 32.
  • FL-6: Trump won by 30 in 2024, former Rep. Mike Waltz won by 33.

The bottom line: If the GOP margin of victory comes in single digits in both races, expect a GOP freakout.

  • But if it's just Waltz's seat, look for party strategists to blame the candidate.

phkrause

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Election day

In the first major elections since President Trump returned to office, all eyes are on races in Wisconsin and Florida. Voters in Wisconsin will head to the polls today to decide the ideological balance of the state's Supreme Court. Democrats are backing liberal judge Susan Crawford, while Trump, billionaire Elon Musk and Republicans are supporting conservative judge Brad Schimel. The battle for the court seat has become the most expensive judicial contest in US history. In Florida, elections are being held to replace former GOP Reps. Matt Gaetz and Mike Waltz. If Republicans win in the Sunshine State, it would increase the GOP’s slim majority in the House

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🧀🐊 MAGA's brutal jolt

The Democratic win in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race was huge: 10 points (55% to 45%, with 98% of the vote, or 2.3 million votes in).

  • In Florida, Republicans won both their U.S. House special elections but Democrats cut Trump's margin by 22 points in Matt Gaetz's old seat, and 16 points in national security adviser Mike Waltz's district.

Why it matters: The three results show real midterm danger for Republicans.

  • This is the jolt Democrats needed to juice money and hope in an otherwise very dismal year. If they perform in next year's midterms like they did last night, 2026 would be yet another change election, with Democrats winning back the House. Imagine House Dems with subpoena power.

The big picture: There's no positive spin on this for the GOP: It's an early verdict on President Trump and Elon Musk — and that's before this afternoon's imposition of tariffs that economists fear will gut growth.

⚖️ The Wisconsin loss — which preserves Democrats' 4-3 state Supreme Court majority — has major ramifications for voting and abortion rights, along with future House redistricting, Axios' Alex Isenstadt writes.

🌴 The GOP survived a late scare in the Sunshine State's U.S. House specials:

  • In Waltz's seat, Republican Randy Fine beat Democrat Josh Weil, 57% to 43%.
  • In Gaetz's seat, Republican Jimmy Patronis defeated Democrat Gay Valimont, 57% to 42%.

3 takeaways

1. 2026 looks scary for MAGA without Trump on the ballot. The GOP's Florida candidates fell far short of Trump's performance in November. The margins of victory for Patronis and Fine were about half the margins for Waltz and Gaetz.

  • National Republicans waged an 11th-hour blitz, and Trump hosted a tele-rally, to get Fine over the finish line. Republicans were deeply frustrated with Fine, who they criticized for running a lackluster campaign.

In Wisconsin, Republicans were drubbed even with $25 million poured in by Elon Musk.

  • He campaigned in Wisconsin and cast the race in apocalyptic terms: "A Supreme Court election in Wisconsin might determine the fate of America," he tweeted last week, later topping that with saying it "might decide the future of America and Western Civilization."

2. Democrats are flooding cash into races. In FL-1, Patronis was outraised 3-1.

  • In FL-6, Fine was outraised by nearly 10-1.
  • In Wisconsin, Crawford outraised Schimel nearly 2-1.

3. Republicans kept their current (narrow) House majority. Last week, Republicans were sweating the race for Waltz's seat, where a poll conducted by Trump strategist Tony Fabrizio showed Fine narrowly trailing. Fine won by 15 points.

Elections

Judge Susan Crawford will defeat Judge Brad Schimel and win Wisconsin’s Supreme Court race, CNN projects. Her victory will maintain a 4-3 liberal majority on the court in the battleground state. Although the contest was officially nonpartisan, Schimel had the backing of tech billionaire-turned-White House adviser Elon Musk, who poured millions into the race, as well as President Donald Trump. With those outside forces involved, it became the most expensive judicial contest in US history. “Wisconsinites stood up and said loudly that justice does not have a price — our courts are not for sale,” Crawford said in her acceptance speech on Tuesday night. In Florida, voters selected Republicans Jimmy Patronis and Randy Fine to replace former Reps. Matt Gaetz and Mike Waltz. With the wins, the GOP will have a bit more breathing room in the House where it holds a narrow majority. 

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🔥 Scoop ... Paxton's hired guns

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has hired the prominent Republican consulting firm Axiom Strategies to run his primary campaign against GOP Sen. John Cornyn, we scooped tonight.

Why it matters: Paxton's challenge of the four-term senator — which he announced tonight on Fox News — is expected to be the GOP's most expensive primary in 2026.

  • A Texas fight is a major potential headache for Senate GOP leader John Thune, who'll face an injection of uncertainty in a state Trump won by 14 percentage points last fall.

Zoom in: Paxton has tapped Nick Maddux, who served as the chief political adviser in his 2022 campaign, to run his primary challenge.

  • Sam Cooper, another Axiom consultant, is expected to lead an outside effort to elect Paxton.
  • Axiom has long worked for GOP Sen. Ted Cruz, Cornyn's home-state colleague, as well as Paxton.

The intrigue: Jeff Roe, the firm's founder, won't be involved in the campaign, sources tell us.

  • He's among the party's most controversial political operatives and is in a feud with Trump's 2024 co-campaign manager, Chris LaCivita.
  • The disdain for Roe among Trump allies dates to the 2024 Republican primary when Roe ran an outside group backing Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Zoom out: Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), the chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, has pledged his organization will support GOP incumbents.

  • But he has vowed to stay in close consultation with Trump on the best way to avoid nasty intraparty fights.
  • "We want to make sure that the president and I are on the same page on these issues," Scott told Axios last month.

— Alex Isenstadt, Hans Nichols and Stef Kight

phkrause

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🔐 Establishment lockdown

Senate GOP leadership is rushing to show support for Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) as he officially faces a serious primary challenge from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.

  • Why it matters: Cornyn has the GOP campaign operation and an enviable fundraising network on his side. But Paxton is a genuine ally of Trump.

Zoom in: Thune and NRSC chair Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) have already urged Trump to endorse Cornyn, as CNN first reported.

  • GOP operatives warned the White House that a Paxton win would give Democrats a better chance of picking up the seat, a source familiar tells us.

Driving the news: Thune backed Cornyn immediately after the senator announced his reelection bid. The Senate Leadership Fund followed his lead today, with chair Cory Gardner saying the group "fully intends on seeing [Cornyn] reelected next November."

  • "He's a proven fighter, man of faith and essential part of the Republican Senate Majority," Scott said in a statement today that backed Cornyn.
  • The GOP Senate campaign arm typically backs incumbents, and Scott told us at a recent event the committee intends to get involved in every primary.
  • Sens. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) are also expected to draw MAGA primary challengers this cycle.

What to watch: Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) said he's staying neutral, calling both his friends and saying he trusts voters to choose.

  • There are also signs Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-Texas) is readying to launch a bid for the seat.

— Stef Kight

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